USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area at 87.89.Dear colleagues, I assume that the price will still make an upward movement at least to the resistance area of 90. It will do it either immediately or after correction to the support area at 84.26. In any case, I expect the price to rise in the coming week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (12H TF)On a smaller TF we've seen Oil spike up & break structure, by taking out the previous high at $93.80. This indicates a change in structure from bearish to bullish. We're currently seeing an accumulation order take place (Wave II), where new buyers are entering the Oil market. The average retail trader will be scared to take advantage of this dip, which is beneficial for institutional investment firms like hedge funds & banks📈
Strifor || UKOIL-10/20/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Yesterday, oil still showed growth and we were forced to exit with a stop loss. However, the priority of sales remains and today once again we are considering sales from current prices with a target of 90.72 and even with fixation below.
Thank you for like and share your views!
Crude Oil - Elliott Wave CountCrude Oil - Elliott Wave Count
Based on the current market trends, it appears that there is a bearish sentiment prevailing. As a result, it is likely that we may witness a decline in the value of the asset to 85 or below. It is important to note that we have set our stop loss at today's high, which means that if the price breaks above this level, we will exit the market.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:CL1! TVC:USOIL CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE MCX:CRUDEOILM1! EASYMARKETS:OILUSD
WTI CRUDE OIL: Short term sell signal unless this Fib breaks.WTI Crude Oil is on a neutral technical outlook on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 54.002, MACD = 0.110, ADX = 20.935), naturally so as it is ranged between the 1D MA50 and 0.618 Fibonacci level for the past four days.
The MACD now formed a Bullish Cross, which gives an edge to buying but only if the 0.618 Fibonacci level breaks. A similar fractal in May-June offered excellent sideways opportunities until the 0.618 Fib broke.
Consequently, we are selling (TP = 83.20) for as long as the price is under the 0.618 Fib (and buying the bounces) but will buy if the price crosses over it (TP = 95.00).
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Top 10 books in tradingAs a trader now of over 23 years, I have read a few hundred trading books in that time. It is always really interesting to have other people's perspective, strategies, hint, tips and tools.
However, the main issue is not knowing if you are likely to get value from the book you purchase as it is also very subjective. You either have issues such as the book is too basic, or the other end of the scale, it's too advanced.
During the 20 plus years, I found a number of great books that helped me - but also ones I have shared with others over the years. Regardless of your level of knowledge how do you know what works or would work for you or your style of trading?
I put this list together in no real order, but I'll try to summarise each with a little about what I liked or what you can take away.
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"The Wall Street Jungle"
Written by Richard Ney, first published in 1970. In this book, Ney provides readers with an insider's perspective on the world of finance and investment. He delves into the complexities and pitfalls of Wall Street, offering a critical examination of the stock market and the investment industry.
Ney, a former Wall Street insider himself, reveals the often deceptive practices and psychological games played by brokers and financial institutions. He discusses the dangers of following investment advice blindly and emphasizes the importance of informed decision-making when it comes to managing one's finances.
Throughout the book, Ney uses real-life examples and anecdotes to illustrate the challenges and temptations that investors face. He also explores the psychological aspects of investing, discussing how emotions can influence financial decisions and lead to costly mistakes.
What I like about this is the emphasis put on the market makers, as a trader who uses Wyckoff Techniques, it made more sense when identifying with Composite Man theory.
"Trading in the Zone"
By Mark Douglas that focuses on the psychology of trading and investing. Published in 2000, the book offers valuable insights into the mental aspects of successful trading. Douglas emphasizes the idea that trading is not just about mastering technical analysis or market fundamentals but also about mastering one's own emotions and mindset.
This book was one of the best in terms of psychology, every trader has a different appetite for risk and even profits, this is a huge factor in trading especially early on. If you struggle with psychology of trading or the emotions, I would 100% recommend this one.
"The Wealth of Nations"
Written by the Scottish economist and philosopher Adam Smith, first published in 1776. This influential work is considered one of the foundational texts in the field of economics and is often regarded as the birth of modern economics.
