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Wyckoff

EUR/USD Shorts from 1.07800 back downThis week, my analysis for EU is showing slow movement, as it isn't close to any key Points of Interest (POI). However, after the CPI release, I expect a surge in liquidity, which could lead to a retracement in EU. From there, I’ll be looking to enter sell positions at a supply zone I've marked, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside. There are two potential supply zones to watch: the 9-hour supply zone or the 2-hour supply zone above it. If price begins to slow down and distributes upward, I’ll be cautious. However, if the price continues to drop, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look to enter buy positions from the 3-hour supply zone, as outlined in Scenario B. Confluences supporting EU sell positions are: - Price action has been strongly bearish, aligning with a pro-trend idea. - The DXY has been bullish, which suggests EU could continue to move down. - Liquidity remains focused to the downside. - A potential supply zone is identified, providing a possible selling POI. P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll wait for a retest and then follow the downtrend. Look out for CPI and remain diligent!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GU imminent buys to sell idea?My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) is still bearish at the moment, as the DXY (Dollar Index) has been very bullish. Additionally, GU has broken structure to the downside, and there's a clean supply zone that aligns with this bearish trend. However, as price is currently in my demand zone, I will be looking for confirmation to buy temporarily for a retracement. If price does not respect the 1-hour demand zone, I expect it to accumulate slowly, approaching the demand zone below. In that case, I’ll wait for the price to reach this lower zone before looking to buy. If this scenario doesn't play out, I will wait for the price to rally up and then look for short opportunities to sell again. Confluences for a GU Long: - The market has been very bearish, and a pullback is likely. - There is a lot of liquidity to the upside, including Asia session highs and trendline liquidity. - A clean demand zone lies below a liquidity level, offering potential buy opportunities. - The DXY has left imbalances below due to recent news, suggesting the dollar could decline temporarily. Note: If price rallies up and breaks the current high, I would expect an upward continuation, as there's significant liquidity being built up above for GBP/USD. Wishing you a successful trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent. from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JamelCapital
SLB 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade - short impulse + support level - unvolumed T1 level + volumed 2Sp- - weak test closed below T1 + first bullish bar closed entry - target beyond 5M / 1H range Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to swing / investment trade 1 Hour CounterTrend "- short balance + expanding ICE + support level + biggest volume manipulation" 1 Day Trend "+ long impulse + SOS test level + support level + 1/2 correction" 1 Month Trend "+ long balance + expanding ICE level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" Sell SLB Limit 44.54, GTC Sell SLB Stop 42.29 LMT 43.06, GTC
NYSE:SLBLong
by MishaSuvorov
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 back down This week’s analysis for EUR/USD is somewhat different from GBP/USD. I expect price to continue dropping from one of the two supply zones I’ve identified. I’ll be watching for a potential Wyckoff distribution pattern to form at these zones. Once I see signs of distribution, I’ll look to enter short positions, targeting the liquidity pool below. If, during the week’s election events, price drops to fill the gap left at Sunday’s open, I see potential for buys from the 1-hour demand zone. I’ll wait for signs of price slowing down and accumulating to identify good entry points for long trades. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Price is approaching a premium supply area. - Significant liquidity lies below, including untouched Asian session lows. - The higher timeframe trend remains bearish. - The DXY still shows strong bullish pressure. P.S. Although there’s been a recent shift in character to the upside, I still view EUR/USD as bearish on the higher timeframe, especially with the dollar’s ongoing bullish momentum. I’ll observe price behavior within my points of interest to determine the best entries.
