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Wyckoff

BTC Distribution Scenario - Revised timingsUpdated Bitcoin scenario - mapped with new, extended timeframe. It's a scenario pattern that's undoubtedly familiar - everyone's favorite, the Wyckoff distribution trend. Several elements support this structure are worth noting: - The distribution phase is occurring just above the previous all-time high (ATH). - This potential top is showing a monthly bearish divergence vs 2021 ATH. While the structure of these patterns never perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's illustrations, they often follow key stages marked by significant swings in price. This scenario presents swings of around 25% The scenario assumes that we are now well within Phase B, past the Sign of Weakness (SOW) below initial support (target price was GETTEX:59K but final SOW was closer to $56k) and we now move into the Upthrust (UT), target is $75k BTCUSD. If this scenario holds true, the potential new Bitcoin ATH comes early August at around $80k. Best, Hard Forky Initial Scenario Mapping:
Long
by hardforky
TM Daytrade M5 Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed transition extremum / T1 + support level + volumed manipulation - no trading signal (last M5 of the day) Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit $205.59 Hourly context: "- short impulse - unvolumed transitory extremum / T1 + support level + volumed manipulation" Daily context: "+ long impulse - biggest volume on top + T2 level + support level + volumed manipulation - 1/2 correction?" Monthly context: " + long impulse + SOS level + 1/2 correction + support level + weak approach + volumed manipulation" OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TM Limit at $205.99 (Good 'til Canceled) OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TM Stop at $201.58 Limit at $201.70 (Good 'til Canceled)
NYSE:TMLong
by MishaSuvorov
TGT Swing 1H Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade + long impulse + Daily 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level + 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily context: "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test + 1/2 correction" Monthly context: "+ long impulse + SOS level + support level + close to 1/2 correction" TGT @NYSE Bought Market, Day Profit Taker Sell Limit 150.02, GTC Profit Taker Sell Stop 144.77 LMT 146.70, GTC
NYSE:TGTLong
by MishaSuvorov
Bitcoin: Wyckoff TheoryAccumulation or distribution? An important question which comes to mind at this spot. Wyckoff's theory was simple, accumulation occurs when larger participants are bidding supply, while retail & soft spoken traders are taking profits. With a little socio-economical understanding; a very-viable-variable here. People like to spend in the summer, the only issue is.. they spend what they have, not what they borrow! Now, in a distribution phase, you can assume what happens. Larger participants offload previous bids into soft spoken buyers hands, and exit the market in due size & time... Let's give a little thought here - If Blackrock was buying throughout 30's to near now... would they sell? would they let themselves become other's exit plan? An independent decision to make on their side. Wyckoff’s concept of the “Composite Man” has been idealized as a guiding 'radar' in the markets, a “Composite Man” should and will lead the markets, allowing soft spoken traders to factualize the understanding of order flow, liquidity preference & the demand for money. His personalized idea of a 'market maker' explains how anyone can determine meaning, curvature & limitations in the market that is being rationalized. The methodology provides a framework to visualize & grasp how liquidity is utilized. Highlighting potential zones for reversals, different phases, & driving actions of market makers. As Bitcoin progresses through this range, our deviation will get narrower; resulting in a larger move in either direction. Lingering through summer while the euphoria lasts seems best fit. Which then would either drop off a cliff or rebound back, into the cold winter. The time-price opportunity here suggests this will happen before the end of summer, thus saying if we do reach the $63,000-$64,000 level from here by mid June, the likely-hood of a large move will become exponential. Versa, in hopes this is an accumulation phase, seeing $80,000 would give me the confidence to say.. buy more alts & hold on. It would be nice to see Bitcoin push for the $100,000 level, we all want cheaper prices, though I hope in the end we all want a greater world to live in. Who's your exit liquidity? Index: preliminary support (PS) secondary test (ST) sign of strength (SOS) automatic reaction (AR) sign of weakness (SOW)
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by lognomics
7
XAU Nearing End of DistributionExpecting XAU to be bearish for the mid-term. **Please click on the chart for reference. Using Wyckoff Theory, we are nearing the end of the distribution cycle. There's always the possibility that price could push back up through the top of the trading range with a UTAD. If price breaks through the TR support and retests it as resistance, I'm expecting the downtrend to start at that time. If price does not break and retest support, I'm expecting it to travel north through the TR to make a new high (test of demand) before selling off. Current structure and technicals don't necessarily support the second possibility but I'm throwing it out there as a "possible-maybe". I currently have a small short position with short term targets of TP1 @ 2278.04 TP2 @ 2243.76 TP3 @ 2187.09
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by arnelia16
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Accumulation (strong buyers action)VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us. Weis Wave is an advanced trading indicator used to identify bullish and bearish patterns in the market. It is based on Richard D. Wyckoff's methodologies and is typically used to analyze volume and price action. Here's how to recognize and understand bullish patterns using Weis Wave: Key Concepts of Weis Wave Wave Volume: This is the cumulative volume of each price wave. It helps to identify the strength of buying or selling pressure. Price Waves: These are the movements in price, which can be upward or downward. Recognizing Bullish Patterns Rising Volume on Upwaves: When the volume increases on upward price waves, it suggests strong buying interest. This is a bullish signal as it indicates accumulation. Decreasing Volume on Downwaves: When the volume decreases on downward price waves, it indicates weak selling pressure. This is also a bullish sign as it shows that sellers are not aggressive. Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In a bullish pattern, each successive upwave will typically make a higher high, and each downwave will make a higher low. This reflects a strong uptrend. Support and Resistance Levels: Pay attention to how the price reacts around key support and resistance levels. A bullish pattern often sees the price breaking through resistance levels with strong volume. Example of Bullish Patterns Accumulation Phase: This phase is characterized by a series of higher lows and higher highs, with increasing volume on upwaves. It suggests that smart money is accumulating shares. Breakout with Volume: A significant bullish signal is when the price breaks above a resistance level with a large increase in volume. This confirms that buyers are in control. Pullback with Low Volume: After a breakout, a minor pullback or consolidation with low volume is often seen. This is typically a continuation pattern indicating that the uptrend is likely to resume. Using Weis Wave for Confirmation Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Weis Wave in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm bullish patterns. Volume Clusters: Look for clusters of high volume on upwaves at key price levels to confirm bullish strength. By analyzing these aspects, you can effectively use the Weis Wave to identify and trade bullish patterns in the market. Would you like more detailed examples or further explanation on any specific aspect of the Weis Wave?
