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Wheat

Wheat back at Key $1000 levelWheat has been the most volatile commodity since the war started and we have fallen back to $1000 as peace talks improved. Similar to Oil though peace will not fix the supply/demand issues with Ukraine and Russia accounting for 30% of wheat exports. The consolidation period is likely over and if we can get some positive price action more buyers are likely to come back to a very tight supply market. A close below $1000 would hurt bullish sentiment. easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. “Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
EASYMARKETS:WHTUSDLong
by easyMarkets
Wheat - 2 long / 2 Short scenarios - Good bread takes timeGeneral Wheat seems to generate a nasty SFP. It took out the recent Swing High and then dropped over 22%. With the monthly close coming soon i could image it going lower before finding support. I marked 4 Scenarios which i would be happy to take either. 1. Long (Blue arrow) Price moves to the red rectangle (area 1), finds support and "generates a swing". Price goes lower before breaking above the generated swing where i would then look on a LTF for an entry. Target: A bit under the range high SL: Depending on the LTF entry i wouldnt want to see it going lower than support Invalidation: Price breaking under area 1 Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) 2. Long (Orange arrow) Price moves under area 1 but manages to retake it. Enter on retest of area 1. Target: A bit under the range high SL: A bit under area 1 Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) 1. Short (Red arrow) Price moves under area 1 aswell level 2. Enter on retest of level 2. Target: The next big support level (Also in confluence with the 50% of the lower range. SL: A bit above level 2 Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) 2. Short (Yellow arrow) Price breaks under area 1. Enter in LTF on retest. Target: The next big support level (Also in confluence with the 50% of the lower range. SL: A bit above area 1 Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Good luck
CBOT:ZW1!
by a_tale_of_bulls_and_bears
Wheat futures, potential for bounce! | 23rd March 2022Prices are approaching a pivot. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 1032.19 which is an area of Fibonacci confluences towards our Take Profit at 1105.47 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFLong
by Rockqet
Should the WHEAT rally worry stock investors?The current war Ukraine has caused Wheat prices to skyrocket in February and March as Ukraine and Russia export 1/3 of world's wheat. Geopolitical unrest always causes commodity prices to rise, which is something I recently looked into in early March: As far as wheat is concerned though, it hit its All Time High (ATH), but hasn't closed the month above it, and voices in the markets have already started calling for food shortages and even civil unrest. Those stem from patterns studied as back in time as the U.S. Civil War, the French Revolution and more recently the Arab Spring. Indeed wheat, which is the primary ingredient in bread, has a long history as a commodity with significant political ramifications when the prices rise and availabilities become scarce. In TradingShot however, we don't yet share these worries as in the stock market era, there is a pattern showing that stocks are most likely safe, unless a certain thing happens. And that is a rally way above Wheat's ATH. Last time it happened was in mid 2007 and as a new top was made in February 2008, the stock market had already began what would end up in a massive correction due to the subprime mortgage defaults, the worst economic crisis in the U.S.A since the Great Depression. In more detail, it appears the S&P500 (black trend-line) and Wheat (blue trend-line) since the 2000 DotCom crisis, follow the same pattern as since 1968. The Wheat peak on Feb 1974, coincided with the big stock market correction of 1973/74. Then the Wheat ATH was tested 2 times (Nov 1980 and April 1996) but never closed a month above it (until as mentioned before 2007). The result was that the stock market (S&P500 as mentioned in our example), enjoyed its best historic bull run from late 1974 to mid 2000 (DotCom Bubble). Of course it wasn't just Wheat that aided to that expansion, but at least this chart shows that until Wheat rallies aggressively and makes monthly closes above its All Time High, we most likely don't have to worry about a stock market crash or other socioeconomic concerns such as famine, civil unrest, revolutions etc that are lately making headlines in the news. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
2
Wheatfutures potential for a further dips! 28th March 2022Prices are on bearish momentum and abiding by our descending trendline resistance. We see the potential for further bearish continuation from our sell entry at 1107.77 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take profit at 1034.89 which is an area of Fibonacci confluences. Prices are trading below our ichimoku clouds, further supporting our bearish bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFShort
by Rockqet
Wheat Futures potential for short! | 25th March 2022Prices have recently broken out of our ascending trendline support. We see the potential for a short from our sell entry at 1102.34 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards our Take Profit at 1095.71 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Ichimoku is supporting our bearish bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFShort
by Rockqet
Wheat futures, potential for bounce! | 23rd March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and abiding to our ascending trendline support. We see the potential for a bounce from our Pivot at 1099.97 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 1163.13 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection. RSI is forecasting the bullish momentum and also Ichimoku is forecasting the bounce, further supporting our bullish bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFLong
by Rockqet
Famine and food shortages. How do we invest? RJA and RJIFamine and Food Shortages are the talk over the last month as Russia invades Ukraine. How are we playing this? Where can people look to hedge inflation and war? Here are two simple methods we take a look at to play commodities and agricultural commodities. RJA and RJI by Jim Rogers we believe will continue to rise due to inflation and war. A little fast recently due to war but we expect more corn, wheat, oil, and safflower oil shortages in the next year or two simply based on this war. These commodities will and some are, being used as weapons at this point. I would ask myself, what's more important? Access to a world financial system that I can work around or food for my citizens? I would go with the latter as those with real "stuff" usually have the upper hand. I am not allowed to advertise other social media on TradingView but I can say there is a longer version and more detail out there. Watch, like, share, comment.
