Also ETHEREUM Might Be Looking For a Parabolic Bull RunWe have seen how BTC-Dominance is dropping, and ETH-Dominance is increasing. Historical seen it has been a sign of an incoming altseason and Bull Market.
Bitcoin has fooled everyone - even the sharks, and might now go into a Parabolic Bull Run like in 2017 - and it seems like, that Ethereum is following. Not only from a TA-perspective things are looking Bullish, but the overall Market Sentiment is looking extremely bullish.
Short term ETH will drop to my red box, but hereafter we will most likely go up again. The whales have changed their plan, and there migtht not be a reason to make a new low, if its easier to bait retail investors into the market now and buy up.
So everything is definitely looks very bullish right now!
D4
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Whales
Bitcoin: The Master PlanThe Whales' Master Plan
The Plan:
1: Accumulate a large amount of bitcoin at a low price
2: Unload the large amount at a high price
To do this we will need a large amount of participants willing to buy bitcoin at a high price or forced to buy bitcoin at a high price.
Hindsight is 20/20
Understand The Bicoin-Mindgame Now - Or You Will be Crushed!You NEED to understand the Bitcoin-situation we are in! I have explained to you last time, how we in OUR FAMILY made $$$, cause I chose to be a CONTRARIAN to the market. Look at the Longs vs Shorts indicators. Everyone went short, but we chose to go Long.
It's not easy, but this is a mindgame, and you need to be in the head of the whales to swim with the whales! In our FAMILY we are swimming with the Whales!
The Wrong Mindset
I talked a bit about the Whales/Smart Moneys plan yesterday. To sum it up - they have killed the Dumb Money again and again, and they kept adding to their shorts cause they have the wrong mindset:
NOW we HAVE to go DOWN
WRONG! Instead you should think like this:
When everyone believes we won't go higher, WE WILL GO HIGHER. When everyone believes we have bottomed, WE WILL GO LOWER.
What Will Happen Now and THE SECRET PLAN
Normally I will only tell this to my FAMILY. But I have chosen to help you guys in this market, because too many people are losing money now. Right now the Whales/Smart Money want to go as HIGH as possible with killing Shorts (Stop Hunting) - they are trying to bait the Dumb Money to go Short (and look how the Shorts again are being a majority).
That has been the plan from the beginning - And AS SOON the Dumb Money finally will go LONG, which is on the 5th Wave, the Whales will pull out the big Sledge Hammer and go SHORT.
2 Scenarios
Everything is in principle pointing down. We are in an ascending wedge, Bulls are losing momentum and we have regular Bearish Divergence. BUT if you don't understand the mindgame you will be fooled, cause the Whales might soon strike again with one of the the following moves:
GREEN: Is the easiest stop hunt. The whales will buy up quickly and make huge buy walls. And shorts will once again get liquidated.
YELLOW: Its a more difficult maneuvre from the whales, but also more profitable if they succeed. In this way they will first manage to kill both Longs and Shorts.
D4
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The Bitcoin-Secret: How We Made HUGE $$$ - And Most People Lost!D4rkEnergY wants to reveal something for you. I shared it with my Team, and we made more than 150 % on Bitcoin. But how did I know, that we would continue to go up, WHEN basicially everyone was betting on DOWN. We were part of the 5 % who made money. We CHOSE to be contrarians, and THAT is exaxtly what you need to be once in a while.
I will tell you the secret - and you will be part of our Team ASAP, so you can learn from this and dont miss out on the next run - Let's Understand The Situation We are In - How Dumb Money plays, and how Smart Money plays!
1. The pros/whales/smart money were accumulating Bitcoin around 3,000 USD. Notice that the volume is relatively low. The idea behind that is obviously not to attract attention, but also to do it in smaller bits for a longer period of time, so the price won't go up. I was the first one to spot that.
2. A lots of these people are still holding - obviously some of them have secured profit during the journey.
3. Whales have pushed the price higher and higher and higher, and short are getting killed. But how did I know we would go through 6k and 7k? The reason is that you have to think like a Whale. I have been writing more about that here:
4. Whales are now waiting for retailers to go LONG and turn their bias, which is about to happen. BUT and this is super important.
