Wyckoff
EURUSD - The Story says LongEvery chart has a story to say and this is the story of this one.
The Story:
Hitting Support with a very large down volume wave. Remember that on large down waves at bottoms there are usually buyers in there.
Largest up volume wave after very long time - This is buying little by little and absorbing all the sell orders with buy orders. Abnormal SI of 24.0 which is probably their first Push
Then another Abnormal SI of 21.1 on the down wave, that's a HTMD wave (hard to move down)
Finally Plutus comes a PRL long signal
....but to confirm the logic I will wave this resistance line to be broken because we could start ranging for a while.
Enjoy!
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AUDJPY - Classic Text Book Entry for the SI tradersThis is a classic Entry called "Exit from Range with Plutus" and in this case it was a PRL (Plutus Reversal Long) signal.
For the new followers: Why we did not consider the previous short signal PS as valid? The answer is: because it never broke the range while the PRL did.
Get the profit out!
EURJPY - Wyckoff Spring at 117 pipsThe Story:
This story is a continuation of a previous post. After Support hit we had double long signals from the Plutus system. We had a PRL and a Wyckoff Spring and up we go. Profit of 117 pips so far, get some profits in the bank because we are on Fib area!
Enjoy!
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EURJPY - This is called a Wyckoff Spring The Story:
We are coming down hitting a major support level with a fast down move (speed index at 7.3 nothing like that on the down moves)
High PVR on the touch of Support = Buyers
High Speed Index 53.7S on the next down move = hard to move down = more buyers
Double signal Wyckoff Spring (WS) and Plutus Reversal Long (PRL) and up we go!
Enjoy!
Learn to read and trade any market!
GBPUSD - For the "SI Traders" this is a Wyckoff Up-Trust and....
The Story:
Price is ranging
We have a false break with very high PVR
The reaction up wave is long wave having a hard time to move up
Then a PRS signal confirms the Wyckoff Up-Thrust
Furthermore the reaction after the down move is an up wave with an Abnormal SI of 35.3 which is a HTMU wave (Hard to Move Up) = more sellers and down we go again.
The "SI traders" know that this a Wyckoff Up-Thrust and a HTMU by just reading the Speed Index numbers.
Enjoy!
Learn to read and trade any market!
V2.0 | 22R Gold Long Swing Trade | Smart Money Concepts/ICTThis is an updated plan for the macro Cup & Handle breakout
Previous setup for the 30R Gold long didn't play out; the unconfirmed SMT divergence didn't get confirmed and there was no impulsive move away.
The stop loss is larger due to the entry location.
Not financial advice but if this trade idea inspires you, you could use an even bigger stop to avoid potentially getting stopped out by an errant news spike. 22:1 risk reward sounds cooler though doesn't it?
SMT divergence in this setup between Gold & Silver has been confirmed this time; stops were swept on one pair but not on the other, before rallying upwards and creating a higher high on the daily timeframe.
In theory the swing where stops were swept SHOULD hold now.
EURNZD- This is why it moved 248 pipsThe Story:
High PVR on 1st touch of support level = buying has started
Increasing PVR as price moves down which means buyers on the down
Double Long signal from Plutus WS and PL
High PVR again without the price moving down and then moving up
Therefore all the previous logic was correct and these were buyers. This called the "FOLLOW" methodology :"Let them do what they have to do and then follow" Entry.
Enjoy!
Learn to read and trade any market!
[Viking Pattern] Whales' Favorite Trap#Viking #Whipsaw #bulltrap #beartrap
Recent financial market seems to be distinctively perplexing and bizarre, often leaving us traders in a state of confusion. Ultimately, our job as traders is to structure market fluctuations, which occur with certain probabilities, into trends and Price Actions based on time and price. The so-called scam moves and abnormal trends that have been frequently observed recently also tend to have patterns and can be somewhat formalized. Today, I would like to introduce a pattern that I have deducted and modeled based on insights of recent data. Those of you who have been trading a lot recently will probably be quite familiar.
Interpreted from the perspective of Wyckoff Theory and the Master Pattern, this model ultimately intends to derive Price Action by distinguishing Accumulation and Distribution Phases in terms of horizontal Volume Profile. To systematize this pattern, various technical elements such as LVP (Low Volume Peak), HVP (High Volume Peak), Fibonacci Extension & Projection, Time Fibonacci Extension, trend lines, and parallel channels were utilized. Let me briefly explain features of the periodic phases that compose this model.
1. First and foremost, a significant volume structure forms in the horizontal level as various patterns including triangles (Ascending, Descending, Symmetric triangles, and Wedge, etc.), parallel channels, and diamonds, etc. It would consist of upper and lower bounds derived as either horizontal line (LVP) or sloped line (Trend line). Make sure to clearly mark these lines to later spot the meaningful breakout.
2. A strong breakout through upper or lower LVP (horizontal line) will take place, leaving the volume structure as consolidation zone or sideway channel above or below. Now the market has entered a distribution phase where the direction of a market trend clearly shows. We can target this level with Fibonacci Projection and Extension tools, but I find it quite risky entering against the trend, which would be a counter-trend strategy. In this study, the extension and projection levels utilized are 1, 1.13, 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618.
