Wheat Futures Are at a Crossroads – Here’s What I’m SeeingAlright, here’s where things stand with wheat futures, and this one feels like it’s balancing on a knife’s edge. We’re sitting right around 571, and honestly, the chart could break either way. Moments like these can be exciting, but they’re also where preparation makes all the difference—whether you catch the right move or get left chasing after it.
If the price drops below 564, we could see it slide down to 554, 543, and maybe even 535. This kind of move would likely mean that supplies are holding strong, or demand is weaker than expected. It might not happen all at once, but once that first level breaks, sellers could pile on, and each support level below becomes the next stop on the way down. It’s like the market testing where buyers are willing to step back in.
But if the bulls get their act together and push above 600, the game changes. That’s the kind of breakout that could attract a lot of momentum and send prices heading toward 620. It wouldn’t take much—maybe bad weather affecting crops or surprising export numbers—and suddenly, we’d see buyers jump back in with force. When a psychological level like 600 cracks, traders love to pile on, and things can move quickly.
This is one of those trades where you’ll want to stay sharp. Just watch the levels, have a plan, and let the market show you the way. Whether it’s a slide down or a breakout higher, there’s opportunity either way. If this breakdown helped, like, boost, follow, and drop a comment—always better when we trade together.
Mindbloome Trader
Wheat_setup
WHEAT LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on WHEAT during those times of STAGFLATION on the long term premise i see wheat price going higher making a new ath. Commodity price should rise during those times of ,,incoming reccession,, .
What do you think ? Comment below..
WHEAT SHORTS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bearish price action on WHEAT as price should retrace back to fill the BULLISH GAP'S, we are in a bullish market strucutre on a HTF but right now i expect the retracement
What do you think? Comment below..
Wheat: extreme levels and it will continueIt doesn't matter its overbought, the price continues rising. The war can create one-time only events in the markets. We've seen the Russian Moscow Exchange closed for more than 1 week, USD/RUB skyrocketing and commodities such as Wheat going up completely out of control. We bought Wheat more than a year ago and we've added more volume as the uptrend continued, but seeing these events, we increased even more volume 2 weeks ago and we will continue to do so as this Ukraine-Russia crisis keeps escalating. In European countries, depends a lot on Wheat from Ukraine, and that was completely halted since the beginning of this war. Also, according to some food producers, they have stock for 2 months tops. They don't have an alternative solution for this. Food prices are going up, and if this war continues, many food produces in the EU will not be able to produce wheat-based food in normal figures. The situation is very critical at this point. Disruption could last half a year at minimum. We hold it and add more volume daily as long as this crisis continues.
WHEAT SHORTS 📉📉📉This week i expect bearish short move on WHEAT as price finished its impulsive movement on the bullish market strucutre, price made a lot of bullish gaps on its way to the current price meaning it will go lower soon to fill those gaps.
On a long-term basis i am still bullish and i will look for LONGS once retracement ends, this is kind of a risky counter-trend trade.
What do you think ?
WHEAT, closed in Stop ProfitAfter 3 months we close our positions on wheat.
The price pulled back 25 points, leading our positions to hit the Stop Profit we had set at 769.80 to save profits, and it did.
Very good are those who have deducted part of the contracts on 50%, others on 38.2% letting the remaining part of the contracts run, very well indeed.
Now let's let the WHEAT go where it wants to go, we are far from any signal of the MCS, in February we will be in A1 of the annual and we will then evaluate any possible trade.
spread wheat vs corn 07:40 28-Aug-19 ADDING SOME MORE.LOG
spread wheat vs corn 07:40 28-Aug-19
I spread trade WHEAT versus CORN.
I follow more or less -
Keith Schap – The Complete Guide to Spread Trading
The guy who spreads and makes a little every day is the one who walks away with
the big money.
–A veteran trader, quoted in Futures
Every time i enter a trade in WHEAT i enter a trade in CORN with the same amount of units.
Trade accordingly your account size.
The trades can last hours, days or weeks.
Patience and discipline and money management. I will not lose more than 5% of the equity.
I can trade every hour or other.
Intercommodity Spread
The Intercommodity Spread is a spread between two different commodities, but in the same delivery month. Often this spread will set-up according to seasonality or occasionally a harvest supply/demand picture.
The Corn-Wheat Spread
The Intercommodity Spread is our focus for today! Specifically, we will analyze
the merits of the Corn-Wheat Spread going into the 1st and 2nd quarter of 2011.
This is a trade that I have monitored since the 80’s. I believe that it was first
notable in the mid 60’s. The beauty of taking a classic trade and reviewing the trends
and history of the trade saves time in research and previous observations may even save
money on potential variances to watch for. In this particular spread, we note that July
may be a strong month for corn as the weather conditions, plantings acreage, export numbers may still be unknown. The crop is still vulnerable until toward harvest which is in the fall. On the other hand, the harvest for the soft red winter wheat may be in July, allowing the market to regard the saturation of a harvested crop. One may look at the months; March, July and September contracts for this particular spread trade and select another, but this is the anatomy of the spread, not to be confused with a trade recommendation. As a matter of fact, this spread may be reversed at another time of the year. June may be a time frame to review the Wheat-Corn Spread. These grains are both feed product and may also be affected by livestock production trends, global supply-demand figures, weather conditions and basis for the farmer. The wheat is typically a heavier protein cereal, while corn does not vary to the extreme. In modern times patents on the seeds of varied grains has become big business. The USDA regulates the delivery, grades and contract size regular for delivery. The seeds and
fertilizers must also endure disease and pests. There are Government Subsidy programs
as well in some cases to control the crops being planted. In recent times, Africa has
been know to lease land for crops to fulfill some of their required grain inventories
in countries such as China.
Technically, it is good to pull up a spread chart to monitor the merit of the potential
move. One may select their Indicators to best confirm an entry.
There is no audio in my videos.
This is a demo ac. I have a real ac with oanda.
Wheat is contracting for a breakout
Wheat is contracting into a symmetrical triangle and is poised for a breakout. Volatility as measured by a 14 day ATR is the lowest it has been since last year February, this is generally a good sign of a market poised for a large move especially when combined with a definitive consolidation pattern like a symmetrical triangle. Which way the break will occur is another matter entirely, wheat prices have generally been trending downwards over the last 7 years and therefore the recent rally in prices could be seen as simply a correction in the overall larger downtrend. However wheat recently put in a higher lower and higher high and formed what could be interpreted as a very ugly inverse head and shoulders pattern. Based on this observation I am leaning towards the conclusions that a base has been formed in price and a longer term uptrend is beginning to establish itself. Despite this a break in either direction of the triangle will be acted upon. Top side breaks should target 561 while downside breaks should target 478. Stops can be placed at 518 and make sure to seek entries with positive risk reward ratios, ideally 2 to 1 or more.
*This is not a recommendation to buy or sell it is for educational purposes only*
WHTUSD Mid-Term/Long-Term Short Position. Minimal Draw-down.Technical analysis
Great opportunities to short wheat at the key 0.618 fib level for a big move down all the way to 4.2820 at the 0.236 fib level. Minimum draw-down with stops placed safely above the summer highs.
Entry: 5.3540 (On the 0.618 fib level)
T/P: 4.2820
S/L: 5.6540
MW1! @ daily @ closed last 8 days higher, while every day
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
Closings Bullish (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron