STABLECOIN – QUIZZ FOR SMART TRADERS
Few months ago, I posted on the USDT.D ( Follow the money if You wanna hit your target ).
According to the CryptoAsset market, USDT.D is 7.86%, so far. But if we add CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D to this chart, what is not insignificant because they are predominantly used in DEXs, we reaching 10.22% . Knowing that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is at 49.86% ; CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D at 19.03%.
The TOTAL represent quite 80% of the Market… Do you need me to draw a picture of what I think about the rest ?
In any case, when you are in an MarkUp channel, the probability of breaking it out to the downside could ONLY confirm the end of a trend, except for what you call a deviation (which in my language means a mSOW).
You’ve understood it well! A decrease in stablecoin dominance simply means their use in investment, or rather their re-injection into Cryptoassets market !
Even if this Chart showing a Ribbon reversal, even if it setup a potential exit, with a potential desire to kick the 200, IT WILL TAKE TIME to exit from this Failed Structure because to confirm this exit (once Major SOW happen), we need to see at least a pull back on the low Fork trendline (ICE), no more than its MidRange.
The only indication in this chart, is the volume decreasing for a potential spike/squeeze before any logical construction (because Weiss indicator bullshiting at this point!).
In the assumption of lapping the 200, it will be highly likely to confirm if there will be a rejection or not !
Aesthetically this MarkUp is so perfect. I won’t say if we gonna make another lap to continue the progression!
Of course, I would have preferred to see an upthrust before finding ourselves in front of this exit trap. Not that the last movement is too weak or too shy, which indicates the difficulty in a chaotic market progression. What is important in an increase or a decrease is not the trend itself, but rather the strength of the movement.
From Weekly to Daily
While in traditional markets, the construction of forks with different phases (from A to F) is obvious, in crypto, MM cause prices to fluctuate in all directions, leaving a lot of liquidity in both sides. This makes TA more complicated.
As easy as it was to understand the Weekly TF, it gets more complicated on the Daily one.
As I have often repeated, the cryptocurrency market is very young, with low liquidity, and therefore very volatile. There is a lack of rules, almost no discipline, which sometimes shows the intensity of the movements. Furthermore, when Institutional need to cover margin call on classics they don’t hesitate to purge their “crypto” positions, as we saw it in the past.
According to AR as of 15.08.22 (ICE level), we currently working on the same level. If we consider the Spike as of May 22 with a kind of TPO leaving (9%), we can appreciate a double bottom. There is 4 bearish divergences, plus 3 “Yellow candles”, if I consider the Spike as of 10.03.23 being a LPSY, we just slid into a new Fork, more practicable. I could not exclude a 3 taps (9% again). It become obvious.
Furthermore, We broke 8% , we might “BackUp” at least on this zone to confirm the continuation of the trend or break it to change the character. And since it’s in this area that our 200 Weekly is located, it would suit us well.
Distribution or Accumulation ?
As much as MarkUp 1 is clear and straightforward, MarkUp 2 seems to have been rushed and “destroyed”, with a possible QUASIMODO leaved ! This pullback below the VAH, with that kind of LVN that even a dentist would think twice about how to fill it, confirm that we are still in a PHASE B.
If so, POC level (9.66%) is inevitable ; VAL (9.35%) could be lapped, and I don’t exclude squeeze a Spring below 9% at most 7.74% (200 Weekly) with a pull back. This would be a PHASE C, according to push dominance above 11% quickly. Otherwise, it will be a never-ending day (new lap till ST level).
Below 9%, I would be like a Mowgli with this important question if I should be back to the Jungle once I leaved it!
We have time. “Yellow candle” H4 triggered20 (10.28%) and POC is a magnet. This could confirm my BTC projection.
Conclusion
What could be the catalyst the confirm me the end of this tremendous Bear ?
On fundamentals ! I am still negative on this market till we did not wash it definitely ! 1.8M tokens, over 700 exchanges…. don’t you think it’s a lot ?
There will be projects that will be disappear once MIL:BTC will break 25k. 20k will be catastrophic
we should try the be more objective on :
SMO might end in Ukraine by December.
Taïwan – China will the next step !!!!!!
ECOWAS (G7) vs. Free African countries (BRICS)
US elections 2024
Binance issue + different new cases to come…
MICA law + CBDC attempt (typically test the market to try to interfere).
