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WTI OIL 1st 4H Death Cross in 7 months. Will it turn bearish?WTI Oil (USOIL) made a solid (Higher) Low at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern and started rising as we discussed on our previous idea (April 22, see chart below): We now need to take it a time-frame lower to 4H as on Friday the market formed the first 4H Death Cross (4H MA50 crossing below the 4H MA200) in almost 7 months (since October 10 2023). This has the capacity to invalidate the current 4-month bullish trend but only if Oil closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). As long as it doesn't, we remain bullish on WTI, targeting 94.00, which is at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up and marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is where the previous Higher High peaked. At the same time, this is where the the previous Channel Up of July - September 2023 made the symmetrical Higher High, relative to the current proportion. As you can see, there is a strong degree of symmetry between the two fractals, even in terms of RSI, with the only notable difference (which as mentioned can be critical), being the 4H Death Cross. If the price does close that 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will take the loss on the buy and go short instead, targeting 78.00 (just above Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
WTI looks set to bounce above $80Oil prices have retraced just under 8% from the MTD (month-to-date) high. And it looks like the market is trying to stabilise around a support cluster, just above the $80 handle. The cluster includes the 50-day MA, high-volume node and prior consolidation zone. A small doji also firmed around these levels to suggest a swing high has formed, or very near. A bounce to $84 could be on the cards as part of a technical retracement against its prior move lower. Bulls could enter live around current levels with a stop beneath $80, or seek dips towards it in anticipation of an eventual move higher to increase the potential reward to risk ratio.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
WTI OIL On the 1D MA50 & bottom of the Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time since February 07 and touched the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, forming a Higher Low. This is only 2 weeks after the formation of a 1D Golden Cross, the first since August 22 2023. That Golden Cross was also formed during a correction, which eventually kept the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) intact and initiated a new Bullish Leg towards the 2.0 and 2.382 Fibonacci extensions. As a result, we remain bullish as long as Oil closes 1D candles above the 1D MA200, and target $94.00 (Fib 2.0 ext). If it closes even a single candle below it, we expect a new long-term Channel Down, similar to the one that was initiated after the September 28 2023 High, and we will take the small loss, open a short and target 71.50 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
Oil Prices: Geopolitical Tensions and Market DynamicsOil prices have once again surged, reaching nearly $88.00 per barrel, despite a recent minor decline. This uptick in prices is occurring amidst a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and a strengthening US Dollar. However, amidst this volatility, it's essential to dissect the various factors influencing oil prices, from geopolitical unrest to economic forecasts and technical indicators. Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions often act as a catalyst for oil price volatility. Conflicts in oil-producing regions can disrupt supply chains and lead to uncertainty in the market. Recent geopolitical events have heightened concerns, contributing to the surge in oil prices. However, it's crucial to note that while geopolitical factors can trigger short-term spikes, their long-term impact is contingent on broader market dynamics and economic fundamentals. Impact of Economic Forecasts and Electric Vehicle Market Growth: The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently revised its oil demand forecast for the current year and the next, citing a lackluster economic outlook and the growing market share of electric vehicles (EVs). This adjustment underscores the evolving landscape of energy consumption, with EVs exerting pressure on traditional oil demand. As such, forecasts of slower growth in oil demand highlight the need for adaptability within the energy sector. Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies: Technical analysis plays a pivotal role in navigating oil price fluctuations. Assessing indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Fibonacci levels provides insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. Currently, the confluence of signals, including RSI divergence and overbought conditions, suggests caution. Additionally, the absence of a significant retracement to the 78.6% Fibonacci level warrants a strategic approach to setting stop-loss levels and identifying potential entry points. US Dollar Strength and Interest Rate Differentials: The recent rally in the US Dollar Index (DXY) underscores market expectations of a widening interest-rate differential between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other central banks. This divergence in monetary policy influences currency movements and has implications for commodities priced in dollars, such as oil. Understanding the interplay between currency dynamics and oil prices is essential for informed decision-making in trading and investment strategies. In addition to fundamental and technical analyses, seasonality patterns offer valuable insights into market behavior. By examining historical price trends during specific times of the year, traders can identify recurring patterns and optimize their trading strategies accordingly. Incorporating seasonality analysis alongside other analytical tools enhances the robustness of decision-making processes and mitigates risks associated with market volatility.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by FOREXN1
3
WTI CRUDE OIL: Going to $100 by end of May.WTI Crude Oil is on very healthy bullish levels on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 63.780, MACD = 1.930, ADX = 37.316) as well as on 1W (RSI = 60.882). This supports the notion that until 1W turns overbought, the 1D can continue to sustain the bullish sequence that started on the December 13th 2023 low. Having formed a 1D Golden Cross just this Tuesday, the last time we got that formation was on August 22nd 2023. You can see that WTI was within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range then and immediately rallied after the Cross to complete a +49.50% rise from the bottom. We expect a similar trend reaction and we are targeting slightly under the symmetric +49.50% mark (TP = 100.00). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
#XTIUSD/WTIOIL: 2000 Pips Buying Opportunity! Do not miss outFirst prediction on XTIUSD turned out to be a successful one where take profit '1' hit . successfully which gave us nice 900 pips in profit. Now we are looking at the broader picture on XTIUSD, targeting 96.00 region which remain crucial for many traders. Price is at the right zone to enter swing, take entry with accurate stop loss that suits your trading style. Please do your own research too before taking any buying entry on XTIUSD. Like and share for more!
