Wyckoff
BTC weekly chart analysis by wyckoff distribution pattern If we look the weekly BTC chart, we can discover an other Wyckoff pattern. This is the distribution pattern.
I feel this pattern perfect continuation of the previous analysis :
And I think if we look the montlhy chart....:
So I think we go to ~54k, and then down to ~20-25k.
BTC in wyckoff accumulation pattern$BTC at resistance... my original thesis by lightgray line (from Jul.2.), and the updated blue line.
So I think we are in a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, and this is the final stage, if the next support test will success.
Resistance : PSY leg & AR peak
Support : spring leg & SC leg
Next step : go testing support again ~19,5-20,5k, if we lucky, the test success at 21,5k, but I don't think so.
And spring confirmed by volume, I think the bottom is in ( if the next test is success! )
Clear Accumulation on CADCHFHello everyone,
This setup can be very interesting one for scalpers, I see a clear accumulation and lows being taken out before the shift and the BOS to the upside
Will wait for the price to reach my 5min demand area and retest that zone to look confirmations on much lower timeframes
Still a risky trade because the Higher Timeframe trend remain bearish so be careful.
Wyckoff Schematic - Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff DiagramThis is a Smart Money Concepts Diagram With Labeled Wyckoff Accumulation And Distribution Schematics.
These are the main smart money trade setups that you will find in your charts, this is how smart money (big banks, funds, composite man, etc.) manipulate markets to engineer liquidity.
Wyckoff methods teach a bigger picture view of the markets and why they are moving, many times you will see smart money setups inside of bigger picture Wyckoff schematics that form certain parts of the schematic itself.
I hope you find this to be a useful reference diagram for Smart Money trade setups 😁
You can use this as a printable PDF or save it for your digital notes
If you have any questions please comment below and I can make updates to the F.A.Q.
LaVinci’s 10x Leveraged XRP Bag-Hold:For the incoming month of February, we plan on holding XRP on 10x leverage in anticipation of a large bullish reward potential for the months of March and April. An imminent weekly bullish golden cross will confirm a trend reversal out of the .40s and into the .50-.1.00 range for XRP.
This trade will succeed only if XRP can stay above ~.375, and is also not financial advice.
Safe trading!
LaVinci
WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION - PHASE BLooks like a beautiful painting!!
I'll NFT this review when I'm over the moon!
Well... we've reached the predicted bottom of "BTC - WHEN MOON?" Publish.
The bottom is around 17k to 15k.
But we cannot say that BTC is ready for the moon yet.
He needs to confirm accumulation to reach more Historic Tops and the quality of this accumulation will tell us how far it will go.
It would be beautiful if BTC drops below 15K for a Bear Trap!! If this happens, the accumulation gains much more quality.
BTC MICRO WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION This is an educational post.
In this Micro Structure we can see all the Accumulation Phases of wyckoff.
Notice the moment when the smart ones realize that the market has already reached the bottom and start buying without any sellers, they slowly buy, absorbing small sell orders, they consistently move in one direction.
Near term bullishDue to accumulation structure it will get one more pop before the drop to ~650-800
By end of Jan :
min target = 1350
Goal target = 1470
max target = 1667
After hitting target it will test 1197, which is an important level it held as support over last few weeks and changed the near term perspective from bearish to bullish . Upon retest, likely in Feb a breakdown will indicate the final capitulation is about to begin
BTC Update - near term bullishDue to accumulation structure it will get one more pop before the drop to ~12-13k
By end of Jan :
min target = 18898
Goal target = 19715
max target = 21781
After hitting target it will test 16440, which is an important level it held as support over last few weeks and changed the near term perspective from bearish to bullish. Upon retest, likely in Feb a breakdown will indicate the final capitulation is about to begin
USD MIGHT AIM FOR 100.00 TO FINISH WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION- Seasonally USD is weak in DEC
- COT: Asset Managers in charge of Dollar pricing
- COT: Asset Managers in distribution-mode since SEP above 110.00
- S&D: 100.00 is Weekly demand-zone offering liquidity to buy back shorts
-
COT: images2.imgbox.com
bitcoin. $25,000 or $12,000, which is earlier BTCUSDTHi all. Let's start the analysis with higher TFs. This will allow us to form a medium-term view of the BTC price movement
1M TF
After the price filled more than 50% of the imbalance in the monthly TF, the price got a reaction. It is 12 days to the close of the monthly candle, but if the monthly candle closes exactly as it is now in the screenshot, then the monthly OB, which was formed in the POI, will be formed.
2W TF
On the two-week TF, an order block has formed, which pulls liquidity away from the June low. An important support zone has been formed, from which the upward rally could continue.
1W TF
On the weekly TF you can see the structure. The main structure is marked in blue and the sub-structure is marked in yellow. Plus, the marked orderblock on the weekly TF has been updated, which means it is losing its relevance. Considering that there is already a bullish orderblock on the 2W TF, it is possible to remove all of the substructure hives of the weekly chart.
In addition, all of the previous orders on the weekly TF have already been tested, which means that their validity is questionable; they can both work out and be stitched (it is better not to pay much attention to them).
Assuming that we have a range. And there was a deviation from the bottom, then it is logical to expect a deviation at the upper boundary of the rand. Especially if we consider the reaction from the monthly FWG, the formation of the orderblock on the 2W TF, and the fact that previous orderblocks have already been tested.
Bottom line, the bias is more bullish. To work out this scenario, we need a continuation of the bullish orderflow of the 1D TF.
1D TF
On the daily timeframe we observe a bullish OF. This growth was impulsive, during this rally, the price did not mitigate and after updating the old high, we should see a good correction.
Personally for me long positions will be relevant in the area of the daily imbalance and mitigating block. If the price holds above 16,260 (there may be sweeps), the continuation of the bullish rally is quite realistic.
If a long set-up is formed in this area on the daily or at least 4H TF, the scenario with the deviation at the upper border of the channel on the weekly TF is relevant.
Targets
The targets in this case would be HH 1D, the highs of the weekly TF substructure, the order block of the weekly TF (since it is a structural element of the weekly TF) and the filling of the monthly imbalance.
There is no need to use this information "foolishly." Watch the price formation and watch your money management
BTC - wyckoff analysisHi everyone,
I update again the previous Wyckoff analysis with recent moves of BTC. This is a bullish scenario supposing that BTC is in an accumulation phase.
As seen in chart, we should be in phase D where we expect an LPS (Last Point of Support) to happen. This point would be at low as $19500 or $18500 (as mentionned in my recent analysis, c.f link below).
Let's wait and see how this scenario plays out.
BTC - wyckoff analysis (2nd update)Hi all,
I would like to update my privous wyckoff analysis for BTC.
Globally, the structure and expected planning for BTC prices are the same. This time, there is one change: The second ST as SOW (*) appeared after PPI and CPI releases.
In the chart, I highlight also the schedule of the passed and future FOMC meetings (black) and CPI releases (blue). We all know how important these events are.
It can be seen that BTC and markets immediately react to each CPI release, usually reversal to the downtrend, from June (at least).
However, we see two times when BTC didn't fall after CPI. The first time, it was in mid July and uptrend was starting with a hammer candle.
The second time was yesterday with a similar candle.
Let's see what is coming next.
(*) Following Wyckoff theory, one may observe several retests of support (ST) during a phase. We are in Phase-B.