USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI
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WTIUSD_4HWest Texas crude oil 4-hour and mid-term time frame analysis The possibility of the formation of ABC corrective wave, which is currently expected to be in wave B, and after the end of the range, it will continue to rise towards the number and range of $78 and $80 as wave C. The main and important support number and range is $70.70.
WTI H4 | Falling to 78.6% Fibo supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.194 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 69.900 which is a level that sits under a swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 74.216 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XLE Energy stocks, time to buy? Oil has been creeping up lately. Today it triggered a bullish intraday pattern.
This intraday pattern if completes, sets up for a larger bullish daily chart pattern.
If this breakout in oil happens were going to see some energy stocks make moves liek the Semiconductors did today.
Many names like RIG, XOM, HAL, XLE put in daily bottoming tails.
Some energy stocks have much higher beta than others..be careful.
Not FA advice.
⚡️Strifor || BRENT-18/01/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Sell-deal by oil is also relevant. Recent events in the OPEC arena did not have a positive impact on oil, and the decline continued. At the moment, the transaction has been moved to breakeven, and part of the profit has been fixed. However, on Thursday, there is a good opportunity to take a closer look at short-term short. The main trigger for this will be the continued formation of balance.
The target for the fall of such a short-term deal coincides with the medium-term deal at the level of 72.36 . It should be noted that the instrument continues to trade near the minimum of last year, which is very dangerous for buyers since today, most likely, the long-term trend will be directed exactly below this threshold of last year.
Thank you for like and share your views!
⚡️Strifor || BRENT-11/01/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: There is no particularly interesting situation in the medium term for oil yet, but we can say that there are still more signs of sell. After all, the instrument is in a downward global trend. The current accumulation after a small downward impulse is filled with purchases (long-orders), that is, there is a resource for moving down.
As a target, we can consider the support level of 72.36, which is the minimum of the previous year. Regarding the longer term, most likely we will see updates to this low in 2023, and then an attempt to recover above this level.
Thank you for like and share your views!
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to Fibo confluence supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take profit target.
Entry: 71.224
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels
Stop Loss: 70.041
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support that sits under the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 73.516
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI OIL Bullish squeeze. Strong rally incoming.WTI Oil (USOIL) is under a heavy technical squeeze as it has been trading for days within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line as Resistance) and the 1W MA200 (red trend-line as Support) and the width has now gotten extremely tight that a break-out is inevitable.
The very same squeeze was last spotted on July 03 2023, when the price marginally broke above the 1D MA50 but failed to close above it, only to rally over it two days later. This is what happened on Friday. With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows (i.e. Bullish Divergence) as in July, we expect a bullish break-out that as with the July rally, will reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is 82.50.
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Crude oil 1H Potential Inverse H&S ( Multi-timeframe analysis )On the 1H chart the Crude oil is forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders. What is more important about it is that it's happening after a retest of a bigger symmetrical triangle.
I am leaving the link toward the 4H oil analysis so that you can see the bigger picture:
US Dollar, US Bond Yields, USOIL, and Volatility are Set To RiseFor the few years there has been a close correlation between the US Dollar Index, US Treasury Yields, US Oil, and The Volatility Index, as of right now all are forming similar accumulation patterns, with the DXY, and Oil both sitting at the PCZ of a potential Bullish 5-0 at the 50% Retrace after breaking above its trend and the US10 Year yield sitting at the 61.8 retrace of a potential deeper Bullish 5-0 aligning with previous support/resistance. If these Bullish 5-0s play out, I would expect to see the DXY, Yields, and Oil make higher highs. Meanwhile, the VIX is sitting at the PCZ of a potential Bullish Deep Gartley on the Log scale chart and appears to be double bottoming locally with a fair bit of lower timeframe Bullish Divergence. If the former 3 assets go up in price, I would fully expect the VIX to follow and potentially hit levels above $50.00 on an extra note, the WTICOUSD is also sitting at the 200-week Simple Moving Average and is testing a long term trend line, so this gives Oil even more support at these levels.
WTI Crude oil - last update. Our overview: Jitter due to the Red Sea tension persist. CoT released Friday "net long positions" report, showing an increasing long positions in futures and decreasing in options by the "non commercial". This could suggest that the market could be close to an upward movement of the price. Waiting for market mover data and news. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3.
Our current strategy: Moderately Long following wave3 of the minor trend(yellow). Our current position's risk profile @$72.58: delta +0.35, gamma +0.28 Hedging point: on breakout $72.30. or @area $74.00
BRIEFING Week #2 : Dominance Signaling is Here !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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USOIL Trading Ideaased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI (Crude oil) 1H Double bottomThe Crude oil is forming a potential double bottom on a 1H chart
Zoom out the chart to see the Bigger picture.
The price has been moving in a general down trend channel. Recently the price broke out of it to the up side and now it's retesting the former down trend resistance. On it, it's forming a potential double bottom.
Additional confluences:
- Oversold RSI on the first bottom
- MACD Bullish crossing between the 2 bottoms
WTI Crude oil - last update Our overview: Red Sea tension on focus again. Divergence on hourly RSI. On breakout and close on hourly timeframe above $74.00 push the price straight to area $75.60/$76.00. On the other side, breakout of $72.80 could push again the price towards the bottom of the trading range. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3.
Our current strategy: Neutral follow the market. Our current position's risk profile @$73.95: delta -0.03, gamma +0.24 Hedging point: not set
WTI H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 70.381 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 69.000 which is a level that sits under a swing-low support and the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 73.270 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI crude looks set to retrace before its next big leg higherWTI appears set tor a cheeky retracement. Volumes were falling during its leg higher from $68, and Wednesday closed with an exhaustion candle. Note the strong trading activity around $70 which indicates some bears were caught short and bulls initiated, which assumes short-covering helped fuel the rally and any retracement towards $70 could also be supported.
From here we’re looking for prices to revert to $70. But given the strong support around the June lows / $68 and false break of $70, the bigger picture view is for a bullish rally to develop following a retracement heading into the new year.
$80 seems feasible as an initial target, around the 200-day EMA. But as you’ll see in the next post, a bigger bullish reversal could be unfolding on the weekly chart.