3. The impulsive momentum, whether bullish or bearish, eventually loses strength at some point forming a significant high or low. After, a new volume structure is generated again at a different level above or below the first structure. If this new structure shapes as relatively rounded or forms potential trend-reversal pattern, such as Cup with Handle, Adam and Eve, or Head and Shoulders, the probability of Viking pattern increases. Typically, the range of the second volume structure tends to be shorter than the first structure both vertically(pricewise) and horizontally(timewise).
4. Another breakout of the second consolidation, with the direction towards the first volume structure appears. According to the textbook, the confluence area where the LVP (which has been SR Flipped) and the trendline of the first volume structure overlap, is most likely to show retest support or rejection. However, if the price breaks through this very spot, which is defined as a POR (Point of Recognition) in this theory, a further impulsive trend is highly likely to follow. The essential part of this model is to spot potential PORs and apply trading setups using this very price momentum.
5. Fibonacci time zone extension tool were applied based on the periodic range of the first volume structure. Most of the time, the horizontal range of the first structure is longer than the length starting from the first breakout to the POR (Second breakout). In other words, if the second volume structure extends the previous one, the probability of occurrence decreases. The periodic extension levels used for targeting POR in this model are 1.13, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, and 1.818.
Here are some examples from various commodities and timeframes.
- Bitcoin
- Tesla
- Microsoft
- DXY (US Dollar Index)
- ECOPRO 4hr
Further studies and reviews of this model are to be updated later.
Your subscription, comments and likes are huge motivation for me. Thank you.
AUDNZD - Plutus Long after a Fake BreakAll the charts tell a story, that's the story of this one:
We are hitting a support level for a second time
Fake break support. The reaction after the fake break is a very PVR = buyers
..then a high volume up wave and price goes back into range (look left, not a wave size like that for a few days)
Finally Plutus confirms the move and provides the entry.
Enjoy!
Learn to read and trade any market!!!
ETH is STILL in a PHASE B.If I Consider 12.05.21 being a Climax (BC) and 19.05.21 an AR, Then my FORK is set in the Following way :
Creek > 4379$
ICE > 1400$
MID Range > 2480$
ST > 3990$ / 1700$
UA > 4877$
1. WHY THE COLLAPSE as of 18.06.22 is NOT A SPRING ?
Even if PA has reintegrated the FORK, to being considered a SPRING (PHASE C), it should (PA) at least kick the ST @ 3900$ before sitting on any LPS (Last Point of Support) and exit by the TOP.
IT DID NOT !!!!
Furthermore, and obviously, the Volume does not show any potential sign with full lack of Harmony (Weiss) to confirm being a SPRING.
Finally, after made an Elastic Jump, it only arrived to reach the VAH then slipped back seeking some potential Liquidity before to reintegrate it again...
Mathematical deduction >
If not a SPRING, what could it being a part Major SOW ?
If not a PHASE C, then still in the Observation Phase (B) !
2. "THE b Shape" and THE LVN.
Even if my Fork, defined in the introduction, is not really accurate, let's express the Volume Profile of the ACTUAL RANGE since January 21 !
Actual VAH > 2075$
Actual VAL > 1031$
Actual POC > 1564$
As you can deduct by yourself, PA has reintegrated the FORK defined by the Fixed Range Volume Profile. There is NO JAC; No bounce, even for testing above the MID range of my initial FORK...
If reintegrated, then ST (1700$) should be the KEY, and POC might be visited again.
WHY it might be visited ? I have a big conviction that the LVN below this POC (1564$/1270$) should be closed ! I think it should be obvious for everyone who understand what the analyze of the volume profile really shows !
THE story of "b Shape".
It is not really over ! I agree ! Yes of course the PA should visit above the MID Range (2480+).
It should... When ? That is the question... Maybe tomorrow, maybe in one week, maybe in one month, a quarter...
BUT !!!!!
OPEN INTEREST providing us a very clear information regarding THE potential interest of MMakers... You don't agree with me ?
SO !
If there was not any UTAD made, we don't have the confirmation of the Breaking ICE. If we didn't see the SPRING, we should see it soon in order to get access above the MID Range ! And IF the SPRING (Phase C) might happen, where do you think, it will take the LQ if not below 1k figure ?
I just fixed 1k to not really afraid you !
Just Think about....
Don Pablo
EURAUD - Probable Wyckoff Spring - The ForecastLearn to read the chart.
The Story:
We are balancing on a significant Fib 61.8
Last SI before the fake break of Fib quite High at 17.6, probable buyers
Fake Break = Wyckoff Spring formation start. PVR quite high
Plutus comes with a Long signal PRL
Abnormal SI of 21.0 = buyers on the way down
The reaction : large up volume wave with the corresponding pip move
The Forecast and possible entry is shown on chart. If we break that Entry Level line the Spring is confirmed.
Wyckoff Accumulation Patterns - Copper LongRecognized accumulation pattern
A - decreasing volume on lows
B - decreasing volume on lows
The lows in pattern B did not break the lows from A. This indicates that the market is strong and well controlled by large operators. In the lows of pattern B, the last one on the lowest volume forms a very large, bullish engulfing candle.
