Nested Accumulation (follow-up)ETHUSD activated markup for larger scale accumulation yesterday at 1089.43. It has now formed a nested accumulation with support at the larger scale activation level. In order to generate the escape velocity to begin this overall markup it needs to clear 1143.08. From there it will have the time windows shown in chart to get above 2333 resistance and attempt the full markup with a run to 3458.
The important thing here is price needs to keep up with time. If it trades in the green zones it accomplishes this and will see explosive the explosive upside outlined in previous idea. If it trades in the blue zone price is exceeding time (ideal case for bulls) and this is where we can see some wild price action like back in July 2021. If it trades in the red zone it is at a major risk of more bearish price action. Finally, trading in the white (no color/fill) zones it will see sideways/consolidation. Refer to bigger picture for the main critical levels:
Best of luck to all.
Wyckoffaccumulation
Bitcoin - A change of characterAfter breaking down below $25.3k on June 13, Bitcoin found a new low at $17,567, well below the 2017 all-time-high of $19,697.
Signs of a Reversal
In doing so, a pronounced price divergence appeared in the 4-hr chart, signalling a bullish reversal could be coming, and this was corroborated with the bullish engulfing bar at the low.
Elliott Waves
From that point, BTC has carved out a 5-wave impulse up to $21.7k on Jun21, a 3-wave correction back to $19.7k (confirming the 2017 high as support) and tentatively continued to climb up to $21.8k on the current bar.
Moving Averages
In doing so, we see that the 20MA has crossed bullish over the 50MA and the 12MA has crossed above both of these two. We can also observe that both the 12MA and 20MA are offering support to the price, propelling price higher, while the 50MA turned upward from its prior declining attitude.
Wyckoff Phase C
As laid out previously, the case for a Wyckoff Spring event being completed is compelling, especially when we observe the change in character of the price action as identified above.
Investor Sentiment
The Fear & Greed index is still in the signaling Extreme Fear, but has climbed up to 14 over the past week from a nerve-wracking low of 6 on June 18 and 19. In the past few days I have witnessed multiple polls from prominent “Crypto Influencers” that have confirmed a majority expectation of lower-lows to come. So contrary to the above indicators of a change in trend, the majority of investors and speculators seem to be biased in favour of the bear case, with expectations of $15k to $12k being prominent. It is important to assess what the predominate bias is, not because it is correct, but because the sentiments of the masses are always wrong at market tops and bottoms.
Conclusion
It appears that on all of the above measures, one can feel relatively confident that the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market has been seen and that the recovery will become more convincing to more people as prices rise.
What do you think? Have we seen a change in trend, or are we about to take another dive to find a new low?
Jumping your local creekBased on DMI and obv divergence on the 30min-1 hour time frame, this is a good setup to make a run back to upper 20k/lower 30k region.
Detecting equilibrium point 3-way intersection occurring around 6:30AM on Tuesday June 21st.
The way I see it BTC started trading bullish after the 17k got bought up and it’s looking like that was the spring of a very local accumulation phase, which would setup for an incoming sign of strength near the critical event on Tuesday morning. What would unfold if this materialized is a back up test and then continuation to near upper 20-lower 30k.. this would likely be part of a larger accumulation within the 17-30k range and could result in a larger spring down to the 13k level before initiating markup (and completion of corrective wave after big money loads the boat at average cost of 22k.
The blue lines are the local creek drawn at successive highs, we just saw an inflection from down current to up current which makes me think that that was a spring at 17k. The dashed purple are support across successive lows which might give some confirmation the sign of strength is coming if it can get back above the purple line immediately above price in chart.
LIMIT BUY AT 840$This is a Wyckoff Accumulation mode (same as BTC)
Phase A -
Preliminary support is identified !
Selling Climax is done !
Automatic Rally is done ! But BIDs are absorbing
The range is identified definitely !
Phase B -
Kissed twice close to level, confirmed by Secondary Test. In additive Yesterday FOMC Rate decision (by hiking 0.75) drived price below level.
Phase B is done
Phase C
"Spring" is on the way.... let's see what price will be targeted !
LOW Volume (JAN 21) is on process to be filled !
839$ (IMO) is the price where Volume is more than poor ! We might get back to chis level ! ASKing price is OPTIMAL !
ETHERIUM stay a Great project, no matter Scalability issue. Testnet on Bacon Chain done successfully !
Once POS will trigger (POW might be over), the way above 8k figure is certain !
LaVinci's 30-Day PlanUnfortunately, we cannot predict the future. We can, however, predict the immediate future as a function of our free will in conflict with the universe around us.
In anticipation of BTCUSD dropping to the 22,000 area, as a bearish harmonic extension distributes' itself, LaVinci has devised a plan to accumulate BTCUSD over the course of the next month.
The goal is to avert risk while simultaneously reap rewards by scaling into multiple LONG positions over the course of the above mentioned time period (30 days). Stop-Losses are also devised in the plan to scale out and liquidate the long positions in the event that the current structure fails to react accordingly. Take-Profits aren't being taken into account just yet, for the anticipated time that this position will be held is going to be between 70-90 days.
