Bitcoin - when Moon 🌕?Hi Traders,
Bitcoin is still consolidating. We still waiting for the next big bullrun.
Currently the price is almost touching the trendline.
So there are 2 options right now:
1. Wait for new High and trade a breakout or
2. Open Position when we see a clear reversal at the trendlinie
It is also possible to combine these ideas and work with multiple positions with less risk per trade.
Wish you all good trades!
Team tegasFX
Whenmoon
BITCOIN is looking prepped and ready for a relief rally! Bitcoin is looking prepped and ready for a relief rally after the 0.75bps rate hike last week.
I expect a test of 200ema on the weekly, which coincides with 50ema (green) on the daily. This is where both sides of the market need the price to go in order to have a good idea of what to side to play next. Bears will be looking for rejections at these levels, and bulls will be looking for a continuation of the reversal upside.
All of the lines you can see are a mix of Fibonacci Speed Resistance fans, micro and macro trend.
Enjoy!
BTC - WHEN MOON ?Well, I've been waiting for this Bear Market for some time. Let's see when we can accumulate more BTCs again.
The normal pattern of BTC is to rest on previous highs for a while, collecting accumulators and eventually dropping into a congestion zone forming a BearTrap, then turning on the Bullmarket button again.
In fact, this is a reality for most assets, of course there are deviations from this pattern, due to exclusively punctual and proprietary factors of each one, but in general it is respected because it is about how the universe flows.
But I will not go into that philosophy for now.
BTC is expected to rest between 13k and 20k during this BearMarket, this should last less than 2 years, time is the hardest thing to predict. But I believe that in the middle of 2023 new movements will start to happen and the trigger for our purchase will be when we see the BearTrap at the bottom of the accumulation, this BearTrap should reach close to 6k, around that... below that I think there will be no more sellers and the risk of selling will be so great that the shorters will not have the courage to remain active.
Drying sellers on this BearTrap at 6k, BTC will be taken over by Bulls again and we will have happy days again.
In this chart I have marked the zones we must pay attention to if we wish to participate in yet another glorious resurrection of BTC.
The questions that lead us to think about the maintenance of this Bearmarket is the amount of "Fleas" that are in this BTC "dog".
One of them is Microstrategy which announced its leverage of practically 50% of its position... (it took out a 200 million loan with 450 million guarantee) its market position is approximately 130 thousand BTCs at an average price of 30k . Let's do some math... 130,000 BTC at 30K is approximately $4 Billion.
Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy’s CEO and founder, recently in an interview reported that the firm was “10x overcollateralized” on its bitcoin-backed loan.
This is kind of obvious, if BTC loses 90% of the value with respect to their position, their position will go from 4 billion dollars to 400 million dollars and they will have their margin called to cover the loan (twice 200 million).
This would theoretically happen if BTC was worth the 3k dollars.
The Market knows this, it will look for this stop.
But Saylor shouldn't be so stupid as to go around peddling his weakness without having cards up his sleeve. Nor is it a Noobie trader who will simply wait for the price to reach its stop without any adjustment. So when Saylor realizes that he can be stopped, he will have to make partials and adjust his position before touching the limit, it is precisely this type of adjustment, not only of this trader specifically but of the others who are probably in step, being the cause of BearTrap at the bottom , around 6k, which is when they will probably add another loan or new players will enter.
BTC transacts around 1 million BTC a day, its 180k BTC does not correspond to 20% of the total transacted, but this concentrated and directional amount can cause occasional damage to the price.
On the Fundamentalist side, BTC is increasingly proving to be a globalized tool of great use. This last BullRun caught the attention of banks and companies, the next one will consolidate it as a financial and Technological tool. The Taproot taking effect already gives us a sense of what it can become and the new Halving that will take place in mid-2024 will boost the price even more. Therefore its fundamentals are more solid and better than before, prepared for new Historic Tops.
Remember RULE NUMBER 1
"Only invest the money you save for drinking, never invest the money you save for Eating."
When is the new Altseason?Hello, everyone!
I told you in the previous analysis (link in the description) that the Bitcoin is probably following the Accumulation pattern. Based on this theory I want to suppose that before the change in the trend direction we need to see the true divergence with MACD – the strongest TA signal, which gave the short signal on $65000.
The price on the daily chart now shows the decreasing bearish momentum, but not the true divergence. We need to see the rally to the 20MA and the final drop lower than $45000 to form the true divergence. On the Accumulation formation it usually coincides with the Spring event. After that the trend reverse is anticipated.
There was the first condition of the altseason. The second one is connected with the TOTAL3 chart – altcoins marketcap excluding BTC and ETH. I think that the shitcoins are the most interesting now, because demonstrated the huge correction. On the TOTAL3 we can see the Broadening Falling Wedge – bullish formation, but first of all we need to see the local Resistance breakout. The MACD divergence have already formed here on the 12H timeframe, it means that the altcoins is going to outperform the Bitcoin in the nearest future.
Double your money 🟢 Bullish Wedge on Ethereum (ETH)Vitalik Buterin doesn't want you to read this analysis.
KEY POINTS:
AI scanned Giant Bullish Wedge on Ethereum (ETH).
Whales don't want you to know about its breakout.
Technical indicators show exceptional bullish divergence.
1st Target Price is $4800.
ETH can well hit $10k by February 2022.
If you invest now, that means doubling your money.
Thank us later!
SHIB looks like it wants to GO on the 4hr BUT wait for SHIB looks like it wants to GO on the 4hr BUT WAit for the breakout of over head resistance and the retest to confirm support for the next leg up, @ a glance SHIB looks itchy soon. BUT ALWAYS proceed with caution and not financial advice lol😂😂😂 CAUSE YA'LL know "Bitcoin it do what it do and when it moon it will moon!☺️😂 🚀"
Ok everybody repeat after me ... "💥Boom💥SHIBBA_LOCKA, 🚀MOON🚀SHIBBA_LOCKA, 💥BOOM💥SHIBBA_LOCKA, 💥BOOM💥BOOM💥🚀🚀 ...LMFAO LET's GO!!!