CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Outlook Explained
Crude Oil will most likely keep falling soon.
The price violated a key daily horizontal support and closed below that.
We can anticipate a bearish continuation at least to 71.9
Look for selling the market from a supply area based on a broken structure and a falling trend line.
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Wtioilsignals
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Time to Sell?!
WTI Crude Oil is testing a recently broken horizontal support.
After a violation, it turned into a potentially strong resistance.
Approaching the underlined area, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern
on an hourly time frame.
A breakout of its horizontal neckline is a strong intraday bearish confirmation for us.
We can expect a bearish continuation now.
Goals 74.9 / 74.3
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Crude oil fell as expected, empty orders made profits, beautiful
The crude oil was prompted in the intraday, and it went short directly, and now it has fallen sharply, and the friends who kept up with it made profits again, which is very beautiful! ! Keep up with the rhythm, in order not to get lost, please stay tuned, thank you!
WTI CRUDE OIL SEEM SELL CORRECTION THEN BUY....
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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WTI CRUDE OIL POSSIBLE TO BUY....
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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WTI CRUDE OIL WAITE FOR BREAKOUT THEN BUY....
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reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
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WTI Oil- Will it drop under 70?In my previous Wti Oil analysis, I draw attention to the possibility of a double top formed above 120 with the neckline at the 92 zone.
Oil has dropped under this support and confirmed this zone as new resistance.
At this moment the price is also under 85 support and the road looks clear for continuation.
The next obvious level of support is around 65 and as long as 85 is intact sell rallies is my strategy.
WTI Cude (OIL) POSSIBLE TO BUY ......
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reliance on the information contained within this channel including
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WTI Cude (OIL) BUY TRADE IDEAHello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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WTI OIL is correcting. Continue to fall or new rally ahead?A month ago when WTI Oil was testing historic Highs due to the escalation of the Ukraine - Russia war, I called for the need to pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line):
That day turned out to be the market top (to this date) and Oil did pull-back to the 1D MA50. In fact after the first 1D MA50 test (and hold), the price rebounded but only managed to make a Lower High and eventually got rejected back towards the 1D MA50 again, which held (so far) for the 2nd time. It is obvious that as long as it holds, it makes a stronger case for a new rebound. If that breaks above the prior Lower High/ Resistance of 117.00, then we can claim that the long-term bullish trend will be extended and in the next 3 months we will see successive Higher Highs. The basis for this, as I also analyzed on my March 08 analysis, is the similarities of the past 6 months of Oil's price action with the September 2020 - March 2021 sequence.
On the other hand, if the 1D MA50 fails and a 1D candle closes below it, WTI should seek the next Resistance Zone which consists of the Prior High of 85.50 and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently at 80.75. A closing below the 1D MA200, could open the way to a new Bear Cycle.
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WTI OIL in need of a pull-back to the 1D MA50.One of the biggest (if not the biggest) winner of the current war between Russian and Ukraine, is Oil. Energy crises are almost a certainty in times of geopolitical conflicts involving major producers. Even though it is tough predicting technically WTI prices while war is ongoing, charting past fractals could give an idea to where, at least the next consolidation phase could be.
The price action from November 2021 to today has been so far fairly similar to the sequence from November 2020 to March 2021. Both have gone on a slightly above +100% rise since their November lows. Right now the current 1D RSI sequence is exactly on the February 17 2021 RSI top, which prompted the price to enter a Channel Up that eventually led to a Top two weeks later.
Based on this and of course assuming that the war is entering its final stage and will not escalate into a multi-month conflict involving more countries, WTI Oil may be entering an exhaustion channel that will eventually lead to a pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is what happened in March 2021. After that, and depending on how the geopolitical stage will look like, we will re-evaluate our thesis.
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Unique analyis for USOIL, Wyckoff P&F targetsAs you see P&F chart on the right.
USOIL is bullish . Price can reach 85.5-86.6 as our estimating targets.
We'd like to see price going up to grab liquidity above previous highs.
Now, we're still holding long positions.
If we have a distribution, we can think about selling USOIL after that.
If you find the article useful or interesting,
Let's comment below !
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Notes on using this USOIL trading idea
This is ONLYGOLD team's idea and analysis.
Let's see it as an example or a reference.