I am not talking about my POV over dislocation of the Europe. And more much to come in the next years. I don’t know what is the global current use of DeFi tools. I stopped at 8% worldwide…. We just entered in the Digital AGE and decentralised systems become usual. The Adoption will take some time.
Wyckoff
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe AnalysisIn the daily TF, after engulfing the $16,218 area, price started to accumulate. This accumulation took almost 60 days and BTC had very low fluctuation but after the accumulation price started to break all the SR lines and even the mid-term trend-line.
As a result of these engulfing these SR lines, we can see FTR zones were formed and had supported the rise in the price one after another. And also cased a formation of a very important base between $19,562 - $20,368. (Referring to the strength of this base and the pattern formed, we can consider this base an important Order Block).
By breaking out of the FTR zone $25,200 (orange) price formed a new FL between $24,745 - $32,376.
Generally, when price of BTC rose to $32,000 we can consider this a pullback to the DP of the weekly TF. And started to distribute.
In the current situation we must take the following into consideration:
⁃ currently price is ranging in a Flag ( indecision area) and non of FLs has been engulfed in order for us to have a clear for cast of BTC future moves !
⁃ As price is in downtrend in the higher TFs, and after making the pullback to the DP of the downtrend pattern price broke the mid-term uptrend trend-line.,The probability of engulfing the lower FL and descent of price to the base which was before the pole (FTR) is very high !
Kindly note that in Financial Market there are more than 1 scenario!
We in fact, by relying on rules and principles of Technical Analysis & also deep analysis of Fundamental Data, try our best in providing you with a thorough analysis together with e most probable scenario for the future values of assets and currencies.
XUAUSD Next Stop 1905-1900 pls put trays in the upright positionYes these lines might cause you seizures do not look at them if you have or a family member has experienced or has a history of having them. I am going to post two charts one is something I just made. so simple. and another is my indicator. both say market wants to dump to 1900ish-1905. this chart a signal when the market basically burps or farts....lol sorry but you aren't suppose to see it. I see it because I made my indicator with my own formulas. I use that symbol's candle that it is referencing and I can draw channels leading from it above and below price action using other price action. This shows me where price will go if it breaks out one way or the other.
The other chart is an instant direction indicator which right now on a 15 min chart is showing both lines pointing down. the stronger the trend the straighter the lines and the closer together they are. you can switch down to a 1 min and see what the instant is.... if the red line is on top while moving up its a weak move... probably ignore that move. When green is on top its got alot more momentum to it. I normally add to my position when the red is on top and moving up. When it switches I start closing positions.
Right now the market isnt running full steam but when it is there chart I am using is set to move against gold when the market is running up or down. depending on different metrics. Its kind of smart. Once I get it dialed in It should tell me where gold will be headed to. There is a .30 cent difference in price between the two with the market closed. I can imagine on really huge volume days this can have a massive divergence and push this.
Thanks for taking the time to read. I love messing around with new things and this was fun.
Please Like, follow and of course boost...as its free. And it shows me that you appreciate or want to see more of this.
by iCantw84it
09.25.23
BTCUSDT trading Plan - H4 time frame - Target 28kBased on wave structure and volume, I have the following plans for upcoming BTC as of July 17, 2023.
If BTCUSDT returns to 29.5k I will have 1 Setup with a Short position at the price 29.7-29.8 and the price target go back and react at the 28.2-28.4k area ( TP1)
Bearish case if we are in Distribution!So we need to overcome 30 weekly average to be bullish. If not, I would say we can repeat the rejection of the past and go as far down as 23$ as a final step by end of March to recover from there, as last point of the Wyckoff distribution schematic.
I estimated target bottom by looking at previous S/R levels and using a pitchfork to get the diagonal lines that cross that S/R levels.
XAUUSD Outlook Sept 15 Short-Term Short - ACCUMULATION - RALLYOVERALL DAILY TREND:
BULL BIAS in HTF
From a Daily TF perspective, there seems to be a higher timeframe Wyckoff Accu 2 at play.
There is a DTF Rally that is undergoing a pullback sequence and is already at the area of the Daily Fib 618-786
Expectation is that PA will reverse soon to the upside.
DAILY CYCLE POTENTIAL OUTCOMES for today:
D3 shorts/ False Break Reversal for a continuation down to tag 27 ext bear level before finally pulling back up for a long term rally. May do a 300 pip drop before reversal.
Lower TF’s are still heavily bearish
Monday and Tuesday + Yesterday have been down days
Yesterday didn’t quite touch the 382 level so i am extending the Fib. Now, the 382 level is flush with the M15 HBMR and very near the PD’s High.