FXOPEN:XTIUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
7
XTIUSD(USOIL): 07/04/2024 We are pleased to inform you that our previous four setups on XTIUSD have been successfully respected. We maintain our belief that our initial target of $100 is highly achievable. The price has rebounded effectively from our initial concept. At this juncture, we anticipate a minor correction before the price reaches our designated area. Our immediate target is $92, which represents a substantial 1000 pips from our entry point. Our ultimate take profit objective remains at 1800 pips.
FXOPEN:XTIUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6
Oil unaffected by the Port of Baltimore's closureAfter breaking above the ascending channel and reaching its highest value in nearly six months late last week, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil retested the upper bound of the channel during yesterday’s trading session. The outlook continues to look bullish on daily and weekly time frames. Nevertheless, multiple indicators flash overbought signals on the daily chart, implying this might not be the best spot to enter the market on the long side, and instead, it might be preferable to wait for a more substantial correction. While waiting for such an event, we would like to address a recent tragedy in Baltimore that captured national headlines and caused the closure of the Port of Baltimore. Some analysts proclaimed this to be the start of bigger problems for various supply chains. However, despite the event's emotional weight and social implications, its impact on the oil market has been minimal. That is mainly because the port’s imports are not made up of crude oil but rather petroleum-derived products, including biodiesel, asphalt, and numerous fertilizers (along with different non-petroleum products). Therefore, the port does not hold considerable significance to the oil market. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and the upward-sloping channel. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
WTI OIL Consolidation before rise to $91.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 28 High supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) - 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) Zone. The Bullish Legs have so far recorded rises within a +8.24% to +10.24% range. Right now it appears that Oil has finished the latest Bullish Leg as the 4H RSI made its standard Peak formation and declined. According to the previous RSI patterns, this decline is the most optimal buy entry. Now we should be expecting a consolidation around the 4H MA50 and not lower than the 4H MA200 before the next rally. Taking the lowest +8.24% rise scenario, we are targeting for a minimum Higher High at 91.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
WTI OIL Big rally ahead unless it breaks below the 1W MA100.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our long-term 82.50 Target last week, a call made early this year (January 12, see chart below) when the price was still at $74.33: At the moment, the price sits above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 23 2023, as the week opened above it. This calls for an upward extension similar to the September 04 2023 1W MA100 bullish break-out. As long as the 1W candles close above the 1W MA100, we will stay bullish, targeting the 18-month Resistance Zone (red) at 92.50. If Oil closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA100 though, we will take the loss and open a short instead, targeting the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Higher Lows trend-line at 79.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
1
WTI CRUDE OIL Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil reached the top of the December 2023 Channel Up as well as the dashed Channel Up that started after it crossed over the MA50 (1d). This is a double sell opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Sell again if the price closes a (1d) candle under the dashed Channel Up. Targets: 1. 82.00 (bottom of dashed Channel Up). 2. 79.00 (bottom of long term Channel Up). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) crossed into the overbought zone (above 70.00). That is an additional reason for a technical correction. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingBrokersView
WTICO Outperforms BCO on US Oil Production RiseWTICO (West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil) has recently been outperforming BCO (Brent Crude Oil). This trend coincides with an increase in US-produced oil replacing sanctioned Indian refined oil. Potential Opportunity in WTICO The shift in market dynamics could present an opportunity for traders considering long positions in WTICO. However, as always, it's important to conduct your own research and consider factors like: • Market Volatility: Oil prices can fluctuate significantly due to various factors. • Global Oil Production: Changes in global oil production can impact WTICO's price. • Your Investment Strategy: This trade should align with your overall risk tolerance and investment goals. Stay Informed, Make Informed Decisions We recommend staying updated on market developments before making any investment decisions. We're Here to Help Please don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further within the comments.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
US OIL (WTI) MARKET ANALYSE. (READ CAPTION)Technical Analysis: Incorporate key trading indicators such as the double line resistance breakout, pullback support, and demand zone analysis to assess price movements in the US Oil market. Identify channels and trendlines to spot potential breakout or breakdown points, confirming with volume and momentum indicators like relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD). Additionally, monitor the US Dollar Index (DXY) for its impact on oil prices, considering its inverse correlation. Stay vigilant for opportunities at support and demand zones, utilizing these levels for entry and exit points in your trading strategy. If you like this idea please support with boost comment and follow thanks for with us.
