Technical Analysis of WTIGoing into Wednesday's European session, WTI crude oil closes around $79.00 at an intraday low. It posted its first daily loss in five days after reversing from its highest level since April 19. This reversal occurred amid overbought RSI conditions amid a five-week-long rising wedge bearish chart formation.
WTI sellers are favored by the recent downside break of an upward-sloping support line from Monday, now close to $79.20, as well as the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator.
Oil bears are well positioned to push the mid-July peak of $77.20. A convergence of the wedge's bottom line and the 50-Easiest Moving Average (EMA), near $76.70, would confirm the commodity's further downside.
In the following periods, the 200-EMA level of around $73.80 and the previous monthly low of around $67.00 will be in focus. It may, however, function as an intermediate halt at $70.00.
In terms of theoretical targets, the rising wedge is aimed at $64,000.
A break above $79.20 could again aim for successful trading beyond the $80.00 psychological magnet if the immediate support-turned-resistance line breaks to the upside.
As a result, WTI bulls will be lured by March's high of $81.05, followed by April's peak of $83.40
Wticrude
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago.
There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
PVVM Analysis & Trade Idea - USOILMacro PVVM Analysis:
The Macro PVVM score provides us with an understanding of the long-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Macro PVVM was at -9, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment in the long-term. However, by 7/20/2023, it had climbed to 60, suggesting a notable strengthening of the bullish trend.
Considering the range of the Macro PVVM (-150 to 150), the asset is not yet overbought, but the increasing trend signifies a positive sentiment in the long-term. This suggests that TVC:USOIL might have potential for further growth in the foreseeable future.
Micro PVVM Analysis:
The Micro PVVM score represents the short-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Micro PVVM was at 98, which indicates a strongly bullish sentiment in the short-term. However, it experienced a slight dip to 72 by 7/20/2023. The momentum seems to be weakening slightly, as it has declined from the peak of 114 seen on 7/12/2023.
Key Takeaways:
1. The long-term trend of EASYMARKETS:OILUSD has turned bullish, as evidenced by the increasing Macro PVVM score.
2. The short-term trend has been predominantly bullish, though it experienced a slight decline in recent days.
Trade Idea:
Considering the current technical analysis, you might consider a long position in TVC:USOIL . Traders could wait for the correction expected by the Micro PVVM to end and then enter long positions.
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
USOIL Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL MAKE VIEW POSITIVE / VKINGOn July 4, 2023, the US Oil (USOIL) commodity was observed on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame. USOIL is a popular instrument for traders and investors to speculate on the price movements of oil. The 5-minute time frame allows for a more granular analysis of price action, enabling traders to capture short-term opportunities and make informed trading decisions.
During the specified time frame, several factors influenced the price of USOIL. It is important to note that oil prices are influenced by a wide range of fundamental, geopolitical, and economic factors. These include supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, global economic growth, weather events, and government policies, among others.
Analyzing the 5-minute chart, traders would have observed various price patterns and trends. Candlestick patterns, such as doji, hammer, engulfing patterns, and others, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuation of trends. Support and resistance levels are also crucial indicators for traders, helping to identify potential entry and exit points.
In terms of technical indicators, traders may have used various tools to analyze the price action of USOIL. Common indicators include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), stochastic oscillator, and volume analysis. Moving averages help to identify the direction of the trend, while RSI and stochastic oscillator indicate overbought or oversold conditions.
Furthermore, traders might have monitored news releases and events that could impact the oil market during this specific time frame. Important economic data, such as crude oil inventories, production reports, and geopolitical developments, can cause significant volatility in oil prices. By staying informed about such events, traders can anticipate potential price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Risk management is a vital aspect of trading, and it applies to USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame as well. Traders must establish stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and implement proper position sizing techniques. This helps to protect capital and manage risks effectively.
It is worth mentioning that trading on a 5-minute time frame requires constant monitoring and quick decision-making. The rapid price fluctuations in such short intervals can lead to both opportunities and risks. Traders need to be disciplined, focused, and adaptable to react promptly to changing market conditions.
In conclusion, analyzing USOIL on TradingView using a 5-minute time frame on July 4, 2023, involved studying various price patterns, technical indicators, and fundamental factors. Traders aimed to capitalize on short-term opportunities by identifying trends, support and resistance levels, and using technical indicators to gauge market sentiment. By closely monitoring news releases and managing risks effectively, traders can increase their chances of success in the fast-paced world of USOIL trading on a 5-minute time frame.
