TRADE THE OPEC CHANNEL - LONG & SHORTI've done a full blown video on the analysis of this trade see my idea links below and the ideas behind the pin bar reversal price action training chart (how to enter the trade).
We're in a downtrend so this possible reversal so i recommend a smaller risk trade,
Beginners - Take profits on the way up after taking T1, move T1 and T2 your stops to zero (No risk)
Advanced - leave your stops alone, you know this thing could reverse back and bouce up, like it did Friday 25th Nov.
The buyers are in our favour on a move lower into the SPR and OPEC buying zone.
Take profits at T1 and let the rest of the trade run up to T2 and T3
Wtilong
How to profit from Crude Oil - LONG (and short) The USA is in a political battle over the price of oil with OPEC and right now they are winning, but how low can they go? Not too much lower actually, they need to start buying again to ensure their strategic reserves remain useful and not at risk of dropping below the requried levels to support the country in times of emergency.
OPEC $64 - To ensure OPEC break even on oil product, they will control the market above
SPR $72 - To replenish the reserves the USA is a buyer at $67 - $72 a barrel, not too far from where we are now
EU $70 - The EU are in talks to ensure Russian oil cannot be sold above $70
Pin Bar $77 - We have a bin bar rejection to support the market move North again
Fib 78.6% - We've rejected this level 7 times on the weekly and daily chart
Target 1 - We've already tested and profited from this move upto $82 and we'll be doing that again
Target 2 - Fib 61.8% at 88 will be our next target
Target 3 - Fib 50% at 92 will be our final target
Short - If we break down past 77, we'll be a buyer just below at the SPR support levels.
CRUDE OIL EXPECTED RALLYRising US crude exports, indicator for increased demand, and weakening of the dollar helped for a price surge of WTI, which broke and close above the 12 days formed resistance on the 4H graph.
The technical indicators are also suggesting a bullish movement, with MACD histogram above 0 line and rising and RSI above 50 neutral line.
If this movement continues, the price of the instrument might try to reach levels of 93.8, but in the opposite scenario the price might test its previous support at 82.7
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Buy WTIGood day everyone! Don't forget to put your thumbs up and write comment if you like the idea
📈 #WTI (Texas Oil)
Oil on the D1 timeframe forms a reversal pattern "H&S" after the formation of the right shoulder of the figure and the breakdown of the resistance neck line, I will consider Long with targets of $100 per barrel
DISCLAIMER:
The opinion of the author may not coincide with yours! Keep this in mind and consider in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI increased in value in the start of today's Asia session, following a weakened US dollar and the news that China is easing the COVID lockdowns, which will most likely boost the economy of the second largest energy consumer.
On the technical site, the instrument broke the resistance of the triangle pattern, MACD histogram is above 0 line and RSI indicator is above the neutral 50 line.
If the trend continues, the price might reach levels of 88.5, on the other hand, if trend reverses, the price might test its previous support at 83.8
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
USOIL adam bottom demand zone 82.40 for long8th September daily key reversal bar, made a new low closed in the middle. 9th September daily insurance bar indication for strength ahead. high probability for long opportunity from demand zone as 82.40-20 with half risk, may use remaining half% risk from 81.30, stop loss 80.50, target: 88.50
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI rose in value in response of potential OPEC+ cuts and conflict in Libya. This possibility of supply cuts was enough to offset the effect of the strong US dollar.
WTI broke the resistance line of the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish outlook, supported as well by the RSI and MACD indicators.
The instrument might test its previous support level at 99.70, but if the break turns out to be false, the instrument might test its previous support at 94.70
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
CRUDE OIL: Bullish Pin Bar SignalCRUDE OIL : Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal
Price Action: Price formed a Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal overnight.
The recent Bullish Tailed Bar Signal that had formed mid-last week failed (We suggested trading this signal in the July 11th members' weekly newsletter).
Potential Trade Idea: We are considering buying on a retracement lower to within the range of the most recent Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal.
Outlook on WTI: Bearish play seen On the H4 time frame, prices are showing bearish order flow with lower lows and lower highs being formed. On the H1 time frame, a pullback to the resistance zone at 107.00, in line with the descending trend line, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, graphical resistance level and 100% Fibonacci extension level presents an opportunity to play the drop. Our next support target at 100.20 coincides with the potential 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stochastic is also showing limited upside as well before it reaches resistance, in line with prices.
CRUDE OIL – Futures: Buying Within The Range Of Pin Bar Signal CRUDE OIL – Futures: Buying Within The Range Of Pin Bar Signal
Price Action: Price moved slightly higher from the Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed late last week (We suggested trading this signal in the May 20th, daily newsletter).
Price moved higher from the recent Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed over a week ago (We did not consider trading this signal).
Price moved higher from within the range of the recent Bullish Tailed Bar Signal that had formed just above the $95.43 short-term support level around four weeks ago (We suggested trading the pullback to this signal in the May 1st, weekly newsletter and hopefully some traders got on board).
Potential Trade Idea 1: For more aggressive traders, we are considering buying on a retracement lower to within the range of the prior Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed last Thursday, May 19th.
Potential Trade Idea 2: We are considering buying on a retracement lower whilst price remains above the recent Bullish Tailed Bar Signal that had formed just above the $95.43 short-term support level.
CRUDE OIL: Bullish Pin Bar SignalCRUDE OIL – Futures: Bullish Pin Bar Signal
Price Action: Price formed a Bullish Pin Bar Signal overnight.
Price moved higher from the recent Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed late last week (We did not consider trading this signal).
Price moved higher from within the range of the recent Bullish Tailed Bar Signal that had formed just above the $95.43 short-term support level over three weeks ago (We suggested trading the pullback to this signal in the May 1st, weekly newsletter and hopefully some traders got on board).
Potential Trade Idea 1: For more aggressive traders, we are considering buying on a retracement lower to within the range of the current Bullish Pin Bar Signal.
Potential Trade Idea 2: We are considering buying on a retracement lower whilst price remains above the recent Bullish Tailed Bar Signal that had formed just above the $95.43 short-term support level.
CRUDE OIL: Bullish Fakey SetupCRUDE OIL – Futures: Bullish Fakey Setup Triggered
Price Action: Price moved higher from the recent Bullish Multi-Bar Fakey Setup that had formed just above the $88.81 – $95.43 short-term support area, earlier this week (We suggested trading this setup in the April 12th, members' daily newsletter).
Potential Trade Idea: We are now considering buying on a retracement lower to within the range of the recent Bullish Multi-Bar Fakey Setup area.
CRUDE OIL – Futures: Buying A PullbackCRUDE OIL – Futures: Buying After A Pullback To Support Area
Price Action: There is no new price action signal to note at this time.
The recent Bearish Inside Bar Pattern + Pin Bar (Combo Setup), didn’t trigger (We did not consider trading this setup, nor did we mention it).
Potential Trade Idea: We are still considering buying on a retracement lower and after a price action buy signal, within the $88.81 – $95.84 short-term support area.
Oil looking to make big rise in 2022Crude oil just broke out of long time falling wedge pattern at around the $60.00 area as seem on chart. With inflation at 20 - 30 year highs, war looming, and talks of strikes at the refineries the target of $162.95 area could easily happen. This will cause sky high gasoline prices going into Q2/summer and continuing throughout fall/Q3, I am assuming.