We still have a 225 pip (75x3) of Fall & WE HAVE NOT REVERSED AT ALL
We are in Prev LOW and has pinned 2 prev day’s lows. We got TRAPPED Traders for sure
WE HAVE DONE AN INITIAL BALANCE BREAKOUT AND Hand now we ALSO HAVE AN OR BREAKOUT but we have not done any retesting.
It’s been consolidating underneath the prev LOW in a 100 pip box range.
I referenced last month, PA and it dropped 300 pips from Monday before starting the conso to reverse back up. May be the same case for Gold. 300 pips is in the 1900 level aligned with 786 which is the level it often reverses from based on historical data.
SO. For today:
it has moved down 25x3 levels
Making LL’s and LH’s = formula for a Pump & Dump
It could potentially pump / wick the following confluence which are very near to each other almost clumped together: 1) HBMR area 2) PDH 3) NY EOD C High 4) Current day’s High which is also Asia Session’s High 5) Intermediate structure 38.2 fib area 6) Prev LOW and 7) OR Low BEFORE DUMPING FURTHER DOWN.
There are still a ton of Demand Areas with a ton of volume below to get liquidity from before rallying up. Quite we are bearish until 1900.
If I'm wrong, then PA could just rally up already.
Gold Long term Wyckoff Re-Accumulation.Gold is currently inside a daily/4h bear channel correction to lower 1800 weekly/monthly demand levels.
Overall trend for gold is still bullish on the weekly/monthly, so a buy in the 1800s is a very good opportunity, which would mean forming a Wyckoff Phase C LPS for a potential rally to 2000 by December or next year.
Failing 1800s or holding 2000 level would mean gold is looking to correct much deeper for the range on the monthly, and potentially an area of 1550 would be a likely target to fill all orders from 1660.
Maybe Wyckoff ??Hi there ;
to those of u who are familiar with Wyckoff, as i have just recently started getting into this type of analysis , maybe we can make some sense out of this market moves .
- it seems like phase A has been successfully accumulated supply and the diminished volume in mark-downs , make it seem promising .
- as now we enter phase B , we will attempt a rally up into 26300 key zone . then we'll see what's what in later idea updates that i'll provide .
Keep in touch !
EURUSD Wyckoff PatternEURUSD Wyckoff Pattern
EURUSD - H1 Chart - Wyckoff Pattern in Accumulation Phase
1. Preliminary Support (PS)
Preliminary Support or PS is a support level that forms after a significant fall in market prices. It’s caused by Big Institutional Players and Smart money traders, when they try to acquire bullish positions after a strong selloff. In the image, you can notice that after a Sharp fall, the price action bounced back and moved sideways – That’s the example of Preliminary Support
Once a Preliminary Support is established, Market will find it very hard to break that support level because of Strong buying interest.
2. Selling Climax (SC)
Selling Climax is another pattern in Accumulation phase characterized by sharp selloff. It takes place before the Preliminary Support or PS. It indicates that selling pressure has reached a stage in which panic selling by the public will be absorbed by Big Institutional players or Smart money traders.
Selling Climax often coincides with bad news or some negative events, as it is caused by the panic selling behavior of public Investors. Big players often use the Selling Climax to acquire positions at lower price. In the Image, you can see the example of Selling Climax Pattern.
The bounce back in market prices followed by Selling climax reflects the buying interest of Big Players.
3. Automatic Rally (AR)
Automatic Rally is an up move that forms after the Selling Climax in the Accumulation phase. The underlying buying interest cause the prices to rally higher, but quickly prices will fall back after making a new high. The highest point of this rally will become the Resistance of the Accumulation range. You can see the example of Automatic Rally or AR in the Image.
After an Automatic Rally, Intense selling activity from the Public decreases and bearish sentiment becomes weaker.
4. Secondary Test (ST)
The Secondary Test formation happens after an Automatic Rally. It’s caused by the long covering process of Public Investors, which brings the price back to the area of Preliminary Support. Often prices will bounce back after touching the Preliminary Support indicating the presence of Buying Interest.
Secondary Test is a reflection that market prices have found the bottom. It is common to have Multiple Secondary Tests, as the market will retest the Preliminary Support to check the strength of Buyers. In the Image, you can see the examples of Secondary test.
