USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailA record number of new coronavirus cases in China (the world's highest importer of crude oil) coupled with the inability of the EU to agree on a price cap for Russian oil Crude prices resulted in a plunge in price as the price fell for a third straight week. From a technical standpoint, it is obvious that price action has been caught within a channel ($93.50 and $87.00) in the last couple of months to emphasize the indecision in the market. However, it is worth noting that the lower timeframes reveal that price action has continued to find lower lows and lower highs in the last 3 weeks to signal a possible bearish continuation in the new week but we can not ignore the possibility of a breakout of the bearish trendline to incite a reversal structure.
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Wticrudeoilsignals
WTI CRUDE OIL BUY SAVE NOW
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WTI CRUDE OIL WAITE FOR CONFARMANATION...
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WTI CRUDE OIL POSSIBLE TO GO DOWN
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WTI CRUDE OIL POSSIBLE TO BUY....
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WTI CRUDE OIL WAITE FOR BREAKOUT THEN BUY....
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WTI CRUDE OIL SEEM SELL CORRECTION THEN BUY....
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WTI Oil Aiming for +99$Hello Traders
This week oil price jumped almost +12.5$ from the opening price on Monday and ended in a big green weekly candle.
2 major factors affected Oil prices:
1- OPEC has reduced its production limit.
2- Cold seasons started in Europe and demand for energies such as oil has soared.
Technically:
1- Price has broken a falling wedge pattern.
2- Price has made a big green weekly candle.
3- Also the price has made a local higher high indicating a reversal in trend.
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My swing Full Margin Setup on WTI CRUDE OILThis setup taught by my awesome teacher, a legendary trader from Malaysia, Mansor Sapari.
But man, to get this setup, you need to have a very very strong patience. Of course this setup is not my only setup to trade.
In order to get a complete setup:
Must have
-fakeout
-compression
-cap price zone
-support resistance
-supply zone
-resistance become support
-breakout
-double maru candlestick
-divergence on MACD/AO
-some times it goes well if there's a news (fundamental aspect)
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WTI Cude (OIL) WAITE TO BUY CONFARMANATION...
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WTI Cude (OIL) POSSIBLE TO BUY ......
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WTICOUSDThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market initially rally during the trading session on Thursday to retest the 50 Day EMA and of course the previous uptrend line. Because of this, it looks as if the downtrend is intact, and I do think that it is probably only a matter of time before crude oil breaks rather significantly, perhaps reaching the $95 level early during the session on Friday, and maybe even breaking down below there.
If we do break down below that level, then I will be targeting the $90 level. The market is going to be concerned about the fact that gasoline demand is dropping, which of course is a situation where perhaps the market had gotten so far ahead of itself that it forgot that the “cure for higher prices is higher prices.”
As the world looks likely to head into recession, this is weighing upon the crude oil market because it will drive demand down. There is a structural problem with supply over the longer term, but perhaps a recession might give the oil industry a chance to catch up. As we had been locked down due to the pandemic, it is not a huge surprise that when the economy opened up around the world that the demand shock pulled prices much higher. Now that it looks like the tide is turning, we may see oil drop rather significantly.
On the upside, if we were to take out the top of the Wednesday candlestick, then it is possible that the WTI Crude Oil market could go higher, perhaps reaching the $110 level, maybe even the $115 level. All things have been equal, it looks as if oil is starting to lose its mojo, making lower highs along the way. As long as that is going to be the case, then I think that you continue to fade rallies, but you should keep in the back of your mind that oil markets have been extraordinarily volatile, especially with the Russian supply essentially being taken off of the open market. The US dollar has its influence as well, but this market has been rather strong for a while, and now it looks like it is finally running out of momentum. When a market gets parabolic the way this one did, it quite often is a sign of significant overextension.
WTI CRUDE OILFor the fifth week running, WTI Crude Oil made its highest weekly close in 7 years last week and printed a relatively large bullish candlestick which looks healthy, closing very close to the high of its price range. This suggests a further rise to come, with the price perhaps being boosted by fears of war between Russia and Ukraine. There are bullish signs, and I continue to see WTI Crude Oil as an interesting buy.
