A major correction in Brent crude oil (UKOIL).A major correction in Brent crude oil (UKOIL).
- This idea is invalidated if the price exceeds $73.755.
On the monthly chart, it shows that we are forming a 50% Fibonacci correction from wave 1, from where we will further expect growth toward the $115 area, and possibly even a new all-time high due to a military conflict in the Middle East.
I’ve marked potential downside targets on the chart at $46.50, $49.06, and $52.46, from where we will look for entry points for long positions lasting 2 years or more.
WTI
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 65.268.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement is not over yet, and now the price is in a complex combined correction. The second correction also consists of “ABC” waves.
In an ideal scenario, the price completes wave “C” in the 70.000 area and starts the downward movement to the support area of 65.268.
In general, the plan has not changed since the last forecast, but the bulls still have strength, so we should take the upward movement as an opportunity to profitably go short.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅USOIL made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 68.60$ so we are bullish
Biased so we can enter a
Long trade with the TP of 69.46$
And the SL of 68.17$
LONG🚀
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WTI rises to test major resistance WTI has risen in the last couple of weeks after staging an oversold bounce from around the key $65.00 long-term support level at the start of the month. However, it is now testing a key resistance area between $69.15 - $70.00 range, which is where WTI last sold off from. It is a pivotal zone. Given the underlying long-term bearish trend, I am more inclined to look for bearish setups to form here, than to chase this move higher. However, that being said, I would have to drop my short-term bearish bias in the event WTI were to break decisively above $70.00 level in the days ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI OIL Ultimate long-term guide.WTI Oil (USOIL) has a tendency, like a number of key traditional assets, to follow long-term Cycles. Market psychology more times than not makes investors and the market behave in similar ways (euphoria buying, panic selling) given the same market conditions. Fundamentals and catalysts can often be used as reasons and excuses to confirm the technical trends and long-term Cycles.
Oil is no different and on this 1M time-frame analysis we see why. The dominant multi-year pattern is a Channel Down and it has started on the July 2008 All Time High (ATH). Right now it appears that we are inside a Wedge pattern similar to 2011 - 2014 and more specifically on the final Bullish Leg towards the top.
The 1M RSI sequence among those two fractals is identical so based on all these parameters we believe WTI will test $90.00 by late 2025 - early 2026 and if rejected, start a brutal long-term sell-off towards the bottom of the Channel Down and the 35.00 - 30.00 range by late 2026 as the Time Cycles suggest.
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Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
One of the setups that we discussed on a today's live stream
was a bullish flag pattern on WTI Crude Oil on an hourly chart.
Its resistance breakout provides a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth at least to 70 level.
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Technical Analysis for WTI Crude Oil (Daily Chart)Current Price Action
WTI crude oil is trading at $70.51, showing a recovery from the Liquidity Pool zone near the $66.00–$67.00 range. The price has approached a key resistance level around $71.00, which aligns with a previous area of rejection in February 2025. The chart suggests a potential pullback from this resistance level, as indicated by the projected downward arrow.
Support Levels:
$66.00–$67.00: This zone represents a significant liquidity pool where buyers have consistently stepped in, leading to a reversal in price.
$65.00: A psychological support level and the lower boundary of the liquidity pool.
Resistance Levels:
$71.00: A critical resistance level that has acted as a ceiling for price action in recent months.
$73.00: The next major resistance level if the price breaks above $71.00.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart shows significant trading activity between $70.00 and $71.00, indicating strong resistance in this area. Above $71.00, the volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a rapid move toward $73.00.
Indicators and Momentum
Trend: The price is recovering from a bearish trend but remains below the highs of $80.00 seen earlier in the chart. The current move appears to be a retracement within a broader downtrend.
Potential Pullback: The projected arrow on the chart suggests a possible rejection at $71.00, with a pullback toward the $68.00–$69.00 range.