In the book Smith explores the principles of a free-market capitalist system and the mechanisms that drive economic prosperity. He famously introduces the concept of the "invisible hand," which suggests that individuals pursuing their self-interest in a competitive market inadvertently contribute to the greater good of society.
For me, the rules of economics have not changed much since the creation of this book. appreciating moves such as DXY up = Gold down, is simple economics. The main take away is again around Wyckoff theory for me and the fact the "invisible hand" is exactly why and how some fail and some profit.
"The Go-Giver"
Although not technically a trading book, it's one of the best little business/life stories.
self-help book co-authored by Bob Burg and John David Mann. Published in 2007, it presents a unique and compelling philosophy on success and achieving one's goals.
The book revolves around the story of a young, ambitious professional named Joe who is seeking success in his career. Through a series of encounters with a mentor named Pindar, Joe learns the "Five Laws of Stratospheric Success." These laws, which are principles of giving, value, influence, authenticity, and receptivity, guide him on a transformative journey toward becoming a true "go-giver."
The way I saw this from a trading perspective is pretty much, the value given by stocks or companies is something Warren Buffet and Benjamin Graham investment theory was all about. Although a different type of value - you can understand why instruments such as gold or oil have a place, a value and this can be deemed as expensive or fair at any given point. These waves are what really moves the market.
"The Zurich Axioms"
A book written by Max Gunther, originally published in 1985. This book offers a set of investment and risk management principles derived from the wisdom and practices of Swiss bankers in Zurich. The Zurich Axioms provide a unique and unconventional approach to investing and wealth management.
The book presents a series of investment "axioms," or guidelines, that challenge conventional wisdom in the world of finance. These axioms emphasize risk management, flexibility, and the willingness to take calculated risks. They encourage investors to think independently and avoid the herd mentality often associated with financial markets.
For me it's more about investing and less about trading. But the deep down message is all to do with ultimately wealth preservation, I have been in the wealth management and investment space and found it interesting that the more an investor has, the less about making money it becomes and more about safe guarding that capital it gets.
"Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side"
Written by Howard Marks, a renowned investor and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management. Published in 2018, the book delves into the critical concept of market cycles and provides insights on how investors can navigate them to enhance their investment strategies.
In the book, Marks emphasizes the cyclical nature of financial markets and discusses the inevitability of market fluctuations. He explores the factors and indicators that drive market cycles, such as economic data, investor sentiment, and market psychology. Marks' central thesis is that investors can improve their chances of success by understanding where they are in the market cycle and adjusting their investment decisions accordingly.
I had a spooky delve into market cycles, I have a good friend who told me he did not trade price, instead time. This was something I could not really figure out, but was so fascinating that the markets can work in cycles. It was interesting that Larry Williams also discussed a similar thing with the Orange Juice market's in one of his books.
"How I Made One Million Dollars Last Year Trading Commodities"
And here is Larry Williams' book. provides an insider's perspective on his successful journey as a commodities trader. In this book, Williams shares his personal experiences, strategies, and insights into the world of commodity trading. He outlines the specific techniques and tactics he used to achieve remarkable profits in a single year. While the book may not offer a guaranteed formula for success, it offers valuable lessons on risk management, market analysis, and the psychology of trading. It serves as both an inspiration for aspiring traders and a guide for those looking to improve their trading skills in the volatile world of commodities.
For me, the COT intel is invaluable. When you learn what drives markets really, COT is such a useful tool to have at your disposal.
"Nature's Law: The Secret of the Universe"
A groundbreaking book by Ralph Nelson Elliott, the creator of the Elliott Wave Theory. Published in the early 20th century, this influential work introduced a novel perspective on market analysis and price prediction. Elliott's theory posits that financial markets and other natural phenomena follow a repetitive, fractal pattern that can be analyzed through wave patterns. He outlines the concept of impulsive and corrective waves and demonstrates how these waves form trends in various financial markets.
