GBPJPY BUY TRADE Oct 8 2024This trade comes to fruition after checking for manipulation of lows using 4H-1H-30min-15min.
Allowing me to activate the said pending order -Buy limit during London session (metatrader 4 platform) . I marked that demand because using the order flow, I can see enough evidence to go long. Risking 0.5% of the capital. Every trade that I initiate comes from the basic idea of supply and demand.
(please check the attached charts for a detailed structure of entry and exit points)
Always be patient and look for proof before you put pending order.
Wyckoffaccumulation
TOTAL - Wyckoff Accumulation 2 Setting up!Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being a positive thing in stopping the proceeding bearish trend alongside the fear and greed index reading 26 in fear as we come into key levels after the capitulation showing us great signs.
TOTAL Volume Analysis from 05/08:
Since then we have formed a local range after the high volume capitulation low got put in and many question whats next in this range?
For me, im seeing this as an accumulation range after the SC event just like ive detailed on BTC.
I think we have bottomed in the market, i think we are accumulating here in this local range and we are likely to form a last point of support (LPS) and HL in the range before a breakout of the highs into new highs over Q4.
Its setting up great here and im confident we dont put in new lows from here. Im expecting a little more correction in the range as shown into the LPS but overall im focused on the upside from here in line with the HTF!
TOTAL - Wyckoff Accumulation Range in Progress!Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being a positive thing in stopping the proceeding bearish trend alongside the fear and greed index reading 26 in fear as we come into key levels after the capitulation showing us great signs.
TOTAL Volume Analysis from 05/08:
Since then we have formed a local range after the high volume capitulation low got put in and many question whats next in this range?
For me, im seeing this as an accumulation range after the SC event just like ive detailed on BTC.
I think we have bottomed in the market, i think we are accumulating here in this local range and we are likely to form a last point of support (LPS) and HL in the range before a breakout of the highs into new highs over Q4.
Its setting up great here and im confident we dont put in new lows from here. Im expecting a little more correction in the range as shown into the LPS but overall im focused on the upside from here in line with the HTF!
GBPJPY Oct 4 2024 pending buy limit activatedDetailed entry on GBPJPY maximizing liquidity grab. :)
This trade was taken during N.Y session of Oct 3 2024. I set pending buy limit because I saw Slow motion while approaching fair value gap (see charts arrow) . As I go to my fundamentals i saw an important NEWS --> NFP USD. Anticipating large momentum because of the demand introduced this week. This trade was a success, years of learning and charts behavior observation. Trade with confidence and patience. :)
Have a great day folks!
#wyckoff
#supplyanddemand
BTC Wyckoff accumulation Schematic 2 - Moving as planned!BTC Update:
So since my analysis on BTC, price has delivered beautifully and exactly as anticipated from the forecast, having took the internal highs at FWB:65K and into HTF supply from the prior weekly bearish leg and we had the bearish reaction from this area.
Price has pushed back into the daily range with a lovely bearish reaction, further fuelled by the FUD news, timed pretty much perfectly to the bearish momentum and downturn in the market as we sit in this accumulation range. However im not worried regarding the news as i see it as FUD in line with my wyckoff understanding.
In line with my USDT.D update also posted recently, im still seeing a little downside risk in BTC and im expecting it to continue bearish and push down deeper into the levels marked up between GETTEX:59K - $52K. This level is the discount of the accumulation range and the HTF weekly range and aligns with the weekly demand range, 3D demand range and daily demand range, alongside resting SSL to target at $57,500 in this area, making a prime reversal level and key level imo.
As im viewing this as a reaccumulation range, following wyckoff schematic 2 as shown, im looking at price to form a last point of support in this area and a bullish reversal to form and expand out of it as shown. This is my main idea and thesis so far as we continue to range here after the capitulation event. Now my idea could get invalidated at a later time but right now its aligning pretty perfectly alongside what im seeing on USDT.D in its distribution range and price doesn't have to take the lows again on BTC so don't be fooled into thinking it does as right now its not suggesting this and im not looking for it.