5. Springs
Springs are nothing but shakeouts that happens within the Accumulation phase. The prices will fall below the Preliminary Support of the trading range only to reverse back above the trading range within a short time period. (Often referred as False Breakout)
Thank you
The End of a Bear Market : Structural Breaks 📉📈🐻 Bear Market Recap: A bear market is marked by a prolonged period of declining prices and pessimistic sentiment. It can be challenging for investors, but it also sets the stage for a potential turnaround.
📉 Structural Breaks: One of the key signs that a bear market might be ending is the emergence of structural breaks on the price chart. These breaks could include a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
🚀 The Bullish Catalyst: Structural breaks are often accompanied by increased buying interest, a resurgence of optimism, and a more positive outlook for the asset in question.
🔍 The Importance of Retesting: After witnessing structural breaks, it's common to see a retest of old highs or key resistance levels. This retest serves as a critical validation of the new bullish sentiment. If the asset successfully retests and holds above these levels, it could be a sign that a new bull market is underway.
🔮 The Future Unfolds: While recognizing the signs of a potential market shift is valuable, always approach it with caution. Markets are complex, and not all structural breaks lead to sustained bull markets.
In conclusion, identifying the end of a bear market and the start of a new bullish phase involves recognizing structural breaks on the chart and understanding the significance of retesting old highs. It's a critical juncture in market dynamics and can present exciting opportunities for investors.
Stay vigilant, stay analytical, and remember – the transition from bear to bull is a moment of transformation and potential growth! 📊🚀
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AMD Wyckoff Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution 📈💹📉 The Wyckoff Phases Recap: The Wyckoff method consists of Accumulation (smart money buying), Manipulation (price action controlled by insiders), and Distribution (smart money selling) phases.
📈 Applying Wyckoff to AMD: We can adapt this method to AMD stock. During Accumulation, savvy investors may be accumulating AMD shares quietly. Manipulation is when price action might seem unpredictable but is driven by insiders. Distribution marks the phase where these insiders might start selling.
📊 Accumulation Signals: Look for signs of increased buying activity in AMD while prices remain relatively flat. This could indicate the accumulation phase.
💡 Manipulation Hints: Manipulation can be tricky to spot, but unusual price movements or volume spikes might provide clues. Consider this phase as a time of price consolidation before a potential move.
📉 Distribution Clues: During the distribution phase, watch for decreasing buying interest and potentially diverging indicators. This might indicate that insiders are slowly selling off their holdings.
🚀 Trading Opportunities: If you can identify these phases correctly, you might find opportunities to trade AMD more strategically. For example, entering during Accumulation when prices are low and potential upside is significant.
🔮 The Future of AMD: Keep in mind that while Wyckoff analysis can provide valuable insights, no strategy guarantees success. Always combine it with thorough research and risk management.
In conclusion, applying the Wyckoff method to AMD stock can offer a unique perspective on its price movements. Recognizing the phases of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution might empower you to make more informed trading decisions.
Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding market phases can give you an edge when trading AMD or any other asset! 📊🚀
BTC BEAR TRAP : Trend Reversals 📈📉
Greetings, fellow traders! Today, let's explore a fascinating aspect of market dynamics – the concept that markets often change their trend direction when most participants least expect it. We'll dive into how we might currently be in a bear trap and what it could mean for a potential upswing.
📈 The Art of Contrarian Thinking: Market trends are tricky creatures. They often lure traders into thinking the current trend will continue indefinitely. However, seasoned investors understand that when everyone is convinced of a particular trend (bullish or bearish), the market may surprise with a reversal.
🐻 The Bear Trap: A bear trap is a situation where the market appears to be in a strong downtrend, leading traders to sell or short assets. However, this could be a cunning trick, as the market may reverse course, catching those overly bearish traders off guard.
📈 Signs of a Reversal: While we can't predict market movements with certainty, recognizing signs of a potential trend reversal is essential. This might include technical indicators, fundamental shifts, or sentiment changes.
🚀 The Anticipation of Growth: If we're currently in a bear trap, it suggests that the market sentiment is overly pessimistic. This can set the stage for a potential upswing when the market decides to confound the majority.
💡 Key Takeaway: The market has a way of playing tricks on participants. It's a reminder to remain adaptable in your trading strategy, ready to pivot when the unexpected happens.
🔮 The Future Unveiled: While recognizing a bear trap is insightful, always combine this with thorough analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
In conclusion, market trends can be both persistent and deceptive. Understanding that trend reversals can happen when they're least expected empowers traders to navigate the markets with greater flexibility.
