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USOIL - Large Scale Distribution at PlayWTI has been steadily appreciating in price since May 2020 with the peak being reached on 08-Mar-2022 at $129.42/bbl. Price swept the critical highs of $114.8/bbl twice then retracted into its current range. My previous write up on the asset was bullish with continued upside potential up to $140$. Before it got there I was expecting a sweep below the range low at $92.96/bbl before the move higher takes place. We are at that point right now. The sweep under the range occurred on 14-Jul-2022. From a weekly perspective, the price is trapped in the range as outlined between $129.42 high and $92.96 low. There are two options, the price continues to trade within the range or price drops below the range toward the $60 level. I prefer the latter scenario as I believe the 28-Feb-2022 and the 07-Mar-2022 weekly candles are exhaustion candles where institutions offloaded the majority of their long positions. A meaningful retrace is expected despite all the geopolitical turmoil as the risks in my opinion are already priced in.
TVC:USOILShort
by DenisRisticFX
1
USOIL to drop toward $76 per barrel?After reaching nearly $85 per barrel three days ago, USOIL drifted lower with the global stock market. In the process, it retraced to its 20-day SMA, which acts as a significant support level. Furthermore, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic started to reverse and point to the downside on the daily chart. This bearish development could coincide with a short-term trend reversal and foreshadow USOIL’s return to the area between $75 and $76 per barrel. We want to see a bearish crossover between DM+ and DM- (on the daily time frame) to further bolster the bearish case. In addition to that, we would like to see the previously mentioned indicators continue to develop bearish structures. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates a price retracement toward the 20-day SMA, which currently acts as a support level. If the support fails to stop selling pressure, it will raise the bearish odds. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
8
WYI overall analysis The overall trend of crude oil yesterday was like a roller coaster, but last night it formed a V-shaped reversal. It fell below the 79.5 resistance within the day and rebounded again, but failed to break through the previous day's low of 77.6. We went long at the low point of 77.6, and successfully ushered in a big rise, with a stop profit of 78.6! From the daily line, the moving average is still in a short position, but the two closing lines are very long, indicating that the double-bottom support below 77.6 is effective, mainly because H4 came out of the stop loss trend and then fell back. A golden cross appeared on the moving average, and oil prices fell. If it breaks through the middle rail, the adjustment of crude oil is over. You can safely look at the points around 78.6, increase your position at 78.1, hold 77.6, pay attention to 79.5-80.1, and continue to increase your position.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Jerome-Leon
Short crude oil and keep making moneyThe crude oil trading strategy shared with you today, USOIL: @79.2-79.4 Sell, TP: 78.5. We made a good profit again, and the lowest crude oil fell to around 77.6 today. Similarly, our crude oil trading strategy has successfully reached my expected profit target. Congratulations here to all friends who keep up with trading strategies. Looking at the current structural trend of crude oil, although the local trend of crude oil has rebounded structurally, overall, the global manufacturing data is weak, increasing demand concerns. In addition, the short-term trend of crude oil fell below the lower support of the range. Although oil prices rebounded vigorously after hitting a new low, it only eased the continuity of the decline and failed to change the direction of the downward trend. Therefore, crude oil still has downside risks in the short term. Therefore, short-term trading of crude oil is still dominated by shorting at high levels. There is no fluke in the market, we need more time to look for opportunities and be good at seizing them. And I spend a lot of time every day researching the market and profiting from it. Similarly, I also make more detailed trading plans and trading signals based on the market every day. The article has a certain lag. In order to grasp the market dynamics and trading plan in time, you can follow the bottom of the article to master the wealth code and create your own wealth!
TVC:USOILShort
by AntonioWilson
2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 4th 2023. Now it's 17pm Beijing time. Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties! First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index. As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index began to fall down yesterday, and today it is close to 2.382 (102.29) of the top down golden section in the figure! Now, let's look at gold. Now you can see the daily chart of gold. The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average density range for two consecutive trading days! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 165MA, or $1941.54, as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate! Let's take a look at American crude oil. What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination! As shown in the figure, US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, almost covering the decline of this Wednesday, and is about to once again challenge the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.97)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate! Let's look at EURUSD. What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, the euro has been engaged in a long short competition at the daily level of 55MA (1.09508) against the US dollar in the past three trading days! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate! Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD. Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD. The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square! As shown in the figure, the pound broke through strong daily support against the US dollar yesterday, with the bottom facing the 2.000 level (1.26793) of the golden section, which was also the highest point on May 10, 2023. Today, it almost tested the daily level of 55MA (1.27555) against the top! Then in the future, these two positions can be used as the Bitwise operation of the important points in the day! Within these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down! Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period! Special reminder, Today is Friday, and there is a big non agricultural data market tonight. Please pay attention to the risks. Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Think_More
Technical Analysis of WTIGoing into Wednesday's European session, WTI crude oil closes around $79.00 at an intraday low. It posted its first daily loss in five days after reversing from its highest level since April 19. This reversal occurred amid overbought RSI conditions amid a five-week-long rising wedge bearish chart formation. WTI sellers are favored by the recent downside break of an upward-sloping support line from Monday, now close to $79.20, as well as the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator. Oil bears are well positioned to push the mid-July peak of $77.20. A convergence of the wedge's bottom line and the 50-Easiest Moving Average (EMA), near $76.70, would confirm the commodity's further downside. In the following periods, the 200-EMA level of around $73.80 and the previous monthly low of around $67.00 will be in focus. It may, however, function as an intermediate halt at $70.00. In terms of theoretical targets, the rising wedge is aimed at $64,000. A break above $79.20 could again aim for successful trading beyond the $80.00 psychological magnet if the immediate support-turned-resistance line breaks to the upside. As a result, WTI bulls will be lured by March's high of $81.05, followed by April's peak of $83.40
BLACKBULL:WTI
by enclavefx_Analaysis
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago. There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
TVC:USOIL
by Hokusai_FX
PVVM Analysis & Trade Idea - USOILMacro PVVM Analysis: The Macro PVVM score provides us with an understanding of the long-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Macro PVVM was at -9, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment in the long-term. However, by 7/20/2023, it had climbed to 60, suggesting a notable strengthening of the bullish trend. Considering the range of the Macro PVVM (-150 to 150), the asset is not yet overbought, but the increasing trend signifies a positive sentiment in the long-term. This suggests that TVC:USOIL might have potential for further growth in the foreseeable future. Micro PVVM Analysis: The Micro PVVM score represents the short-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Micro PVVM was at 98, which indicates a strongly bullish sentiment in the short-term. However, it experienced a slight dip to 72 by 7/20/2023. The momentum seems to be weakening slightly, as it has declined from the peak of 114 seen on 7/12/2023. Key Takeaways: 1. The long-term trend of EASYMARKETS:OILUSD has turned bullish, as evidenced by the increasing Macro PVVM score. 2. The short-term trend has been predominantly bullish, though it experienced a slight decline in recent days. Trade Idea: Considering the current technical analysis, you might consider a long position in TVC:USOIL . Traders could wait for the correction expected by the Micro PVVM to end and then enter long positions.
TVC:USOILLong
by SwingSwiss
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day. What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break). Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex