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Wticrudeoil

WTI Crude oilOur overview: Weakness and negativity prevail waiting the API report tonight. In the overnight session price steady at the support area @$73.00. Technical signals: RSI negative and Stochastic negative. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B, minor(yellow): impulsive structure wave 3. Our current strategy: Long, looking for a technical rebound. Our current position's risk profile @$73.23: delta 0.51, gamma 0.124 Hedging point: on breakout $72.90 Targets $76.50 $75.00 $74.20 $73.00 $72.40 $71.80
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - last updateOur overview: Definitely OPEC+ policy disappoint the market. The Cot report released Friday, referring to data until the previous Tuesday, then few day before the OPEC+ meeting, highlighted that the commercial barely increased(1%) their net long positions in options, reverting the trend of the previous report. Furthermore, a news from 'businessinsider.com' say "Saudi Arabia could 'flush' the oil market with a flood of supply to regain control over prices in the face of rising US production. All this might push the market toward more weakness and negativity. In the overnight session price retraced getting closer to the support area @$73.00. Technical signals: RSI negative and Stochastic negative in oversold area. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave A, minor(yellow): corrective structure wave C. Our current strategy: Strictly Neutral, following the market. Our current position's risk profile @$73.38: delta 0.052, gamma 0.216 Hedging point: not set Targets $76.50 $75.00 $74.20 $73.00 $72.40 $71.80
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - last updateOur overview: Definitely OPEC+ policy doesn't convince the market. Massive selloff with more tha 500K contract traded, push the price to re-test the trend/neck line. Market could enter in latera trading range. Technical signals: RSI negative, and Stochastic negative. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 5, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave A, minor(yellow): corrective structure wave A. Our current strategy: Neutral, following the market. Our current position's risk profile @$75.70: delta 0.018, gamma 0.192 Hedging point: not set Targets $78.70 $77.80 $76.30 $74.00 $73.30 $72.50
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - front expirationOur overview: Strong GDP in US, and hope on the OPEC+ meeting, offset the build in crude stockpile. A bigger then expected production cut would push for a Christmas rally. Today is mandatory stay neutral at least till is gonna be clear the OPEC+ policy. Technical signals: RSI and Stochastic positive. Trends analysis: We maintain an overall positive overview with a potential extension till $81.50/$82.00 if OPEC+ will confirm a robust production's cut. Primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 4 with target @$80.00/$82.00, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave C, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3. Our current position @$78.78(in scale to a basic number of contracts : current delta: 0.137 current gamma: 0.198 Targets $81.00 $79.75 $78.70 $77.00 $76.40 $75.80 Follow the live trading session streamed every days from our desk. Find out more and the broadcast timeline on our Web & Channels
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - last updateOverview: After several tentative, finally the trend line has been broken. Yesterday's CoT report (Commitment of Traders) highlighting that commercial and not commercial are reducing their net long positions in options. This could be a signal that area $73/$75) is an accumulation's area, at least for the current conjuncture, confirming our strategy. Eye on API crude oil stock tonight. Technical signals: RSI and Stochastic in positive area. Trends analysis: After the movement of the last days we redraw the technical analysis and the trends perspective. A clear head & shoulder closed with the today's breakout of the neck line, and potential extension till $81.50/$82.00. So this is the updated reading: primary(purple): downward impulsive structure wave 4 with target @$80.00/$82.00, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave C, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 2. Strategy: Neutral delta, following a potential technical pull back till $75.70! Then positive looking for the upward trend extension till area $79/$80/$82. Stop: not set. ----->>Today's session corrections: @$76.97 from +0.69 to -0.03 Our current delta: @$76.46: -0.12
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil front expiration - last updateOverview: Weekness due to the OPEC+ meeting uncertainty. Strategy: Positive Delta looking for a technical rebound and waiting for the CoT report which is gonna be released today. We hold moderate positive position. Our current delta: @$74.20: +0.20 Technical signals: RSI negative, Stochastic in oversold area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A, intermediate(green): corrective structure wave C, minor(yellow): impulsive structure wave 2. On breakout of $73.90 the intermediate(green) trend will go back to wave B asymmetrical structure. ----->>Today's session corrections: @$74.80 from -0.36 to 0.30
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: The price just approach the first important resistance area, a downwards trend line. This dynamic resistance has already rejected prices 3 times since its formation. Lateral trading waiting Wall Street's short session. Strategy: we hold delta neutral position waiting for a breakout. In this case, we will go long with a stop level @$76.30. Our current delta: @$76.65: 0.06 Technical signals: RSI still in neutral area, Stochastic positive. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave C minor(yellow): impulsive structure wave 3 Mandatory rebalance level: not set Today's session corrections: ----->> @$76.65 from 0.48 to 0.06.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI OIL Excellent buy opportunity.WTI OIL (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Rectangle since the August 30 High. This is most accurately displayed by the use of the Fibonacci retracement levels where we can see that the majority of the price action has been within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range. We call that the "High Volatility Zone". On November 16 the price almost hit the bottom of that Zone and since the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is just below and has been the long-term Support (hasn't closed a 1D candle below it since January 29 2021!), we consider the commodity to have significant upside potential. On top of that, the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed on the oversold barrier of 30.00 (where it always gave strong rallies on May 04 2023, March 17 2023, December 09 2022 and September 26 2022) while the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross (with all such crosses below the 0.00 mark being a buy signal). We are bullish at least for the short-term, targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 80.50, expecting also a potential contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
WTI Crude oil front expiration - last updateOverview: EIA data and OPEC+ meeting postponed, make tumble the market. My dear volatility!!! Strategy: Neutral. Follow the market. Our current position's Delta @$76.39: 0.03 This are all the corrections we made today 5)rebalance: @$76.39 (from 0.23 to 0.03) 4)rebalance: @$75.70 (from 0.62 to 0.03) 3)rebalance: @$73.90 (from -21 to 0.30) 2)rebalance: @$74.50 (from -0.30 to 0.05) 1)rebalance: @$76.10 (from +0.28 to +0.03) rebalance: @$75.45 (from -0.58 to +0.06) Technical signals: RSI positive signal just if cross in positive area Stochastic still in negative area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave C close Bullish targets: first@ $77.00 second@ $78.70 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: not set Bearish targets: first@ $75.00 second@ $73.90
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil front expiration - last updateOverview: Another massive build on API crude oil stocks, conflicting with a big distillate inventory draw, and next Sunday OPEC+ meeting are the main factors driving the market to a stall awaiting the official EIA data scheduled today. Strategy: Neutral following the market. Our current position's Delta: -0.09 barely negative Last rebalance: at $77.87 from +0.19. Technical signals: RSI still in neutral area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave B Bullish targets: first@ $79.00 second@ $79.80/$80.00 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: as we are neutral our system doesn't set any level. Bearish targets: first@ $76.00/$75.40 second@ $74.70/ $73.90
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil front expiration - Last updateOverview: Awaiting the FOMC minutes and API crude oil stocks Strategy: Our current position's Delta: +0.10 (rebalanced at $77.18 from -0.73). Follow the market. Technical signals: Stochastic crossed the signal but still in negative territory, RSI in neutral area. Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave B minor(yellow): corrective structure wave A Bullish targets: first@ $78.80/$79.00 second@ $79.70/$80.00 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: as we are neutral is not set Bearish targets: first@ $76.80 second@ $75.80/$75.60
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
Oil continues to slide within the channelThe price of WTI crude oil continues to rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday, during which cartel members will discuss policy regarding production. The group will likely decide to lower the output in response to more than a 20% decline in the oil price since September 2023 highs (now, closer to an 18% decline). While a drop in supply is normally bullish for oil, it is important to note that some of it will get offset by the United States trying to ramp up its domestic production. Furthermore, the prices are already rising in anticipation of the cartel’s decision. Nonetheless, our outlook stays unchanged, with a price target of $70 per barrel for 2024. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
1