Stay vigilant, stay open-minded, and remember – in the world of trading, being prepared for the unexpected is often the key to success! 🧐🚀
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EUR/USD 4H TF Analysis🇪🇺 EUR/USD 🇺🇸
🗣️EUR/USD analysis update - 4H Timeframe🗣️
Analyzing the EUR/USD currency pair chart is a fundamental skill for anyone interested in foreign exchange (Forex) trading or investing in the currency markets.
The EUR/USD pairing is one of the most traded in the world, making it a prime choice for both beginners and experienced traders.
This analysis serves as a foundation for understanding how to make informed decisions in the Forex market.
As we have received many request regarding the technical analysis of this pair, Here we are going to analyze EUR/USD since 13 July 2023. And we hope to provide useful info for Educational and better future investing decisions.
As you can see, after reaching the weekly supply zone, price has formed a distributing structure. And we can see a Wyckoff formed. And as a result of this structure and break of the SR line, there is a FTR formed and price has formed a downtrend after retesting this zone.
Most of the SHORT positions which were set up at the FTR zone has successfully take their profit.
Price has again engulfed the green zone and formed a new FTR which has been presented to you as a base structure on the chart.
Overall, after a Drop Base Drop price has started a downtrend!
Flag Limits of this structure are shown on the chart and price has first engulfed the bottom of the range which is a sign of possible future bottom break of this range. Also this engulfing as been along with break of the SR line.
After reaching the higher of the range and hunting liquidities at this area, as per expected price has moved downward and by engulfing the Blue SR line it has formed a new FTR (Decision Point). *very important point for this currency*.
Price had a pullback to this area and started moving downward to 1.076 area. (In higher time-frames we can see a QM formed at this stage)
Price was supported at 1.076 and was pulled back to the FTR(decision point).
We expected the price to be rejected from this zone and by touching the Midterm Trend-line (red line) price continued the downtrend to the 1.076 are again.
As the result of all this we are expecting the price to move lower to the Weekly Demand zone at 1.063.
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Altcoin Market Cap Potential through Wyckoff Analysis 📊🚀📉 Wyckoff Analysis Refresher: Wyckoff analysis is a method for understanding the phases of price movements in markets. It encompasses Accumulation (a period of smart money buying), Markup (bullish phase), Distribution (smart money selling), and Markdown (bearish phase).
📈 Applying Wyckoff to Altcoins: We can adapt Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market. Accumulation represents the phase when astute investors accumulate altcoins at low prices. Markup follows, with prices surging as the broader market catches on.
📉 Distribution and Markdown: After a substantial rise, we may see distribution, where early investors start selling. Markdown is the subsequent bearish phase when prices drop.
🚀 Assessing Market Cap Potential: By analyzing altcoin price movements within these Wyckoff phases, we can gain insights into their market cap potential. If an altcoin is in the Accumulation phase, it may have untapped potential as smart money accumulates.
💡 Key Takeaway: Wyckoff analysis can guide your altcoin investment decisions. If you identify an altcoin in the Accumulation phase, it might be a promising long-term bet. But remember, thorough research is crucial.
🔮 The Future Unveiled: Keep in mind that markets are dynamic, and past patterns don't guarantee future results. Wyckoff analysis is a tool to aid your decision-making, not a crystal ball.
In conclusion, applying Wyckoff analysis to the altcoin market can provide a unique perspective on market cap potential. Recognizing which phase altcoins are in can help you make more informed investment choices.
Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding Wyckoff principles can empower you to navigate the altcoin landscape with a strategic edge! 🚀📈
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Wyckoff Reaccumulation: Bitcoin's Market Phases 📊🚀🔄 Unveiling the Stages: Reaccumulation encompasses distinct phases – from a markdown phase marked by price corrections, to a trading range phase characterized by consolidation. Each phase reveals the intricate maneuvers of institutional players.
🚀 The Climactic Transition: The culmination of this pattern lies in the breakout phase – a moment where Bitcoin's price experiences a surge. This juncture signifies the conclusion of the reaccumulation process, often ushering in a substantial upward trend.
📈 Insights for Strategic Navigation: Profoundly understanding Wyckoff Reaccumulation offers strategic advantages. It enables the anticipation of potential trends and the identification of opportune entry and exit points.
