Triangle on WTI, Short on breakdownTriangle formation on short time frame, look for short entry
Key Levels :
81.2 - 81.8 - we might see significant support in this zone
Observations :
1 - Trendline support is drawn based on more short term basis and I think is more validated than most I've seen posted here as there has been numerous bounce from it as indicated in the chart
2 - Current formation for a catalyst pattern on breakout is support by trendline parallel to said trendline in point 1
3 - There might be a formation for a ascending triangle / rising wedge / parallel action in the pattern as indicated in the red box
Trade plan :
1 - I prefer to look for shorts entry here, but there is a small possibility for prices to return to trend based on a break up on a symmetrical triangle that has formed. But the current formation favors shorts
2 - I will not enter short here because it can form either a ascending triangle which is preferable or a rising wedge and parallel channel which is less desirable as there's more room for prices to increase
3 - Once entered, will target 81.2 - 81.8 for take profit
Will update accordingly
Wticrude
Fibonacci Buy For USOILCapitulation has been the story today, with most asset classes selling off. USOIL hasn’t been spared as WTI futures are deep in the red. Although the long and intermediate-term biases remain bullish for oil, sellers are winning the day.
A key 38% Fibonacci retracement level is coming into view on the weekly timeframe:
38% Retracement, $79.59
Here’s a potential buy-side trade idea for this week:
Buy USOIL from $79.64
Set stop loss at $79.14
1:1 risk vs reward, profit target @ $80.14
This is a short-term, trend-following recommendation.
Oil Short - 1:10 RR Hi Traders,
Following up on my previous long on Oil we have found some resistance around this area.
I have given a trade opportunity of 1:10 aiming for the 50% fibonacci level and touch of the trendline.
This should be taken with caution as Oil is coming through on a strong trend.
WTI Crude path to 108Looking forward to seeing the Fed hikes rates and after last week's Crude inventories Report was not good.
Path is similar to a Wyckoff accumulation schematic taking place. We will be seeing crude to out liquidity up to the 108 price then resume with a possible long term down trend reversal
God's speed and best of luck to all traders!
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone, here's the update for WTI Crude Oil in H1 timeframe, in the last analysis I expected reversal from around 80$ but price continued to raise and seems we are facing with a flat correction, I expect downward movements to begin soon, You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates.
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USDWTI D1 - Short SetupUSDWTI D1
Another bull leg seen here on WTI, pushing in excess of $81/barrel now. Things are looking very good, possible correction wave to be seen before the next push upside.
Looking for rejection and possible short positions from that $85/barrel price. From here we can squeeze a short position hopefully for as much mileage as it offers.
Technical Correction In Oil Had a good Xmas run, it’s not had a true retrace as yet to confirm support from the parabolic run. Negative divergences on RSI and TSI 4 hr and currently back in the rising wedge after a false breakout north.
Im short for now but long for the medium to long term based on supply constraints and various other world and geo political events.
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (4th January 2022)Today WTI oil reached our short-term price target of 77 USD per barrel. Furthermore, USOIL broke above the short-term support for a short period of time. Fundamentals remain bullish as OPEC agreed to proceed with a planned production boost of 400 000 bpd in February 2022. This signals OPEC's confidence in the oil market. Additionally, our bullish view is supported by a combination of bullish technical factors. Because of that we would like to raise our short-term price target for USOIL to 78 USD per barrel. We would also like to set a medium-term price target for USOIL to 80 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. We will observe it in the following days and we'll watch out for a crossover above 0 points. We expect such an occurrence to further bolster the bullish case for oil. Stochastic is also bullish. Recently, MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points which is very bullish. DM+ and DM- show mixed conditions. ADX signals that the prevailing trend is relatively weak.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Weekly time frame remains unchanged from our latest update on USOIL. RSI points to the upside which is bullish. Stochastic is bullish too and MACD started to flatten (still in the bullish zone). We will observe MACD in the following weeks and we will watch out whether it manages to stay within the bullish zone and reverse back to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to decline. Though, ADX's value is a little bit higher than the value of ADX on a daily time frame.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the weekly chart of USOIL. It also shows setup for head and shoulders being formed. We will observe whether this pattern will continue to develop further. However, at the moment, we believe this pattern will get distorted and price will continue higher.
Support and resistance
Following support and resistance levels are derived from the peaks and troughs in price of USOIL. Short-term support sits at 73.30 USD and short-term resistance lies at 77.41 USD. Next closest resistance appears at 79.20 USD and then at 81.78 USD. Major resistance lies at 85.39 USD. Major support level can be found at 61.76 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone, here's the update for WTI Crude Oil in H1 timeframe, You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates.
