Wtioil
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (3rd January 2022)WTI oil rose over 20% since its low at 61.46 USD on 2nd December 2021. We previously noted that weakness in the general stock market posed a threat for further rise of the price of USOIL in the short-term. However, since then the general stock market seems to stabilize. Because of that we regained our bullish view; additionally, we would like to set a short-term price target for USOIL to 77 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI continues to develop bullish structure. Stochastic is also bullish and MACD performed a bullish crossover above 0 points which further bolsters the bullish case for USOIL. DM+ and DM- show mixed conditions; and ADX declined substantially which suggests that the prevailing trend lost strength.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI points to the upside which is bullish. Stochastic is bullish too and MACD started to flatten (still in the bullish zone). We will observe MACD in the following weeks and we will watch out whether it manages to stay within the bullish zone and reverse back to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions while ADX continues to decline. Though, ADX's value is a little bit higher than the value of ADX on a daily time frame.
Illustration 1.01
Picture above shows the weekly chart of USOIL. It also shows setup for head and shoulders being formed. We will observe whether this pattern will continue to develop further. However, at the moment, we believe this pattern will get distorted and price will continue higher.
Support and resistance
Following support and resistance levels are derived from the peaks and troughs in price of USOIL. Short-term support sits at 73.30 USD and short-term resistance lies at 77.41 USD. Next closest resistance appears at 79.20 USD and then at 81.78 USD. Major resistance lies at 85.39 USD. Major support level can be found at 61.76 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
OIL Analysis. Buy and Sell POIs marked
Will look for a Sell or a buy in the marked POIs. No direct entries.
Risk 1% and aiming for 10% on this trade. No indicators used. Pure price action. Like to keep my chart clean. Simply trading structure, nothing else!!
All trades closed on the same day. Entries are taken on 1 min or lower timeframes. Stop loss is moved to cost after structure break. Don't chase the trades, wait for the next opportunity.
Also, please view price action on 1 min chart if you're following my entries. It will make sense. Trading view doesn't allow to post entries on charts smaller than 15 minutes.
Mostly trade 12-5pm UK time NY session. Sometimes London Session. Don't like the idea of watching charts the whole day.
OIL: Huge Head & ShouldersWow! Could this be the right shoulders forming on OIL?
The remaining imbalance is being filled and we are creeping up into the main supply, if we see rejections, we could have a bearish move all the way down into the equal lows.
Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply.
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Trading Crypto, Futures, Forex, CFDs, and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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WTI OIL The important 1D MA50 testWell I've been tracking and trading the pattern you see on this chart for over a month and the very last formations have played out particularly well:
Right now WTI is ahead of the first important test of this uptrend, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which is currently posing as a Resistance. If that breaks, we have a strong case of a bullish continuation. However, this the current wave is repeating that of August - September quite closely, the (yellow) Lower Highs trend-line will be critical as well, and what I am particularly looking as confirmation is a rejection there, hold on the 1D MA50 and the red Ichimoku area and then a strong bullish break-out. The RSI is so far on course for its Symmetrical Resistance of those Lower Highs. If that breaks, our next target will be $85.00.
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USD/CAD Technical Analysis, WTI CAD Fundamental OverviewUSDCAD has reached a 1 year high @1.2965. Breaking through the 1.2960 resistance could lead USDCAD to push towards 1.3020.
Canada Core Retail Sales came out under expectations (1.3% vs 1.6%), reinforcing with fundamentals the technical analysis.
Omicron is now the dominant COVID strain in US, with new cases soaring in Canada as well. Tighter measures have been put in place on Monday, as Quebec shuts down schools, bars, gyms.
WTI price is still under pressure despite the recent rebound, likely a reaction to the new wave of omicron virus is hitting US and Europe, with the new restrictions from countries (still not in place in certain large markets, but are being studied) may reduce the demand of WTI and put heavy pressure on its price.
CAD is one of the major commodity currencies which is highly correlated with WTI’s price, so lower price on WTI will push USDCAD trend to go higher as weaker CAD is expected.
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WTI OIL Consolidation almost over. Buy the break-out.This is an update to a pattern on WTI that I've been working on since August:
As you see, the price did eventually rebound and right now is consolidating within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being the Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) being the Resistance. This is similar to the August 25 - September 10 consolidation, looking like another accumulation phase before a major rally.
