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MARKET SENTIMENT DRIVEN BY CALLSThe oil market started this trading week recording a new low at 19.29 US$, a level last seen 18 years ago, with a shadowed and gloomy projection of the global oil demand falling by more than 20 Mb/d, the yesterday’s rebound in the oil price could be only temporary relief. Technical reading prevails clear bearish bias, oil market tilted towards the upside yesterday to later closing with a firm rejection and seller pressure right at the support zone in red. Only this week, the price was able to recover some lost ground, almost 42%, fighting not only with the support level but additional finding rejection from the 18 EMA. Starting the week, the headlines that capture the spotlight in the energy market were regarding Trump’s talks with Putin. President Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday, and they agreed to have their top energy officials to discuss the sliding oil demand. Trump is clearly showing concern about the price war and direct impact that is already causing in the US oil rigs. Later on, Wednesday report with the surge in the US stockpile inventories by 13.8 million vs. 3.5 million forecasted did not cause the expected selloff as expected; instead, price closed in green supporting the theory of a broken global oil market. Storage facilities are filling up, according to Bloomberg. At the current rates, storage could overflow in just a few months. The physical oil market has seized up. The risk sentiment in the oil market is currently that shallow that even a tweet from President Trump about his conversation with Saudis and Russians yesterday moved the market in one day by 28% up to later drop and close with a 17%, closing in green but signaling a strong seller pressure, again technical correction as the bearish bias remain to hover the energy sector. With no confirmation yet on agreements after the talks, the market will close this week with the skepticism in place.
FX_IDC:USDWTIShort
by OGFXTRADER
Trading Light Crude Oil Futures WTI using imbalancesLight Crude Oil WTI Futures #CL has a monthly demand level located around $48.64 that gained control a couple of months ago. The fact that we have had that monthly imbalance in control allowed us to make too decisions. 1) No shorts would are allowed trading against a big timeframe demand imbalance that has gained control. 2) Only longs would be allowed. As explained in previous Crude Oil video analysis Light Crude Oil has been rallying for a few weeks now creating a new weekly demand level around $45.54 and potentially creating a new weekly demand levels if price continues to rally. There is a clear long bias providing buy opportunities on Light Crude Oil Futures, a lot margin for profit on the way up to weekly supply zone around $73.25 a barrel We do not take into consideration any fundamental analysis to trade futures, no earnings announcements or volume, we do not need any of that to make a trading decision based on supply and demand imbalances. We just need to know where those imbalances are located and what is the bigger picture trend on the stock. Still if you pay attention to news, in the beginning of February Oil prices have fallen after disappointing US factory data sparked fresh concerns about a slowdown in the global economy. Brent crude futures dropped 0.2% to $62.6 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate fell 1.4% to $54.48 a barrel. Oil prices had been buoyed by a new round of supply cuts from Opec and its allies. Can we really make sense out of this Light Crude Oil news? Maybe you can, but do we really need it? No we don’t. Price reached a very strong monthly demand level, we are allowed to buy Light Crude Oil but we are not allowed to sell it. You can also use various options strategies to take longs at demand imbalances, long calls, spreads or any other strategy that you might have on your trading plan.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by AlfonsoMoreno
WTI 2018-11-26 possible breakout setup Small pivot range set from last session into current Value area overlapped and down from last session POC's basically same and aligned for past two sessions Previous session looks like an 'expanded typical day' following the previous session of a 'double-distributed trending day' Plan for 27th: Wait for IB to be set. Could help add clarity as to market type options for 27th Consider how price moves out of IB Consider a position if price clearly breaks the S4 or R4 pivots Watch price action around important lines like previous sessions' VAH/VAL, POC, and current session's Camarilla pivots S3/4, R3/4 Watch for candles that signal some type of reversal or direction change at these levels and where buyers/sellers may come in.
TVC:USOILShort
by mxb1961