Cup and Handle Formation on Wheat FuturesIn my continuing quest of using price action and TA to find opportunities in the futures markets, I search through each futures product each day to see what the weekly charts look like. When I stumbled upon Wheat Futures, I realized that Wheat was forming a perfect cup and handle pattern on the chart. This was honestly pretty sweet because it was the first time I've found such a pattern on the chart. This is usually a very bullish signal. Although I cannot trade the futures directly on my paper trading account here, I am looking at the ETF equivalent, but haven't found that one yet.
Regardless of what the move does after this, it will provide a great data point when it comes to analyzing different chart patterns, such as the cup and handle.
As always, when entering a trade I'll look to risk no more than 1% of my capital, and look to take profits right around the 3:1 or 4:1 risk reward ratio.
All the best,
RC
Wheat
Trading opportunity for Wheat (2017-05-01)It seems that wheat has finished the wave (C) down. Pay attention to whether it can break up the decline channel.
Good luck for everyone!
Wheat Turn Around? Cypher?Wheat RSI has floored. Elliot wave 1-5 complete, and wheat is still trying to sell itself off of a bearish flag. There is an outside chance of this becoming a Shark. More likelihood a Bearish Cypher. If up trend forms, looking at 430'4 and then 444'2. After 452. This could also fall more into extension in which case target numbers may change.
Wheat to turn at the corner?My mate @Bo here on TV gave me a heads up.
I can see the following on the chart:
- very stretched down swing
- coiling = something is cooking in here
- price landed nicely at the A/R line
The white fork is a "potential" projection of price.
If price close out of the L-MLH, then the fork is not valid anymore.
Let's see if there will be something more interesting.
I don't like to jump the gun, there is mostly a re- entry if I miss it.
But we need to stalk it for sure!
Hunt mode ON ;-)
TNX Bo for the heads up.
P!
WN2017 - July '17 Wheat FuturesAs the market made lower lows, the MACD indicator made higher highs. This is very powerful bullish divergence. Circled is where the MACD crossed over to the upside, further indicating bullishness.
Stops should be placed slightly below the most recent low of 429'4, which occurred on March 31.
Profit targets are at the Fibonacci retracement levels.
Target 1 - 459
Target 2 - 483
Target 3 - 503*
*Following the same pattern as the other upward movements would put price at this level on June 21, the summer solstice.
Wheat Still in DowntrendJuly Wheat has made a bullish flag and tried to escape it today. Wheat still in downtrend and market full of wheat right now, so still looking for further downside. Upside target reversal may come at 449 downtrend line if flag doesn't decay. If broken and stable we could see a short term turn around. RSI has come to downtrend line so caution should be taken.
Wheat - diagonal triangleThere's a possible diagonal triangle, so bears are likely going to deliver wave 5 of (C)
Wheat Bearish FlagJuly Wheat created a bearish flag today. Next downside target is 428 which would make a bullish Bat. If it goes through that and continues further we would be entering a bullish butterfly.
Super Bullish on Wheat Master Technical analysis - Lulu Capital
#Fat Wheat Pattern
#Thin Wheat Pattern
#Granary Pattern
#Target 600+
Wheat - Mar $4 Support?Bulled up... just a matter of weather* $4 support holds or we drop down to 3.5 levels
Trend line resistance erroded
Wheat - Waiting for the touchdown to take a flightThe A/R's doing a good job.
Now I wait to go long from the pullback at the A/R.
Patience...hunt mode on.
Wheat Bearish FlagMay Wheat is forming a bearish flag. Could fall into Cypher extension heading for a double bottom. Looking for confirmation of a start near centre of the flag downwards and continues downwards. RSI still trending downwards
Wheat - Demand LevelThis is purely a technical view as I am not familiar with wheat fundamentals (Ag fundamentalists please chime in I would love for this to be a learning experience for me); This is however my view of a potential technical validation of the Demand Exchange at 4.07 based on my general view of commodities/dx/oil over the next couple of months as I see a potential pop in the DX after through the March FOMC meeting followed by a small decline in the DX. 4.07 is also in line with the April 2007 major wheat rally kick off.
Looking forward to hearing from you and learning about wheat, Good trading all!
Wheat - bullish opportunityIf we see a pullback from the lower side of this channel and the 144 Smoothed MA, bulls are going to deliver wave {v}
WHEAT close to a YUGE breakoutWheat is testing important long-term cloud and trend line resistance. A breakout above 470-480$ area could signal a very big move ahead. Minimum target will be close to 600$. Must be patient and wait for breakout.
Wheat Bullish FlagJune Wheat produced a bullish flag today. Upside target 475 area. Looking for Bullish Gartley completion at 480 and above. Long term target double top at 488
Wheat - diagonal triangleThere's a possible diagonal triangle in wave (C), so bulls are likely going to deliver an upward impulse in wave 1 or A
Wheat: Long Term Wave Count (Attempt) & Potential Bullish BatI am still getting my feet wet with waves so take this count with a grain of salt..however I thought it was educational for myself and potentially others. Even though it seems very "convenient" that we are coming close to the end of Wave C, it does align with the view of the bullish Bat pattern. If you see something I can fix please share it with me so I can learn and improve! :)
That said, I will be buying wheat at the bat entry shown if the price ever makes its way there. Cheers!
CBoT wheat dailyThe daily MAY17 chart shows that price has been under control of a long term descending resistance trend line that started during the 2nd half of July 2016 which was broken by price to the upside on January 5.
From there on price traded an ascending channel which has its origin at the 406 level on December 23 and offered support to price on January 30 and on February 7. Price has now again arrived at same supportive ascending line which should offer immediate support from Monday’s session onward.
The ascending line starts at 445 on Monday and ends at 450 by the end of the week. We will allow price to pierce through same support but we do not want to see price trading below 427 in which case we will have to reconsider our bias.
CBoT wheat weeklyThe weekly continuation chart shows that the price has been moving in a long term descending trending price channel that started in July of 2012 at around the 900/930 level and gradually channeled price down to 466 in September 2014 after which price made, although reluctantly, a new low at around the 485 level during August 2016.
From late December 2016 onwards price hesitantly started making modest new highs and has not tested back the most recent low. The interesting in this price channel is the fact that price has not been testing the lower line of the channel since September 2014 and made only one modest lower lows on the chart since.
Price has developed a descending wedge that roughly started between May and September 2014. The TA rule of an ascending wedge is that price, eventually, will break out of same wedge to the upside which usually happens between 2/3rd and 3/4th of the wedge and which has happened 3 weeks ago indeed. Usually, price then makes a test back to the upper line of the wedge which then serves as support which now seems to be developing.
Wheat Bearish FlatA bearish flag has developed on July Wheat. How much fall there will be is the issue. USDA reports for 2017 are less bushels than last year, but there are still large supplies hanging over wheat, corn and especially soybeans.
Wheat Bull marketbottomed at 3.7, wheat has break through the trading range in 3.7-4.15, reach a new high in two recent trading days. Keeping long position :)