Patience is needed here as we need more price action to form to work with, but overall its looking great, i aint worried and my focus remains on the range.
As a result, i expect alts to continue to bleed and underperform, especially as BTC.D continues to push up into HTF supply and ETH is looking rather weak here with potential to take its lows again, which could end up being SMT divergence between ETH and BTC as it forms its bottom here over the coming weeks.
With Q4 just starting, im looking for the next expansion phase in the market to begin within this quarter, alongside the US elections next month which is typically a bullish event in the market! Its all aligning in my opinion for a bullish Q4 and Q1 of 2025, we just need to have patience here and not get shaken out in this range.
In addition to this China has started quantitive easing and their market has went on a massive bullish run the last week, with the US also easing up on interest rates cutting them by half a point, leaving investors able to acquire debt at a cheaper rate which typically fuels further bullish momentum in the market, as the M2 money supply increases too which i will delve into in another post.
Essentially as global money supply increases, money markets tend to also increase and ill break down this relationship in some other charts to show you just how correlated this is as its very interesting stuff.
The technicals are aligning with the macros and i think its shaping up to be a great Q4 and Q1 of 2025!
Dont be fooled by the first bearish tones to Q4, think of the monthly candle in terms of the PO3 Power of three formation, we have started the new monthly candle, forming the downside wick before the true expansion to the upside begins!
GBPJPY BUY Trade Activated Sept 26 A simple trade using the knowledge of market structure and checking the story from higher TF to lower TF.
As you can see, it is moving in the upward direction. I was waiting for buy trade using my old time buddy lists :) ---> POI ---> IMB, OB, Supply and Demand with validity or proof using BOS --> CHOCH or liquidity grab in the direction of the trend.
This trade was activated by a buy limit order at around N.Y session. Aiming for 4:1 RR :)
#smartmoney
#patience
#characterandiscipline
Snoflake [SNOW] Wyckoff Bullish PatternsVery fundamental company. The last consolidation after very large drops is a good prognosis for an upward exit. It is necessary to focus on Wyckoff Wave Volume, which decreases at the bottoms. This means a decrease in selling pressure. There were two shafts with a very large purchase volume and a wave marked with volume 200. It was a very large sale that did nothing to the price. This sale was absorbed by buyers.
This security has typical accumulation features. In my opinion, it is on BUY with a target of $ 140/150
For more analyses using price and volume and the Wyckoff method, subscribe to the profile
Wyckoff accumulation Schematic 2 setting up in the market:My thoughts on the crypto market looking at the HTF to the LTF setups playing out in these lows in altcoins.
Im thinking we capitulated into HTF key demand levels and SSL in August for the august monthly candle leaving a large downside range in most pairs creating the sellers climax (SC) event with huge volume nodes and wicks, starting the initial phase of the accumulation process in this local range and stopping the previous trend.
We have then ranged further and reaccumulate in the August candle in key levels creating the AR, ST and UA events in the range. Then as we moved into the September monthly candle where we failed to run the august lows with the ST event in phase b, as seller volume droped off as price tests the range lows indicating a lack of sellers after the SC event, giving us a possible wyckoff accumulation model 2 taking place as shown in the schematic below.
In turn leaving SSL intact on the august lows below $49,500 which we may not run, whilst people expect another sweep lower to take the LTF range lows, not realising its a potential accumulation range setting up in a larger overall range from the capitulation, without the need for an external LQ sweep to the lows again.
Im seeing a lot of coins following last points of support in accumulation structures on the LTF in key levels, flipping LTF bullish on the daily and now pushing higher.
Im thinking we see a possible expansion set up for October Q4 out of the lows in line with LTF bullish structure, going from LTF bullish accumulation following last points of support (LPS) into new HTF bullish structure as we come into Q4.