C - the largest buying wave not only in the entire accumulation pattern but also the largest since the beginning of the decline - showing strength, breaking out of the range on very high volume.
The recent 4h candles on the chart are testing the breakout.
It seems that the pattern is set up for an upward move.
I'm providing two targets...
Indicators used: Wyckoff Wave Chart
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VolumeDayTrader
Wyckoff Distribution Patterns - GBPUSD 298 and 170 - decreasing volume at the tops of the chart. After the peak marked with the volume of 170, the next peaks are with much less buyer activity. In summary, buyers have lost their power.
In addition, the chart shows the largest sell-off wave 233. This is the largest volume under the swing since we entered the sideways consolidation.
Indicators used: Wyckoff Wave Chart
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Wycoff Method Wyckoff is a method of technical analysis that was developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 20th century. This method is based on the study of price action, market structure, and the interplay of supply and demand forces in the market.
The Wyckoff method is commonly used by traders and investors to identify trends, reversals, and key levels of support and resistance in the market. It involves the use of various chart patterns, such as the Wyckoff Spring and Upthrust, to identify potential buying or selling opportunities.
One of the key principles of the Wyckoff method is the concept of accumulation and distribution. According to this principle, the market tends to move in cycles of accumulation and distribution, where smart money accumulates positions during periods of accumulation and distributes them during periods of distribution.
Another important aspect of the Wyckoff method is the use of volume analysis. Richard Wyckoff believed that volume was a key indicator of market activity and that changes in volume could be used to identify potential changes in market direction.
Overall, the Wyckoff method is a comprehensive approach to technical analysis that incorporates a range of different tools and techniques to help traders and investors make informed trading decisions. It is a useful tool for anyone looking to develop a deeper understanding of the market and to identify profitable trading opportunities.
Accumulation Patterns - very bullish background Coterra EnergyAssessing the market according to the wyckoff method, we see a classic accumulation in the attached chart.
1.2.3 - Shortening of Thrust - smaller and smaller distances between particular lows on the chart. A sign that sellers are losing power.
833.263.173 - decreasing volume on lows. The numbers in the chart are the sum of the number of shares sold on swings divided by 100k (ex on chart 833 = 8,330,0000)
742 - The largest buying wave in the system confirms that institutional capital has been pumped in.
A very interesting last candle suggesting that there is still an upsell and most likely we are dealing with the absorption of short selling by professionals
Value with a large potential range of growth
Indicators used: Wyckoff Wave Chart
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Is this Woo-Woo? Absolutely, it is. Get in here.I've not been doing a lot of technical analysis, but I really don't even need to keep up with it! I just come back every few months or years and check out my pitchforks. They're always giving me such an interesting perspective into the market.
If my pitchforks align with my love for Wyckoff Cycles (forextraininggroup.com), I trade those.
Today, for no reason, I added a little fib fan. I also added some grey boxes which were informed by various fib projections where I think the price action will be a knife fight. I added some red boxes where I lose total interest in a long position. I think the chart speaks for itself! Enjoy.
USDT.D 4HHi Guys Hope you well, and good weekend.
As I show You the chart , It maybe a Wyckoff pattern, be careful for long position ,completely against the trend of bitcoin.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰07/May/23
⛔️(DYOR)
always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BTC : Phase E, According to WYCKOFFBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
The goal of looking at a chart from a Macro time frame perspective is to identify the current market phase / cycle. When we look at the BTCUSDT chart and overlay the Wyckoff Method Accumulation, it's clear that the price action is currently trading in Phase D, about to move to Phase E after the SOS. If you're looking for more details on Wyckoff Method Technicals , see here :
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BTC's Year Long AccumulationLooking at the BTC weekly chart it is clear that for the last year BTC has been in an accumulation zone and the recent markup in March represents a breakout to the upside of this channel/zone.
November's markdown, mostly fueled by negative crypto news in the wake of FTX's collapse, resulted in a failed breakout to the downside.
Note the bar range differences in the sideways market after the November failed breakout and after March's breakout.
USDCAD MAY 4 2023- SELL TRADEDISTRIBUTION SCHEMATICS on higher timeframe-----> VALIDITY again for higher timeframe.
Entry at 30min Institutional candle after seeing validity of the structure.
RR: 1:26
Wyckoff distribution + smart money concept entries.
Check the story on 5min---> 15min----> 30min---> 1H TF. you can see the same print of move up to 4H TF.
TRKA watch this move at 13:30 est time!Timed market response I like making these..... Maybe it doesn't do anything. but I saw that it was poised on my fav number candle and that means its about to go.
by iCantw84it
05.02.23
Gold in its before-last phase of a 3 year accumulation.With the closure of the current sideways BU/LPS move to the upside, it would initiate the phase E of the accumulation with a break and mark up towards an ATH.
From that point on we would see how price maintains itself above the 3 year resistances and if in turn, rejection is too strong and we enter a long term distribution scenario.
I believe it to be highly unlikely however as the fundamentals driving gold bulls at the moment are very strong.