wld could show up again The weekly chart currently shows a bearish trend with potential for a reversal if the support levels hold. The indicators suggest that the market is oversold, which could lead to a bullish correction. However, the overall sentiment remains cautious, and confirmation of a reversal with increased volume and breaking above key resistance levels would be needed for a more bullish outlook.
World
Gold - Getting Ready for the Next Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the flat rising channel in blue.
Currently, XAUUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting strong demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NiKKEi the Empire who saw Tomorrow 100 years ago
the OG in quantitative zero cost coupons and negative rates
with subways in the 1930s
touchscreens ai robotics in the 70s
and rise of gaming in the 80s
still is a decade ahead among developed countries
and 100 years++ ahead the rest of the emerging economies
Accumulation zone📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
Pay more attention to the pivot points because it is an accumulation zone.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
ANW Anchor NEURAL World: $0.05 | a 40x ++ Fintech for Ai
like a START UP that we can have an opportunity to have a part towards innovation in Ai companies
kinda like BlackRock or Carlyle Group having exposure is specialized industries
a new breed of investment banking
at $0.05 cents and solid team and bankers behin it.
should be a worth the wait when ADOPTION kicks in
Price wise.. just look at Shiba at 5 or Solana at 5 before it mooned
Market Cap to Daity Tunrover Value is decent with enough funding for Heavy hitters to get in without moving the price
an-va.com
🔥 World Coin WLD Bullish Triangle Forming: Patience!WLD is a relatively new token, so keep in mind that it's fairly volatile. Nevertheless, is seems that this token is forming a bullish triangle.
In this analysis we're anticipating a break out from this pattern, but waiting for the pattern to be confirmed. Wait for the hourly candle to close above 2.60 before considering an entry.
SL below the purple area of resistance, target at 4$ (potentially even 5$ if the trend is strong).
This is the topHowdy folks its been a while,
Wanted to come back and let all you good folks know that this is the top, the range that we are in is the top.
I've been conflicted in my self confidence of decision making when it comes to trading and has been a shock. Almost like I lost sight of who I thought I was, that hurt my ego.
We are not our ego though? We think we know ourselves, all we know is what we are not. New data, new perspective, new algo, new view.
When we know what we are not is when we can see what we are.
That's all folks,
DAX: Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.
VIX exp 17e.
Options is getting volatile. can be sold today and market will crash before even vix exp.
SQQQ is getting much inflows these days and apple and big tech stocks get heavy shorts these past days into vix exp.
Biggest PUT exp is 19e. We need a lot of downside into that to keep options worth.
ES: Recession/Depression 2023ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
ES: Recession/Depression 2023
THE END IS NEAR.
MSCI World EUR - where do you think it will go?Today we look at how the global economy (MSCI World Index in EUR) has performed in the past and try to derive a forecast for the future.
The medium and long-term trend is shown by the red and green dotted lines.
Since the future has not yet happened, all possible outcomes are still conceivable, but what is likely from today's perspective?
As far as I can see, that would be the light blue line.
What do you think?
Future predictions (2023)
Fundamental:
The inflation havent reached consumers yet, we have had money (savings) from Covid. We will see more "cold" winter now, as the inflation finally starts to decrease the purchasing power.
The inflation decreases but not quick enough and debt will be taken.
There is a possibility to a bigger recession if the debt is too much for banking systems (Unemployment rate, rate of interest, inflation, credit quality)
Technical:
Top to bottom percentages (S&P 500, approx every decade)
28% 60s/50% 70s/36% 80s/20% 90s/50% 20s/57% 21s (average 40%. 27% now, we have reasons to go lower)
These dates and prices are based on past, not super accurate, but with these there were least inconsistencies
Based on human psychology and cycles we tend to have (bigger picture, decade and century cycle), we havent seen that much yet.
We need bigger crisis or there will be next one coming, the cycle is in progress, there is "nothing" to recover from right now.
Sorry about narrow analysis, I am not the type to write own analysis, also there is no words or pictures to describe the full database I have on my mind!
Hopefully you still enjoy and comment your thoughts,
Best regards: Malmberg Jami
(Tutorial) World Markets & their affect on Indian Stock Market!Hello Traders/Investors,
Lets learn World Stock Markets and How it affect us in India on Daily/Weekly and even on long-term basis.