They are also hoping they can hold this price for a while, and that the main stream medias will pick up on the story, so new people will FOMO in - AND if that is the case we might even see BTC go to 8,5k-10k USD
5. As you now can see, things are getting really clear. The Pros have bought in the accumulation phase, or we might have bought at the 2nd, 3rd or the beginning of the 5th wave.
The Dumb Money/retailers have been Short ALL the way up to the 5th wave. And NOW they finally will go LONG.
6. So here comes the question for the professor - What will happen now? The Smart Money will obviously Sell and take massive profit while the Retailers once again are stuck - this time in a LONG on the 5th Wave.
That is the difference on how Dumb Money and Smart Money operates.
No1 D4
Please leave a LIKE, and I will keep you updated! Thanks in advance.
Now that the top is in for Bitcoin, we can look at the next low!we know that the pump from $4k to $5k was just that; a coordinated pump ...
my guess is that it's the same people (<- whales) who tried to maintain that fake $6k bottom ... and that failed, so ... I don't think it will work now either; the next correction will not bounce off $6k to go straight to $8k - $10k ...
if everybody start shorting like crazy, that alone will make it drop well below the $6k and then the panic sets in ...
back to where it belongs; low enough to make sure those whales leak/lose bitcoins at a rapid pace ... prolonged!
short to $4.200 ... here we go!
Whoever bought 25k btc to pump from $4k to $5k has a next moveif that was somebody with a lot of fiat but no bitcoins, they will dump, but ... if it's a group of whales working together to pump their 1 million bitcoins; they're not going to dump
but are they just going to hope that their first 100 million was enough to start the bull run or do they know that it will need something extra to break the $7k level ... you know, like 500-600 million to buy 75.000 bitcoins ... for example ...
there are whales out there and those people are not stupid ... they know that it will take more than 1 pump to force a new bull run
so ... although all the TA is telling is that a major correction is coming ...
if those whales are willing to pump a few hundred millions dollars back into the market, we might actually break $7k and go straight to $10k ... they have the cash for it
The Bitcoin Whales are Paying the Price1) fake $6k bottom 2) thus failed pump 3) thus harsh punishment 4) finally successful pump 5) ?!? what will they do next ?!?
that latest pump was not just some new player coming in with fresh fiat, that was from the same whales that have been trying to manipulate the markets for years and finally got 1 move right ;-)
how I see it, 2 possibilities;
1) the same group of whales pump another 400-500-600 million USD into the btc market ... they're probably doing that right now ... which is why it keeps pumping; it's them !!
2) massive correction
combined with the assumption that they know that as well; I can't imagine they would just let it drop again, so ... they don't really have any other option but to keep pumping fiat into the market, it's do or die for them
nothing personal, but I hope they fail and that we see a massive correction; a small group of whales controlling the market ... that's not how it supposed to be
Whales Are Fxxxxxxx With YOU - D4 Will Teach You How To SWIM! DAMN WHALES - OR LEARN HOW TO SWIM WITH THE WALES
3 times in a ROW we go FXXXXX by the whales. 3 Stop Hunts. Clever moves - and that is why I told you to STAY OUT of the market, and the only good solution is, what I told you to do. To accumulate Bitcoins further down.
For those of you who don't know what I'm talking about, and don't know what STOP HUNTING is, let me make it brief: Basically it is often an unnatural or unexpected move from the whales in areas with liquidity pools where they make a MOVE - FIRST IN ONE DIRECTION and then IN THE OTHER DIRECTION with the purpose of liquidating both SHORT and LONG positions, so they can benefit from it economically.
XBTUSD 4h CHART
We are still extremely bullish. We are at this very moment on the 4th Wave in a Triangle ABCDE Formation. Notice that the E-wave always is tricky cause it is allowed to go lower or higher than the lower trend line. We have an area with extreme confluence support, why I will advice you to accumulate BTSs in my Yellow Box.