Short
by Hassan_fx
Increase the difficulty level on yourself. Often, traders like to make things a lot harder for themselves than they need to. Everyone is seeking a silver bullet, truth is "less is actually more". Dow Theory is actually the Grandfather of technical analysis. If you have never heard of this, or even if you have and brushed over it, you are missing out. Some people will say things like "it's over 100 years old it can't work in today's market" Yet, humans have changed very little in those last 100+ years. Sentiment driven by fear and greed is where the secret is hidden. Let me explain by saying Dow theory has 6 "rules" (tenets). 1) Market Moves in Trends Markets have three types of movements: primary trends (long-term trends that last for years), secondary trends (medium-term trends that retrace parts of the primary trend), and minor trends (short-term trends that are typically noise). You will notice I used the weekly for the larger and the daily for the second. When I journal my trade setups; I simply use a traffic light system red lines size 4 for primary, then orange line 3 for secondary and green size 2 for the trigger phase. In addition to that, I mark the trends with 3 boxes and arrows pointing up down or sideways. The second rule; Each trend has three phases: Accumulation Phase. In this phase, informed investors start buying or selling, counter to the general market opinion. Public Participation Phase, more investors notice the trend after it is already underway, and media coverage expands, driving the trend further. (Wyckoff called this a mark-up or mark-down phase) Excess Phase (or Distribution): At this point, speculation is rampant and detached from actual value, leading informed investors to prepare an exit. This is where a lot of Wyckoff, Elliott and other tools such as Smart money concepts all overlap. Then, the 3rd rule. The market reflects all available information, such as economic conditions and sentiment. Therefore, movement in the market averages considers and reflects this information. (in simple terms, discount the news). 4) For a trend to be validated, different market averages must confirm each other. For example, the trend in the Dow Jones Industrial Average should be confirmed by the Dow Jones Transportation Average. If one index moves to a new high or low, the other should follow suit to confirm the trend. (I like this one less, but in some instances it can make the next move very obvious.) Rule 5) The trend is your friend, until the end. Until you see a clear change in the direction, a market shift. The trend is still in play. This one, I feel most just can't comprehend. As you can see below, I have marked up the extreme high and low, I know both my primary and secondary trends are down. So now, I can use my EW bias or start looking for a Wyckoff schematic. (if I believe we are about to see a shift in the trend.) You can start to look for information for areas of interest, look into volume and volume profiles. The last rule. Confirming the trend volume expanding in the direction of the primary trend. For an uptrend, volume should increase as prices rise and decrease during corrections. In a downtrend, volume should increase as prices fall. In this example, the Fibonacci levels line up, the volume is slowing, the EW count makes some sense and zoomed out you can see a shift. Now, with all of this info - we could look at "areas of interest" We are in a demand zone on the higher time frame. At this stage, there is no trade entry, but if we were to view a change in the character we could simply take a trade as a pullback on the primary trend down. Something like this; You see, all you are doing is following the trend and taking a look at other tools, auction areas, fib extensions, an EW bias, and hints of a Wyckoff schematic. But under the hood, the 3 trend principle is a simple-to-follow process. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
11
EUR/USD Sells to continue from 1.08300 or 1.08500EU Analysis Breakdown: My bias for EU aligns closely with GU, anticipating a continued bearish trend as long as the DXY remains bullish. I’ve marked out two supply zones and will wait for either to be mitigated, followed by my lower time frame execution model involving Wyckoff principles. Once I spot a Wyckoff distribution pattern, liquidity sweep, and CHOCH, I’ll initiate a sell position to keep with the downward trend. If price reaches the 9-hour demand zone at 1.07500, I’ll assess potential buy opportunities there. Confluences for EU Sells: - Strong bullish momentum in the DXY supports a downward bias for EU. - EU’s consistent bearish structure aligns with this trend-following approach. - An untouched supply zone provides a key area for potential sell entries. - Significant downside liquidity offers additional targets. P.S. Price could alternatively rise due to the liquidity above the supply zone, particularly around Asia session highs. Trade safely and stay smart out there!
Short
by Hassan_fx
USDC.D In a Wyckoff Distribution range - Breakdown imminentUSDC.D Looking bearish as hell here in its Wyckoff distribution range. Compare it to USDT.D and see the similarities. The difference being USDC.D is leading here and weaker, compared with USDT.D. Both still look great for the downside here and its only a matter of time before they roll over and the market runs to new highs! USDC.D: USDT.D: Once this breaks down with USDT.D, we are in for the next bullish expansion in the market to new ATHs!