Note: this topic is specifically for Traders (specially Day traders) and also Investors might find it interesting read.
- US is called mother market and we're (i.e. Indian stock market) child market.
- US market gives a queue on how world and our market would perform based on it.
- Sectors like Banks (Dow Jones Bank index) n Tech/IT (NASDAQ) work pretty hand in hand with rest of world in terms of giving us a idea of direction towards which sector can have chances of moving by how much %age today.
- - SGX Nifty , its a Nifty's Future contract which is traded in Singapore Exchange and gives a good idea on start of our markets. SGX Nifty timings : 6.30 AM to 11.30 PM
- Asian markets specially South Korea, Hang Seng n Japan market we should watch carefully in morning to track the direction of markets. We belong to pretty much similar basket.
- European Markets, CAC, DAX and FTSE we should get a median of these 3 exchanges to know how much %age they're moving. Just an observation here, our Indian markets usually stay closer to DAX movement.
- Emerging markets (short form : EMs) : Emerging markets generally do not have as highly developed market and regulatory institutions as those found in developed nations. Market efficiency and strict standards in accounting and securities regulation are generally not on par with advanced economies (such as those of the United States, Europe, and Japan).
- Some of the most rapidly emerging countries include Brazil, Turkey, Russia, India, and China. Also some oil rich nations are also part of this list.
- To get a holistic picture of world markets.. get a queue from yesterday's closing of world markets specially US alongwith US futures which are very important.
- Then, in mornings look at Asian Markets n SGX Nifty to understand where our markets might open. Around afternoon when European markets open you get an idea where our Indian market might stabilise n close. Also, we can look at European futures to get idea on where Euro markets might open.
- Lastly macro economic data like Commodity prices specially Crude oil , USD INR n Dollar Index give a clarity on the markets. Higher Dollar n lower Rupee would cause panic in stock markets usually. Similarly, higher crude oil prices indirectly reduces countries foreign reserves n also affect business due to rising transport costs causing more expenses n less income.
- Cryptos movements can also affect markets now days, a big downmove on cryptos n hit many stop losses n cause for margin calls n hence companies might have to liquidate other assets of individuals like stocks etc. go get back their money.
- Honest mentions: Sometimes some macros are in news, then in those days stock markets start mimicking their charts.. it can b currency pair USDINR , US 10yrd BOND yield, Crude OIL sudden surge or drop in prices and most recently, NIFTY is pretty closely mimicking the US30 futures chart trend on day trades.
- My personal hack: I do all my Technical Analysis on these charts n not just on NIFTY and BANKNIFTY etc. I draw all the Supply n Demand zones, Channels, Trendlines etc. to get queues from them to implement it on my trading in Intraday in India. Usually it works like a charm!
World major stock markets timings in IST (i.e. Indian Standard Timings) :
North America Stock Exchange Timings:
Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing)
US NASDAQ 7 : 00 PM 1 : 30 AM
US NYSE 7 : 00 PM 1 : 30 AM
Canada TMX Group 8:00 PM 2:30 AM
European Stock Exchange Timings:
Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing)
UK London Stock Exchange 1 : 30 PM 10 : 00 PM
European Union Euronext 12:30 PM 9:00 PM
Germany Deutsche Borse 12:30 PM 2:30 AM
Switzerland SIX Swiss Exchange 1:30 PM 10:00 PM
Spain BME Spanish Exchange 1:30 PM 10:00 PM
Asia-Pacific Stock Exchange Timings
Country Stock Exchange Opening Time (Indian Timing) Closing Time (Indian Timing)
Australia Australian Security Exchange 5:30 AM 11:30 AM
Japan Japan Exchange Group 5:30 AM 11:30 AM
Hong Kong Hong Kong Stock Exchange 6:45 AM 1:30 PM
China Shanghai Stock Exchange 7:00 AM 12:30 PM
China Shenzhen Stock Exchange 7:00 AM 12:30 PM
Taiwan Taiwan Stock Exchange 6:30 AM 11:00 AM
South Korea KRX Korean Exchange 5:30 AM 11:30 AM
India NSE and BSE 9:15 AM 3:30 PM
You can google n find most of Live market details on many websites, I usually enjoy Investing .com for their simple UI and charts.
