Update USOIL: $61.50 first, then $52Commodities are typically the last asset to peak during a cycle. We typically interest rates peak first, a couple of months later that followed by equities and a couple of months after equities we see commodities peak. Commodities such as crude oil, are part of the contraction phase in the cycle, the higher the price rises it begins to acts as a tax on consumers and that begins the early recession phase. For that reason, I have marked this rally in crude as a wave A of a bigger corrective pattern.
WTI (Crude Oil)
OIl cleanest pattern-dropOil have , in my opinion , the cleanest form of reversal patterns, and its playng out !
We have ascending wihtin ascedning (double confirmation, stronger probability for drop )
This is definitely on my Watchlist for next week....
First target on bottom trend line , then scale-in and trail stops all the way to low where ascending started....
Even if 1$ per barrel drops, you could bank nice profits on 15 min entrys (flag continuations or something )
West Texas Oil - Bullish Trend Continues.....After a long accumulation range that end last quarter of 2018 , we saw a breakout with the price reaching the mid seventies.
This was our first indication that a trend is about to begin. The price then pulled back into the buy zone(75-87.5 fibs) and produced a buy pivot.
Good stopping volume came into halt the price as it move back to the center of the accumulation range.
In Wyckoff terms this is - "Jumping across the creek" and a "Back to the creek".
We should see price move higher, back above the mid seventies.
WTICOUSD, Forecast on next weeek !OIL, D1: Waiting break => BUY
D1:
- Tendency: Strong upward
- Test resistance
- Below resistance
=> Waiting break and confirmation
==> BUY
H4:
- Tendency: Upward
- Weakening
- Below resistance daily
- Move: Channel
=> Pullback
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