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Wolfe Wave

Blackberry RebornBlackberry has very nice upside potential but considering the timing of the historical swings, waiting 5-6 years for a 30X move is not something I'm personally interested in. The Digital Surf Community has outlined numerous other stocks/cryptos with high trajectory that are likely due for completion at a much earlier timeframe. Blackberry is a bit of nostalgic company for me however and I am very much rooting for their future success. I bought a Blackberry Sidekick with my first military check, well over a decade ago. Its a bit refreshing to see how they've rebranded themselves and made a transition from cellular services to now working in the Cybersecurity spectrum (which is now a professional field for me as well). I am not entirely sure what news is to come for BB but over the next few years but it shall be the beneficial/good kind. If you have 4-6 years to wait on such a 30X move, now is the best time to enter your positions. Personally, I don't have that much patience and honestly, the anticipated 30X move pales in comparison to some of the other items we're currently monitoring at Digital Surf Trading Community. If you're a Blackberry fanatic, die hard investor, this is for you. Share, comment and like this post if you find it helpful at all. Surf well and don't drown.
NYSE:BBLong
by DigitalSurfTrading
BTC possible 5th wave BTC possible massive Wolfe wave is forming on a weekly timeframe. The 5th wave is aiming at 200EMA There came gray stretches of volcanic plains, Bare, lone and treeless, then a bleak lone hill Like to the dolorous hill that Dobell saw. Around were heaps of ruins piled between The Burn o’ Sorrow and the Water o’ Care; And from the stillness of the down-crushed walls One pillar rose up dark against the moon. There was a nameless Presence everywhere; In the gray soil there was a purple stain, And the gray reticent rocks were dyed with blood— Blood of a vast unknown Calamity. It was the mark of some ancestral grief— Grief that began before the ancient Flood.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ICLV-426
5
BTCUSD expected Path (bigger picture)Recently I was following BTCUSD through its consolidation up until break of structure last Friday 6/10. That series was a local analysis/predictive tool using continuous-time markov chain (CTMC). This is a bigger picture analysis using charting techniques centered around supply/demand trendlines and a statistical method I developed in R studio that measures proportional range w.r.t. a displacement control chart (based on price action relative to the 9 and 20 day moving averages (as well as the relationship between those moving averages)). There is a post from someone I follow that has what I think is the most accurate Elliot Wave coverage of BTCs count, which has some levels that align in the neighborhood what I am getting using this method. Here is a link to that post (@Nailed_it, hope you don't mind if I link this idea - if so lmk and I'll obliterate my post): If you want the details follow that ^ Below is more of a general idea for upcoming path to expect using my method: Black 2pt line is most likely path from here (dashed 1pt black line is alternative) - i.e. bounce to low 30ks (point target 31616.3) to test recent channel {the decision at low 30ks will differentiate which path is taken}: - If rejected in low 30ks, which is higher probability, expect more downside to around 12-17k (point target 14278). This should mark the end of the corrective wave. From there my initial target to spark a rally is 41k by October 2022 - If continues after testing low 30ks, flip the expectation above (i.e. 41k first near term, then drop to ~14278k to complete the correction by October) *Max downside risk I see is 6396, but notice I included 0 in this analysis chart (that's right, don't plan on it but don't count it out either hah) **Upside point target, longer term, is 84799. This probably wouldn't be realized until 2023? We're not there yet but I'll update once I see which (if either) of these 2 paths play out... 2 roads diverged in a yellow wood, and BTC did what it wanted to ("BTC stay on the path"... "No way I'm not scared of the SPYDER, I control the SPYDER"). The images posted in the chart are interesting. Not going to go into details but as I mentioned above I essentially use average daily price w.r.t. control charts to obtain estimated ranges. The trajectories are generally pretty stochastic/random, but sometimes interesting patterns unfold at the end of price cycles that give insight into breakouts and breakdowns.. for BTC, back in July 2021 an Expanding Triangle emerged on the proportional range chart and then it took off to 60k. Currently, as of this morning, an Expanding Triangle just completed on BTCs proportional range chart... just something to think about, that's all I am saying. I am not saying it will breakout today because of this lol... but the setup for such a breakout is in the works (i.e. corrective cycle nearing the end). Best to All
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by JerryManders
6