TVC:USOILLong
by Alexview009
U.S. oil prices will continue to rise on March 14th. As the four major inventories continue to decrease. U.S. oil continues to rise. WTI quotation as of closing: 79.153 U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week to March 8 (10,000 barrels) (-5.221 million barrels) U.S. EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week to March 8 (-1.536 million barrels) EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week to March 8 (-220,000 barrels) EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories in the United States for the week to March 8 (596,000 barrels) BLACKBULL:WTI FPMARKETS:WTI BLACKBULL:WTI NYMEX:WTI1! MATBAROFEX:WTI1! There are good motivations for the rise in oil prices. At the beginning of the Asian market, oil was stable above 79. Judging from short-term trends, market demand continues to increase due to the spread of geopolitics. It is expected to continue to rise above 80. At the same time, OPEC countries have also decided to reduce production. If there is no physical fall below 79 in the short term, you can directly buy. If the body falls sharply and falls below 79. We can buy near 78.6 in the second position personal suggestion: 79.-79.3 buy. sl78.TP80.6 The transaction price is based on the real-time price of TradingView. When you are not a member and follow the above operations, remember to control risks.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by T0_messenger
WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis: Trends, Tensions, and TurnaroundsThe WTI light crude oil benchmark is currently navigating a complex landscape, trading around $83.50 amidst a convergence of factors influencing its trajectory. At present, the market finds itself within a critical juncture, characterized by the interplay of supply dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and currency movements. Recent market movements have seen WTI prices facing downward pressure, largely attributed to the resurgence of the US Dollar (USD) and unexpected increases in US crude and gasoline inventories. The hawkish remarks from US Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller have bolstered the Greenback, signaling a cautious approach towards interest rate adjustments. Consequently, a stronger USD renders dollar-denominated oil more expensive for foreign investors, thereby curbing demand and exerting downward pressure on WTI prices. Moreover, the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) report revealing a surprising build-up in US crude inventories further compounded the bearish sentiment surrounding WTI prices. This unexpected uptick in stockpiles added to the downward pressure on prices, reflecting a delicate balance between supply and demand dynamics in the market. Despite these bearish indicators, the geopolitical landscape presents a contrasting narrative. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine have injected a degree of uncertainty into global oil markets. The intensified attacks on Russia's oil infrastructure by Ukraine, coupled with ongoing geopolitical unrest, have the potential to disrupt global supply chains and mitigate the downward pressure on WTI prices. Amidst this backdrop, market analysts are closely monitoring key technical indicators for potential market reversals. The presence of an H4 supply area, coupled with the formation of a possible Double Top pattern and overbought conditions signaled by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggests the possibility of a reversal in WTI prices. However, the outcome remains uncertain, contingent upon the interplay of market forces and geopolitical developments in the coming days. In conclusion, the WTI crude oil market is navigating a complex web of factors, encompassing supply dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and currency fluctuations. While bearish indicators weigh on prices, geopolitical uncertainties and technical signals hint at the potential for a market reversal. As market participants continue to monitor developments, the future trajectory of WTI prices remains subject to ongoing market dynamics and geopolitical events.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
WTI - UPDATE - 28 - 03 - 2024"Investors are eyeing an opportunity with a target price (TP) set at 82,800, coupled with a stop-loss point at 80,300, indicating a strategic approach to managing risk and maximizing returns in the market. This vision suggests a calculated investment strategy, where traders are aiming to capitalize on potential gains while mitigating losses. The decision to buy is influenced by not only technical price levels but also the fundamental strength of the asset, possibly reflected in its price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. This approach reflects a blend of technical analysis and fundamental research, highlighting a comprehensive approach to trading or investing."
BLACKBULL:WTI
by FdidineYahya
WTI OIL Strong sell aheadWTI Oil (USOIL) eventually held the short-term uptrend within the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up and hit our 81.85 Target, as explained on our last idea (March 14 2024, see chart below): Moving out to the 1D time-frame, we can see that the price has started to pull-back after reaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up pattern. In addition, it was rejected on the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line). As the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross, selling may start to gain momentum and transition into the new Bearish Leg. The previous one hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the top. It also made the last contact with the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been Oil's multi-year Support. As a result, we are now turning bearish on WTI, targeting the 0.618 Fib at 76.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot