USOIL:$78 next week is crucial
On Tuesday this week, the testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Congress raised concerns about risk assets in the market. In this testimony, Powell stated that "if it is necessary, the Federal Reserve is prepared to speed up the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal interest rates may be higher than expected." These words indicate that the Federal Reserve not only did not cool down the rising expectations for interest rate hikes over the past month, but also further pushed up the expectations for interest rate hikes.
Powell's speech caused shock in the market, as the market saw from Powell's speech a determination to lower the inflation rate at the cost of suppressing demand and employment. On that day, the US dollar index soared, risk appetite deteriorated, and US stocks fell sharply, accompanied by a sharp drop of 4% in oil prices from above $80 per barrel.
However, there was a reversal in oil prices on Friday. After testing the support at $74.5, the market quickly rebounded above $76 and successfully stabilized. Our long position in crude oil at $75 also reached the first take-profit level smoothly. However, there is still a certain distance from the recent high of $80, and the upper resistance level to watch is in the 76-78 area. This dense resistance area may limit the upward space. But if it breaks through $78, there will be an opportunity to challenge the $80 level again. Let's keep an eye on it, and I will update the trading strategy in a timely manner.
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Wtianalysis
USOIL: Long position after a downward adjustment to $77
Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust after the overnight plunge.
Looking at the daily chart of USOIL, the upward trend has not been broken, and the support below has continued to rise. Although there is no effective breakthrough above $80, the adjustment range of this downward trend is sufficient, and it is a good opportunity to enter the long position again.
Personal trading strategy: Buy long position near $77-77.5, with the first target at $78.5 and the second target at $80, and pay close attention to the EIA data to be released tonight.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I will also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice, hoping to help you.
WTI: It all comes down to the green… 💵🌿It all comes down to the green . This saying is especially true for WTI as it has yet to dive into the green zone between $70.12 and $35.77. To get this done, the course should push further off the upper side of the turquoise trend channel and drop below the support at $70.08. This should grant WTI direct access to the green zone, where it should finish wave 2 in green before heading northwards again. However, a 32% chance remains that WTI could turn upwards and climb above the resistance at $82.64, in which case the course would develop wave alt.(b) in blue above the upper resistance line at $93.74 first before resuming the descent.
WTI update on the 4 hour chartOil analysis update
= The analysis is based on trend analysis and the Dow Laws
= The area from level 80.728 to level 79.058 is not suitable for trading and it is a dangerous area
= strong scenario
Exceeding the level 79.058 to the bottom, the targets are 76.692, then 73.255, then 70.322
= weak scenario
The level exceeded 80.728 to the top, targeting 83.997
WTI: CRUDE OIL TREND OUTLOOKLet's look to Wti.
It moved up in the past weeks. But I think that trend is weakening and downside movement is possible soon.
Because, Crude Oil is reaching to strong level - 83.83!
What should we do in this case?
1. Place sell stop order at 81.52
2. First target is 76.98
3. Second target is 73.16
4. Stop Loss is necessary at 83.50
But if it will continue upward movement? Then, we need place buy stop order also:
1. Open buy stop at 83.65
2. Target is 86.98
3. Stop is 81.01
That's all for today. Let's wait and see what will be happen in next days.
Good luck!
WTI or USOIL (XTIUSD): BUY analysisWe can see WTI price jumped up as our prognosis here:
Now, what will be happen?
Price tested upper level on the chart and it will not stop here or it will continue its nonstop movement.
Hereby, WTI confirms own strenght. This is very gratifying occasion for us, because we love WTI trading.
So, today WTI broke up trend channel to upward. You will see on the chart. We need draw new channel for further explanation. OIL was moving between blue-green channel and it is entering to red trend channel. I marked these channels on the chart. It tries to create a new channel by choosing the correct entry point.
What is next level?
I think that, WTI will continue own movement until it reachs to 82.35. Because, this point is keypoint and strong level also. On the technical side, this is non-breaking level. But we think that this barrier can be broken, taking into account the volatility of the oil price (of course, if there is no strong fundamental or strategic news).
You can open a BUY operation by setting a stop loss. It is possible to set 82.30-82.35 as a target. Let's trade and see what will happen in the coming days.
WTI (CRUDE OIL) shortterm forecastHi dear traders.
WTI (Crude OIL) created nice trend channel started from 73.37. Upper border of the channel is 75.60.
Although, oil prices is moving between these prices from 16 December, as soon as it will jump to 77.55 level.
This is my private opinion and this is good opportunity for buyers.
Signal characteristics:
WTI will move down firstly, then possibly impulse here. Small impulse will reach to 76.29. Then will come retracement. It will retest 75.80-76.00 secondly.
As a resut, second impulse will take us to target.
Of course, we need entry, take profit and stop loss levesl for signal:
ENTRY: 75.62
TP 77.50
SL 74.25
Signal can reach our target during this week. Do not forget to put Stop Loss because trading without SL is gambling only. This will be non-professionalism.
Good luck and follow us ))
USOUSD short … for the week of 19 Dec 2022US Oil (WTI crude) has been steadily making its way to the downside since the past 6 months. This has been a clean downtrend, respecting previous structure for the most part and I do not see any reason why this would change.
I am looking for a pullback either to the minor level in the 77.60 area or even to the major level in the 82.00 area. If some bearish price action (on a lower time frame) becomes evident, such an event would provide a good location to join the down trend that is likely to follow.