Market Sentiment
The chart reflects cautious optimism, with buyers stepping in at lower levels but facing strong resistance at $71.00. A breakout above this level could signal a shift in sentiment, while a rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Conclusion
WTI crude oil is at a critical juncture, testing the $71.00 resistance level. Traders should watch for a breakout above $71.00, which could target $73.00 and higher. Conversely, a rejection at this level may lead to a pullback toward the $68.00–$67.00 support zone. The liquidity pool near $66.00 remains a key area for buyers to defend in the event of further downside.
CRUDE OIL Will Go Up After Pullback! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Local uptrend and the price
Made a strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 68.40$ so after a pullback
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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WTI Oil H4 | Rising into 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 69.23 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 66.44 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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WTI Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionOil prices are showing signs of recovery after a strong bearish move, with $68.00 as a key level that will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions for the new week.
📌 Key Technical Outlook:
🔹 Oil is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4H timeframe.
🔹 I’ll be watching for a breakout/retest of the channel resistance and $68.50 for buying opportunities.
🔹 If selling pressure remains below the resistance line of the channel and the $68.00 key level, I will be considering selling opportunities.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 US Sanctions on Iran: The US Treasury imposed new sanctions targeting entities involved in supplying Iranian crude oil to China. Analysts expect a 1 million bpd drop in Iranian exports, which could support prices.
🔹 OPEC+ Production Cuts: A new plan will see seven member nations cut production by 189,000–435,000 bpd per month until June 2026.
🔹 Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East & the Russia-Ukraine war continue to add a risk premium to oil prices.
📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week:
🛢 Tuesday: API Crude Oil Stock Report – Offers insight into US oil inventory levels.
🛢 Wednesday: EIA Crude Oil Inventories Report – A key supply indicator affecting price movements.
🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – Important for economic sentiment and demand expectations.
🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – Provides clues on economic growth and potential impact on oil demand.
🗓 Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, critical for policy direction.
Oil remains bullish in the short term, but I’ll be monitoring price action closely at $68.00 and $68.50 for trade setups. We’ll break it all down in Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈
WTI - Positioning for Upside After Anticipated CorrectionThe US Light Crude 4-hour chart shows price action currently oscillating near the $68,60 level after recovering from early March lows. The recent price structure suggests we may see a short-term pullback before a stronger upward move develops. The chart indicates a potential bullish scenario with price expected to eventually rally toward the blue reaction zone (around $69,00-$69,50) after a possible retracement. This anticipated upside move is supported by the higher lows forming since mid-March and the overall recovery pattern from the $65,67 support level (marked by the red line). A prudent approach would be monitoring for reversal signs at lower levels before positioning for the higher probability move toward the blue reaction zone, with the orange resistance at $70,77 serving as the ultimate target if bullish momentum accelerates.
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WATCH OUT FOR OIL'S DESCENDING TRIANGLE...A potential close above 70 will signal the likelihood of oil price to test trendline is sloping downward or the bearish order candle.
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#wti
#ukoil
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Hard rebound on 1.5 year support targeting $72.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.748, MACD = -1.080, ADX = 23.603), which indicates the slow transition from a bearish trend to bullish. This started when the price hit the S1 level, a 1.5 year Support, and bottomed. The slow rebound that we're having since formed a Channel Up on a bullish 1D RSI, much like the one in September 2024, which eventually peaked after a +10.70% price increase. A similar rebound is expected to test the 1D MA200. The trade is long, TP = 72.00.
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CRUDE OIL Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL made a sharp
And sudden move up
And it seems that it will
Soon hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 68.80$
From where we can go short
On Oil with the TP of 67.67$
And the SL of 68.87$
Sell!
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WTI Possible Scenarios:
1- Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 66.160, it could push towards 67.900, filling the Fair Value Gap.
A break above 67.900 could confirm further upside potential.
2-Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 65.800, it could signal further downside towards 65.500 or lower.
The trendline resistance could push price lower if rejection occurs.
Entry Zone: Around 66.160.
Stop Loss: Around 65.800.
Target Price: Around 67.895.