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.DShort
by marshyyy
USDT.D Incoming bearish reversal and a bullish market and Q4!Im loving the look of USDT.D right now, it looks so bearish with the recent HTF closes. It looks done for and in the perfect wyckoff distribution. Following the plan to a T, rejecting off the 5.90% level as discussed in the prior analysis where this was a key resistance level from the first PSY event. Price has refused to push to the upper limit of the range, rejecting from the last supply point and PSY in the range, formed a swing high on the daily, swept that high and is now continuing to distribute lower in line with the HTF picture. This does look like a local top here following the last points of supply and we could be putting in local bottoms in the market. Market could start its next run higher anytime over the next couple weeks now! Be patient, we are almost there!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by marshyyy
BTC - Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle stages **The Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle Within an Uptrend: A Comprehensive Guide** The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis framework developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century. This approach helps traders and investors identify market patterns and trends, providing valuable insights for buying and selling decisions. One essential component of the Wyckoff Method is the reaccumulation cycle, which occurs within an uptrend. In this article, we'll explore the stages of the Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend, providing a comprehensive guide for traders and investors. Preliminary Support The reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend begins with preliminary support. This phase marks the consolidation of the uptrend, as prices bounce off a support level. Preliminary support indicates that buying interest is present and that the market is stabilizing. During this phase, traders and investors should look for signs of accumulation, such as increasing demand and decreasing supply. Buying Climax After preliminary support, the buying climax phase occurs. This phase is characterized by a sharp increase in prices, often accompanied by high trading volume. The buying climax is a sign of strong buying demand and marks the beginning of the reaccumulation cycle within the uptrend. Automatic Rally Following the buying climax, the automatic rally phase begins. Prices continue to rise, but at a slower pace than the initial uptrend. This automatic rally is a natural response to the buying pressure and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions at lower prices. Secondary Test In the secondary test phase, prices reach the high but then experience a minor decline. This decline tests the preliminary support level, providing an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength and identify potential buying opportunities. Sign of Weakness After the secondary test, the sign of weakness phase occurs. Prices decline further, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. This sign of weakness can be a warning that the uptrend is losing momentum, and traders and investors should be cautious. Up Thrust Following the sign of weakness, the up thrust phase begins. Prices experience another sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This up thrust is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the market is regaining its upward momentum. Up Thrust After Distribution In the up thrust after distribution phase, prices continue to rise but then experience a minor decline, testing the preliminary support level again. This up thrust after distribution is a sign of strength and potential for further advance. Test After the up thrust after distribution, the test phase occurs. Prices decline further, testing the preliminary support level once more. This test is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength. Spring Following the test, the spring phase begins. Prices experience a sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This spring is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the uptrend is regaining its momentum. Test Again In the test again phase, prices decline again, testing the preliminary support level for the third time. This test again is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides a final opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength. Jump Across Creek After the test again phase, the jump across creek phase occurs. Prices experience a sharp increase, breaking through the previous high and confirming the new primary advance. This jump across creek signals the end of the reaccumulation cycle and the beginning of a new phase in the uptrend. Last Point of Support The last point of support phase marks the final support level before the new primary advance. Prices may test this level one more time before moving higher, providing a final opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions. Conclusion The Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend is a natural part of the market's evolution. Understanding these stages can help traders and investors identify potential buying and selling opportunities, manage risk more effectively, and make informed trading and investment decisions. As always, it's essential to use this information in conjunction with other indicators and market analysis to achieve success.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TraderE9
1
WYCKOFF - A BITCOIN MOVE!I've been implementing this macro pattern in my trading activity even before 2023 started, due to the Tritch Matrix, a cycle theory of investment proposed by George Tritch. The theory suggests that it's time to purchase assets at the beginning of a new cycle, which is predicted to peak in 2026. With this understanding, investing in Bitcoin seemed to be the optimal strategy considering its past performance trend. Currently, we can observe the perfect unfolding of this pattern and can identify our existing position. Moreover, it's important to be aware of the recent manipulation tactics often employed by the media to affect markets, particularly retail, nudging them into providing liquidity, also referred to as 'Dumb money.' Don't get caught out - have a plan and stick to it!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TraderE9
SLF WYCKOFF WYCKOFF accumulation/distribution pattern on the SLF chart. Could this be the start of a reversal and a move up?? I think it could. My reason is as a fresh new coin this is good for a Bullrun, little to no selling pressure as price rises due to no bag holders selling at break even from previous bull cycles. A rounded bottom structure can provide a base for price to rally from, it proves a growing confidence from buyers, once the top of this mini range gets breached and accepted above it's a great breakout play. ATH is at +156% from current price, and as I stated before there is little to no selling pressure on the way up either which will help this to grow quickly once it gets going. A project that is in its first Bullrun in price discovery is a great combination!
by ProR35
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT. We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET. This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400! We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC. i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know! TSLA MOONING
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Captainobvious5454