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Wheat

WHEAT // market is in daily impulseHi✋🏽 Trend is short, and price tested the last daily south breakout, then turned. Targets are marked by the fibo. What do you think??? Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. I JUST REACT! Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽 Remember that trading is a business. SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion! ----------------------------------------------------------
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by TheMarketFlow
1
Wheat, why this last raising?My backtests, September and October are not good months for long swing trading, but Im finding some reason from last WASDE reports *****************September release on wheat – U.S. wheat outlook for supply and use is unchanged this month – Global wheat outlook raises supplies, consumption, exports, and ending stocks this month, as production increases for Russia and Ukraine, more than offset a decline in beginning stocks. Area harvested, yield, and production for Russia will all reach record highs . The Ukraine production forecast is increased as higher yields in the Forest and Forest-Steppe zones ******************October release on wheat ***US*** - The outlook for 2022/23 U.S. wheat this month is for lower supplies , domestic use, exports, and stocks. Supplies are reduced on lower 2022/23 production. Reductions in both harvested area and yield. Production only minimally higher than last year Partially offsetting the production decline are higher projected imports. This would be the lowest U.S. wheat exports since 1971/72 Projected ending stocks are lowered ***WORLD*** The global wheat outlook for 2022/23 wheat is for reduced supplies , consumption, trade, and stocks. reduced production for the United States and Argentina more than offsetting higher EU production although world production remains at a record Global consumption is reduced on lower food, seed, and industrial use more than offsetting higher feed and residual use. World trade is lowered on reduced exports by the United States and Argentina more than offsetting higher EU exports. Projected 2022/23 ending stocks are lowered mostly on a reduction for the United States.
FX:WHEATFLong
by giancarlopagliaroli
1
Wednesday notes - SPX Wheat Gold DXY DAX Bonds etc.Some pre market commentary, SPX - expecting a bear trap after open, then higher. Wheat may be affected by the hurricane in Florida, Bonds hit an important fib extension, Gold looks promising if it can get over 1675 resistance, DXY also looks like it may pullback - BTC could still move to lower 18000 area before a move up (would align with one more low in equities) but it doesn't have to go down that far. Dax has broken monthly trendline, expect a retest over the coming weeks. I forgot oil - looks good for a strong bounce here, pullbacks are likely bought. OK good luck!
XETR:DAXLong
by the_sunship
2
Wheat Mini Futures (XW1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish rise Resistance : 1016'7 Pivot: 915'5 Support : 818'0 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving along the ascending channel and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 915'5, which is in line with the 161.8% fibonacci extension and 50% fibonacci retracement to the 1st resistance at 1016'7 where the 50% and 78.6% fibonacci retracement. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 818'0 where the overlap support and 50% fibonacci retracement are. Fundamentals: No Major News
CBOT_MINI:XW1!Long
by Genesiv
the FOMC idea - SPX, BONDS, WHEAT, GOLD, DXY, BTCFomc is at 2pm today. Many are expecting a rally, and that could be - but be careful of a pump and dump. Another option is it just dumps to 3700 quickly which for me would be a buy zome. Bonds may be close to a turn and Powell may signal something dovish to that market today, Wheat looks good and now we are expecting pullbacks to be bought, Gold also looks good for a rally and DXY looks ready to pullback soon. BTC also holding support at that 19k level. Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by the_sunship
6
WHEAT breakout long entryWHEAT had a beautiful breakout candle yesterday, breaking the prior consolidation zone. I'm most interested in this idea because once I ran fib retracements there is so much alignment: 618 is perfect prior support, 0.5 is a teeeeny tiny gap, 382 is a consolidation zone, and we've defeated 236. Follow through and it is off to $10 at minimum. TP/SL targets pictured on chart. SL: trade setup invalidated with a daily close below 8.45. TP: $10 and above, depending on how you trade
AMEX:WEATLong
by upslidedown
Wheat Rally back on with Russian AnnexWheat surged $60 last night as Russia annouced votes in the local donbas regions they control in Ukraine. Critical to the wheat exports the port in that area also means perhaps sanctions and increased fighting may hurt global supply already under pressure. Adding to momentum is global headline news about beer shortages which adds to the grain rally. As long as these issues persist Wheat may trade aggressively higher as commodites move alot more sharply with the start of the war brining highs of $1300.
EASYMARKETS:WHTUSDLong
by easyMarkets
Soybeans ZS - Lagging the Pack, but Ready to GoThis is a call I wanted to make yesterday, but didn't have time. With the time I had, there was a choice between this and a Nasdaq NS call and made the Nasdaq call: Nasdaq NQ - 8 Days & 1,700 Points But in fairness, I did pick up November options during yesterday's session, so at least I can say that much for myself, since this has some vibes of hindsight based on today's action. Regardless, Soybeans gives strong cause to believe bullish action is imminent, based on the monthly candles: What this tells us that our June high formed a double top with the '12 all-time high. But most critically, it formed a lower high double top, which means that MMs are likely to seek this level to crush bear skulls, and it's just a question of when. The post-resistance top was really a long gap fill and we've also had three months of consolidation. As everyone who's traded with real money knows, picking the direction and the price is not the hardest, but instead, the timing is the very hardest, and most critical, thing. And in terms of timing, the weekly gives us good cause to believe we're ready to go. We see that late July featured a gap up, which has been filled in and heavily consolidated over the course of five weeks: And thusly, there is significantly reduced reason to believe that Soybeans are set to seek new lows instead of new highs. And indeed, on the daily, what has manifested is a string of higher lows, culminating in this morning's gundown of the 1,400 level A gundown that looks exceptionally turtle soup on the 1H, albeit retrospectively since it already ripped. But note that the rip occurred at 9:00 just before NYSE opens, significant because there are ETFs like SOYB that get caught gap up. More importantly, maybe consider not trying to short the pop. Instead, going long on a pullback could be quite good. And so, in magnifying the timeframe down to the 4H, I discovered that targeting boxes that appeared correct on the wider time frame were a little too shallow on the lower time frames. Thusly, I have generated a "revised" targeting box. However, like I said, time is the harder consideration. I feel ZS will get there, but who knows when? In the meantime, a rundown of the 1,500 level, which corresponds with those August-July relative equal highs around ~1,485 is very realistic. Everyone knows the global food supply is in trouble because of all the drought . Whether it's corn, wheat, soy, or whatever. And while you can certainly expect a new all time high to be made, it's really a question of when. Months like December, January, and February when everything is both trapped in winter, a new calendar year, and people are struggling to pay incredibly high natural gas/electricity bills across the world resulting from problems governments have created since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine this year, may be the more likely time target for 2,000 point Soybeans.
CBOT:ZS1!
by LordWrymouth
3
Market ideas for Friday - SPY, GOLD, USOIL BTC DXY WHEATOK so yesterday was not my best day. There are still some signs of a reversal possible but unless spy gets over 390 in the next day or two, all rallies will be suspect. USOIL looks like a correction is over and we should go higher, Wheat correction is normal for the first leg up, it could test 8.14-8.00. Gold spiked through support but it doesn't mean anything just yet, esp if the dollar reverses soon. BTC holding it's support at 19500, under 19k would be problematic. Thanks very much for listening and good luck!
AMEX:SPY
by the_sunship
7