Wticrude
USOIL 11th AUGUST 2022The United States posted an increase in inventories of 5.5 million barrels in the past week. The realization was higher than the expected 73,000 barrels. Gasoline products supplied also rose in the last week to 9.1 million barrels per day. The figure marks a 6% decline in demand over the last four weeks compared to the period last year.
From a fundamental point of view, the oil market continues to monitor the development of oil supply from Russia to Europe via the Druzhba pipeline, which was resumed earlier this week. The market is also awaiting the release of monthly oil data from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) scheduled Thursday.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Very Bearish Outlook 🛢
This morning with my students, we discussed WTI Oil.
The price is trading within a wide horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame.
Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double top formation.
Its neckline breakout confirms a highly probable bearish continuation.
Goals:
88.7 / 87.8
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WTIOil in a bit of trouble here, likely entering a 6-10 month bear market correction. Downside target can hit the 618% of the entire 5 moves off the 2020 lows when WTI went negative.
Currently a lower time frame A wave has bounced off the 618% fib retracement level of the 5th wave. But we must correct that entire 5 up not just the 5th wave. We should bounce into a B wave soon on the daily
before making the larger C wave down close to $80. After that The HTF weekly A wave is complete and bounce again into HTF weekly B wave before finally nuking to $50 wave C to complete the entire move. You better BTFD IMHO guys because after this is done oil prices likely to run back turbo over $130.
WTI is in sell zone!!WTI has formed a daily doji on the last day of the trading week. After opening the new trading week we have seen so far a series of rejections with lower highs on the 4H. Last candle on 4H has formed a text book bearish engulfer with 20EMA retest and close back below. It is a high probability that WTI will continue to drop to the monthly support zone
WTI: Doooown…After one last surge, WTI has jumped below the support line at $92.93, its shout echoing through the chart. Now that it has begun the descent, it should continue it into the blue zone between $81.16 and $77.55, where it should finish wave 3 in blue.
Alternatively, there is a 35% chance that WTI could gain upwards momentum again and could make it not only back above $92.93 but also above the resistance at $101.88. In this case, it should pursue the ascent above $105.24 and into the turquoise zone between $107.12 and $116.59 first before moving downwards.
Crude Oil - Heads Up - UpdateThis is an updated analysis of the price activity since my last published idea concerning WTI crude oil.
I believe we have completed the corrective process to the initial down wave that occurred May 8th.
This is ending as an ending diagonal of "C" as labeled on the chart.
I am expecting a downward move in prices in the very near term.
USOIL - Oil will continue to drift lower over medium/long termWe continue to be bearish on USOIL. Accordingly, we still maintain our price target of 90 USD per barrel of WTI oil. Indeed, we would like to change this price target from medium-term to short-term. Additionally, we would like to set a new long-term price target for USOIL at 80 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The sloping line acts as the resistance; the more touches it gains, the more important it grows.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD is also neutral. Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI Cude (OIL) POSSIBLE TO BUY ......
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Tourmaline Oil - Beauty to Beast and Beast to BeautyTourmaline's pullback from it's $80 all time high and its bounce off the previous all time high is simply not deep enough, as evidenced by today's stop run over the June monthly close, which also produced one of those very credible "head and shoulders" patterns, on the back of the maniacs in the Natural Gas market running a monster short squeeze that ruined a lot of Q2s for "hedge funds."
WTI and NatGas are going to dump. Stocks are going to dump. It's not going to be a very pleasant period of time. But, natural gas and oil are something that the ruling regime cannot do without, because transportation and electricity rely entire upon them.
Oil is going to set a new all time high, and so is natural gas. They will do it at the same time, as the middle class is already experiencing maximum pain. This will give the central banks the handle they need to increasingly tighten, in addition to giving the Marxist-Leninist globalists a pretext to install social credit digital identification for the sake of fuel rationing.
Don't believe? Google Sri Lanka fuel rationing QR code & Ireland oil shortage war game.
Anyway, for Tourmaline, this Alberta gem is apt to give you a fine buying opportunity as commodities dump and the stock market crashes under $55 and $50. The target is simply $100+. With stops below the July 2021 highs of $35, you get an RR of 4.
Oil and natural gas, when they bounce, should be painfully brutal to bears. The situation should go parabolic, but it won't go all that high, and it won't go for all that long.