Be ready to buy the break-out and target 76.30 on the short-term, which where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may act as a Resistance. After the (yellow) Lower Highs trend-line breaks, our attention shifts to the long-term target of $85.00.
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Technical analysis update: WTI oil (7th December 2021)Today WTI oil broke above 70 USD and it currently trades around 71.50 USD per barrel. In our previous ideas we stated that ongoing politics between OPEC and the U.S. presented headwinds for the price of oil. We also noted that USOIL reached oversold conditions and its price was very attractive for long position (re)entry (as we remained bullish in long-term). Then we updated the most recent idea on 3rd December 2020 where we said that a bullish breakout above 69.21 USD took place. Today's breakout above the 70 USD price tag is even more bullish; additionally, it suggests that correction most likely ended. We are bullish on oil in the short-term as well as in the long-term. Because of that we would like to set a short-term price target for USOIL to 72.50 USD. Our medium-term price target for USOIL is 75 USD and our long-term price target for oil is 85 USD per barrel.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
Stochastic reversed and it is currently pointing into a bullish direction. RSI broke above 30 points (from oversold zone) which is very bullish. MACD remains in the bearish area, however, it shows first signs of trying to reverse. This view is also supported by its declining histogram. Additionally, ADX peaked which suggests that correction peaked as well. Though, DM+ and DM- continue to show bearish conditions. Overall, technical analysis is less bearish than at the time of our most recent update. Indeed, several indicators point to the end of correction and reversal in trend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI seems to reverse its bearish direction back to the upside. We will await confirmation of this move by gain in USOIL for the current week (and next week). MACD remains in the bullish area, however, it still points into bearish direction. It needs to be observed closely in the following weeks.Stochastic remains bearish. DM+ and DM- remain bearish, however, ADX declines which suggests that selling pressure is cooling off. In general, weekly time frame remains bearish. Because of that we remain little bit cautious. However, weekly time frame respons with higher latency than daily time frame.
Support and resistance
Closest psychological support sits at 70 USD while short-term support sits slightly below that at 69.60 USD. Other two support levels are at 69.21 USD and then at 65.11 USD. Major support level appears at 61.76 USD. Closest resistance lies at 74.21 USD, then other resistance levels sit at 75.47 USD and at 76.95 USD. Major resistance level is at 85.39 USD.
Other possible resistance levels:
These resistance levels are derived from the peaks that price made during the correction. They are at 79.20 USD and 84.95 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone hope you spending a good weekend, Here's the update for WTI Crude Oil in daily timeframe, as we can see in the chart seems the first leg of wave <2> has been completed and we are in the wave X of this correction. I'll prepare wave count in H1 timeframe to see these movements by more details, see the next post for that. You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates.
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WTI Oil can rise above 80 (again)From 25th October's high at around 85, Oil has started to correct and dropped to strong demand zone between 62 and 65.
Now, this correction seems to be over and we can have a leg up above 80 again.
I'm bullish as long as the price is above 65 and, in my opinion, dips should be bought
WTI OIL approaching a medium-term ResistanceThis is an update to my WTI Oil outlook made over a week ago:
Despite breaking below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the Higher Lows trend-line of the multi-month Bullish Megaphone pattern, the price managed to close all 1D candles within the pattern and formed a Support. It has come very close to my first 73.50 Target which is near the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). I consider this a strong Resistance, in fact the whole zone as high as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where we can see a weekly consolidation and sideways trading in a similar way as in late August - early September.
Short-term traders may buy if the price breaks above the 1D MA100 and target 76.30 and engage for a more long-term trade only if the 1D MA50 breaks (TP 85.00 in that case).
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US OIL stuck In a trendline resistance. Can it break out? The crude oil price has been on a steady climb this week, with two consecutive increases since the beginning. Today American market has not opened yet, but its possible prices will continue climbing even more tomorrow if they haven't already. But the crude price stuck below the trendline resistance nearly $75.30/barrel.
The rise in crude goods is likely due to increased demand out east caused by cold weather and holiday celebrations—the recent production cuts between OPEC members like Saudi Arabia who want lower gas prices.