📣 Attention 📣
⚠️ 1. We publish this trading idea to help analysts, so if you have an idea that you think is right, do not be influenced by this idea.
⚠️ 2. All our analysis and signals are provided free of charge, so we have no obligation to make any profit or loss on our signals and analysis.
⚠️ 3. If you have an idea, write to us in the comments section, we will be happy to use your idea in our analysis
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Price Breaks Short-Term ResistanceThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market rallied a bit on Tuesday to show signs of life and break through a very short-term resistance barrier. We have not been able to sustain the move significantly, but it still looks as if we are going to get more bullish pressure. When you look at the chart, it does not take a lot of imagination to suggest that we have just broken above the top of a bullish flag, which is a very bullish sign and could send this market towards the most recent highs near the $85 level.
To the downside, we have the 50 day EMA turning towards the upside and showing signs of positivity. That should be support, and I think that any short-term pullback will more than likely offer a nice opportunity to get long. However, if we were to break down below there, then it is likely that we will go challenging the $73 level underneath. The $73 level was an area of significant resistance previously, but I do not think that it will be as important this time if we get down to that area.
On the other hand, if we break above the top of the candlestick for the trading session on Tuesday, then it is likely that we could go looking towards the $79 level, an area where we had sold off from previously. If we can break above there and the $80 level, then it is likely that we could go much higher. Ultimately, this is a market that I do think continues to see plenty of buyers, and this will be especially true if we continue to see plenty of pressure. The market has been rallying for the last couple weeks, and the noisy behavior that we have seen over the last week or so is simply the market trying to build up enough momentum to continue what we had seen previously. I have no interest in shorting this market, but if we broke down below the $73 level, then we might see a little bit more of a correction, but that is about as negative as I plan on getting in this market anytime soon. This is a market that looks as if it is building up plenty of upward pressure.
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (3rd January 2022)WTI oil rose over 20% since its low at 61.46 USD on 2nd December 2021. We previously noted that weakness in the general stock market posed a threat for further rise of the price of USOIL in the short-term. However, since then the general stock market seems to stabilize. Because of that we regained our bullish view; additionally, we would like to set a short-term price target for USOIL to 77 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI continues to develop bullish structure. Stochastic is also bullish and MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points which further bolsters the bullish case for USOIL. DM+ and DM- show mixed conditions; and ADX declined substantially which suggests that the prevailing trend lost strength.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI points to the upside which is bullish. Stochastic is bullish too and MACD started to flatten (still in the bullish zone). We will observe MACD in the following weeks and we will watch out whether it manages to stay within the bullish zone and reverse back to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to decline. Though, ADX's value is a little bit higher than the value of ADX on a daily time frame.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the weekly chart of USOIL. It also shows setup for head and shoulders being formed. We will observe whether this pattern will continue to develop further. However, at the moment, we believe this pattern will get distorted and price will continue higher.
Support and resistance
Following support and resistance levels are derived from the peaks and troughs in price of USOIL. Short-term support sits at 73.30 USD and short-term resistance lies at 77.41 USD. Next closest resistance appears at 79.20 USD and then at 81.78 USD. Major resistance lies at 85.39 USD. Major support level can be found at 61.76 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
WTI Crude Oil ForecastAs we get back to work, traders will have to put money back on their books in order to take risk on, and crude oil certainly looks like it is a great candidate for something like that. With the 50 day EMA sitting just below the $75 level, that means that the $75 level has little bit more psychology attached to it than usual. Nonetheless, you can see that we have skyrocketed over the last couple of weeks and I think it has become obvious as to which direction traders are starting to trade this market now that massive lockdowns due to the omicron seem to be off the table. That was one of the biggest concerns that most traders had, that economies would have to shut down and thereby kill the idea of demand for energy.
Now that traders have to get back to work, they will find alpha to generate, and crude oil is one of the best places to do so. While we did not completely wipe out the massive selloff from about a month ago, we got awfully close to it and that does suggest that perhaps we will eventually make that attempt once traders start to put full positions back on. Another thing to pay attention to is the jobs numbers coming on Friday, and that will also give us a big “heads up” as to potential energy demand, so it could be yet another reason to think that the market may go higher over the intermediate term. I have no interest in shorting this market right now, as I believe it is well supported all the way down to at least $70.