GBP USD - 1.26 easy targetHey Guys,
Ive seen a lot of confusion around GBP USD so i figured id share my analysis and take on it.
The simple reason why im long on GU is due to the most recent re-accumulation, for which i believe it's purpose is to push prices up to 1.26.
Anyways, Just my view of things.
Happy trading and stay in the green!!
Wyckoff
BTC will retest the bear trendline?
BTC had broken the major trendline of the bear market starting from November 2021, at the third time touching this one (see screenshot below).
This clear breakout (at the 3rd time) would have risen a question on when the retest would happen.
Using Wyckoff method for short-term period (2H TF), it seem that distribution is happening, possibly. You can find more detail in chart.
Let wait and see if this scenario will play out.
For mid-term, as in my previous analysis, I think that BTC is in accumulation phase to head $30000 (please see below link).
DXY falling off a wycliffLost it's support today. Potential wyckoff on weekly. Bears hoping for famine and increasing inflation beware. Everyone saying China opening will cause inflation to rise but it should ease the supply chain issue which was half the reason for the inflation. If it finds support and trends up again we may not have yet seen the UTAD
TSLA Re-Accumulation to Big DistributionTopping reversal candle on the 4 hr. I see Bullish and Bearish scenarios- * Yes Tesla can go to $180 first, it has to happen before Wednesday
Bearish- pullback and double top , Rising Wedge or complete breakdown from here.
Bullish-continuation on new support trend-line past $200… to confirm V bottom recovery (Tsla is one of few stocks that will be green while Markets go red)
*** everything dependent on Markets to confirm Bull cycle or to fade the rally and begin the Final leg Down of Correction.
My Thesis,( until price action delivers a different scenario)-
I’m leaning Bearish, but with a possibility of higher high along with Bearish Divergence confirmation. Just to accumulate more retail liquidity before February selloff -Smart Money began buying in December- taking profits in February lines up with lower Tax on gains and portfolio rotation
I believe economic data or FOMC will maintain hawkishness and rug-pull the markets next Wednesday.
Macro Data:
- NYSE advance decline is supporting weakness in markets
-Retail & Smart money are completely divergent
-Put/Call ratio beginning to favor Bears
-Vix bullish divergence setup forming
-DXY, 10yr & 2yr bond yields are all rising with markets
-HYG Bonds are falling while markets advance
-Retail influx & euphoria is at highest level since 2021 & 2022 August high (LARGE SELLOFF)
- Feb & March seasonally are sell-off & Volatility spikes until April
***Everything is pointing to a Large pullback or “The Final” leg of Bearish Correction
CADCHF I Keep buying from historic lowsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**CADCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
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Bitcoin in ~decade long Wyckoff re-accumulation?This is interesting - if bitcoin is really to survive the coming global depression (very likely probability per Ray Dalio and Bridgewater's amazing research and free published works), then we can also safely assume there is a likely chance bitcoin enters a period of re-accumulation in Wyckoff terms while global equities markets lose a decade to consolidation and crashes and bear market rallies as the big debt cycle deleverages this decade. This is a primary scenario I see playing out. Now if governments start crazy stimulus programs like we saw under covid, and print say $6 trillion here and there... all bets off and the low floor level will rise commensurately as the money will be devalued in the currency you chart bitcoin in. So e.g. from Covid, we can safely assume the "floor" price of bitcoin rose about 40% nearly overnight as the US dollar was devalued 40%.
BTC (Y23.P1.E1).Wyckoff SOS AreaHi Traders,
We have this continuation pattern that consolidated under the monthly level and now aligned to the wyckoff re-accumulation schematics as we enter phase D which is volatility and difficult as the pullback could break the previous resistance and yet be ok.
This week has critical events for the DXY, SP500 and others, so BTC is not in the clear yet.
All the best,
S.SAri
BTC weekly chart analysis by wyckoff distribution pattern If we look the weekly BTC chart, we can discover an other Wyckoff pattern. This is the distribution pattern.
I feel this pattern perfect continuation of the previous analysis :
And I think if we look the montlhy chart....:
So I think we go to ~54k, and then down to ~20-25k.
BTC in wyckoff accumulation pattern$BTC at resistance... my original thesis by lightgray line (from Jul.2.), and the updated blue line.
So I think we are in a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, and this is the final stage, if the next support test will success.
Resistance : PSY leg & AR peak
Support : spring leg & SC leg
Next step : go testing support again ~19,5-20,5k, if we lucky, the test success at 21,5k, but I don't think so.
And spring confirmed by volume, I think the bottom is in ( if the next test is success! )
Clear Accumulation on CADCHFHello everyone,
This setup can be very interesting one for scalpers, I see a clear accumulation and lows being taken out before the shift and the BOS to the upside
Will wait for the price to reach my 5min demand area and retest that zone to look confirmations on much lower timeframes
Still a risky trade because the Higher Timeframe trend remain bearish so be careful.
Wyckoff Schematic - Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff DiagramThis is a Smart Money Concepts Diagram With Labeled Wyckoff Accumulation And Distribution Schematics.
These are the main smart money trade setups that you will find in your charts, this is how smart money (big banks, funds, composite man, etc.) manipulate markets to engineer liquidity.
Wyckoff methods teach a bigger picture view of the markets and why they are moving, many times you will see smart money setups inside of bigger picture Wyckoff schematics that form certain parts of the schematic itself.
I hope you find this to be a useful reference diagram for Smart Money trade setups 😁
You can use this as a printable PDF or save it for your digital notes
If you have any questions please comment below and I can make updates to the F.A.Q.
LaVinci’s 10x Leveraged XRP Bag-Hold:For the incoming month of February, we plan on holding XRP on 10x leverage in anticipation of a large bullish reward potential for the months of March and April. An imminent weekly bullish golden cross will confirm a trend reversal out of the .40s and into the .50-.1.00 range for XRP.
This trade will succeed only if XRP can stay above ~.375, and is also not financial advice.
Safe trading!
LaVinci
WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION - PHASE BLooks like a beautiful painting!!
I'll NFT this review when I'm over the moon!
Well... we've reached the predicted bottom of "BTC - WHEN MOON?" Publish.
The bottom is around 17k to 15k.
But we cannot say that BTC is ready for the moon yet.
He needs to confirm accumulation to reach more Historic Tops and the quality of this accumulation will tell us how far it will go.
It would be beautiful if BTC drops below 15K for a Bear Trap!! If this happens, the accumulation gains much more quality.
BTC MICRO WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION This is an educational post.
In this Micro Structure we can see all the Accumulation Phases of wyckoff.
Notice the moment when the smart ones realize that the market has already reached the bottom and start buying without any sellers, they slowly buy, absorbing small sell orders, they consistently move in one direction.
Near term bullishDue to accumulation structure it will get one more pop before the drop to ~650-800
By end of Jan :
min target = 1350
Goal target = 1470
max target = 1667
After hitting target it will test 1197, which is an important level it held as support over last few weeks and changed the near term perspective from bearish to bullish . Upon retest, likely in Feb a breakdown will indicate the final capitulation is about to begin