WTI target 90-95
After a high level of crude oil, the crude oil has fallen into a high shock situation. At present, the suppression of the 87.5550 front line has been tested three times. After the end of the end of the week was unsuccessful, it fell again. The current price is near 86.30. In the case of significant suppression of high points, the long -headed rise encountered resistance, and the back -to -step can not be strongly supported below 85.550. After there is a chase in front of the front, the upper cannot be broken, and the support cannot be broken. To enter the repeated rhythm of the interval, the short -term steps around this interval to step back and more participation. For four hours of reference, it cannot be found that the current long -headed operation is still intact. There is no excessive step back, and the back step has not fallen below the previous low. We insist on unchanged ideas, and at the same time, crude oil will come to 90.00 again, or even near 95.00. Therefore, we are still involved in the low -mindedness of our consistent persistence, and we will focus on stepping on the 85.550 support opportunities to involve the multiple orders during the day.
Wticrude
US OIL / WTI Analysis 10Sep2023The movement of US oil has been very bullish in recent months, it seems to be seen to be peak for a few moments ahead. If you look at the Elliot Wave series that occurs, Wave 5 is likely to end. If you want to Short, it's better to wait for prices to fall to the reversal and retrace areas.
OIL: Fluctuating at high levels and waiting to rise.
Crude oil prices have been rising in recent days after the announcement of production cuts. The highest breakthrough was the 88 resistance level. The rising situation at this stage has reached a bottleneck stage. We need to pay attention to shock adjustments in the future.
We need to focus on the 85-85.8 support level below, and the 87.5-88 resistance level above.
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Crude oil production cuts postponed to December
Mid-term trend of crude oil: After the correction in August, oil prices still did not stop the rise in oil prices.
Saudi Arabia and Russia announced crude oil production cuts in July 2023, originally scheduled for a one-month period, and the latter two extended the additional production cuts twice to the end of September, and this time, another extension by the end of December exceeded market expectations .
The prospect of the U.S. economy avoiding a deep recession helped boost oil demand and prices.
According to the small cycle chart of crude oil, it is in the rising stage. Crude oil is currently running above the key moving average EMA144. It is expected that this moving average will continue to support oil prices and is more likely to continue to be bullish.
WTI Will return to the recent high of 84.87
The current global economic outlook makes many bullish investors apprehensive, but there are two factors that will cause bullish investors not to change their minds.
1. The United States has reduced the number of drilling rigs for nine consecutive months, and Saudi Arabia may extend its production cut plan, which will lead to a constant shortage of crude oil.
2. U.S. fuel futures rose to a seven-month high.
Once it returns to around 81.22 on the 21-day daily moving average, it will revisit the recent high of 84.87
USOIL - Large Scale Distribution at PlayWTI has been steadily appreciating in price since May 2020 with the peak being reached on 08-Mar-2022 at $129.42/bbl. Price swept the critical highs of $114.8/bbl twice then retracted into its current range.
My previous write up on the asset was bullish with continued upside potential up to $140$. Before it got there I was expecting a sweep below the range low at $92.96/bbl before the move higher takes place. We are at that point right now. The sweep under the range occurred on 14-Jul-2022.
From a weekly perspective, the price is trapped in the range as outlined between $129.42 high and $92.96 low.
There are two options, the price continues to trade within the range or price drops below the range toward the $60 level. I prefer the latter scenario as I believe the 28-Feb-2022 and the 07-Mar-2022 weekly candles are exhaustion candles where institutions offloaded the majority of their long positions. A meaningful retrace is expected despite all the geopolitical turmoil as the risks in my opinion are already priced in.
US OIL / WTI Analysis 2Sep2023This week's US oil price movement is so constant. Bullish signal is very strong. The closure of this week finally forms a new high structure. If at this time the price leads to Wave 5, then there are several extension fibo targets that we can pay attention to. Possible prices to move to fibo extension 0.786 in the price range of 92
WTI CRUDE OIL OUTLOOK Good day, traders.
Today, we'll be looking at WTI crude oil. I anticipate a break of the 80.80 prior high and a return to the 80 zone, after which we will seek for bullish confirmations to place a buy order.
Keep in mind: No confirmation, no admission.
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WTI Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL to drop toward $76 per barrel?After reaching nearly $85 per barrel three days ago, USOIL drifted lower with the global stock market. In the process, it retraced to its 20-day SMA, which acts as a significant support level. Furthermore, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic started to reverse and point to the downside on the daily chart. This bearish development could coincide with a short-term trend reversal and foreshadow USOIL’s return to the area between $75 and $76 per barrel. We want to see a bearish crossover between DM+ and DM- (on the daily time frame) to further bolster the bearish case. In addition to that, we would like to see the previously mentioned indicators continue to develop bearish structures.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates a price retracement toward the 20-day SMA, which currently acts as a support level. If the support fails to stop selling pressure, it will raise the bearish odds.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WYI overall analysis
The overall trend of crude oil yesterday was like a roller coaster, but last night it formed a V-shaped reversal. It fell below the 79.5 resistance within the day and rebounded again, but failed to break through the previous day's low of 77.6. We went long at the low point of 77.6, and successfully ushered in a big rise, with a stop profit of 78.6! From the daily line, the moving average is still in a short position, but the two closing lines are very long, indicating that the double-bottom support below 77.6 is effective, mainly because H4 came out of the stop loss trend and then fell back. A golden cross appeared on the moving average, and oil prices fell. If it breaks through the middle rail, the adjustment of crude oil is over. You can safely look at the points around 78.6, increase your position at 78.1, hold 77.6, pay attention to 79.5-80.1, and continue to increase your position.
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Looking at the current structural trend of crude oil, although the local trend of crude oil has rebounded structurally, overall, the global manufacturing data is weak, increasing demand concerns. In addition, the short-term trend of crude oil fell below the lower support of the range. Although oil prices rebounded vigorously after hitting a new low, it only eased the continuity of the decline and failed to change the direction of the downward trend. Therefore, crude oil still has downside risks in the short term. Therefore, short-term trading of crude oil is still dominated by shorting at high levels.
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WTI-USOIL is near a key support...but we need one more leg down These is the long-term weekly chart of WTI. We can see price is holding near a very strong support level but has not quite touched it. RSI analysis tells us we can have one more leg down, but if not and the price holds we can say we have hit the bottom and price will rise gradually.
2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 4th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index began to fall down yesterday, and today it is close to 2.382 (102.29) of the top down golden section in the figure!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average density range for two consecutive trading days! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 165MA, or $1941.54, as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, almost covering the decline of this Wednesday, and is about to once again challenge the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.97)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has been engaged in a long short competition at the daily level of 55MA (1.09508) against the US dollar in the past three trading days! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke through strong daily support against the US dollar yesterday, with the bottom facing the 2.000 level (1.26793) of the golden section, which was also the highest point on May 10, 2023. Today, it almost tested the daily level of 55MA (1.27555) against the top! Then in the future, these two positions can be used as the Bitwise operation of the important points in the day! Within these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and there is a big non agricultural data market tonight. Please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!