Wtisignals
WTI Crude Oil.. Analysis..Crude oil is one of the most in-demand commodities, with the two most popularly traded grades of oil being Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI). Crude oil prices reflect the market’s volatile and liquid nature, as well as oil being a benchmark for global economic activity. The oil price charts offer live data and comprehensive price action on WTI Crude and Brent Crude patterns. Get information on key pivot points, support and resistance and crude oil news.
Daily Classical Pivot Points. Last Updated: Apr 25, 2021
WTI OIL Emerging 4H MA50/100 Golden Cross. Rally ahead?Simple fractal comparison on WTI as the price is consolidating since the March 23 low and is approaching the Higher Lows trend-line that started on December 01.
As you see the current price action is quite similar to the late October - early November one. After the 4H MA50 crossed below the 4H MA100, a bottom was formed a few days later. Once the two crossed again on a Golden Cross this time, the very aggressive rally of December - March was initiated. We are on a similar situation right now. Has the March 23 MA50/100 Death Cross priced the Bottom? And if yes will an emerging MA50/100 Golden Cross kick-start a rally?
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WTI OIL should avoid this fractal at all costs.I don't call it Fractal of Doom for nothing. As you see WTI Oil hit the 2 year Resistance trend-line (red zone) that was first created on the April 23, 2019 High, and got strongly rejected on March 08, 2021. This is a Triple Top (counting the Jan 08, 2020 almost hit). A common characteristic of all three rejections is that after the initial drop, the price consolidated (orange rectangle) around on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On the first 2 occasions, a bigger fall took place after this consolidation. Will it happen again this time?
It is worth pointing out also the important of the 50.00 - 51.00 zone (blue) as a long-term Support. It didn't only hold from January 2019 to January 2020 (broke due to the COVID pandemic) but also on January 2021. If the bigger fractal fall comes after the current consolidation, will that (blue) Support Zone hold again and cause another lengthy sideways period between this and the (red) Resistance?
I am really interested to read your opinions on it.
P.S. See the RSI similarities
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WTI OIL Are we repeating May's Channel Up? Slow rise to $55?This is a strange but quite interesting fractal I found as I was trying to break-down the current Channel Up on the 1D time-frame that WTI is trading in.
As you see the current pattern resembles the sequence of May-early June 2020. Both started rising aggressively after the 1D MA50 (blue line) turned into Support. Shortly after the RSI turned sideways and in the case of May/ June, it stayed sideways and consolidated until the end of August.
So far we see this RSI consolidation on full display and it leads me to believe that we may have a similar development into early 2021. Is $55 possible by March? What do you think?
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WTI OIL Trading PlanPattern: Bullish formation based on Fibonacci retracements and extensions. Every Higher Low is on a +0.118 Fibonacci retracement interval. Every Higher High on a -0.118 Fibonacci extension interval.
Signal: Buy near the 0.618 Fib retracement which is also the 4H MA50.
Target: 48.00 (just below the -0.382 Fibonacci extension).
Previous WTI OIL trade:
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WTI- Can it reach 50?After a few days of consolidation between 39 and 42, Oil broke above resistance and also above the recent 43 high and looks determined to continue higher.
The chart looks very constructive and with this new "vaccine" and wave of optimism crude oil could find strong bids that can drive the price to 50 old support now resistance.
As long as the price is above 43 on a daily close basis I'm bullish
WTI outlookAlthough the price of Oil remains elevated, it doesn't convince me...
Rises are very well capped around 42.50-43 zone and I expect the price to tumble sooner or later.
A daily close under 41 would be the signal for bears and, considering the economic outlook, 35usd/Baril would not surprise me at all
WTI OIL high chances to break its bearish channelPattern: Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Buy if the Lower Highs trend-line of the Channel Down breaks (practically if the 0.786 Fib breaks), as this time the price broke the 4H MA200 (as opposed to September 18) while the MACD is on a Bullish Cross.
Target: 43.00 (the 0.918 Fib, last Resistance before a full recovery).
Most recent WTI OIL signal:
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Are we looking at the biggest crash in the market??Based on my analysis I believe we are approaching another crash in the market, probably the biggest one yet..
NASDAQ is rising on hopes and dreams, FED are pumping money into it left right and center, and it has reached a new high. There is a considerable amount of divergence on EVERY time frame and yet price has barely gone down.
Dow Jones is approaching its previous highest high where it took a tumble
SP500 is also doing the same as DOW
And now OIL is reaching a point in the market where it previously crashed
I suspect Nasdaq will flutter around and consolidate until DJ30 / US500 and Crude OIL catch up and then everything will crumble at the same time.
I may be wrong but these are my thoughts on this madness
Oil ( WTI ) Bulls are slowing down.The bull run in WTI is definitely losing momentum.
It is evident from the fact that negative divergence is coming in play between the price structure and MACD, after the 5 legs impulsive movement.
Now the price is stuck between the key support at 34.86 and the critical resistance zone from 39.60 to 42.00 above.
I have marked the two possible scenarios:
1. The bulls giving up immediately from the current levels ( marked in yellow )
2. It may get one more push higher to the critical zone and then start the correction towards 33.60/30.30/28.40 & 24 based on the Fibo levels.
USOIL range still in playAs the API report yesterday was worse than anticipated, a small drop followed. However we can expect huge movement this week leaning towards the EOW.
Once in the range, boolinger bands can be a decent indicator amid the swings within the range. But i would advise to take precaution as the channel has been holding for over a week now signifying a move is awaiting. under 24.6 we can expect downward action with targets 23.5 & 22 and 20. upwards we can target 28.8 > 30. lets see what this range brings us and remember to use stop loss!
Check for yourself if the risk is worth the reward youre looking for and good luck out there!
Comment/ like if you appreciate the post and let me know if you are interested in short/long term views in USOIL.
WTI US OIL Outlook : High chance of a SHORT OPPORTUNITYHELLO EVERYONE, FEEL FREE TO LIKE AND FOLLOW IF YOU LIKE MY IDEAS!
First of, H1 Time frame, shows a recent bearish double top pattern that lead to a sell off to the nearest support level @ 25.00. This is followed by a SHARP REJECTION at the resistance line @ 27.70, proving to be a tough barrier to break through.
WTI is now fighting in the 25.00 - 26.00 range
Possible Opportunities:
- An hourly candle CLOSE ABOVE 26.00 followed by bullish confirmation would see WTI retest the resistance of @ 27.70, giving us a possible LONG opportunity to 27.70
- A BREAKDOWN BELOW 24.50-25.00 area of support would see us a SHORT opportunity to TP1 @ 20.60, an area of major support
As always, remember to place your stop losses and good luck!
Regards,
Gol D Roger