You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
WTI Cude (OIL) TRADE IDEA
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
WTI OIL Reversal confirmed if daily closes below the 4H MA100Even though my firms thesis has been very bullish on WTI Oil long-term throughout the whole year, that doesn't stop me from spotting potential medium-term tops and technical corrections that only serve for sustaining the uptrend on the long-term. An example was my following idea on October 19:
So far it appears that the price was indeed rejected on the Internal Higher Highs trend-line and is pulling-back on a potential technical correction towards at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). However, further confirmation of this potential reversal can come if the price closes a day below the 4H MA100 (red trend-line). What's the importance of the 4H MA100? Well for the whole year, this has been the short-term support during WTI uptrends and every time a session closed below it, then the 1D MA50 was hit a few days later.
Important notice: Such a confirmation was also given by another indicator, the RSI, last time for the formation of the peak on the Fib 2.0 (as seen I've plotted the long-term uptrend on the Fibonacci Channel). The RSI made a Triple Top on the exact same Resistance that gave the July 06 peak on Fib 1.5. Keep an eye on such confirmations, they come quite useful when determining reversals that are hard to see coming when the price is on a trend.
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WTI Oil : Stop Hunt /HH to 67.80 -68.20 handle possibleAfter the stop hunt /HL around 61.65 ,Price returned to the old daily range 63.50-67 indicating it will continue to trade inside the range or an upside break out since the SSI is around 25% and every dip is bought strongly .
Trend : Range
Signal : Sell Limit 67.80-68.20
Stop Loss : 68.75
Target : 65-63.75
WTI OIL pull-back needed for next Higher HighPattern: Bullish megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Buy once the price touches the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again.
Target: $69.00 (right below the 2.5 Fibonacci extension and on the Higher Highs trend-line of the Megaphone).
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WTI OIL Wait for a 4H MA50 test before enteringPattern: Channel Up & Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Buy once contact is made again with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
Target: 60.00 (top of the Channel).
Most recent WTI idea:
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WTI OIL Testing the monthly MA50 for the first time since FebAttention is needed now for WTI Crude Oil traders as the asset has made contact with the 1M MA50. That is the first touch on that trend-line since February 2020, right before the massive March COVID melt-down.
Last time this level was tested as a Resistance, recovering from a similar melt-down, was in December 2017. The price easily broke above it on the next candle and made a top on the -0.382 Fibonacci extension.
Before that, the previous 1M MA50 test as a Resistance, was in June 2009. It failed to close the monthly candle above it and pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonnaci retracement level. Then a few months later, it closed its first candle above it (October 2009) and as in 2018, it peaked just below the -0.382 Fib extension.
What could this mean for oil traders? Well unless we close one 1M candle above the MA50 (53.00), then it is more likely to get a pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (40.00) before the price peaks on the -0.382 extension (65.00).
Do you agree? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
Most recent WTI signal:
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WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price is near the Higher Low trend-line of the pattern, the RSI near the Lower Low of its Channel Down and the MACD made the Bearish Cross
Target: 50.50 (the -0.236 Fibonacci extension).
Recent WTI signal:
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WTI OIL just formed a Golden Cross on 1D!Oil is under pressure since Friday as it got rejected just short of the 41.70 Resistance. However as you see on the right chart (1D time-frame), that formed a Golden Cross, which is typically a bullish formation. Interestingly enough, the price action since the August high resemble that of early March - late May (when Oil formed a Bottom).
On the 4H chart, symmetry is having its way as we have 2 perfect contacts on the 41.70 Resistance and 36.60 Support already. If that pattern continues to be symmetrical, we may see a bounce on the 38.85 (or close) Interim Support (or Pivot however you may want to call it), as it happened on September 21.
Which pattern do you think will weigh more on Oil? The 4H Resistance/ Support or the 1D Golden Cross can make it finally break above and towards a new High? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
Most recent Oil signal:
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OIL Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: (A) Buy as the price rebounded near the Higher Low trend-line of the Channel Up, (B) Sell if the 4H MA200 breaks.
Target: (A) 42.30 (Resistance) and 43.30 (Higher High of the pattern) in extension, (B) 38.00 (the Higher Low of the wider Channel Up).
Most recent signal:
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OIL Sell SignalPattern: Channel Up.
Signal: Bearish as the price failed to break the Resistance and th 4H RSI is at the top of its Channel and a similar bearish formation has been seen 4 times previously.
Target: 37.50 (just above the Support Zone).
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