WHEAT longCommodity market long therm looks like bulls want to take control, moreover commodities are the best performer out of different asset classes during rising inflation period. On WHEAT I will be waiting for pullback, and then next cycle to the upside targeting upper descending resistance line, looking for the same pattern as in SOYBEAN.
Wheat
Wheat overlaid with DXYDXY doubled bottomed and we are now heading higher?
DXY is outside its upward trend?
Reasons to go Higher (interest rates; tightening in the bond market; safe haven)
Reasons to go lower (confidence in the US, the debts, recession)
Wheat: assets that are still cheap as money try`s to find a home for the last big blow of top
Wheat going back to Seven Blood$ weakness, fundamentals people have got to eat!
www.macrotrends.net
though the 6,50 level and hold... sell int first test of $6.8
more buyers have entered the market
Trend is not sharply up so there are sellers, but these are being cleared out.. hence the price rise..
consolidation just over the 6,50 level then the larger move
Long Wheat on Technical Breakout from Rectangle PatternI went long on Wheat this morning in my paper account due to my original long commodity thesis. I am actively looking to add more commodity exposure to the portfolio, mainly because that's where I believe the outsized returns will come to home roost. On the weekly charts, wheat has broken through the rectangle pattern that spans back to August of 2017.
I set my stop loss at 4.06, which if hit, would indicate a false breakout and an incorrect implementation of my bullish thesis at that moment.
As always, let me know if you have any further questions or comments.
WHEAT - D - LONGReason for long : I'm pulling the trigger a bit fast on this one, as we don't have yet confirmation of end of consolidation on weekly TF. However, as I'm embarassed to miss the natgas rally (this is one of my favorite asset and I have waited weeks for this to finally miss it because of external factors). I believe raw materials are in for a good year in 2018 as cyclical this market can get. I'm not too much into GOLD/SILVER right now and wait for correction. But WHEAT is also tanking a lot since weeks and altough we made some pips weeks ago on false breakout, this was not convincing.
This time may be the same... or not.
Trade with your own diligence.
Getting bullish on commodities againLook at the bullish engulfing candles at the close
Look at the MACD crossover
We are long at 423.75. This is a medium term trade so be prepared for wild swings as forewarned previously....
Trade with care
Getting bullish on commodities againLook at the bullish engulfing candles at the close
Look at the MACD crossover
We are long at 423.75. This is a medium term trade so be prepared for wild swings as forewarned previously....
Trade with care
WHEAT - D - LONGDear traders,
Here is a new LONG signal on WHEAT :
Entry : 4.44
SL : 4.2525
TP1 : 4.5833
TP2 : 4.7764
TP3 : 4.9730
After it's bonus trade.
Reasons for this long : Several reversal pattern, and lots of bear/bull fight around 4.2/4.4. It means we will see at least a pullback to some fibs at some point. When and how much is the guess!
Trade with your own diligence,
GL HF
Wheat Short Position on H1 ChartsI am entering into short positon on H1 chart in wheat once again. The market seems saturated at this time with lots of supply from the producers as the autumn season is at its best. Risk/Reward at 1. This is a shorter time frame trade. Expecting to be closed in few days.
WHEAT, in retraction to zone 446
WHEAT, in retraction to zone 446
which should provide good support and make it bounce
continuing the medium to long-term trend
XiNiaN 4 - Trading System - V. 2.9.1 - Medium / Long Term Period - (Time Frame: 1 H)
WHEAT ZWZ17 - Dec '17
LONG since20.09.2017 from 446.66
Flat Under 446.07
SHORT Below 436.53
Stop SHORT if daily close > 434.62
WHEAT ZWZ17 - Dec '17
CROC X1 - Supports / Resistors - Multiday (TF - 1H)
R3 = 475.2
R2 = 474.40
R1 = 473.00
PIVOT = 460.50
S1 = 448.00
CROC X3 - Last Signal (Long Term - TF 1D)
LONG from 445.00
since 18/09/2017
WHEAT, improving ..WHEAT, improving ..
ADX / DMI multiday is flat and there are good chances that
start long in the next sessions
A closing time over 448 and a daily closing above 450 is fundamental.
The medium-long period will start long with a closing time above 451.48
XiNiaN 4 - Trading System - V. 2.9.1 - Medium / Long Term Period - (Time Frame: 1 H)
WHEAT ZWZ17 - Dec '17
SHORT since 24.07.2017 from 521.55
Flat Over 441.78
LONG Above 451.48
Stop LONG if daily close <453.41
the long-time period will start long with a weekly closing over the 445
WHEAT ZWZ17 - Dec '17
CROC X1 - Supports / Resistances - Multiday (TF - 1H)
R3 = 474.4
R2 = 473.00
R1 = 448.00
CROC X3 - Last Signal (Long Term - TF 1D)
FLAT from 445.00
since 13/09/2017
Dec wheat is looking cheapWhen we look out a year and a bit Wheat is looking to be at a big premium to this Dec wheat, so at this extreme will add in a long dec/dec calendar tot eh already short put position.
Please hit me up if anyone has any questions when looking to try one of these low cost spread trades.
WHEAT, weakness comingWHEAT, weakness coming
The CM_ Laguerre indicator says it should go down
in the next few hours. So it's possible to start an entry short entry with
first target at 426.03
WHEAT - ADX / ADM - TS V. 2.8.4 - Intraday Levels for 28/08/2017
ADM - Average Daily Movement - Intraday Levels
Entry on close 1H (hourly candle) ... if exceeded the indicated level
On the ZWZ17 Contract - Dec '17
LONG if> 438.87
TP1 = 444.37
TP2 = 450.49
TP3 = 462.72
Stop Loss = 431.53
SHORT if <431.53
TP1 = 426.03
TP2 = 419.91
TP3 = 407.68
Stop Loss = 438.87
WHEAT, weakness comingWHEAT, weakness coming
The CM_ Laguerre indicator says it should go down
in the next few hours. So it's possible to start an entry short entry with
first target at 426.03
WHEAT - ADX / ADM - TS V. 2.8.4 - Intraday Levels for 28/08/2017
ADM - Average Daily Movement - Intraday Levels
Entry on close 1H (hourly candle) ... if exceeded the indicated level
On the ZWZ17 Contract - Dec '17
LONG if> 438.87
TP1 = 444.37
TP2 = 450.49
TP3 = 462.72
Stop Loss = 431.53
SHORT if <431.53
TP1 = 426.03
TP2 = 419.91
TP3 = 407.68
Stop Loss = 438.87
Wheat flat to upI have a big picture tool I use that has been very good to me and it is now indicating shorting puts in wheat will be a good spot to take advantage of a sideways or climbing wheat prices. I will trade the 31 DTE options and will move down to the 30 delta strike put to give it a bit of wiggle room. Not a big trade but not much buying power is used either