Wtisignals
WTI Crude Oil - updated entryThe USOil is now finding a strong support level under the previous demand area $51.
Already creating a double bottom formation, we now expect a break upwards.
The uptrend should start to form now with prices bouncing above the 50-100 EMA's.
On the retest of the $ 52 level, we can put our pending buy orders. The target is $ 59. We might close part of positions at the 200 EMA. We will monitor price action and update the idea as usual.
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WTIUSD - LongSince 1st Nov 2019 until now, there were 3 times price bouncing regarding the RSI(14) at level of 45.
There is a potential that the price possibly bounce this time. Besides, the price is above MA200, basically we are following the trend.
Trade with care, this is just my opinion sharing to you guys !
Cheers
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as group of parameters is fulfilled: 1. Reached the Higher Low of the pattern, 2. Made contact with the 1D MA50, 3. Hit the 1.3 Fibonacci retracement level after the Iran attacks, 4. The RSI is on a 3 month support level.
Target: 64.00 (Higher High trend line of the pattern) and in extension (depending on the geopolitics at the time) 66.00 (just below the 1W Resistance).
See how accurate this pattern with Supports and symmetrical Resistance levels has been in the past:
WTI is Trading Sideway Around 61.8% FiboOil fell from its highest close in almost 3 months after the API inventory reported a build bearish to consciences while uncertainly over the December tariff deferral added to the soft tone. The WTI Crude oil has been trading around 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its September-October declines and the price action here will determine the next move direction.
Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be in the spotlight today and if policymakers sound positive about economic conditions, crude prices could respond with gains.
The key resistance level to watch on WTI now is $60. However, with OPEC cutting production by another 500,000 barrels and beyond that the extension of the 1.2 million barrels cut, one would think that there is the possibility of a breakout. This will be further exacerbated if the US and China come together with any type of “phase 1 deal.” In this event we could see further upside pressure towards $61, followed by 62.55 - 63 resistance. Otherwise, we expect a lot of sideways action over the next several days.
On the downside, the energy benchmark is expected to find support at $58.50, and a fall through could take it to the next support area of 58.00 - 57.50. There are located 200- day SMA and the middle lice of Bollinger Bands. We're expect the uptrend line bellow to provide a support.
WTI OIL Bullish Trading planPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the price broke the 58.80 Symmetrical Resistance, which (excluding the Saudi attack on September 16th) has been holding since July.
Target: 61.00 (1st 1W Resistance) and if the Lower High trend line (red bold) of the Descending Triangle breaks, 63.50 (2nd 1W Resistance).
See how accurate the 1W Descending Triangle has been on my last Support Buy:
WTI Crude Oil Preparing for OPEC MeetingThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday, bouncing from the uptrend line and reaching towards and above the 50-day SMA initially. The crude oil market kick off the week with rally, as an Iraq oil minister suggested that not only would OPEC continue its production cuts, but it would possibly even consider cutting an additional 400,000 barrels a day. The rally ran into a brick wall though as President Trump announced new tariffs in Latin America and threatened new ones on Europe.
At the end of the day Brent crude and WTI gave up their gains to finish almost unchanged. Now WTI crude oil is showing convergence with its hourly 20 SMA and trading below its 50 SMA on the same chart.
Near-term action is weighed by Friday’s massive bearish daily candle, with Friday’s close below 38.2% Fibo support at $55.78 (on last 2 months rise of $50.55 to $58.71) adding to negative near-term tone, which is expected to persist while recovery attempts remain capped by daily high ($58.15).
It is because of this that the $55 level underneath will offer plenty of support, but if it does in fact get broken, the market should goes down towards the $52.50 level (78.6% Fibo).
On the upside, the daily 200 SMA line remain relevant and are additional barriers against upward movement. The first resistance is at 56.50. Next is resistance from the 200-EMA at 57.51.
Overall, we believe that the market is going to continue the overall uptrend and channel for the rest of the week, but it will more than likely be very choppy, and news driven.
WTI OIL Neutral sentiment. Trade the break-out.Pattern: 1W Descending Triangle .
Signal: Bullish within the 1D Channel Up. Neutral outside so trade the break out: (A) Bullish above the 58.80 Symmetrical Resistance, (B) Bearish below the 54.80 1D Support.
Target: Within the 1D Channel Up it is always the 58.80 Resistance. Outside is (A) = 61.00, (B) = 51.50.
See how accurate the 1W Descending Triangle has been on my last Support Buy:
Crude Oil Markets Seems Try to Recover After Initially FallingRecently, the oil market follow the general run of risk sentiment. However, oil markets are still weaker this morning despite the rebound in risk sentiment.
The last main story in oil markets was the news over the weekend of the discovery of new oil reserves by Iran. They were reported to have discovered an oil field containing the equivalent of 53bn barrels of oil. However, it is not clear how much of that is new or commercially viable. The last thing OPEC needs is more oil discoveries given oil’s current level of abundance...
In spite of a large inventory build the net long oil positions on US crude increased last week for the third consecutive week mainly due to the tariff rollback headlines. So without a reaffirmation of progress between the US and China, these new contracts remain susceptible to headline risk and even a long position squeeze.
Technically, on the daily chart the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market initially fell towards the $56 level underneath before turning around and showing signs of strength. At this point, the market looks very likely to turn around and try to reach towards the $58 level. Breaking through that level of course would be very bullish but will run into a significant amount of trouble near the $60 level. In that area is located 78.6% Fibo retracement level (of the fall from the Sept. high 63.68 to the October low $51.06) at $60.77.
To the downside, there is a significant amount of support near the 200-day EMA which is closer to the $55.40 level. Underneath there, the $54 - 53.70 area be targeted for support as well.
Looking at the overall market though, we are essentially in a massive consolidation area.
WTI OIL Waiting for the break outPattern: 4H Rectangle (blue shape).
Signal: Bullish every time it hits the 1W Support Zone (1) or if 54.85 breaks (2).
Target: (1) = 54.80 (2) = 57.45.
*The break out from the 1D Lower High (dashed line) practically gives a bottom signal waving a medium term bullish reversal.
WTI OIL Can the road to $70.00 be that easy?I am not going to over analyze this. Just a little possibility that the pitch fan indicates.
As long as the median provides Support (which was converted from a Resistance on the previous bullish leg) the 70.00 medium term target is possible. These indicators show that under those circumstances another +11% bullish sequence is certainly possible.
I know it may seem too ideal to be true but patterns serve this purpose. What do you think?