Think about what gold did when it set a new all time high, but faster, and for less time.
After the Party is over, the lights turn on and the music stops. Everyone will find a lot of vomit and trash to clean up, and it won't feel so fun and you won't feel so good with all that hangover and tab to pay, so make sure you sell your portfolio at the highs and buy your family something nice.
The best thing you can do is capitalize on your investment, put your wealth into something classical like gems, silver, gold, and prepare to return to tradition and prepare to cultivate yourselves.
MarketBreakdown | EURGBP, WTI Crude Oil, EURAUD, AUDNZD
Hey traders,
here is a brief technical outlook of 4 peculiar instruments on my watch list.
1️⃣ EURGBP - Daily time frame 🇪🇺🇬🇧
The pair is currently approaching a major daily zone of demand.
I will expect a pullback from the underlined structure.
I am patiently waiting for a confirmation to buy.
2️⃣ WTI Crude Oil - Daily time frame 🛢️
The market is steadily falling within a falling parallel channel.
The price is testing its upper boundary now.
Its bullish breakout will trigger a bullish move.
3️⃣ EURAUD - Daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The pair broke and closed below a key daily structure support.
I believe that the pair may go much lower now.
Be prepared for one more bearish impulse after a pullback.
4️⃣ AUDNZD - Daily time frame 🇦🇺🇳🇿
The pair is nicely retracing from the year's high.
I guess we will see a bearish continuation this week.
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Oil down post fed discussion Technical analysis: on the daily time frame oil has broken the down trend; and pulled back to test that area again. Also creating a double bottom as well. On the 2hr timeframe at around 98.00 oil is sitting at the neckline of a minor structure double bottom; also at the top of the demand zone. Waiting for confirmation to sell down into a pullback down to 96.00 area if it does not break the demand zone around 99.00. If it does break the price 99.00 wait for a retest then enter for the continuation buy to next resistance area $101.00
Fundamental: Fed decided to do an interest rate hike at 1300 of 75 basis points. The hike in interest rate brings on fears of a dent in fuel demand. Recession fears have also caused oil to fall for the past few weeks. Weekly jobless claims have hit five month highs which is signs the economy is not in good shape.
USOIL 27th JULY 2022Oil prices rose for the second day in a row, Tuesday (26/7). Amid growing concerns about tightening European supplies after Russia, a major energy supplier is cutting gas supplies via a main pipeline. The European Union has repeatedly accused Russia of using energy blackmail. The Kremlin said the shortage had been caused by maintenance issues and Western sanctions.
EU energy ministers on Tuesday approved a proposal for all EU countries to cut voluntary gas use by 15% from August to March.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers (OPEC+) are expected to confirm as a mere formality their decision to expand oil production by 650,000 barrels per day in July and August. The OPEC+ group of producers including Russia, began two days of meetings on Wednesday, though sources said there was little prospect of agreement to pump more oil . The net drop in crude oil inventories was flattered by SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) releases, while the gasoline stock jump is because U.S. refineries are running at over 95% capacity.
USOIL 6th JULY 2022
USOIL 14th JUNE 2022
PSCE - Getting Alpha on US Oil and Nat Gas. Up trend strong, pull backs seem to be respecting fibs which only tells me that there is possibly professional buying interest. Economic stage fits a good backdrop. USO etf is almost too heavily traded imo opinion, and it gets muted returns because of the size of the fund inflows and outflows. Also because the companies that make up USO also have the same muted return issues. this more obscure fund tracks small cap stocks in the oil and gas sector. Seems to move more dynamically and systematically. Two things trend traders like to see...Things that follow rules and follow them HARD.
Will be waiting for signals and taking them when they come. just my opinion
WTI oil - Oil continues to drift lowerOver the past four months, we repeated that oil prices were peaking and the downside was looming over the oil market. Despite the excess of bullish calls forecasting new ATH for oil prices, we stuck to our bearish bias. Indeed, a few months ago, we set price targets of 100 USD, 95 USD, and 90 USD for USOIL. After hitting the first two price targets, we still remain bearish and maintain a price target of 90 USD for WTI oil. Our views are based upon technical and fundamental factors.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Two moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA, reflect the downtrend.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The weekly chart of USOIL shows 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. The 20-week SMA appears to be reversing to the downside, which is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI Cude (OIL) POSSIBLE TO BUY ......
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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