NYSE:NIOLong
by VolumeDayTrader
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Dollar getting stronger! Easy MoneyICEUS:DX1! Dollar getting stronger on daily and weekly chart! Wyckoff Wave Indicator shows the power of buyers who are taking control. How Wyckoff Wave Indicator works? The Wyckoff Wave Indicator and the Weis Wave Indicator are both technical analysis tools derived from the principles of Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in the field of market analysis. Here’s a breakdown of each: Wyckoff Wave Indicator The Wyckoff Wave Indicator is designed to track the cumulative volume flow of the market. It helps traders understand the underlying strength or weakness by showing the overall trend of buying and selling pressure. The indicator accumulates volume with price movement to depict the market's overall sentiment. Key features include: Volume Analysis: It considers the volume associated with price movements, indicating whether the market is being driven by strong buying or selling. Trend Identification: It helps in identifying the primary trend of the market, whether it's bullish, bearish, or sideways. Divergence Signals: It can show divergences between price movements and volume flow, providing potential reversal signals. Weis Wave Indicator The Weis Wave Indicator is a more modern adaptation of Wyckoff's principles, developed by David Weis. It simplifies volume analysis by plotting cumulative volume as waves, making it easier to visualize the flow of buying and selling pressure. Key features include: Wave Calculation: It aggregates volume over price waves, making it easier to see the ebb and flow of market pressure. Wave Counts: By tracking the volume associated with each wave, traders can see whether buyers or sellers are dominating. Market Structure: It helps in understanding the market structure by breaking down movements into distinct waves, each associated with specific volume patterns. Comparison Purpose: Both indicators aim to analyze volume in relation to price movements, providing insights into market strength and potential reversals. Visualization: The Wyckoff Wave Indicator typically presents cumulative volume in a straightforward manner, while the Weis Wave Indicator uses wave patterns for a more intuitive visual representation. Application: Both indicators are used in conjunction with other Wyckoff principles and tools to develop a comprehensive market analysis strategy. Usage in Trading Identify Trends: Both indicators help in determining the dominant market trend, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Spot Reversals: By analyzing volume flow, traders can spot potential reversals ahead of time, improving their entry and exit points. Confirm Breakouts: The indicators can confirm the validity of breakouts or breakdowns by showing whether there is sufficient volume to support the move. Tools and Platforms VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
NASDAQ:ALTLong
by VolumeDayTrader
CME 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit Takle profit: + 1/3 1 to 2 R/R + 1/3 to a Daily CREEK + 1/3 to a monthly 1/2 Daily Context "- short balance - unvolumed ICE level + support level + biggest volumed of the Day wave" Monthly context "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction - volumed T2 + support level - unvolumed manipulation"
NASDAQ:CMELong
by MishaSuvorov
TGT 5M Long Aggressive DaytradeAggressive Trade - short balance - volumed expanding ICE + biggest volume Sp + weak test - above first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Hourly context: "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction" Daily context: "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test" Monthly context: "+ long impulse + SOS level + support level + close to 1/2 correction" If the day closed bullish I'll double up TGT @NYSE Sell Limit 146.11, GTC TGT @NYSE Sell Stop 141.69 LMT 143.16, GTC
NYSE:TGTLong
by MishaSuvorov
1
UNFI near get ready bull market?Dear Analysts and Traders, In my opinion, the UNFI chart looks very promising. I see few things that suggest strong bull market in the nearest future. I use my indicator, he's set up for visible range analysis. In first plan I can see accumulation structure compliant with Wyckoff theory. Events according to Wyckoff method and VSA, I marked with white letters descriptions. For me, very important is phase C of accumulation. In this case phase C tells me that supply is collected by Smart Money. I think that because phase C of market big structure takes lower tier of accumulation - events are marked by yellow description. In smaller structure I see strong building of case future movement. That's not all, The Composite Man tested last low what I see as VSA pattern - no supply, this test is confirmed by strength cande with elevated volume. The structure have expected by me volume action and consistent to Wyckoff logic. What's next? I think that UNFI price will be raise to marked supply zone. If there will be subsequent accumulation and succeed Jump Across The Creek confirmed by bull structure above The Creek, I'll be sure, that bullrun is coming. I will be monitoring this market closely. Whoever reached the end of my thoughts, I thank you and I hope that the time to explore my thoughts was not wasted. I wish You great trades and faultless analysis. CatTheTrader
ULong
by CatTheTrader
XEC - in the footsteps of smart money...Next chart with nice, possible accumulation. For me, it is very probable that this market will show gargantuan, bull breakout. So, let's go deeper. Chart shows analysis corresponding for Wyckoff method complemented by VSA elements. The biggest volume belongs, in my opinion, to Upthrust Action element but not the biggest one is number one. The most important candle and volume is sequent bar. For me, he shows bag holding VSA pattern. This is place where smart money accumulated a lot of XEC's. This is a reason for non-spring market structure - gentle C-phase test and retest. As I said, this market structure is good looking. So, I'll attentively observe this coin.