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Looking for a PullbackThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday as we have seen a lot of volatility in various markets. That being said, the market has rallied significantly during the course of the trading session, only to turn around and fall towards the $90 level. That being said, we did up forming a bit of a shooting star, and it does suggest that maybe we get a little bit of a pullback.
However, the market has seen a hammer from the previous session, so be interesting to see if we just definitely hang about the $90 level, or if we are going to have a little bit deeper pullback. Quite frankly, I would love to see a little bit more of a pullback, but I do not know that we get it. If we break down below the bottom of the candlestick from the Wednesday session, then I will start looking to pick up this market somewhere around the $86.50 level with an eye on the $85 level underneath being massive support. The 50 day EMA is also reaching higher, and therefore it is likely it will kind of combined to add a massive “floor in the trend.”
If we do turn around a break above the top of the candlestick for the trading session on Thursday, then it could open up a move towards the highs. Either way, I do not have any interest in shorting this market, due to the massive uptrend that we have seen, but quite frankly this is a market that is probably due for some type of correction. This will be especially true if the US dollar starts to spike going forward, which obviously has a small influence on this market.
I think the only thing you can count on at this point is a bit of volatility as we are at a major level, and of course the markets in general are freaking out about the Federal Reserve and the high inflation that we see. If they slam on the brakes by tightening monetary policy, it could drive down demand in the world’s biggest economy, which has a knock on effect in several other economies. Because of this, crude oil will more than likely have to cool off a bit in order to build up momentum to the upside.
WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Price Breaks Short-Term ResistanceThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market rallied a bit on Tuesday to show signs of life and break through a very short-term resistance barrier. We have not been able to sustain the move significantly, but it still looks as if we are going to get more bullish pressure. When you look at the chart, it does not take a lot of imagination to suggest that we have just broken above the top of a bullish flag, which is a very bullish sign and could send this market towards the most recent highs near the $85 level.
To the downside, we have the 50 day EMA turning towards the upside and showing signs of positivity. That should be support, and I think that any short-term pullback will more than likely offer a nice opportunity to get long. However, if we were to break down below there, then it is likely that we will go challenging the $73 level underneath. The $73 level was an area of significant resistance previously, but I do not think that it will be as important this time if we get down to that area.
On the other hand, if we break above the top of the candlestick for the trading session on Tuesday, then it is likely that we could go looking towards the $79 level, an area where we had sold off from previously. If we can break above there and the $80 level, then it is likely that we could go much higher. Ultimately, this is a market that I do think continues to see plenty of buyers, and this will be especially true if we continue to see plenty of pressure. The market has been rallying for the last couple weeks, and the noisy behavior that we have seen over the last week or so is simply the market trying to build up enough momentum to continue what we had seen previously. I have no interest in shorting this market, but if we broke down below the $73 level, then we might see a little bit more of a correction, but that is about as negative as I plan on getting in this market anytime soon. This is a market that looks as if it is building up plenty of upward pressure.
WTI Crude Oil ForecastAs we get back to work, traders will have to put money back on their books in order to take risk on, and crude oil certainly looks like it is a great candidate for something like that. With the 50 day EMA sitting just below the $75 level, that means that the $75 level has little bit more psychology attached to it than usual. Nonetheless, you can see that we have skyrocketed over the last couple of weeks and I think it has become obvious as to which direction traders are starting to trade this market now that massive lockdowns due to the omicron seem to be off the table. That was one of the biggest concerns that most traders had, that economies would have to shut down and thereby kill the idea of demand for energy.
Now that traders have to get back to work, they will find alpha to generate, and crude oil is one of the best places to do so. While we did not completely wipe out the massive selloff from about a month ago, we got awfully close to it and that does suggest that perhaps we will eventually make that attempt once traders start to put full positions back on. Another thing to pay attention to is the jobs numbers coming on Friday, and that will also give us a big “heads up” as to potential energy demand, so it could be yet another reason to think that the market may go higher over the intermediate term. I have no interest in shorting this market right now, as I believe it is well supported all the way down to at least $70.