WTI Crude oil first expirationOverview: Bullish pressure starting in the overnight session, push higher the close of waveA (minor trend) at important resistance level. First target to $78.50 has been reached. Strategy: We hold negative delta since $77.60 Our current position's Delta: -0.50 negative, (increased from -0.23)looking for the first bearish target Technical signals: Stochastic and RSI in overbought Trends analysis: primary(purple): corrective structure wave A intermediate(green): corrective structure wave A minor(yellow): corrective structure wave A closed Bullish targets: first@ $79.80/$80.00 second@ $80.50 Mandatory rebalance level /Stop loss: on breakout of $78.70 Bearish targets: first@ $76.80 second@ $75.8
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude Oil front expiration: Navigating Correction and TargetThe WTI crude oil market experienced a robust response, essentially reversing the downward trend observed on Thursday's session. Currently, the market is exhibiting a corrective structure, and we are monitoring whether it follows a pattern of 3 waves (ABC) or 5 waves (ABCDE). As of our current position, the delta stands at -0.03, indicating a neutral stance. The bullish outlook has seen success with the attainment of the target at $76.00 indicated in the previous report, if the upward pressure would persist, the next targets are located on $77.50 as first and at $78.50 as second. It's essential to note that, as our position is currently neutral, our trading system doesn't set any rebalancing level or stop loss. On the bearish side, the initial target is set at $75.00, followed by the second target at $73.90. In simpler terms, the market initially faced a downturn but has since shown signs of correction. Our position is currently delta neutral, with specific target levels for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: With the yesterday's sell off, the stochastic in oversold territory and in divergence as well as the RSI, we consider closed the corrective structure(ABC) on daily time frame. A technical rebound is likely, to bring the market in a trading range area between $74 and $80. Only a breakout of yesterday's low ($72.40) will change the daily's structure from a corrective ABC to a bearish impulsive 5 waves. Our strategy: Our current position' delta: +0.43 Bullish first target: $75.00 Bullish second target: $76.50 Mandatory rebalancing level / Stop loss: on breakout of $73.00 Bearish first target: $70.00/$69.80 Bearish second target: $67.00 See you all next update!
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI bears eye a move down to $80Last week's swing trade to $90 worked out well, yet momentum ha since shifted lower. I noted in the recent COT report that managed funds and large speculators have been trimming long exposure in recent weeks, and that managed funds increased short exposure last week despite the slew of negative headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict. This also coincided with the two small bullish weekly candles, which appeared to be corrective on the weekly chart - and therfore suggests lower prices. A lower high has formed below $90 and momentum turned lower. As support has been found around the Jan/April highs, we suspect a bounce is due. And this could allow bears to fade into favourable prices below $87 - $87.50 on the assumption a breakdown is pending ahead of its move to $80. Should this be part of a larger decline, note that $75 and $70 are near the 100% and 138.2% Fibonacci projection levels on the daily chart.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
WTI OIL Short-term rebound expected.Last month's Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern (see chart below) hit both of our Targets (79.00 and 75.00) and transitioned into a Channel Down: The price almost hit the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) and after a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, the 4H RSI formed the same Higher Lows trend-line as it did on October 12. We are expecting this to be the start of the Lower High leg towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is expected to be within the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and a +10.25% range. Target 82.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
WTI Crude oil - front expirationTechnical Analysis: Support level $75 looks like resisting. After the forecasted rebound, seems the market stay cautious with a triangle formation on hourly time frame. Scenarios: 1. Scenario 1 - Positive continuation till the first target (ABC intraday structure). Strategy for Scenario 1: - On consolidation above $77 set the position's Delta to positive, following your investment criteria. - First target: $78.50 - Strategy on reaching target 1: Set the position's Delta to zero - Second target: $79.50 - Strategy on reaching target 2: Set the position's Delta to zero 2. Scenario 2 - Negative Acceleration. If the price breaks down below today's low of $76.50, we could see a further decline to around $75 from where restart a rebound. Only a breakdown of 74.91 would indicate a negative acceleration in price. Strategy for Scenario 2: - Set the position's Delta to negative, following your investment criteria. - First target: $75 - Strategy on reaching target 1: Set the position's