Please take all positions at your own risks and these are my personal views on analyzing markets. I'm not responsible for any losses incurred by you!
Regards,
Anshul
Bitcoin Rises to $43KThe crypto market today is mainly trading in the mix with bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, trading at $43,443 at the time of writing.
Bitcoin’s dominance is currently 41.33%, an increase of 0.34% over the day.
The worldwide crypto market capitalization is currently £1.96 trillion, increasing 0.68% over the last day. Whereas the total crypto market volume over the last 24 hours is £96.92 billion, which makes a 9.25% increase.
Recession warning on S&P500?The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 . On Thu Mar 31st , the yield curve showed a possible warning signal that a recession could be happen at anytime, but the curve needs to stay inverted for a substantial amount of time before it gives a valid signal. People get excited about the yield curve because, historically it has been a good predictor of the onset of recession.
Against a backdrop of searing inflation, Russia’s War in Ukraine and a commodity shock, the relentless flattening of the yield curve and its predictive qualities has market watchers on edge.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees the odds of a U.S. recession as high as 35% in the next year, while Grant Thornton’s Diane Swonk sees the twin blow of Fed tightening and higher oil prices potentially tipping the economy into a recession. The yield curve may serve Economists more than Investors, the key factor in the yield curve inversion is that, while it can often forecast darker days ahead for the economy, it is NOT a sell signal for those who invest in stocks
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True Dollar Index - Adj. for IMF Currency Reserve Weight (2022)As there appears to be much discourse around the status of the dollar as "the world reserve currency", it seems interesting to me that the standard measure of the dollar's strength is not weighted in this way.
Here I am attempting to reconcile the standard dollar index (DXY), which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of other currencies (see below), with the dollar's presence within the IMF's World Currency Reserves (see below). I have chosen to call this the "True Dollar Index" (TDI)
To do so, I have first taken the ratio of the Dollar's IMF weight against each currency and multiplied it by the dollar denominated exchange rate. Then I attempt to normalize the value by dividing it by the average of the 9 dollar denominated exchange rates.
The equation I used for the 2022 TDI is as follows(*):
(USDEUR * (58.81/20.64) + USDJPY * (58.81/5.57) + USDGBP * (58.81/4.78) + USDCNH * (58.81/2.79) + USDCAD * (58.81/2.38) + USDAUD * (58.81/1.81) + USDCHF * (58.81/0.2) + USDSGD * (58.81/1.505) + USDHKD * (58.81/1.505)) / ((USDEUR + USDJPY + USDGBP + USDCNH + USDCAD + USDAUD + USDCHF + USDSGD + USDHKD)/9)
(*) This is in standard TradingView equation format and can be directly copy/pasted into the search bar - though values will convert to decimal
As the weighting of the IMF World Currency Reserves is shuffled and reported at the end of the year, this should only be taken to be valid as of Q1 2022.
For comparison, I have included the DXY in Orange. Note that I have adjusted the DXY by 41.0351, this is the difference in their starting values on Dec 31, 2021.
This should allow us to capture deviation from this starting point. I chose this action as opposed to adjusting the existing equation to for simplicity, though one could easily drag the TDI down by subtracting the same amount.
I make no claims to the accuracy of this chart as a measure of the strength of the dollar. I am not an economist, and I am happy to hear suggestions on how to improve this model.
DXY Geometric Weightings:
Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight
Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
Currency composition of official IMF foreign exchange reserves:
Dollar (USD), 58.81%
Euro (EUR), 20.64%
Japanese yen (JPY), 5.57%
Pound sterling (GBP),4.78%
Chinese renminbi, 2.79%
Canadian dollar (CAD), 2.38%
Australian dollar (AUD), 1.81%
Swiss franc (CHF), .2%
Other, 3.01%*
*To account for this ambiguity, I have opted for a 50/50 split of the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) and the Singapore Dollar (SGD). These are roughly equal in their use as a global payment currency at the time of writing and are the only top payment currencies not already included in the weighting.
Sources:
en.wikipedia.org
data.imf.org