We are at a crossroads. As if we have nothing to invest in. Gold is, in absolute terms, highly overpriced. Gold is more than 50% above the 24 year average. And highly diverging... It still is the massive elephant in the room. Yield rates are the small rat in the room. Due to fast rate hikes, the bond market has suffered incalculable losses. Gold...
In today's chart, we look at the S&P500 divided by the WM2NS (money supply). The upward trend of the S&P500 has been unstoppable since 2009 and has climbed to new heights since 2013. > However, as soon as you divide the chart with the "MONEY QUANTITY", the unadulterated chart = the reluctant truth is revealed. = Regardless of the rising price of the index, it...
Oh boy, many of them problems... Sometimes there are cycles, some cycles are shorter than others. In chart analysis, we are familiar when we analyze trends. Either short term or long term. The economy does not function only in trends. There are cycles. The most common / important of cycles is the yearly one. Unfortunately, cyclic patterns may prove tricky to...
The fundamental cheapness of gold is a fairly sideways chart. We are approaching a similar cheapness as was seen in 1999 to 2003 where we saw a ~700% rally until 2012. When we established a top in the channel in 2012, the market bottomed. It appears currently that it's not done selling off and has some room to run down, or is about to establish a sideways bottom...
reviewing from my older chart that tried to make sense of the last the last ATH from Bitcoin against the money supply (money printing) can clearly see it broke the previous support price and is still struggling to get above even with all this 'extra' money floating around many big financial companies are liquid right now, there is plenty of opportunity from the...
S&P 500 - The Standard and Poor's 500, or simply the S&P 500, is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most commonly followed equity indices. M2 is a measure of the money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily-convertible near money. How long will it...
8-minute video where I gloss over the big picture stuff relating to the Markets and as they relate to the M2 (WM2NS) Money Stock. This is a High Time Frame analysis of the Market charts like the Dow and SP500 vs the Printing of Money and the increase in Money Supply. Basically, the entire market exists as a function of printing money, organic growth hasn't been...
Just a combination of a couple old charts, but I wanted to make clear why assets are rising post 2008. There seems to be a direct correlation and causal relationship in FED ownership of assets as a percentage of M2 and asset prices when adjusted for M2. Lots of other charts seem to imply this by charting other things but this one shows the actual thing side by...
Notice how everyone's wages were doing fine for TWO DECADES after Volcker was the FED chair? It's not coincidence. He was the most criticized FED chair in history because his policies WORKED for the working class. Fast forward to today, and we have turned the dollar into infinitely dividing pieces of confetti. These clowns at the FED are nothing more than puppets...
In the chart is the M2 adjusted price of gasoline matched to the current price. It measures the portion of total dollars it would take to purchase a gallon of gasoline. Essentially it's a chart of dollar strength in gasoline terms. Chart up = strong gas, weak dollar. Chart down = weak gas, strong dollar. The white trendline in the center is the longterm linear...
Purchasing power gains lost. PE ratio is 15. So where are the real gains? Should we be expected to wait 15 years to get our dissolving dollars back from dividends? Good luck and hedge your bets.
The same pattern from 2000/2008 is playing out, only faster this time. Is the situation different? Sure. Is the overall environment fundamentally different? No. I don't think it's unreasonable to expect the same result.
SPX/M2 just bounced off the 0.618 Retracement. Didnt fully reach it. Will have to see if it can recover from here
I think under the current market (and inflation) conditions, we have to take a lot at assets vs money supply, to see where we're at. In my opinion the SNP just broke the B high and is now on the way for wave 3, don't see any bear market here! Thought we would see some more Resistance from the B high, esp with the news around the FED, but if you look at the 10yr...
What you see here is a ratio of SPX vs. the M2 Money Supply. Many inverse head and shoulders patterns in this chart, which should resolve to the upside. FYI - M1 = coins and currency in circulation + checkable (demand) deposit + traveler's checks. M2 = M1 + savings deposits + money market funds + certificates of deposit + other time deposits. tldr; The FED is...
So i have to give credit to Benjamin Cowen for the heads up on the money supply vs bitcoin chart. You can go find him on youtube for some very good TA analysis, not searched for him on here yet, if u know his username please link it below This chart is to compliment previous published idea to give an understanding of how the extra money being madly printed has an...
Just a quick chart to show all the new money thats being printed by central banks we can see how the stock market is being kept alive by all this extra wealth being pushed into it, keeping it bullish, the only downside is obvious, INFLATION, massive amounts of very dangerous and harmful inflation! Highlighted the 2008 housing market short and also the most...