LIKELY TARGET
6,000 USD and Above is very likely - the reason is, that the whales will help us to up there due to the big liquidity pool. Remember 6,000 USD is Point of Control and is THE price point, where most trades are generated. After some time, and when retail investors jump on the wagen, The Whales will hereafter dump the price again and take profit.
Number 1
D4
Bitcoin Bull Trap and Big Players Buying BTCThe Bitcoin bottom could be in but I don't think the big players are ready for the price to go higher.
Imagine you are a big player with a copious amount of capital and you want to put it in bitcoin before the next bull run. You know this next run will be a big one. Heck, it could be the mania phase of the actual bubble believed to be in 2017. You have a problem though, one that normal retail traders don't have. You can't just go in with one big order, or even a few, slightly smaller, big orders. If you did, you would quickly eat up all the supply and price would move away from you very fast. You have influence over the market with your amount of capital. So why pay a higher price, when you can get the best price? So you decide you will only buy when there is enough sellers to soak up your orders.
This is known as iceberg orders. I suggest you do a little research on them and Wyckoff theory to better understand it.
As the big players start to get in, they will have to get in at higher prices. The retail investors beginning to notice and the price drops stop going lower. Eventually, the sentiment shifts and there aren't enough sellers anymore. As a big player, this is a problem. You aren't finished buying and you're definitely not going to buy at a premium. Remember, as a big player you still have some influence over the market. So you decide to take a little profit and at the same time stop the price from going higher in hope it will fall back down to your buy zone, where all your iceberg orders are sitting. Your a smart big player. You know how the retail side likes to buy and sell. You know what indicators they look at, what patterns they watch for, and how irrationally they can react. You notice an opportunity to make some good profit. There's a "golden cross" setting up. There is a support area waiting to be broken. The RSI is sending signals. Let's trap the retail side! You decide to wait for the golden cross to happen and you flood the market with buy orders. This will make price spike. Everybody thinks it's about to go parabolic. FOMO (fear of missing out) kicks in and retail reacts and buys irrationally. Perfect time to sell your bags. Cha-ching. This may even be enough to send prices low enough to fill up your buy orders as well!
I believe this is the end of the bear market and big players are getting in position. Bitcoin has a lot of emotion behind it. Especially after the last bull run. This next one will be a mania. There is more awareness this time around and it will send bitcoin to the moon. Buying anywhere in this area is still good for the long haul, but if you have limited capital like me, maybe try to get the most bang for you buck and buy the dip.
Don't buy emotionally. Always do your own research and form your own ideas!!
If you are in it for the long term, having your own personal view and reasons will help your confidence when things don't go your way, and may help paint a picture you didn't see before.
Thanks for reading. Please click like if you enjoyed!
I would love to hear from you, leave a comment below on your thoughts.
I am always looking for other perspectives.
Bitcoin's next move? Pump? Dump? Whales? Let's find out!Hey, what's good homies! I feel like its been weeks since I posted, but I finally got it done. In my previous article, I did say I have a big article coming up, and this is it. This post in particular has many things to cover, so let's get started!
Let's quickly summarise some key points throughout this post:
- Ascending triangle
- 6k support is now a 6k resistance
- The forever downtrend resistance is now a forever downtrend support.
- Whale manipulation
- Theory: Once it touches 6k for the first time in a long time, the price will most likely fail to continue, thus dumping back onto 4k support.
- Finally entering the consolidation phase, we're currently neutral with the 3 planes of existence (I'll show you what I mean)
A few things in this first screenshot. It's on the daily or 12 hour which is almost the same thing. It will take a few weeks for it to pop, if its actually a triangle. There's like 2-3 wicks that broke the form which might contradict this ascending triangle, maybe something to look out for. If it does pop, it could trigger a 6k retest, which all falls into the whale's plan, something I've been theorising for a while.
So if we look back a bit, we noticed that the price broke past the forever downtrend, that's already a huge sign that the market sentiment is turning. We've been slaves to this bear for long enough, and we've finally broken free from this bearish oppression, all thanks to that massive 1k pump back in 2nd of April.