USOIL BREAKOUT FROM THE WEDGE|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Downtrend and the price broke
Out of the bearish wedge pattern
And the breakout is confirmed
Because the 4H candle closed
Way below the wedge's support
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Crude oil turns lower on Putin-Trump callBoth oil contracts are now lower on the day, giving up earlier gains. From the day's high, WTI is now 2.8% lower and counting as prices test the day's lows. Oil prices moved lower on hints/hopes of peace from the just-finished Trump & Putin talks. The rationale here is that any peace progress would increase the chances of removing sanctions on Russian oil shipments, increasing global supplies.
WTI has held the trend resistance and old support-now-resistance at $68.45. The inverted daily hammer candle, if completed, would point to more weakness in the days ahead. As such, we could see prices dip down to test waters below recent lows of just north of $65.00 handle - a level last tested back in September 2024. A potential break below that could pave the way for a test of the May 2023 low of $63.60.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI OIL turned the 4H MA50 into Support and aiming higher.WTI Oil (USOIL) has broken above the bearish trend of the former Lower Highs and a Channel Up emerged. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke for the first time in almost a month and has now been turned into Support.
As long as this holds, we expect Oil to target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at $70.
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WTI increased slightly and decreased rapidly, downtrend TVC:USOIL prices rose slightly by about 1% in Asian trading on Monday before falling sharply, largely due to the continued US military crackdown on Houthi militias.
US Pete Hegseth said on Sunday that the US military will continue to fight the Houthis until they stop attacking international shipping lanes. The US has previously conducted airstrikes in Yemen, causing casualties among Houthi fighters.
The Houthis have hinted that they could take stronger retaliatory actions, adding to market concerns that the situation in the Red Sea will continue to escalate.
While geopolitical tensions pushed oil prices higher, concerns about global economic growth limited gains.
Goldman Sachs analysts have lowered their oil price forecasts based on the following points:
• The Trump administration’s new tariffs on Mexico and Canada could restrict global trade and lead to lower-than-previously expected US economic growth.
• The slowdown in economic growth will lead to lower oil demand, and Goldman Sachs expects oil demand growth in the coming months to be lower than previously estimated by the market.
• OPEC+ supply could exceed expectations, and while the market is currently focused on the situation in the Middle East, overall supply remains relatively abundant.
• The market expects signs of a slowdown in the US economy to keep oil prices under pressure in the long term, although geopolitical factors could still support prices in the short term. In addition, the market is paying attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 18-19. The market expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged while continuing to assess the impact of the Trump administration's policies on the economy. If the economic outlook continues to deteriorate, the possibility of the Federal Reserve adjusting its policy this year cannot be ruled out.
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook Analysis TVC:USOIL
On the daily chart, WTI crude oil is temporarily in the accumulation phase but with the current position and structure, the downtrend is still dominant with the short-term trend being noticed by the price channel, the medium-term by the price channel and the nearest pressure from the EMA21.
The recovery momentum of WTI crude oil is also limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level, and as long as crude oil fails to move above the EMA21 and break above the price channel, it still has a main bearish outlook.
In the short term, the downside target is around $65, the low since September 10, 2024, followed by the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. Notable positions for the WTI crude oil downside trend will be listed again as follows.
Support: $66.63 – $65.33
Resistance: $67.85 – $68.52 – $69.07
#USOIL/WTI 1 DAYUSOIL/WTI (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently trading near a key support level, which has previously acted as a strong demand zone. Buyers may step in at this level, leading to a potential reversal or bounce.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected if the price holds above the support level and shows signs of bullish momentum. Confirmation through price action, such as bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume, can strengthen the trade setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider buying near the support level if the price confirms a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage downside risk.
- Take Profit: Target resistance levels or previous swing highs for potential gains.
Market Sentiment:
If the support level holds, the market sentiment may shift towards the upside, leading to a potential bullish move. However, a breakdown below support could indicate further weakness, requiring reassessment.