Wheat Futures Attempted a Breakout Last Week.Long term trend still intact. Trend continuation expected.
I've been expecting a breakout from this wedge pattern for a couple weeks. Last week, the breakout did happen, but price returned to close the week back inside the wedge. I still hold that the technical pattern is extremely bullish. Fundamentals for wheat are also bullish with rising fertilizer and energy costs.
One way to gain exposure to wheat futures is through the Teucrium Wheat Fund, ticker WEAT. This fund is not suitable for intraday or even shorter term swing trading due to low liquidity and large spreads. Over the long term however, the fund tracks the wheat market very well.
Wheat
Continuous KC WheatCont KC Wheat - Monthly: New highs recorded this week within .04 of a 38% retracement target off the 2008 high and the 2019 low. Should KC Wheat decide to move higher yet, the 50% target is a $1.50 higher at 8.87. WOW, it sure seems like a mile to get there but as you can see on the monthly chart, when wheat decides to move it usually does in quick regards.
Support is the blue Tenkan line at 6.70 with further risk down at 5.73
COMMODITIES - RICE ZR1 - Breakout ImminentLine of Least Resistance determined by Underlying Conditions in my Global Macro Campaign.
Price Action Behavior suggests short attack taking advantage of sellers at previous breakout, to accumulate for next wave... which is building up quickly.
I will know if my suspicions are correct at the median line.
US-China tensions will make the supply scarce, and NATO + allies' free trade agreements are under pressure due to pandemic handling. I speculate a global shift towards domestic production, if not military tensions... Nations will most certainly need to stockpile food!
Other Commodities of interest:
Coffee:
Wheat:
Soybeans:
Corn:
GLHF
- DPT
WEAT UpdateSlowly crushing all levels put out previously
There is absolutely nothing going against this trade:
1. Inflation is positive for the price
2. Logistics and all of the shipping BS is positive
3. Winter is coming...can harvest more supply until next year
4. What am I missing?
5. You know what happens after you put a claw like looking rounding bottom like this?
It is just getting started. Plenty of notice given.
Is Wheat Ready to Rock?OANDA:WHEATUSD recently hit a high around the $7.16USD area and has been in a small downtrend since. It looks like it may be ready to head back upwards and test resistance again after a nice bounce off of support.
Entering around the $7 mark would give us about a 2.37% retrace up to resistance and would be a perfect bounce off of the 0.5 fib.
RSI on the 30 minute and 4 hour charts both look like they are in a position to support this move. Stoch RSI also appears to be in a spot to “roll over” on both time frames mentioned.
* This Content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as investment, financial, or other advice.
Wheat aiming at ATH this summer> Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) is the most important crop in the world in terms of area harvested, and is one of the world’s staple foods. It provides about 20 % of the total dietary calories and proteins worldwide.
> However, wheat has a defect, each degree-Celsius increase in global mean temperature, on average, reduces the global yields of wheat by 6.0%. Other important cereals are also affected; rice by 3.2%, maize by 7.4%, and soybean by 3.1%.
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Now, without science, it is clear that Wheat futures are in middle of a brakeout.
It seems speculators and market makers are already all over it for fundamental and technical reasons. I expect old high to be tested by end of the summer (late September).
WHEAT - Purple War Zone!WHEAT is overall bullish trading inside our blue and brown rising broadening wedges so we will be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups as it approaches the lower trendlines.
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the brown trendline and blue trendline.
As per my trading style:
I will be waiting for it to approach the highlighted purple circle area to look for buy setups (like a double bottom, trendline break, and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
The Commodities Index Looks Set to Go LowerThis index is breaking down after showing bearish divergence and having a false bullish breakout on the Daily and Weekly.
Based off this and the weakness we're seeing in the commodities themselves i expect the prices of Precious metals to begin a new downtrend in the coming weeks and for the price of Thongs such as Wheat and Soy to have a major decline.
I would also expect many Mining Companies to go down such as FCX and SA and for the Value of the US Dollar to rise.
DBC commodity indexDBC commodity index, Commodity prices have stalled but should continue higher as mother nature continues to go haywire interfering with the growth of crops. with a lower yield and ever increasing demand producer prices must raise to accommodate for the hardships therefor that price increase should become reflected on the index price as well.
Wheat bearish trendIf gives breakdown below the Rising Wedge short for given targets.
Also targets can act as support and reversal zone. Follow red/ green arrows according to price action.
Wheat Futures September 2021 ContractThe pattern is currently doing a sideways or consolidation in 1 HR and below. It looks like the selling pressure is present unless if its breaks the red line resistance with a strong buying force. Other confluence for shorts are:
1) Pattern making a reversal at a 61.8 Fibo level
2) Seller coming in, can be seen in Volume
3) Bullish momentum getting less and less
4) Price break 100MA, but yet to respect it.
Entry guidelines:
- I will wait for the price to break the trendline and the support area before going into a position targetting 160-170 ticks below.
Good luck!