BTC's overall state is bullish, no question about that, there's plenty indicators that point that direction. This may sound silly but just like any other market, its only bullish until its not, I believe there needs to be a stronger pullback from the 1k pump back in 2nd of April before reaching higher highs which is still bullish but just needs time to cool down.
If there's actually a dip coming, its only temporary before surging up to 6k, it stops at 6k because we know that it was once a strong support line that held for a whole year back in 2018, since we're retesting it, its now become an insanely strong resistance. Since the 6k support was so strong, its only make sense for our new resistance to be just as equally strong.
So here's the secret plan, the whales will be dumping at the 6k resistance, mainly because the resistance is insanely strong anyway, so it makes sense to dump at that point in time. I can't guarantee that, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that happening. So we pumped from 4k to 5k, so what's the price doing now? Did it run out of fuel? Well, I don't have an answer for that. However, there's something I and many others are certain of, we can expect a pump to 6k within a few weeks, no exact timeframe but it is inevitable.
Here's the crazy part, when that does happen, the price will change market structure and fall back to a hard support in the 4k area. Just remember, when we see the next pump, the main stream media will start reporting this, and give false, misleading information as always, bait their viewers and fill their minds with junk. As a result, retail investors will see this and they'll repeat the same mistakes as always, and buy BTC very very late at 6k, and then get dumped on by whales, its very dirty I know, but this is how the game works.
Its all fun and games when the price is up, until the whales decide the make a move. Its important to realise that this was all planned and schemed by the whales, as always. History will always repeat itself in these markets, or any financial market for that matter. People don't learn, sadly. However, people like us who chart everyday and keep updated with accurate and authentic information do learn, thus the market rewards us for understanding the game, and punishes those who don't understand the game.
(Screenshot by D4rkEnergy)
"Lastly if we take a look at the Weekly Chart, you can see that the Bullish Momentum is getting bigger and bigger (even though the pace is not as great as before - but that is normal during a correction). Also the RSI is holding above level 50." -D4rkEnergY
You see, the whales have been accumulating BTC since 3,300 USD which was back in Jan. They bought at 3.3k and will dump at 6k. That's a total profit of 90% (1.9x gain). They pretty much 2x their money without any guessing or gambling, they don't need to do any TA either. Whales have the power to plan and calculate these moves, which is why their always being blamed for market manipulation.
Whales are not stupid, I wish they were, but they're not. To avoid getting destroyed in these markets, it's up to us as traders and investors to figure out their game, and play along with their rules. We're simply passengers getting on and off the train, we can't control the train.
Once they dump, most people will lose their minds like always, yes its depressing to look at, but its not the end of the world. However, it does begs the question, once the market dumps from 6k, what can we expect now? This is where it gets fun, because I honestly believe we're at a very interesting stage in the market, now you've probably hear that line a million times a day but allow me to explain.
It's interesting because we're literally stuck between a rock and a hard place. The strongest resistance right now is the 6k one, and we have 3 levels of support. Support #1 is at 4925 USD, Support #2 is at 4K-4.4K, and lastly Support #3 is currently at 3k-3.2k. The last two are specifically is a trend line supports. This means that the market can't bounce upward or drop downwards either, the market wants to stay sideways until the it feels like doing something.
My screenshot has defined 3 areas, or planes of existence as I call it. Heaven, earth, and hell. Heaven means we're bullish 100% if we break the 6k resistance, I'd confirm a bull run 100%. Earth means we're neutral, we're stuck in the blue area, bouncing between support and resistance (consolidation). And lastly, we have hell, the red area, which was a stage we just recently passed, we can literally say "We went through hell and back." Something definitely worth celebrating, because we earned it folks!
The price has found itself a stable place to stay, but for how long is another story, it can only rest and take a vacation to recharge itself for the next bull run, also known as the "consolidation phase." The consolidation phase is simply a stage in the market where it needs time to rebuild itself, it needs to time rest before changing cycles. In other words, its basically a bear hibernating, once the bear finishes hibernating it wakes up and starts wreaking havoc. So in market terms, when the bear wakes up is exactly when the market wakes up and decides to start a bull run.