Bitcoin, Determined to Test Low $20Ks | Digital Surf TradingAfter finishing a time-killing move within its recent Expanded Flat formation, Bitcoin has now entered what seems to be an Extended Diagonal/Wedge/Wyckoff/Wolfe Wave pattern down to the lows between $21K-$25K. The internal Wolfe Wave in the pending Wave 5 is not shown on this chart however waves have confirmed that this is already in motion (the DSTC will deliver updates on this internal action). The pending fractal will not allow for new entries to remain profitable for too much time as the waves are due to overlap in volatile fashion. For traders who are determined to jump in on the waves, its best to get in and get out relatively quick. An even better idea would be to use the near real-time analysis which I'll be sharing within the DSTC. As for macro moves, this should be the main takeaway, "Bitcoin has not bottomed out until it reaches the levels of $21-$25K. Lastly, Wyckoff and Wolfe Waves are both knockoffs as the great Ralph Nelson Elliott first outlined this concept :)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DigitalSurfTrading
3
Howl @ The MoonI posted a bullish idea for SPY (linked) where I did not go into detail about the wolfe wave - I am seeing major confluence with EWT, wolfe wave projection, bigger picture downtrend resistance, target via an indicator I love called "ADX Breakout", and time series forecast for both SPY and QQQ . There happens to be a full moon (a SuperMoon actually) on Tuesday Morning, June 14th, so if a Wolfe Wave gets us to intial target around that time that would be interesting. I'm not going to use any moon phase analysis here, but there is something about the moon that does in fact influence investor sentiment, albeit indirectly, though I am not expert on that subject. This post zooms in on the Bullish Wolfe Wave and is intended for both price action projection near term and education purposes (I don't see many posts covering wolfe waves though they can be $$$ in making seemingly contrarian calls, such as this). In my counts I am using <1,...,5> for the Wolfe Wave and conventional EWC (Elliot Wave count) based on the degree. Overview of Wolfe Wave (WW) : Occurance - An uptrend channel for a bearish Wolfe Wave - A downtrend channel for a bullish WolfeWave -Horizontal channels for consolidating price periods Rules Wave 3 and wave 4 remained in the channel created by waves 1 and 2. Wave 1 and Wave 2 are symmetrical with waves 3 and 4. Wave 5 goes above the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3 for a bearish pattern. Wave 5 goes below the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3 for a bullish pattern. Regular timings between waves. It means that the time taken to complete one cycle for the waves 1-3-5 is equal. We can see in my chart that QQQ fits the bill here. There is a signal use to confirm wave <5> called "Wolfe Waves Signals " (Props to @NXT2017 for creating this wizard signal). I like it because it doesn't give frequent signals so when it occurs it is generally the real deal if the chart setup fits the bill. Confluence - EW intermediate count w(4) = WW <5>; projected w(5) aligns with the <1-4> projection at the expected time such that there is perfect symmetry with time between waves (see date ranges on chart). This sets up for an initial target of 317.90 by 6/13/2022 - EW primary count circle 3 aligns with the WW EPA @ ETA - EPA is the estimated price arrival, ETA is estimated time arrival and is established as the point in time where the WW support and resistance lines intersect. The level that these intersect is an equilibrium point where supply = demand; notice that E (expected <5>), w(4), and circle 2 all will occur right around this equilibrium level if we do in fact see a bounce from here and this plays out. This confluence gives us a Target of 341 by 6/29/2022 , and this is also the level of an "open long" target using ADX Breakout (not included here, there is already a lot going on didn't want to crowd the chart; also this target is at the 4H time frame, which actually makes sense with the time to target here). My time series ARIMA(0,1,0), p=0.23, upper 80%-95% PI for June 13 is 319.69 - 324.88 so the 317.90 initial target is reasonable, statistically. My upper 80-95% for June 27 is 334.90 - 348.14, so target of 341 is plausible as well. - The downtrend line through the 11/21/2021 high and the 3/29/2021 high is the red line visible in this chart... so for those that have doubts about WW or EWT you can think of this projection as merely a test of downtrend resistance, which is very plausible considering how much time we have spent down in the gutter attempting to end this corrective wave. The yellow path is illustrative, expecting an impulse from apprx. yesterday's low (i.e. <5> & (4) & circle 2 on chart) toward the initial target (i.e. (5) & <1-4> resistance). From there we will see an intermediate ABC corrective wave that will also serve the purpose of re-testing the WW upper channel to ensure old resistance has become support. After that I just drew a straight trajectory to the target at 341 (i.e. circle 3 & EPA @ ETA), however, this will either be a diagonal or an impulse - I'll update with expected levels is this plays out to intermediate (C). Sincerely, Not Jacob Black
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by JerryManders
1