Thats kinda how im seeing the market set up right now and im leaning towards not seeing a further crash lower into new lows and the prior August lows for the most part just yet and more so towards this being an accumulation range with a pullback to LPS before a new bullish move higher into ATHs
Does Solana will continue their bounce play more than 45% !!Solana has gained more than 45 % from last fall down that was in 5th August 2024
the trend right now is inside the range ( Phase C - Wyckoff Method )
The far target is 216 ( Top of the side way range) if the Re-accumulation phase has succeed.
SL is 141.46 ( this for me is consider thin stop loss due to the high BINANCE:SOLUSDT volatility of the crypto market)
I am Just sharing insights and market trends for learning and growing every day and it is not financial advice.
PFE is it completed the Accumulation and Going to Fly ?! It is the first time to break out the wide range since DEC 2023
Now We are in Phase E ( Trading outside the Range) - Wyckoff Method
Supply showing Effort with no result
Demand has Increased
Also there is upcoming earning
so, Is the accumulation phase has completed and we are going to 🚀 ?!
TP 01 : 34.71
TP 02: 37.17
SL: 29.30
I am Just sharing insights and market trends for learning and growing every day and it is not financial advice.
TIA/USDT have formed 3 strength Signs TIA have formed 3 strength Signs :
Inverse Cup and Handle
Double bottom
Spring #Wyckoff Method
Targets are marked using Fibonacci
Far Target - the top side of the lateral Trend at 11.67
SL - 6.67
I am Just sharing insights and market trends for learning and growing every day and it is not financial advice.
Bullish on BTC? Here's The Level To Buy!If you're seeking a level to buy BTC, we're pretty much at the level to enter long.
After the recent flush-down in BTC, whales grabbed liquidity and are now adding to positions to reducing supply.
Just waiting for a Return to Origin per the Wyckoff Schematic.
Happy Trading!
citigroup completed wyckoff accumulation - ready for take offcitigroup is showing all major signs of having completed wyckoff accumulation near bottom since 2009. it has been in congestion for more than a decade now and has failed to make a new low over more than a decade. currently it is reversing strongly from the bottom of the trading range. next ten years could see it reach 500 again (10x potential)
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Accumulation (strong buyers action)VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
Weis Wave is an advanced trading indicator used to identify bullish and bearish patterns in the market. It is based on Richard D. Wyckoff's methodologies and is typically used to analyze volume and price action. Here's how to recognize and understand bullish patterns using Weis Wave:
Key Concepts of Weis Wave
Wave Volume: This is the cumulative volume of each price wave. It helps to identify the strength of buying or selling pressure.
Price Waves: These are the movements in price, which can be upward or downward.
Recognizing Bullish Patterns
Rising Volume on Upwaves: When the volume increases on upward price waves, it suggests strong buying interest. This is a bullish signal as it indicates accumulation.
Decreasing Volume on Downwaves: When the volume decreases on downward price waves, it indicates weak selling pressure. This is also a bullish sign as it shows that sellers are not aggressive.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In a bullish pattern, each successive upwave will typically make a higher high, and each downwave will make a higher low. This reflects a strong uptrend.
Support and Resistance Levels: Pay attention to how the price reacts around key support and resistance levels. A bullish pattern often sees the price breaking through resistance levels with strong volume.
Example of Bullish Patterns
Accumulation Phase: This phase is characterized by a series of higher lows and higher highs, with increasing volume on upwaves. It suggests that smart money is accumulating shares.
Breakout with Volume: A significant bullish signal is when the price breaks above a resistance level with a large increase in volume. This confirms that buyers are in control.
Pullback with Low Volume: After a breakout, a minor pullback or consolidation with low volume is often seen. This is typically a continuation pattern indicating that the uptrend is likely to resume.
Using Weis Wave for Confirmation
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Weis Wave in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm bullish patterns.
Volume Clusters: Look for clusters of high volume on upwaves at key price levels to confirm bullish strength.
