Bitcoin Macro DistributionI subscribe to Wyckoff Methodology quite heavily viewing all markets as being manipulated by the composite operator (invisible hand moving the markets accumulating supply creating the lows of the market and distributing supply creating the tops). Bitcoin over the course of 2021-2022 has completed a Macro Distribution Schematic. Viewing markets in trading ranges is critical to utilizing Wyckoff methodology to your advantage.
We can clearly see where preliminary supply is being unloaded by large interests after the significant run up signaling that a change in trend is approaching. After this occurs the market continues its advance and creates the 1st local distribution which produces a buying climax, where volume and spread increases while price is between the 47-60k range the remaining supply is distributed by the composite operator. With intense buying substantially diminished as the composite operator takes advantage of the euphoria in the market to unload their remaining supply they continue to unload supply driving price down this is the automatic reaction. The low of this sell off helps define the lower boundary of the distribution trading range. The secondary test occurs as price revisits the 1st local distribution range to test the supply/demand balance at those price levels. Supply heavily outweighs demand and price moves to the lower boundary of the trading range. After this occurs price bleeds down to the lower boundary of the macro trading range as the 40-30k range completes a local macro accumulation phase. A sign of weakness is observed in the macro range as price moves below the 30k level and is bought up quite aggressively forming the next phase of the macro distribution. This move below 30k that is bought with high spread and volume is the spring component of the local accumulation range between 30-40k. We can now presume that the next phase of the range resulting in the second Local distribution top was the result of a large market maker that is now insolvent utilizing heavy margin to drive price into an upthrust. The upthrust after distribution where demand pushing price above the upper boundary of the range is the distributional counterpart to the spring and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above the resistance of the trading range. As demand fails to sustain price at levels above the trading range the top is in and the composite operator now seeks to distribute the remaining supply on the market. Multiple last points of supply occur as supply is being unloaded on weak rallies as the market has difficulty advancing upward. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. Last points of supply represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of distribution before markdown begins. The final Sign of weakness occurs as price moves below and consolidates under the lower boundary of the trading range before a final last point of supply as the last waves of large operators unload so markdown can begin.
Wyckoff
Finish the wolfe wave around 1448Target box near term is blue box with point target 1448, solid green trajectory should respect timeline drawn, dashed extensions is just illustrative that it will bounce after the move and subsequent retracement. Has resistance at current level which it will break with explosive upside in coming days - has been re-accumulating for over a week.
The pullback from 1400s will likely be a backup/retest of the accumulation range breakout, this is the SoS
Classic BTC Wyckoff Distribution RangeBTC has formed a classic Wyckoff distribution range, and if my hunch is correct, we are currently trending in the final LPSY (last point of supply). This is where retail traders hoping for a moonshot rush into positions only to get smashed by a battery of short positions put in place by Smart Money. We've already seen this happening, with the rally to 17.5 a few days ago, only to retrace back to the 16.8 zone on increased supply. I've been swing trading and analyzing cryptocurrencies for a long time. These Wyckoff schematics are wickedly accurate and rarely deviate off the beaten path, because, ultimately, human beings are controlled by fear and greed in the markets, and until these twin motivating factors are dealt with, price action will create these predictable waves.
If you have strong hands, patience, and like big wins, be sure to SUBSCRIBE to this channel. Here's why: I track all USD-paired cryptocurrencies on all the major CEXs and seek out the most lucrative swing trades and runners. All my charts are clean, straightforward, and easy-to-follow with exceptional win rates ranging between 80-85%. Check my chart history and see for yourself. My TA is based on a combo of Volume Spread Analysis, Wyckoff, EW theory & Fibonacci ratios. Stop getting smashed and start winning in crypto. My charts will teach you how.
*Not financial advice. DYOR and trade at your own risk.
EURNZD CASE STUDY 1:60 RRLooking around on this past entry that I have
analysed back then. POV: The analisys was right
but I didin't took the entry.
So first of all we were looking for possibles sells
entry's on the Distribution structure formed, at
the the end of September to October. Continuing
with the market direction we see that price broke
structure to the low and created a new LL on the daily (1D).
We missed the first entry's before BOS (Break of Structure),
but as we know, we always going to have another
or better entry, if we missed the first one.
The market is full of opportunities.
What we see?
Price went and retested a Weekly POI (Point of Interest) and then broke structure to the downside.
1º Confirm that price is going to do a correction
2º Look for possibles zones of supply or OB
3º Hold the trade if price brake a LL again
Looking for our supply zone.
If we zoom in on the ENTRY 2, we can see 2
possibilities for entries; the first one is the NULL ZONE, it has a OB that was partly mitigated.
And the second zone is an OB+ IMBALANCE on a blue box, that was refine on the 5m TMF (Time Frame)
Why did we choose this POI?
The zone of supply lead to the BOS (Break of Structure),
the second confluence is that is a OB on the 1D TMF
Ethereum: Wyckoff/VSA Ascending WedgeA bearish ascending wedge has emerged in ETH, reaching back up to the already-mitigated liquidity void hovering between 1300-1350K. Look for a decisive retracement in price if this void is touched again, as this is the sell order block MMs are dropping their supply at profit. The underlying Fibonacci retracement zones can either be used for shorts for bear investors, or DCA points for bulls.
If you have strong hands, patience, and like big wins, be sure to SUBSCRIBE to this channel. Here's why: I track all USD-paired cryptocurrencies on all the major CEXs and seek out the most lucrative swing trades and runners. All my charts are clean, straightforward, and easy-to-follow with exceptional win rates ranging between 80-85%. Check my chart history and see for yourself. My TA is based on a combo of Volume Spread Analysis, Wyckoff, EW theory & Fibonacci ratios. Stop getting smashed and start winning in crypto. My charts will teach you how.
*Not financial advice. DYOR and trade at your own risk.
Wyckoff accumulation FTMare we in at the accumulation phase and did we already had the 'spring' ?
What do you think?
school.stockcharts.com
AUDJPY Short planBased on the Wyckoff methodology and Volume Profile, we can assume the current channel is distribution, and price potential moves down next week. If the price reverse to the 92.3 - 94.2 area, I will do a short trade at 92.6 and the 2nd entry is 94, then hold it to 84.7.
This setup looks very basic, but it's really effective. Let's follow the plan and see what will happen.
Moar Wyckoff nonesenseWas trying to explain Wyckoff to someone and so I explained it best I could then gave them a standard Wyckoff diagram.
After that picked a random coin and looked at different time frames, and was able to spot a Wyckoff cycle.
I marked up the chart with Wyckoff annotations and since I spent the time doing it I figured I'd share it to see if it helps anyone.
This is a downtrend, but Wyckoff is still occurring at different time frames...
WYCKOFF EVENTS AND PHASES BTC USDT TODAYNEED HELP GUYS.
IS THAT A SPRING ?
I was comparing the #btc chart from the 1st November till that day, and I have compared it with Accumulation schematic #Wyckoff events and phases, I did my best to figure out the main phases.
I put the different levels and indicate all the points.
now I need just your help to tell me if that was a spring at the range of 15476/15583...