💡 For Discerning Traders: Wyckoff Reaccumulation transcends conventional pattern analysis; it is a comprehensive methodology that grants traders an enhanced comprehension of market cycles. It's akin to deciphering the intricate narrative of Bitcoin's evolution.
In summary, the essence of Wyckoff Reaccumulation within the context of Bitcoin's trajectory is this: beneath the seemingly complex realm of price fluctuations lie decipherable patterns that serve as navigational beacons for informed trading decisions. Proficiency in this methodology empowers you to navigate the crypto landscape with heightened foresight.
Wyckoff Accumulation & DistributionThe Wyckoff Method, pioneered by Richard Wyckoff, a prominent figure in the early 1900s stock market, remains a powerful technical analysis-based trading approach. This article delves into the intricacies of the Wyckoff Accumulation and Distribution phases, fundamental to this method.
Who was Richard Wyckoff?
Richard Wyckoff, a highly successful American stock market investor of his time, stands as a pioneer in technical analysis. He transitioned from accumulating personal wealth to addressing what he perceived as market injustices, devising the Wyckoff Method to empower traders against market manipulation. Through various platforms like his own Magazine of Wall Street and Stock Market Technique, Wyckoff disseminated his insights.
The Wyckoff Method:
Wyckoff proposed that markets undergo distinct phases: Accumulation and Distribution. These phases guide traders on when to accumulate or distribute their positions, forming the core of the method.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Phase:
This phase materializes as a sideways, range-bound period subsequent to a prolonged downtrend. During this stage, significant players seek to establish positions without causing dramatic price drops. The accumulation phase comprises six integral components, each serving a vital role:
Preliminary Support (PS): As signs of the downtrend ending emerge, high volume and wider spreads surface. Buyers initiate interest, suggesting the end of selling dominance.
Selling Climax (SC): Characterized by intense selling pressure and panic selling, this phase represents a sharp price decline. Often, price closes well above the lowest point.
Automatic Rally (AR): Late sellers experience a reversal, driven by short sellers covering positions. This phase sets the upper range limit for subsequent consolidation.
Secondary Test (ST): Controlled retesting of lows with minimal volume increase indicates potential reversal.
Spring: A deceptive move resembling a downtrend resumption, designed to deceive and shakeout participants.
Last Point of Support, Back Up, and Sign of Strength (LPS, BU, SOS): Clear shifts in price action mark the transition into the range's start. A rapid, one-sided move signifies buyer control, often following the spring.
Wyckoff Distribution Cycle:
Following Accumulation, the Wyckoff Distribution phase unfolds. This cycle consists of five phases:
Preliminary Supply (PSY): Dominant traders initiate selling after a notable price rise, leading to increased trading volume.
Buying Climax (BC): Retail traders enter positions, driving further price increase. Dominant traders capitalize on premium prices to sell.
Automatic Reaction (AR): The end of the BC phase brings a price drop due to decreased buying. High supply causes a decline to the AR level.
Secondary Test (ST): Price retests the BC range, assessing supply and demand balance.
Sign of Weakness, Last Point of Supply, Upthrust After Distribution (SOW, LPSY, UTAD): SOW signals price weakness, LPSY tests support, and UTAD might occur near cycle's end, pushing the upper boundary.
Wyckoff Reaccumulation and Redistribution Cycles:
Reaccumulation occurs during uptrends, as dominant traders accumulate shares during price pauses. Redistribution, during downtrends, begins with sharp price rallies as short sellers capitalize.
Dominant traders strategically enter positions during these rallies.
Wyckoff's Foundational Concepts:
Law of Supply and Demand:
Prices rise when demand is high and supply is low. Prices fall when supply is high and demand is low. Balanced supply and demand lead to stable prices.
Law of Cause and Effect:
Price changes are driven by specific underlying factors. Price rises result from accumulation phases, while drops arise from distribution phases.
Law of Effort vs. Result:
Trading volume should match price movement. Deviations signal potential shifts in market sentiment or upcoming opportunities.
The Wyckoff Method is relevant to all markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, where supply and demand play a crucial role in influencing price movements.
Nas100 OutlookNas is looking like it is re-accumulating atm but it could turn on a dime and all of a sudden become a distribution schematic so pivot areas are indicated in the annotations on the chart. Just watch out for what price action does in the next coming weeks along the key areas and levels as it will be pretty telling if we are going to start a meltdown soon or if we are going to have a last push to the top most quarter key level.
A H&S pattern looking formed atm. Could melt, could not, we will see.