The book delves into the idea that the market's movements are not entirely random but instead exhibit an underlying order, governed by these wave patterns. Elliott's ideas have had a profound impact on technical analysis and have been adopted by traders and analysts worldwide. "Nature's Law" serves as the foundation of the Elliott Wave Theory, offering valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding and predicting financial markets based on natural patterns and mathematical principles.
If you want to learn about Elliott Waves - here it is from the horse's mouth as they say.
"Master the art of Trading"
By Lewis Daniels - Master the Art of Trading trader, offers a quick, easy, and comprehensive roadmap to trading. It explores the grand theories and behavioural economics underpinning the markets, from Elliot Wave Theory to Composite Man. It unpicks visual data, such as candlestick graphs and trend lines. It equips readers with the correct tools to make sense of the data and to make better trades. And it helps readers uncover their innate strengths, realise their propensity for risk, and discover what sort of trader they are - on order to optimise their behaviour to make them as effective as possible.
This book puts together all of the core trading requirements from the basic trendline through to psychology and technical techniques.
"The Intelligent Investor"
a classic and highly influential book on the subject of value investing, written by Benjamin Graham and first published in 1949. Graham, a renowned economist and investor, is often considered the "father of value investing."
The book offers a comprehensive guide to the principles and strategies of sound, long-term investing. Graham's central concept is the distinction between two types of investors: the defensive, "intelligent" investor and the speculative investor. He emphasizes the importance of conducting in-depth analysis and due diligence to make informed investment decisions, rather than engaging in market speculation.
I don't think any list of trading books is complete without this one! It's the Warren Buffer Holy Grail. For me, it's about risk management, finding value - especially with investments like value stocks. Using compounding interest and the factor of time to your advantage.
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I would be keen to get comments and other book recommendations from the trading community here on Tradingview.
Strifor || XAUUSD-10/19/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: As for gold, everything remains valid. Priority shopping continues. There is a possibility that the metal will go flat against the background of the expected strengthening of the US dollar, after which it will continue to update local highs.
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || UKOIL-10/19/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: After the rally in oil, prices are most likely ready for a correction. The downward correction is expected to continue. Positions are considered from current prices with a view to approaching level 88. Presumably, after which there will be a pause and a likely continuation of the fall.
Thank you for like and share your views!
Crude oil - Elliott Wave CountCrude oil - Elliott Wave Count
Certainly, here is the rewritten text:
Based on market analysis, it appears that crude oil is currently undergoing a triangle correction of wave B, with a projected target range of $89.5. Once the wave B correction is complete, wave C is expected to decline all the way to the $75 range. In light of this, we recommend refraining from taking long positions in a bearish market. Instead, it would be prudent to wait for a reversal and take a short position.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution.
TVC:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT BLACKBULL:USOIL.F MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:CL1! TVC:USOIL CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially reverse from here to bounce higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 88.108
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 86.519
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 91.890
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
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what the oilwti us oil is bullish.
I was thinking about the head and shoulder pattern but I miscaculated.
It didn't make the perfect H&S pattern yet!!!
How?
okay...so the inflation is rising currently due to chinese re-opening.
This is awesome for the oil demand.
Let's catch this bull trend for short term for now.
My target is until 88 dollar.
TradePlus-Fx|BRENT: now on sell💬 Description: Oil remains one of the most interesting instruments at the moment, which is due to the aggravated geopolitical background. Metals are the same story.
In our previous trading idea for oil, we assumed entering a long position with the goal of reaching level 91 . This happened, but the main idea and the more promising one - sell. At the moment, a good context has been formed to enter the short, as we need. One can consider a dynamic set of positions, since a false breakout upward cannot be ruled out, after which the price will fall even more rapidly. The target of the trade is located at the gap formation level, that is, at level 85 .
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Potential crude Oil multi-week rallyFundamental punchline - Instability in the middle east! If the current Isreal-Palestine crisis widens to other states in the region, then oil production will likely be affected, therefore, increasing the chances of an oil rally.
Technical Perspective - Bullish trend plus fresh bullish weekly price action from support area
WTI H4 | Bullish trend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 86.386 which is a pullback support that aligns under the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 84.478 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 89.600 which is a pullback resistance that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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