By analyzing these aspects, you can effectively use the Weis Wave to identify and trade bullish patterns in the market. Would you like more detailed examples or further explanation on any specific aspect of the Weis Wave?
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Dollar getting stronger! Easy MoneyICEUS:DX1!
Dollar getting stronger on daily and weekly chart! Wyckoff Wave Indicator shows the power of buyers who are taking control.
How Wyckoff Wave Indicator works?
The Wyckoff Wave Indicator and the Weis Wave Indicator are both technical analysis tools derived from the principles of Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in the field of market analysis. Here’s a breakdown of each:
Wyckoff Wave Indicator
The Wyckoff Wave Indicator is designed to track the cumulative volume flow of the market. It helps traders understand the underlying strength or weakness by showing the overall trend of buying and selling pressure. The indicator accumulates volume with price movement to depict the market's overall sentiment. Key features include:
Volume Analysis: It considers the volume associated with price movements, indicating whether the market is being driven by strong buying or selling.
Trend Identification: It helps in identifying the primary trend of the market, whether it's bullish, bearish, or sideways.
Divergence Signals: It can show divergences between price movements and volume flow, providing potential reversal signals.
Weis Wave Indicator
The Weis Wave Indicator is a more modern adaptation of Wyckoff's principles, developed by David Weis. It simplifies volume analysis by plotting cumulative volume as waves, making it easier to visualize the flow of buying and selling pressure. Key features include:
Wave Calculation: It aggregates volume over price waves, making it easier to see the ebb and flow of market pressure.
Wave Counts: By tracking the volume associated with each wave, traders can see whether buyers or sellers are dominating.
Market Structure: It helps in understanding the market structure by breaking down movements into distinct waves, each associated with specific volume patterns.
Comparison
Purpose: Both indicators aim to analyze volume in relation to price movements, providing insights into market strength and potential reversals.
Visualization: The Wyckoff Wave Indicator typically presents cumulative volume in a straightforward manner, while the Weis Wave Indicator uses wave patterns for a more intuitive visual representation.
Application: Both indicators are used in conjunction with other Wyckoff principles and tools to develop a comprehensive market analysis strategy.
Usage in Trading
Identify Trends: Both indicators help in determining the dominant market trend, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Spot Reversals: By analyzing volume flow, traders can spot potential reversals ahead of time, improving their entry and exit points.
Confirm Breakouts: The indicators can confirm the validity of breakouts or breakdowns by showing whether there is sufficient volume to support the move.
Tools and Platforms
VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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[BTC/USDT] Bitcoin potential accumulationsince April 13th the market has witnessed a sideways movement meaning an equilibrium between supply and demand until May 20th ended with a breakout of the resistance that qualify this range of being an accumulation, the breakout happened in the same way that wyckoff litterature describes it high volume, wide spreads, firm closes the next step is the final confirmation that i'm waiting for is a retest of the previous resistance then an explosive move to the up side
BTC in a daily distribution or accumulation? What's next.
Since the beginning of March 24 BTC has been forming a Wyckoff distribution pattern on the 1D chart.
Typically I would expect a major sell off at the end of the distribution. However, as we have just gone past the Halving there is great expectation that price will push up towards the $100K mark and possibly beyond.
Therefore, I feel that this current Wyckoff pattern that is paying out before us will ultimately flip into an accumulation and price will break above the FWB:73K region and make new highs.
Of course, that may not be the case and we do in fact see a sell off.
Should this happen and as price is currently making lower lows I feel the region price could move down to will be around the $50-52K mark.
My chart has two paths plotted of what I expect could happen. In order for the bullish case to take hold price will need to climb above the FWB:67K mark and hold to form a base before going higher.
My current bias is that we will ultimately see price fall to $50K and make everyone fearful that the run is over and you will hear everyone calling for $40K. Of course $40K will never come while the smart money add to positions at $50K. Late Q3 I would expect to see a rally back to $60K and then retail will FOMO in thereafter.
Do not get shaken out.
Marklaar84