[Daily Bias] Gold - Thu 08292024 - Sideway & Big move NYPrice opened within the previous value area, suggesting sideways movement within this range during the Asian and London sessions. With news expected at 19:30, anticipate a significant move, likely continuing upwards after a major sweep of the bottom.
Wyckoff
SDS PROBABLY MARKING UPAs plotted, This looks like Typical Re-Accmulation (Rising Bottom, Schematic #2)
What interesting to me, is that the incoming supply is reducing and evaporating as evidence by vol @ 29/7/24 (Black Arrow)
-As mentioned by David weiss : Probably this is The Contraction
Thus i humbly initiated my position as attahced
Pure Wyckoff, Anything can happen
BTC Ideasintresting PA.
PA Struggling to break Supply.
Range forming. Some ex still didn't took 1st tap - could indicate as re-accumulate neither distribution. But decent break of range Low (63.500) - would confirm distribution and possible po3 play. Targeting 48k
In case of re-Accumulation and Supply fail - ATH
STLA 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume Sp?
+ weak test closed 2 ticks below support level
+ first bullish bar closed entry
- resistance level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily countertrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE/T1 level
+ support level"
Monthly trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level"
STLA @NYSE
Sell Limit 17.40, GTC
Sell Stop 16.53 LMT 16.84, GTC
MBMR GOING FOR MARK UP
In the background of plummeting KLCI (Bursa Index), this stock rising above
Classic Type 1 Re-Accmulation
Price succesfully overcome the suply on 5/8/24 (red arrow)
-Wyckoffian call it 'COMPOSITE OPERATOR ROTATION'
Plus, with the 'Spring' !
I put my trust on the setup
position as attached
PureWyckoff
Anything can happen
BTC PA IdeasPrice tapped into crucial demand IMO.
If we hold it, a 4h MS remains bullish, after a dayli SFP.
Possible LTF Accumulation could happen here. Targeting 62700
If demand fails. High chanches to take HTF range Low one more time.
Possible MTF Accumulation cound happen. If price SFP and break some MS. Targeting ATH
Look for Wyckoff in the right places.Since my partner @Mayfair_Ventures started talking bearish about BTC in March 2021, and also talking about Wyckoff theory, a lot of commentators picked up on it and made Wyckoff more widely known.
Most likely they read up on it quickly and got some kind of understanding, but unless you have been using it for a while in anger, as in, making real trading decisions based on it, it's not that easy to use.
There is ALWAYS a bigger picture to look at. Also, you rarely get a perfect Wyckoff.
One person's spring is another's confirmation that this is a distribution. Like all trading, there is a combination of signs.
Take this accumulation from Summer 2021. It only proved it was accumulation when it exited the ranger to the upside. You had to wait for the retest to get a sensible trade. Even then, the overall risk reward was at best mediocre, and no one in the crypto space had the patience to wait almost 7 weeks for it, instead getting rinsed at $50k and likely stopped out.
And also remember the narrative was around the Elliott Wave that we'd outlined, because you can't just rely on Wyckoff, or any one thing , if you want a sensible trading strategy.
Right now, for a number of sensible logical reasons outlined in the attached posts and videos, I am looking for Wyckoff Distribution. My bias is downward. If you want to know why, look at the other posts, I'm not re-hashing it all again here. The important thing is the pattern I expect to see, involving a significant break of the consolidation structure to the downside and then a retest of the zone.
Hmmm....
I spoke in earlier posts about there being a chance of a final upthrust above the ATH, just to sucker the last few in. I think he chances of this are reduced to about 5-10% now, given recent price action. The middle of the consolidation ($66K) seems like the top for now. If it retests and fails, then it may be time to pull the trigger.
Please bear in mind that BTC is now a mature instrument, and the days of exponential prices are gone.
Good luck, because it's better to be lucky than good, most of the time!
LLY 1H Long Swing Aggressive trend tradeAggressive trend trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume manipulation
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit after 1/2!!!
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
LLY @NYSE
Sell Stop 901.82 LMT 905.94, GTC
Sell Limit 913.63, GTC
GEHC 1H Long Swing Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-
- independent approach"
Monthly trend
"+ long impulse
+ SOS test level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS
Sell Stop 79.68 LMT 81.40, GTC
Sell Limit 84.76, GTC
NLMK 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level"