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WTI Crude Oil ForecastAs we get back to work, traders will have to put money back on their books in order to take risk on, and crude oil certainly looks like it is a great candidate for something like that. With the 50 day EMA sitting just below the $75 level, that means that the $75 level has little bit more psychology attached to it than usual. Nonetheless, you can see that we have skyrocketed over the last couple of weeks and I think it has become obvious as to which direction traders are starting to trade this market now that massive lockdowns due to the omicron seem to be off the table. That was one of the biggest concerns that most traders had, that economies would have to shut down and thereby kill the idea of demand for energy. Now that traders have to get back to work, they will find alpha to generate, and crude oil is one of the best places to do so. While we did not completely wipe out the massive selloff from about a month ago, we got awfully close to it and that does suggest that perhaps we will eventually make that attempt once traders start to put full positions back on. Another thing to pay attention to is the jobs numbers coming on Friday, and that will also give us a big “heads up” as to potential energy demand, so it could be yet another reason to think that the market may go higher over the intermediate term. I have no interest in shorting this market right now, as I believe it is well supported all the way down to at least $70.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by SmoothJB
OIL: Huge Head & ShouldersWow! Could this be the right shoulders forming on OIL? The remaining imbalance is being filled and we are creeping up into the main supply, if we see rejections, we could have a bearish move all the way down into the equal lows. Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Crypto, Futures, Forex, CFDs, and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use a tight stop loss. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe, and share this idea with others! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by AlkalineFX
2
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: January 2022WTI Crude Oil Outlook for January Speculative price range for WTI Crude Oil is 67.00 to 89.00 USD. If WTI falters below the 73.00 level and begins to challenge prices below 70.00 this may be perceived as a bearish sign in the market. Having touched the 66.00 level in the middle of December, some traders may feel the urge to test downward momentum of WTI Crude Oil believing it can retest those lows. However, traders shorting the commodity should not get too ambitious. The current direction of WTI may prove to be a solid bullish signal. If lows are tested, they may provide a solid position to ignite buying positions. If WTI Crude Oil is able to penetrate the 77.00 price level and sustain its momentum, the price of 78.00 should be watched carefully. Technically, there is reason to suspect if late November prices are challenged with upwards price action that the 80.00 juncture could become a speculative playground for WTI like it was able to display in October and November. While some skeptics may believe WTI Crude Oil has been overbought in the short term, the price is actually still under levels displayed a month and a half ago. If positive market sentiment continues to build into the global economic picture, traders may believe WTI could begin to challenge marks above 80.00 and aim for the 82.00 to 84.00 ratios without too many hurdles. Bullish traders who are optimistic may believe there is another leg higher that can be demonstrated in January for WTI Crude Oil. WTI Crude Oil looks set to begin January within the higher realms of it one-month chart. That is a simple enough perception. But the fight for higher values has not been easy. Essentially from the second week of October until the middle of November, WTI Crude Oil was trading above the 80.00 USD level. Highs on the 25th of October saw the 85.00 mark challenged and this was nearly duplicated on the 10th of November. On the 25th of November WTI Crude Oil was trading near 77.00, two days later it was challenging the 67.00 ratio. On the 2nd of December the 62.00 mark came within sight for the commodity. A price recovery ensued with choppy conditions prevailing, but on the 16th of December WTI was near 73.00, when a reversal lower abruptly took place again and a low of nearly 66.00 USD per barrel was demonstrated on the 20th. However since that recent low WTI Crude Oil has been a buyers’ market and as of this writing the commodity is approaching 77.00 USD. Technically WTI has certainly confronted speculators with choppy conditions and risk management has proven an important tool. However, the swift movement in value has also provided traders an opportunity to take advantage of volatility and test their perceptions as global conditions move because of headline ‘noise’ and speculative nervousness. While Crude Oil certainly saw its value erode in late November due to a new onslaught of fears caused by the Omicron variant, the past couple of weeks have seen an incremental climb. WTI Crude Oil now appears ready to begin January near values which could be ready to test marks last seen before the new coronavirus fears struck the marketplace in late November. Technical traders may be somewhat skeptical of the move higher seen the past week because they may believe this has something to do with light holiday trading. While it may prove to be an important facet of the actual market regarding volumes, the ability of WTI Crude Oil to fight off of lows seen in early December and go into January almost having recovered it total price seen in late November is intriguing.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by SmoothJB