Short Crude Oil on ResistanceIn crude oil trading today, we made good profits in the trading strategy of shorting crude oil in the 70.6-70.8 area twice.
Judging from the current structural trend, crude oil will maintain range shocks in the short term, and fundamentally still maintain a short position. Although the inventory data has declined for two consecutive weeks, the pressure on the demand side is still very weak, and the U.S. dollar index has rebounded.Crude oil as a whole tends to run in a bearish trend. In terms of short-term structure, crude oil is currently facing the resistance of 71-71.2. If this area cannot be effectively broken through, then crude oil may still fall to the 69 position area at any time.
Therefore, before crude oil fails to break through the short-term resistance, it is mainly to short crude oil.
USOIL: @70.8-71 Sell, TP: 70.2
For more trading signals and trading plans, you can follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
WTI OIL approaching the MA50 (1d) againWTI Crude Oil is approaching the MA50 (1d) again, the 3rd time this month and fourth since May 24th.
All tests have resulted in rejections and another one may confirm the emergence of a Channel Down.
A closing above it though, targets the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell near the MA50 (1d).
2. Buy if we close a candle above it.
Targets:
1. 67.15 (previous Low).
2. 73.50 (the MA100 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading inside a Rectangle. Its bottom is a buy opportunity and top is a sell. Use this in combination to the above.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI rallies form range lows - break of $70 up next?WTI crude posted a strong rally from the $67 support level thanks to another strong drawdown of crude inventories. The fact it rallied over 3% despite the stronger US dollar and hawkish comments from Powell makes us wonder if it could have broken above $70 were the dollar not to dominate FX majors on Wednesday. Still, prices are trading within a range between $67 - $72/73, and whilst prices action remains choppy o the daily chart there are some opportunities to trade the range on lower timeframes.
A triple bottom has formed on the daily along with a 2bar bullish reversal (bullish piercing line). String volumes accompanied the rally from the $67.50 area to show demand around those lows and the OBV (on balance volume) broke above its previous swig high, which hints at a breakout for prices.
Prices are drifting higher at the open, but we’d consider bullish setups above or around the daily pivot point or 10/20 EMAs if prices pullback for a potential swing-trade long to $70.A break above which brings the resistance zones around $71 and $72 into focus.
USOIL Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Oil: Can support survive? Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Descending Triangle
Possible targets – 64.06 73.22
Support – 67.05
Resistance – 72.22 74.15
Hi, and thanks for looking at today’s update. Our attention is on oil after yesterday’s sharp selling took price back to key support. This level has held firm for buyers, but could this be the fourth time lucky for sellers? So far, production cut updates have done little more than spur on sellers.
Will we see buyers re-hold this level, or could we see a new break lower by sellers that gets the downtrend back on track?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
Crude oil 10 win planYesterday, crude oil indicated a sell above 72.9, but ultimately did not trade, then crude oil fell to 70.15 gave us a great opportunity to buy, and this is also our sell order target position, and then I directly publicly advised everyone to buy crude oil near 70.2, giving a target of 72.5-73. Crude reached a high of 72.3 in US trading and I also indicated that you can take profits out of the market, and we have once again won back-to-back. Today, crude oil is still treated in the range of operation, back to 70.3-70.5 range can continue to buy, tp73-73.5. Try not to try to sell crude oil today, I will inform you if there is a new arrangement, and we will have important EIA data today, wish us good luck.
Trading the range on WTI (CL1!)Oil prices are trading quite erratically on the daily chart, making it a much less appealing market to trade on that timeframe. But that doesn't mean we cannot find potential inflection points at the intraday level.
Monday's opening gap has been filled, and earlier losses on Tuesday were fully recouped to print a bullish pinbar on the daily chart which found support just above $70. We're not looking for a huge move, but we see the potential for prices to have another crack at the $73, and the 3-wave retracement towards $71 looks appealing for a swing trade long. Take note of the HVN (high volume node) around $72.64 which could act as a magnet should momentum eventually turn higher.
We're not sure the actual swing low is in yet, so we're looking for higher volumes accompanied by one or more bullish reversal candles on the hourly timeframe or lower, to hint at a swing low. And if it can form above or around the $71 support zone it could provide an adequate reward to risk ratio for a cheeky long.