At the same time, other countries need higher profits now instead of later when there might be fewer buyers because everyone needs fuel at some point or another-especially during winter months which require lots of road salt.
From the current crude price, $75.30 is the total resistance area. Breaking above $75 will open the door for $85/barrel.
On the other hand, as the market holds below the trendline resistance level, it may also correct a little bit to the downside. But fundamentally, I don't think it will drop a lot. It probably won't fall but a lot, but as a correction, it can test moreover $68.
Note: Don't go short on Oil as long as fundamental factors support be a higher price, at least during this month.
Cude oil Trend and Wave AnalysisCrude oil chart. My view of this chart is that it is creating an abc flat structure and is currently in wave c. This wave will grow in the form of 5 waves.
ukoil ... usoil ... wtioil ... opecoil
The wave you see in the future price on the chart is a schematic of a possible price trend and will not be formed just to clarify the possible price movement.
This is a personal analysis and should not be considered a criterion for buying or selling. Please pay attention the take profit and stop loss.
Nemodar naft kham va tashkil sakhtar abc flat ke pishbini mishe ta target taeen shode roye chart ghemat dar Ayande roshd kone ke mishe azash dar tahlil joft arzhaye commodity azash estefade kard
WTI BULLS 🐮WTI is showing solid signs that we could be moving into a bullish market in the current trading week.
We have already executed longs and have added to them, our take profit levels are already listed and we will determine based on short-term price action which level will be our profit target. Since we will compound the possible upside we might be getting out sooner as our profit could drastically increase due to compounding.
If we take into account price action, you will see that we have already formed a higher high and a higher low, while right now we are stuck in a little range, volume is increasing on WTI which suggest a move is coming today.
We are long until proven wrong.
✅WTI OIL WILL GO UP|LONG🚀
✅WTI OIL was trading in a downtrend
In a bullish wedge pattern, then retested a horizontal support
And finally broke out of the wedge to the upside
Now, the price is making a pullback to retest a demand area below
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
LONG🚀
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Technical analysis update: WTI oil (2nd December 2021)Contrary to our expectations, OPEC's meeting resulted in a further drop in the price of USOIL. Sudden drop of more than 2 USD per barrel (to as low as 62.46 USD) occured on headline news regarding the proposal on output hike by Russian Federation.
Sudden selloff is shown on 1 minute chart below:
It took merely 5 minutes for USOIL to drop over 4.3%.
We previously stated that we expected OPEC to ease production as a countermeasure to release of strategic oil reserves by the U.S. and its allies. However, the Russian Federation came forward with the opposite proposal at today's OPEC meeting (to boost production by 400 000 bpd, starting in January 2022).
Price retracement after selloff:
It took approximately an hour for price to retrace headline news selloff.
Overall, we continue to see headwinds for WTI oil in the short-term and medium-term ( mainly due to rise in production, global lockdown measures and ongoing politics between OPEC and the U.S.). Technical indicators show extremely oversold conditions on a daily time frame while weekly time frame suggests that bearish structure may continue to develop further for a little longer. Despite that we remain bullish in the long-term.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI broke into the oversold area for the second time now. We expect its reversal and crossover above 30 points. We expect such an occurrence to be accompanied by a bounce in price. MACD continues to develop bearish structure and it is getting overextended. Stochastic, DM+ and DM- also show bearish conditions. ADX seems to be growing rapidly which suggests that correction nears its end (as peak in ADX often coincides with peak in prevailing trend).
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- show the same conditions. ADX decreases which suggests that trend of higher degree is becoming neutral.
Support and resistance
Major resistance level sits at 85.39 USD while the major support level sits at 61.58 USD. Resistance 1 is at 74.21 USD, Resistance 2 is at 75.47 USD and then Resistance 3 is at 76.95 USD. Medium-term resistance is at 69.60 USD. Short-term resistance appears at 69.21 USD and immediate support/resistance sits at 65.11 USD.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
USOIL 2.12 - Technically bearish short termThe price crossed the Kumo on the DLY TF and the lagging span validated by breaking both the Cloud and the trendline.
The price almost reached the first TP.
Pullback to the TL by the lagging span is possible. OPEC today so high volatility is to be expected.