Long
by CatTheTrader
MICRON POSSIBLY RESUME ITS MARK UPBased on Big Picture, currently micron is on going Mark Up Phase i am interested in the recent price action (Black circle), which shows contraction Principle of contraction is one of the topic in which David described in-depth, in his phenomenal wyckoffian book (Trade About To Happen) Apart from that, i noticed the presence of SpringBoard (Blue Color) As such, i initiated position last week (24/5/24) Position as attached Thus i stick to my original thesis of Micron (Refer my previous post) Pure Wyckoff
NASDAQ:MULong
by drsyariz
ROSE Weekly Re-Accumulation / Macro EW ProjectionsROSE has a perfect looking daily re-accumulation going on here. I have a macro Wave 5 target all the way up at $0.53 and beyond. Ideal entries & targets are highlighted in yellow, however I already took an entry lower. We may not see those levels for entry again. This coin is currently trending on Twitter, and stayed strong during the big market dip. Once the market starts bouncing back, this will bounce back twice as hard. Ideal Entries $0.1106, $0.10500, $0.08745 Long Term Wave 5 Targets $0.24293, $0.27873, $0.356, $0.53344 (and beyond)
Long
by DigiLex_LLC
SUSHI - The Worst Is Yet to ComeLooking at this SUSHI/USDT weekly here and I believe the worst is yet to come, for this and some of the other alts as well. Sushi took out the SOS highs, and then fell right back below them. That's a textbook re-distribution, which tells me that we have to take out the lows, at the very least. On top of that, you have this measured move from the head and shoulders that lines up perfectly with the 1.618 down at $0.3777. This is another "low volume coin" on Binance, similar to WAVES, OMG, and XEM. I believe it could also see a similar breakdown. 30 Day Volume is under $5m, just like the 3 that were already de-listed. Even if Sushi doesn't get de-listed, it could still drop just as heavily in the coming days. If you are holding or trading Sushi, be careful!
by DigiLex_LLC
2
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
CRO Macro Accumulation / Comprehensive AnalysisCRO just put in a bottom here, and I'm going to give you a full breakdown. First, we have a macro Accumulation finishing up the last stages right before the markup. These have been playing out with huge pumps on many of the other altcoins, and this time we caught it very close to the bottom. Next up, we have our Elliott Waves. CRO just finished retracing Wave 4 onto the top of Wave 1, which is perfect according to the EW rules. We should be seeing a Wave 5 up to $0.42662, which also coincides with a major monthly supply. Finally, we have our ideal entries and take profit levels. I put in a market order since I believe we are already bottomed out, however if the price comes down any lower, here are my additional entries: $0.1018, $0.09645, $0.8414, $0.07495 Our partial take profit levels on the way up: $0.2317, $0.2637, $0.30, $0.3716 Follow us for more trade setups this altcoin season and make sure to come back and let us know how much you made on this setup! -Pat DigiLex, LLC President & CEO
Long
by DigiLex_LLC
BTC Distribution ScenarioI'm considering a new scenario following the breakdown of price below supportive structure. It's a scenario pattern that's undoubtedly familiar - everyone's favorite, the Wyckoff distribution trend. Several elements support this structure are worth noting: - The distribution phase is occurring just above the previous all-time high (ATH). - This potential top is showing a monthly bearish divergence vs 2021 ATH. While the structure of these patterns never perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's illustrations, they often follow key stages marked by significant swings in price. This scenario presents swings of around 25% The scenario assumes that we've entered Phase B, moving towards the Sign of Weakness (SOW) below initial support (target price would be GETTEX:59K range mid-April) before a move to the Upthrust (UT). Best, Hard Forky
by hardforky
2