WTICOUSD - Oil Price Analysis and 2022 ForecastOil coming into a key area at the bottom of an 18-month structure. Typically I would wait for this to fully correct (below the 18-month structure) and then make a decision on how to trade it. But I think the most glaring thing about oil, is the fact that the all time high was set in July 2008. Lots more money out there these days; lot more drivers too. Economy is showing signs of inflation everywhere. I think it is a mistake to think this thing cannot ring the ATHs as early as Summer 2020. For now we watch and wait to see how it behaves in what has been a somewhat persistent range. From a trading / exposure perspective - I have been long in oil since September of this year. We will continue to track oil closely. God Bless
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by ChiefMacro
1
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Price Captures 50-Day EMAThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market rallied on Friday to capture the 50-day EMA. That is a very good sign and it looks as if we are ready to break out. That being said, we will have to see how this plays out due to the fact that there are a lot of questions as to whether or not the lockdowns are going to be an issue. At this point, it does not seem to be as big of an issue, so the question now is did we see the massive selloff due to fears of the omicron variant, or are there are concerns about slowing growth in general? When you look at the chart, you can see that the $73 level had offered quite a bit of resistance, and now that we have broken above there, it does suggest that we are ready to continue going higher. At this point, I would anticipate a move towards the $79 level, which is where the wipeout candle came into play several weeks ago. Getting to the top of that would be a very bullish turn of events for the crude oil market, and it certainly looks as if we could make that move based upon the fact that there really is not much in the way of resistance between here and there other than the 50 day EMA where we are currently sitting. That is only psychological at best, so it is very likely that we are going to continue grinding away to the upside. If we do pull back from here, I think that the $73 level should offer a certain amount of support as it had been previous resistance, so “market memory” could come into play. If we turn around and break down below the $73 level, then we may have to reset at much lower levels, but right now that does not look like it is the most likely of outcomes. Looking at this chart, it looks to me like the recovery has been very strong, and I think the momentum will continue to pick up. Over the next couple of days, I would anticipate more of a back-and-forth type of situation, but by the time we get back to work in January, we could go much higher.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by SmoothJB
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Approaching 50 Day EMAThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has initially dipped a bit during the day on Thursday, only to turn around and show signs of life again. By doing so, it appears that we are threatening the 50 day EMA just above. This of course is an important technical indicator that a lot of people pay attention to, so do not be surprised at all to see a bit of a reaction. You should also keep in mind that the Friday session is a shortened futures session due to the holiday, so therefore you need to be early to the market. Once we hit noon in New York, things will suddenly drift off. Crude does look like it is trying to take out the 50 day EMA and whether or not it can do it on Friday is a completely different question. However, it certainly looks as if we are building up pressure to do just that. If we do take out the 50 day EMA, then my next target would be the $70.40 level, where we had sold off from previously. If we were to take out that big wipeout candle, that would of course be a very bullish turn of events for the market. That being said, I am hesitant to put on big positions this time year anyway, and especially a market like oil which shuts down. The 200 day EMA underneath at the $69.43 level is the “floor the market” from what I see, so as long as we stay above there, I think we still have a good shot at rallying, but if we were to take that out to the downside, then I would anticipate a move down to the $65 level. There is a lot of push and pull when it comes to the idea of demand for crude oil, as omicron variant has not been as bad as people had anticipated. With that in mind, I think people are starting to step out into the risk curve a little bit and buy oil. Ultimately, a lot of this will be settled in January, but it certainly looks as if we are going to end the year on the right foot when it comes to crude oil prices and therefore the buyers will probably feel pretty good going into January.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by SmoothJB