Targets are located at supports at 71.50 and then at 66.50 regions.
Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades.
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USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detail3 days into the EU ban on Russian seaborne crude imports, oil producers in Russia are going against all expectations to ramp up production in recent weeks. With the Russian seaborne crude oil import ban around the corner, a potential OPEC+ output cut on the table, and ongoing discussions about capping Russian oil & gas prices, we looked at the charts from a technical perspective in this video to decipher how the recent developments will affect price movement in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
WTI Further downside risk? Commentary:
WTI crude: The sharpe sell-off on November 28th may have strengthened the case for further weakness in the short term (5-25 days), the November 28th opening at $76.60 and intra day low at $73.93 followed by a closing price which was below the previous day’s high (November 27th) could be confirmation for a resumption of the November 7th - November 28th downtrend. Current price is below the 20 and 50 day moving averages (bearish); MACD is below its signal line (bearish); multi-week lower tops and lower bottoms on price indicate a downtrend (dow pattern), therefore, short positions can be technically supported for a potential downside target near the $70 round number, provided price can remain below the $83.4 resistance.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
WTI CRUDE OIL BUY SAVE NOW
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📈 #WTI (Texas Oil)
Oil on the D1 timeframe forms a reversal pattern "H&S" after the formation of the right shoulder of the figure and the breakdown of the resistance neck line, I will consider Long with targets of $100 per barrel
DISCLAIMER:
The opinion of the author may not coincide with yours! Keep this in mind and consider in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
WTI SHORT TERM RECOVERYWTI recovered some of its loses yesterday after expectations of supply slow-down due to the hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. But the continuous straightening of the US dollar and the expectations of continuing slow-down of Chinese economy might decrease the demand of crude oil. This will probably put further pressure on the crude oil price. Bearish traders might take advantage of this scenario by waiting a bit for WTI to reach more favorable levels and enter into positions.
Although technical indicators on the 1H graph show "Buy" signals, on the 4H and the daily graph the indicators are still bearish, with MACD histogram below 0 line and RSI below 50 neutral line. This might indicate that the recovery is temporary and the bearish move has not finished, but just slowed down.
If bearish trend continues the price might test levels of 72 USD, but if the trend makes a more permanent reverse, it might test its previous high at 86 USD.
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WTI DWINDLES BETWEEN HIGH RATES AND THIGHT SUPPLYWTI remains indecisive. On one hand traders are suspecting continuous increase of the interest rates, after Fed decision in Wednesday. On the other hand, the further escalation by Russia of the war in Ukraine and the thread by the Nigerian oil minister Timipre Marlin Sylva that OPEC+ will decrease production if prices keep falling, are creating fear of tightened supply.
All technical indicators are suggesting downtrend for WTI price, with MACD histogram being below the 0 line and RSI being below the neutral 50 line.
If price keeps falling, it might test its most recent low at 80.9, but if the trend reverses, it might test its resistance at 89.7 or even the one at 97.2
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
USOIL adam bottom demand zone 82.40 for long8th September daily key reversal bar, made a new low closed in the middle. 9th September daily insurance bar indication for strength ahead. high probability for long opportunity from demand zone as 82.40-20 with half risk, may use remaining half% risk from 81.30, stop loss 80.50, target: 88.50
WTI oil - An indecisive moment in the oil marketWe warned about the possibility of a downtrend correction in the middle of August 2022. Indeed, we said that the breakout above the sloping support/resistance would lead to such action. Then shortly after that, USOIL rose from its lows and broke above the resistance, halting its rise at 97.65 USD per barrel.
Since then, the price fell back below the 90 USD price tag. However, the drop stopped slightly above the sloping support, which is bullish. Accordingly, we are bullish on oil for as long as the price stays above the support. However, an alternative position can be taken (with a tight stop-loss) on the breakout below the support.
In the short-term future, we will pay close attention to OPEC's rhetoric and any potential talks about more production cuts. In our opinion, cutting production risks higher prices for oil in the short term. Although with the prospect of global recession unraveling, we think production cuts will only have a temporary effect if any.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a bullish breakout above the sloping support/resistance and subsequent failure of the price to retrace below it. As long as the price stays above the sloping support/resistance, it stays in the bullish area.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic is bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages, which still reflect a bearish constellation.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is neutral. Stochastic and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI Cude (OIL) WAITE TO BUY CONFARMANATION...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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WTI: Screeeeeech!Can you hear WTI’s brakes screeching from the chart? Well, we definitely can! Quite vehemently, WTI has hit the brakes just short of the bottom of the blue zone between $91.70 and $87.08 – and rightly so! There isn’t all that much room left to finish wave b in blue! In fact, WTI should complete it no later than the support at $85.73. Then, it should turn around and climb upwards, gradually crossing the resistances at $101.88 and at $105.24 to enter the turquoise zone between $107.12 and $119.94. There, it should finish wave b in turquoise, before moving downwards again. However, there is a 32% chance that WTI could drop below the support at $85.73, which would then trigger further descent.
WTI is in sell zone!!WTI has formed a daily doji on the last day of the trading week. After opening the new trading week we have seen so far a series of rejections with lower highs on the 4H. Last candle on 4H has formed a text book bearish engulfer with 20EMA retest and close back below. It is a high probability that WTI will continue to drop to the monthly support zone