The reason I say this is because the 6k resistance is too strong at this time to break through, and the forever downtrend has become an extremely strong support that it can't go back into hell again, this means we're stuck between a rock and a hard place, which leaves us with only one option, to consolidate. The market is trying to say "let me hibernate." Its been a long night, market is tired, and it just came back from a hard day's work, literally going from 1k to 20k and then from 20k back to 3.2k.
I hope this post sparked some ideas, and gave some value once again, let me know what you guys think in the comments, I reply to all of them! And don't forget to like and follow me on TradingView! I lots of spent time researching and discussing ideas with other traders to gain some insight and clarity, which lead me to write my own article with my own twists. Shout out to D4rkEnergY and his recent posts for inspiring me to write this.
Thanks again, and as always, have a fantastic weekend everyone!
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Sssh... The SECRET BITCOIN PLAN - The Whale MindsetDear Friends
D4rkEnergY is going to tell you a secret - something about THE BIGGER PLAN with Bitcoin.
I have told you many times, Bitcoin is extremely bullish at the moment. So many things are pointing up
BULLISH SIGNS
- We have escaped the down trend line
- Since December 15th where our uptrend started we have had increasing volume . We also call that Price/Volume Trend Convergence, which basically means that is supports the ongoing trend.
- Bullish Momentum is huge
- Increasing Global Market Cap and Volume , which tells us that the Market Sentiment is bullish
I'm PRETTY sure that BITCOIN will go higher than 6,000 USD!
WHY AM I SO SURE ABOUT THAT?
First of all our Elliott Waves and what I wrote above make it plausible.
But we will ALSO do this because it will be a smart and clever move for the whales - If we go that high, main stream medias will start talking about a BTC comeback and it will attract more retail investors. Retail investors will start to buy up BTC again.
And hereafter when everyone think we are going for a new bull run, will the smart money and WHALES STRIKE! They will dump Bitcoin and take profit, which is around 100 % -they have accumulated since 3,300 USD as you can see from my chart.
Let's see! And give a LIKE!
D4!
Crypto Top-12 Marketcap Relative Price vs. USD ATHThesis: during the bear market and until significant price momentum builds to bring new participants into the market, alts will primarily be used by whales as a method by which to manufacture BTC for the next bull run. In so doing, they will have to move funds between high caps in cycles in order to do so, because not enough new money will be entering the market to fuel a market-wide uptrend. Thus, determining which coins have exhausted their runs and which coins are next in the cycle should be very advantageous to those looking to stack BTC during this reset period. To that end, I've normalized each coin in the current top-12 in marketcap to their late 2017 and early 2018 highs, this time adjusting all coins by their USD ATH. Interested to track this and the companion chart of all these alts vs. their BTC ratio ATH to see if it helps identify cycling of funds between the majors.
Link to companion idea vs. BTC ratio ATHs:
Crypto Top-12 Marketcap Relative Price Comparison (vs. BTC)Thesis: during the bear market and until significant price momentum builds to bring new participants into the market, alts will primarily be used by whales as a method by which to manufacture BTC for the next bull run. In so doing, they will have to move funds between high caps in cycles in order to do so, because not enough new money will be entering the market to fuel a market-wide uptrend. Thus, determining which coins have exhausted their runs and which coins are next in the cycle should be very advantageous to those looking to stack BTC during this reset period. To that end, I've normalized each coin in the current top-12 in marketcap to their late 2017 and early 2018 highs, adjusting BTC by its USD high at the time and adjusting all altcoins by their BTC ratio high in the relevant period. I believe this idea has merit - jumping on the "cheap" majors when I first put this idea out there would have enabled one to get in on ADA before it started rising from its range low, and it would have really made BCH stick out as the last remaining major to not have a 2019 pump until just this week.
Looking forward, I would be trying to target majors that are going sideways or coming off of recent declines and that are cheaply price relative to the other alts that would fit that bill. To me, that means that XRP, TRX, and particularly ETH are attractive options to pile in on if you are in a risk-on mode towards highcaps.
Changes in the bitcoin price predictions with google trends. I see, it exists alredy some changes of the behavior of google trends vs. bitcoin price ...