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone, Our scenario for WTI Crude Oil in H1 timeframe has been invalidated so I changed the labels a little bit, seems price formed a flat correction as wave x, I expect upward movements begin soon for this scenario. You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates. 📣 Attention 📣 ⚠️ 1. We publish this trading idea to help analysts, so if you have an idea that you think is right, do not be influenced by this idea. ⚠️ 2. All our analysis and signals are provided free of charge, so we have no obligation to make any profit or loss on our signals and analysis. ⚠️ 3. If you have an idea, write to us in the comments section, we will be happy to use your idea in our analysis
FX_IDC:USDWTI
by fx_iranian_traders
7
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone, here's the update for WTI Crude Oil in H1 timeframe, You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates. 📣 Attention 📣 ⚠️ 1. We publish this trading idea to help analysts, so if you have an idea that you think is right, do not be influenced by this idea. ⚠️ 2. All our analysis and signals are provided free of charge, so we have no obligation to make any profit or loss on our signals and analysis. ⚠️ 3. If you have an idea, write to us in the comments section, we will be happy to use your idea in our analysis
FX_IDC:USDWTI
by fx_iranian_traders
3
USOIL - Buy After Retracement Oil has broken through its consolidation pattern last night. Expected to retrace to drawn support line (possibily slighly lower depending on the selling pressure). The general trend is bullish, confirmed by Bull Divergence prior to breaking the consolidation pattern. Also, 3D major chart is showing a HIDDEN bullish divergence since the beginning of this week. I believe oil has gone through its Omicron fear phase and is now in demand. Good luck with your trade!
TVC:USOILLong
by Albadran
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (7th December 2021)Today WTI oil broke above 70 USD and it currently trades around 71.50 USD per barrel. In our previous ideas we stated that ongoing politics between OPEC and the U.S. presented headwinds for the price of oil. We also noted that USOIL reached oversold conditions and its price was very attractive for long position (re)entry (as we remained bullish in long-term). Then we updated the most recent idea on 3rd December 2020 where we said that a bullish breakout above 69.21 USD took place. Today's breakout above the 70 USD price tag is even more bullish; additionally, it suggests that correction most likely ended. We are bullish on oil in the short-term as well as in the long-term. Because of that we would like to set a short-term price target for USOIL to 72.50 USD. Our medium-term price target for USOIL is 75 USD and our long-term price target for oil is 85 USD per barrel. Technical analysis - daily time frame Stochastic reversed and it is currently pointing into a bullish direction. RSI broke above 30 points (from oversold zone) which is very bullish. MACD remains in the bearish area, however, it shows first signs of trying to reverse. This view is also supported by its declining histogram. Additionally, ADX peaked which suggests that correction peaked as well. Though, DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions. Overall, technical analysis is less bearish than at the time of our most recent update. Indeed, several indicators point to the end of correction and reversal in trend. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI seems to reverse its bearish direction back to the upside. We will await confirmation of this move by gain in USOIL for the current week (and next week). MACD remains in the bullish area, however, it still points into bearish direction. It needs to be observed closely in the following weeks.Stochastic remains bearish. DM+ and DM- remain bearish, however, ADX declines which suggests that selling pressure is cooling off. In general, weekly time frame remains bearish. Because of that we remain little bit cautious. However, weekly time frame respons with higher latency than daily time frame. Support and resistance Closest psychological support sits at 70 USD while short-term support sits slightly below that at 69.60 USD. Other two support levels are at 69.21 USD and then at 65.11 USD. Major support level appears at 61.76 USD. Closest resistance lies at 74.21 USD, then other resistance levels sit at 75.47 USD and at 76.95 USD. Major resistance level is at 85.39 USD. Other possible resistance levels: These resistance levels are derived from the peaks that price made during the correction. They are at 79.20 USD and 84.95 USD. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
6
Crude oil - Trade with +18,5% profit potential [English] The correction phase led crude to $ 62.25. The 200-day line could so far act as support in correction phases. Currently, the contract is traded for 3 days below this important line. If it remains below it, a more extended correction must be assumed. In this case, i do not recommend a long position. If Crude would conquer the 200-day line again, this can be interpreted as a bear trap. In that case, this could be an interesting long entry. As it's moving above that area now, you can look for buys into $ 85,24. Stops should be around $ 64,60. "Trading Futures, Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Articles and content on this website are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute investment recommendations or advice."
TVC:USOILLong
by ChristopherHoerrmann