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Wyckoff

PSNY break out above the Ribbon (Setting up for Mark Up phase)PSNY has been relatively stagnate for a while.... which is good after an emotional dump into a new low. It means its accumulating. This company is undevalued compared to the other electric car companies out there. I wouldn't expect this stock to move a lot up front. However its cheap to do a leap on this til jan 24 and let it do its own thing. Out of all of the electric car stocks this one seems the healthiest financially and is actually delivering 100k of vehicles with goals to out do its self this year. The indicator is the ESVO it shows where price and volume are in sync and when price breaks out above them its a sign that its hit accumulation and preparing for a mark up phase. The push back down into the ribbon is the last step before it takes off... This should bounce off the ribbon when it comes down and continue to make for new highs until it runs out of steam. This could be days , weeks , months, or even years..... depending on what time frame its doing it in and what part of the bigger move its in. Look at ENPH when it was $50. by iCantw84it 05.02.23
NASDAQ:PSNYLong
by iCantw84it
2
NIO Stock: Is a Spring Reversal Imminent?I had been shorting NIO stock due to the very apparent downtrend as portrayed by the 50 and 100 EMA. However, I noticed that the swings from high to low were getting narrower, signaling a loss in momentum. Throwing some zones on the chart, you can see a small trading range has formed. I compared the Wyckoff accumulation schematic to the NIO chart. The schematic calls for hard selling followed by strong buying and consolidation. In NIO, there was hard selling in March and May, with strong volume. This indicates that there were large interests selling their shares during this time. However, in November 2022, we saw a selling climax with strong volume. This was followed by a bounce in price called the automatic reaction (AR). This bounce is likely due to institutional investors buying up the supply. The secondary test, which occurred on expectedly lower volume, further supports this theory. The millionaire-making question is whether we have seen an ST in phase B. If we have not, it is likely that the trend will continue lower to the sub-$5 range. However, if we have seen an ST, it is likely that we are seeing a spring. A spring is a shakeout before institutional investors decide to take the stock higher. I think it is important to note the increase in volume during the month of May when the spring started. High volume during a spring suggests that big money is scooping shares for cheap. I believe that this is the perfect time for institutional investors to swoop in and use earnings as an excuse to push the stock higher. What are your thoughts?
NYSE:NIOLong
by Decam9
ENPH looks Doomed if this Wyckoff Distribution Plays OutIve discussed Wyckoff Distributions before on this page. For a simple breakdown of this pattern, I've related this post to a previous post that can be found below. Anyway, I believe we are seeing many of the same distribution cycle elements on this solar stock. I think we are currently in phase D which is usually characterized by a false bullish breakout into a downtrend. I am concerned about the lack of a clear downtrend after creating the false break. Notice the higher lows being created by the wicks in the lower portion of the channel. Long lower wicks with relatively small/avg volume suggest that selling pressure is weak. If that is the case, big money is not yet ready to take this lower. I will be monitoring this price action closely and looking for more false breakouts and retests of the upper channel. I plan to build short positions above $200 if the opportunity presents itself. Price targets to the downside include $95, $60, and $35.
NASDAQ:ENPHShort
by Decam9
13
Someone accumulating SHOP post earnings?Yet another Wyckoff pattern. I believe this pattern matches the Wyckoff schematic shared in the chart. I am making my list and checking it twice... Wyckoff checklist: PS—preliminary support, Done SC—selling climax, Done AR—automatic rally, Done ST—secondary test, Done Spring - optional, Done Test— test, ACTIVE. We are looking for a series of higher lows to confirm the uptrend. We have yet to confirm the first higher low. SOS—sign of strength, LPS—last point of support, BU—“back-up”,
NYSE:SHOPLong
by Decam9
6
RRR setting up for a massive profit run?I have several time frames I have charted for this going over everything I see. RRR is red rock resorts in Las vegas nevada, and both my fav casino which is off strip about 15 mins and one of my fav stocks to play. I am huge on wyckoff , demand and supply, volume tracking, price targets based off the prior, and control box master pattern targets ideologies.... I also have my ESVO lines or ribbon that also encompasses volume and price. Combining all of these things paints a picture across all time lines and when they match up its set to run! I have used this same TA on my AAPL, ENPH (up and down), AIG, GNRC, Li, IOT, Bili, TRKA, & PSNY, option plays. I enjoy looking far out to see what the end result is going to be and then aligning all the time frames to optimize the in and out. a lot of times when you look at larger time frames you are caught in the up and down which can mess up your theta on an option play. So thats why in this trade I am aligning all the time frames. the only one left is the 15 min time frame. which I will post an update to this when I finish this post. Do me a favor if you find any of my info intriguing pls hit the boost so others can see it. by iCantw84it 05.17.23
NASDAQ:RRRLong
by iCantw84it
2
GNRC a Wyckoff Reset in the making Accumulation PhaseGNRC Stock Price:102.78 Difference: $6.50 (undervalued) Over all Avg Price: $109 My Enterprise Value Price(enterprise value/outstanding shares): HKEX:122 True Price Value (market cap/outstanding): HKEX:104 Float Price (market cap/float): FWB:108 Market Capitalization: HKEX:6 ,470,000,000 outstanding shares: 62,030,000 float : 59,730,000 ev value: 7,550,000,000 p/e :18.98 eps : 5.41 PE ratio: 18.99815157 Weighted P/e: 2.5219906 Basically all this is saying is no matter how you look at the avg price of this stock, the current price is undervalued by min $2.00. The Big Picture Past The last time GNRC moved off its low right after the same Monthly Push down to start the process. Watch the lines see them converge. You don't understand these lines because you haven't been listening to me rant. These lines are every time frames Marriage of price and vol in one line. Along with the skinnier line with no kinks as the vol avg for that time frame.... When all these lines converge into one area along with price, accompany that with a larger time frame and you have something like what a rail gun is compared to a sling shot. the first move reaches then comes back down reloads and is launched double or more. and then its off and running. Present at double the price look at the lines... price is just under it and the lines are in a $15 range....what's needed to get them together? another push down? Time? a pop in price? Lets look at the supply vs the demand A closer look I marked the areas of the candles that had the highest percentage of buying and selling since it hit this zone. There are two bounces once it gets pushed down. I am not saying this won't go down. I am saying that at this price its a good deal. Depending on if they use the earnings on May 05 as a catalyst to run this up and back down then launch or this takes off before hand and the earnings is used to drop it to regain the final part of the float and make all of these lines converge.....one way or the other it starts at this price point. Look at the institutional ownership and where they bought? The top 17 Institutions that bought into this stock all bought on Dec 31, 2022. Every single one of them increased their position by more than 500%. I will do you one better, the top position holders of this stock, institutional, all bought or increased their shares on Dec 31, 2022. All 83 institutionals that own the most shares bought or adjusted thier shares on that date and the price range for that date was. $95.50- HKEX:103
NYSE:GNRCLong
by iCantw84it
2