1.) The price falled in November 2018 AND the people wanted to know - Why?
2.) If the interesting falling (google trends lowers), some (big) investors trying to buy a big chunk - it results in a slowly (!!!) deflation... ((they don't want a hype!!! They are clever... They trying to regulate it... The Trustee at MtGox don't moved the remaining 165000 bitcoins to the market - so I am neutral with a little LONG of course. I investing already in ALTcoins again. Every bitcoin hype followed by an ALTcoin hype... But we have some ALT already, they are near to bitcoin: Bitcoin CASH, Bitcoin GOLD, ... AND RSK Smart Bitcoin :D But my favourites: Obyte (with DAG), Ignis, Ardor, ...))
Please see my post on the bitcoinlak also about this changes in the price analyse. I am ifinta on the bitcointalk.org since 2011. Please use my UNLICENCED ideas :) from bitcointalk.org also...
bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=28645;sa=showPosts
I use google trends in analyse since ~2013... I published this kind of price prediction here in Nov. 2015 :)
Crypto Top-12 Marketcap Relative Price ComparisonThesis: during the bear market and until significant price momentum builds to bring new participants into the market, alts will primarily be used by whales as a method by which to manufacture BTC for the next bull run. In so doing, they will have to move funds between high caps in cycles in order to do so, because not enough new money will be entering the market to fuel a market-wide uptrend. Thus, determining which coins have exhausted their runs and which coins are next in the cycle should be very advantageous to those looking to stack BTC during this reset period. To that end, I've normalized each coin in the current top-12 in marketcap to their late 2017 and early 2018 highs, adjusting BTC by its USD high at the time and adjusting all altcoins by their BTC ratio high in the relevant period. I have no idea if this chart will bear any fruit, but at the moment it appears to be saying that BNB is due to cool off and ADA is overdue for a large pump and return to the "mean" that all these coins are theoretically tracking.
Bitcoin Getting ready for the next bullrunBitcoin is getting ready
Obvious descending wedge .. breakout to the upside, target is there also.
'Capitulation' already happened, volume spike
'Whale-wallets' are becoming active to fuel it
HIT THE LIKE BUTTON (even if you don't like it)
Disclaimer:
.. i need a chart for "Told you so" in the future (in order to be a good anal-ist, you need to be able to brag later on, how you saw it months ago)
.. if it breaks down to zero i can always show my other chart with "Stan Marsh" and still be able to say "Told you so" ;)
Manipulations !!Manipulations
bitmex whales did good move by liquidating all high leverage longs .. which i warned about it before .. in this kind of markets you cant use high leverage..
this dump just hit the support channel as we see on chart ..
50 EMA already crossed over the 200 EMA and retesting it again ..
btc still in the uptrend channel and breaking it at 3730ish will cost btc a big move down to the next fib points between 0.5 and 0.618 fibs as shown on chart .. 3650/3542 areas
so longing scenario would be fine if u start laddering it from the uptrend channel which pointed on chart to the way down to 0.618 and stop your loss under 3500ish
shorting now dangerous ,. im still waiting a pullback and im fully bullish on btc .. just don't use high leverage 5x maximum
good luck guys
How I see the BTC market developing First -- I think TA is possible with longs/shorts charts there are active support and resistance points that may lead the btc price
second -- The top right chart is the ratio between longs and shorts... Today I've noticed increasing longs and decreasing shorts through this sideways period, today in-particular, there have been large moves in these charts and little corresponding moves in price. I'm not exactly sure how price can be reacting so little to sharply decreasing shorts and increasing longs but it is Bitfinex so I'm sure there's some shady shit going on in the background.
I don't see bitcoin having another major bull run for a couple years but I do think price has found a bottom. I don't see predictions for 1500 or 2000 as being viable levels that btc spends a prolonged amount of time. Hashrate is increasing again so this is a good sign that the mining purge is over.
Only way I see it possible that there is no move in price despite changing leveraged longs and shorts is a whale has an insane btc wall that he's buying into (convinces others to sell their coins so he ends up with net profit with price increase)