Delta to zero - Second target: $72.50 - Strategy on reaching target 2: Set the position's Delta to zero Summary: The technical analysis suggests a potential short term technical rebound. We consider a positive rebound strategy if the price hold level $75 and till $79.5/$80 area, where we will consider close wave 4. On the close of wave 4 or a price drops below $74.91 we will consider a short strategy. Make sure to follow your investment and adjust your position's Delta accordingly to manage your risk. Investment criteria we highly recommend: CONSERVATIVE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.20 MODERATE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.30 AGGRESSIVE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.40 Please note that investing in derivatives involves hight risks. We strongly advise against invest in future or options naked (not hedged), and to carefully follow your investment strategy criteria and risk management. Delta Zero Technical Analysis team
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - front expiration Technical Analysis: Today, the WTI Crude Oil futures experienced a negative extension in their price, and they reached an important support level around $75. On an hourly basis, it seems like wave 3 may have exhausted. This suggests a potential change in the price direction. Scenarios: 1. Scenario 1 - Positive Rebound. It's realistic to expect a rebound in the price to around $80. This means the price may go up from the current level. Strategy for Scenario 1: - Set the position's Delta to positive, following your investment criteria. - First target: $77.50 - Strategy on reaching target 1: Set the position's Delta to zero - Second target: $79 - Strategy on reaching target 2: Set the position's Delta to zero 2. Scenario 2 - Negative Acceleration. If the price breaks down below today's low of $74.91, we could see a further decline to around $73.90. This would indicate a negative acceleration in price. Strategy for Scenario 2: - Set the position's Delta to negative, following your investment criteria. - First target: $73.90 - Strategy on reaching target 1: Set the position's Delta to zero - Second target: $72.50 - Strategy on reaching target 2: Set the position's Delta to zero Summary: The technical analysis suggests a potential short term technical change in the price direction. We consider a positive rebound strategy if the price hold level $75. I the price drops below $74.91 experiencing a negative extension, we will consider a short strategy. Make sure to follow your investment and adjust your position's Delta accordingly to manage your risk. Investment criteria we highly recommend: CONSERVATIVE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.20 MODERATE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.30 AGGRESSIVE strategy: max position's Delta value (+/-) 0.40 Please note that investing in derivatives involves hight risks. We strongly advise against invest in future or options naked (not hedged), and to carefully follow your investment strategy criteria and risk management. Delta Zero Technical Analysis team
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
1
Oil says nothing flattering about the global economyWest Texas Intermediate crude oil hit our price target of $80 and continues to slide lower. At the moment, it trades slightly above $76, which marks a decline of nearly 20% from the highs in late September 2023. Today, we want to talk concisely about two things. First, China’s demand for oil began to slow down again after slightly picking up during the summer, which is reflected in the latest data revealing the rising level of the country’s stockpiles (do not forget, China also experienced a significant drop YoY in exports for October 2023). Second, Saudi Aramco posted 23% lower net income in the third quarter of 2023 versus the same time in 2022. All in all, we presume that does not tell anything flattering about the global economy. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
8
Oil is likely headed to $70 per barrel in 2024For the past four trading sessions, West Texas Intermediate crude oil oscillated between $83 and $85 per barrel. At the moment, it trades near the lower end of this range, and technical indicators on the daily chart continue to grow bearish; the same applies to technicals on the weekly graph. As a result, the likelihood of oil slumping below $80 in the short/medium term increases. This view is also supported by the weakening global economy and the latest data (preliminary) from Saudi Arabia (the world’s second-largest oil producer), which revealed the country’s economy shrank by 4.5% YoY in the third quarter of 2023 (the oil activities declined by 17.3%, while non-oil and government activities rose 3.6% and 1.9% respectively). Unless there is any significant disruption to the supply in the Middle East amid the Israel-Hamas War, we believe the crude oil is headed lower. With that said, we want to set our price target to $80 per barrel in the short/medium term and next year’s price target to $70 per barrel. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover, confirming the trend reversal. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
4