CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Outlook & Trading Plan 🛢
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot that the market is currently weak & consolidating.
I see an example of a classic inside bar formation.
71.4 is the lower boundary of the range of the mother bar.
Its breakout - a 4h candle close below will be a strong bearish confirmation.
A bearish movement will be anticipated to 70.1 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance will push the prices higher.
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WTI
CRUDE OIL Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling in a
Strong downtrend but it is
Oversold at this point so
After it retests the strong
Horizontal support below
At 66.96$ we are likely
To see a bullish correction
Buy!
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 74.15. Dear colleagues, after analyzing the chart I realized that wave 5 has either already ended or will end soon. The price can still reach the support area of 68.06, but I will consider only long positions with the aim to reach the resistance area of 74.15.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOK AND POSSIBLE STRATEGIESWith recent market dynamics, the oil trading landscape has witnessed significant shifts, presenting traders with lucrative opportunities. Here are actionable strategies tailored to capitalize on these developments.
1. Fed's Dovish Stance and Demand Surge: The Federal Reserve's dovish outlook coupled with the International Energy Agency's upgraded oil demand forecast signals a potential uptick in oil consumption. This suggests a bullish trend for oil prices. Traders could consider entering long positions or call options in anticipation of a sustained price increase due to heightened demand projections.
2. OPEC's Tightening Supply Scenario: OPEC's report highlighting a potential deficit in the oil market, especially if OPEC+ production cuts persist, indicates a tightening supply situation. Traders may benefit from this by leveraging the anticipated supply shortage. Long-term positions or bullish spreads might be favorable strategies to capitalize on the potential price rally resulting from constrained supply.
3. Declining U.S. Oil Inventories and Weakening Dollar: The Energy Information Administration's data revealing a substantial drop in U.S. oil inventories, alongside the weakened dollar, strengthens the bullish sentiment. Considering the reduced supply and increased affordability of oil due to the dollar's decline, traders could explore long positions or bullish futures contracts to align with the rising prices.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly recent attacks on vessels, add to the uncertainty surrounding oil supply. Traders might view this as an opportunity for short-term gains through cautious but strategic investments, keeping an eye on potential supply disruptions that could trigger price spikes.
In conclusion, recent market developments indicate a favorable landscape for bullish trading in the oil market. Traders can consider adopting long positions, call options, or bullish spreads to capitalize on the projected increase in demand, tightening supply, weakened dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, it's crucial to stay informed and adaptable to swiftly respond to evolving market conditions for optimal trading outcomes.
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CRUDE OIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction while trading in a
Downtrend so we are bearish
Biased and I think that after
The price hits the horizontal
Resistance above at 73.50$
We will see a further move down
Sell!
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USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade Idea USOil WTI has shown a robust bearish trend of late, reaching into a noteworthy support level on both daily and weekly charts. The accompanying video offers an extensive breakdown of this trend, meticulously dissecting price actions and pinpointing potential trading prospects by conducting a comprehensive analysis across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to as brief as 15 minutes. Expect a thorough exploration encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's imperative to highlight that the insights shared here are solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial guidance.
USOUSD D1 | Approaching pullback supportUSOUSD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 67.038
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 64.192
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-low support level
Take Profit: 72.437
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
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A rebound in USOIL might not be done yetLast week, West Texas Intermediate crude oil reached our price target of $70 and slid as low as $68.83 per barrel. After this route, USOIL has slightly rebounded and currently trades near the $71.50 price tag. In the very short term, we acknowledge a potential for the price to continue higher. Indeed, this would be consistent with a natural occurrence of the price retracing toward its moving average, particularly the 20-day SMA. Yet, if the price breaks above this level and starts to consolidate there for a certain period, it might foreshadow even higher price tags; we will reassess our view if we get there. Beyond this short-term speculation about the prospects of further rise in USOIL, we stay bearish. Accordingly, our price target of $65 per barrel for the next year remains valid.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the daily chart of CL1!. Red arrows highlight the decreasing price accompanied by falling volume (suggesting the selling pressure might be decreasing as well).
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily graph of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI CRUDE OIL Strong buy signalWTI Crude Oil is rebounding after breaching marginally under the 0.786 Fibonacci.
That is the retracement level of the ranged price action long-term in the last 12 months.
Symmetrically, it is a strong rebound level as witnessed on the December 9th 2022 low.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 77.50 (projected contact with the MA50 (1d)).
2. 81.50 (0.5 yellow Fibonacci like the Jan 3rd and 23rd Highs).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has triple bottomed. Rarely you get a stronger buy signal than that.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
USOIL nears $70 per barrel The price of USOIL is edging toward $70 per barrel, which is our price target for 2024. However, it is becoming increasingly possible that we will see this price taken out even by the end of the current year. With that said, we want to raise another price target for the next year, valued at $65 per barrel.
Illustration 1.01
The monthly graph above shows the U.S. crude oil production. From the start of 2023 until September 2023, U.S. crude oil production rose by more than 770,000 barrels per day, which amounts to about 6.2% (since last year’s highs, the production is up more than 13.5%).
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 depicts the monthly chart of the U.S. total rig count. Interestingly, since September 2023, the total rig count stopped declining.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTICOUSD: Ranging at the 200-Week SMAMy overall sentiment for Oil remains Bearish, though my midterm sentiment has been Bullish, as I think WTICOUSD needs to come back up to revisit some of the highs above 100 and face one last rejection from those levels before I will be fully convinced of oil making significantly lower lows.
For the time being, Oil has dumped below last week's range but is now sitting at the 200-week SMA and at the old 50% retrace which could be where this Bearish Shark starts to act as a Bullish 5-0 which would demand an attempt of a Higher High. I think that it could attempt to hold out here as the RSI is oversold and the MACD is printing potential Hidden Bullish Divergence. My first target for oil, if this level holds is up, is at around $80, then $100, then $114, then $140-155. I will be looking for signs of weakness to potentially take profits at all of those levels on the way up. In the meantime, I will look at Oil Related Stocks: BP, BPT, DVN, IMPP and a few more. The XLE and XOP Exchange Traded Funds may provide a more general way to get exposure.