RLong
by DefyingFinance
1
WHEATFUTURES potential for further dips! | 21st March 2022Prices are on bearish momentum. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry at 1971.42 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 1031.01 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection. Prices are trading under our ichimoku cloud resistance, further supporting our bearish bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFShort
by Rockqet
Wheatfutures potential for further bearish dip! | 18th MarchPrices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline resistance. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry in line with 1102.31 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 963.67 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci expansion and 61.8% Fibonacci projection . Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFShort
by FXCM
Wheatfutures potential for further bearish dip! | 18th MarchPrices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline resistance. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry in line with 1102.31 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 963.67 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci expansion and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATF
by Rockqet
Wheat Futures potential for further bearish momentum! | 17th MarPrices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline resistance. We see the potential for a dip from our sell entry in line with 1069.58 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 963.67 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci expansion and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFShort
by Rockqet
WHEATFUTURES on bullish momentum! | 16th March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and abiding to our ascending trendline. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 1126.86 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our Take Profit at 1192.91 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are trading above our ichimoku cloud support an also RSI is on bullish momentum, further supporting our bias. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
FX:WHEATFLong
by Rockqet
Position is open CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
NYSE:CFLong
by MaksymKonstantynov
ridethepig | Wheat for the Yearly Close📌 @ridethepig ZW1! Market Commentary 17.12.2020 For buyers the breakout creates the typical starting point, one we have seen many many times before. The fact it is happening on the monthly chart is very telling, this is threatening to impulsive explode to the topside via shortages on the supply side from lockdowns and contractions in globalisation. Whatever may be the case on the climate side (and I am certainly no expert here) it has been one of the biggest crops on year for Russia. Fertile farming at its best... Tracking closely the 600 support, for a move towards 900 and 1350 ... watch out for any battle against this in the coming weeks as we enter into a commodity cycle. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by ridethepig
3
What you need to know to trade wheat futures in 2022Fears of the impact of Russia-Ukraine war on global inflation and recession have escalated in recent weeks and another major issue looming over the horizon are concerns that the conflict could result in a hunger crisis as both countries account for over a quarter of the world’s wheat exports. Wheat prices recently surged to a 14-year high, with the price of a bushel of wheat soaring more than 50% to $12.94 on Monday since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began. The price movement on Monday hit the Chicago Board of Trade’s limit for another day. Reliance on Russia and Ukraine wheat exports Russia and Ukraine are two of the world’s largest exporters of wheat, accounting for about 30% of the global total. In 2019, Russia was the world’s top wheat exporter, while Ukraine came in fifth next to the US, Canada and France, according to data from the Observatory of Economic Complexity. The disruption in both countries’ grain harvest and trade could have catastrophic impacts on their biggest buyers in the Middle East including Egypt, which depends on Ukraine’s wheat imports to produce subsidized bread to its poor population and other staples. These fears intensified on Wednesday after the Ukrainian government said it will ban exports of key agricultural goods like wheat, corn, salt, meat and oilseeds to maintain market stability in Ukraine and “meet the needs of the population in critical food products. Looming food shortage Many nations rely on Ukraine and Russia for grain and oilseeds and the crisis could exacerbate the supply of food especially at a time when low-income countries are still reeling from the COVID-19 pandemic. Some economists have warned that the war could lead to a repeat of the Arab Spring in the past decade when social unrest and armed rebellions led to soaring food prices. "The fallout from Ukraine will spread across the globe. Russia and Ukraine together export 30% of the world's wheat. As this war heats up, many countries will face: soaring food prices, catastrophic hunger & growing instability,” David Beasley, the head of the United Nations World Food Program said. Farmers in Russia and Ukraine are tipped to reduce their planting area in the coming seasons as the war intensifies, placing the pressure on other exporters to boost production. China, India, US work to fill in the gap Although Russia and Ukraine’s grain trade have not been technically included in sanctions imposed by Western countries, many importers have turned to other sources like China, India and the US to make up for any shortfalls, according to ING Bank, over fears of supply disruptions. “We would expect to see strong plantings from US farmers over the spring, leaving the potential for an increase in US spring wheat, corn and soybean area,” ING’s head of commodities strategy, Warren Patterson, said in a note on Monday. Volatility in wheat markets The lingering crisis in Ukraine has caused wheat prices to be highly volatile in recent weeks as countries work to ensure grain imports to feed their population. The CBOT soft red winter wheat, KC hard red winter wheat and MGEX spring wheat all reached their daily trading limits for another day on Tuesday, while US wheat futures snapped a six-day winning streak the same day. Investors have been hesitant in making big position moves for the second week in a row last week despite the market volatility, Reuters said. In the week ended March 1, commodity funds axed only 11,000 futures and options contracts from their CBOT wheat net short, down from estimates, the news outlet reported earlier this week, citing data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission. "Huge speculative interest has flowed into wheat that may have pushed futures past reasonable levels… The export market is difficult to define with many countries banning exports and tenders being canceled,” CHS Hedging was quoted by Bloomberg News as saying.
W
by BlackBull_Markets
2022 RECESSION (Wheat Price Shock)The price of Wheat is going parabolic and most of you are wondering, does this spell a recession? Historically, almost every time wheat prices spiked; a recession soon followed. In the early 1970's when wheat prices peaked, the markets pulled back 41% in about a year. Then, in the early 1980's, we saw the market pull back 23% in about 600 days. Interestingly enough, in 1996 when wheat prices soared, there was no recession. Lastly, in 2008, we see the market pull back 44% in about a year. For the record, a recession usually follows a wheat price shock but not every time like the one we saw in 1996. Now the question is will this time be different or WORSE because we a shock in the oil markets, wheat markets, and we have an ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Let me know in the comments below what you think. And if you liked this post, make sure you subscribe for more. Thank you!
SP:SPXShort
by welf