Please follow & critique, as critical feedback is strongly encouraged!
Thanks,
LaVinci
SHIB ABOUT TO EPLODE !!!Rarely will you talk about technical analysis without mentioning Dow , Magee, Livermoore nor Wyckoff.
It is worthy to note that this analysis is based off one of these legends work - Wyckoff.
As shown , the last impulsive move by SHIBUSDT originated from this range of accumulation . From the annotation and identification , we will observe that this is a perfect Wyckoff accumulation schematics with price approaching the LPS - Last Point of Support .
Interestingly , this zone confluences with the previous resistance turned support . Ideally , this level should be able to hold price , otherwise , SHIB will be making a new All Time Low !
Feel free to share your views
Are you new to Wyckoff method ?
Bitcoin - Wyckoff AccumulationAs this bear market has played out over the past few months, it has conformed pretty closely to a classic Wycokff Accumulation pattern.
In the above chart, we see the Selling Climax (SC) at the end of January, followed by a bounce called the Automatic Reaction (AR), before a Secondary Test on Feb 24. A zig-zag correction up to $48k at the end of March set the zone of future resistance (Wychoff Creek), before total capitulation in an historic 9 straight weeks of price declines down to a Spring low of $25.3k on May 12.
The logical conclusion is that we should be facing a period of price recovery, however, the truth is more subtle. For instance, you will note that the price action since the Spring of May 12 has echoed in fractal reflection on a smaller timescale, the SC, AR, ST and corrective rally to define resistance. So, it may be entirely possible that we are in the midst of another smaller accumulation zone, soon to be resolved in a new low. The only thing that will deter this outcome is if price continues to post gains and gets above $32.4k and keeps its uptrend of higher-lows.
A break to a lower-low below $29.2k and $28k would place us on track for a Spring low back below $25.3k.
What do you think? Is it a continuation of the uptrend from here, or a break to a new bear market low in another, final capitulation event?
Just Tested The Steping stone Demand In general H4
Price is in the Retracement Phase / Correction Period to the H4 demand level
before going higher or lower if supply is still in power, but evidence of CHoCH / Sign of Strength can be seen from the candle pattern forming a new Higher High and Ultra High Demand volume.
Price projection has objectively violated the last HH price at 1869.72 (May 24th)
and OVERSOLD Condition 1824.54 (June 1st)
we'll see Monday
how Prices React to market sentiment
We monitor consolidation and confirmation
for for price Rise higher to zone 1880 - 1899
Or down to 1830 -1810 zone
Have a great Trade A head
----Bahasa Indonesia----
Secara General H4
Harga dalam Phase Retracement / Masa Koreksi ke level demand H4
sebelum naik lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah jika supply masih berkuasa, namun bukti CHoCH / Sign of Strenght terlihat dari candle pattern membentuk new Higher High dan Demand volume yang ultra High.
Price projection secara objective telah melanggar harga HH terkahir di 1869.72 (24 Mei)
dan OVERSOLD Condition 1824.54 (1juni)
kita lihat senin,
bagaimana Harga Bereaksi terhadap sentimen pasar
Kita Pantau konsolidasi dan konfirmasi
untuk untuk harga Naik lebih tinggi ke zona 1880 - 1899
Atau turun ke 1830 -1810
Salam TraderBarokah
Nasdaq reversal targets the January lowWith the breakout today, the Nasdaq has confirmed a Wyckoff accumulation structure that started 19th May. The above chart provides my Wyckoff P&F targets, starting with the most conservative and getting successfully more aggressive. Note that the final higher target has not yet been taken. I will add this after the Wyckoff Backup event has occurred, which is a test of the breakout of the structure (bounded by the blue lines).
Not all targets need be met. At each, we need to be on the lookout for the price advance to pause and create a steppingstone structure. That could create a cause for a continued move up, or it may create a cause for a move down. We need to read the chart at each stage.
The most conservative target has been met, and price has already paused at it. I am not expecting much of a Backup, given current market conditions and the potential for more of a short squeeze. A small retracement on Friday and then rapid advance is more likely. A good entry would be on the reversal of this retracement.
I will update this post with my thoughts on the price advance. If you have found this useful please give a thumbs up and a follow to keep updated. Thanks!
Wyckoff AccumulationAccording to wyckoff accumulation, we are due for a short retrace then up higher. This could be the beginning of a denial rally.
Targets are based on imbalances (Yellow mark by candles), this is more of a general bullish guideline over a specific target road map so I will be longing after this possible retrace and confirmation.
NVAX Wyckoff Accumulation events + Elliott waves$NVAX My memorial day homework 😁
Wyckoff Accumulation events + Elliott waves
I have attached my two main theories that are happening together and we are approaching the end of it soon.
For wyckoff, I am expecting a big shakeout to follow. We haven't seen yet a day that has the qualities of a spring. We have only experienced some rallies that turned back quickly to the support/supply area, which imo is a test. We need to see massive selling volume and accumulation.
That is coming together with the Elliott waves count. I have an alteration of the count, but does not change anything in the final outcome. I just wanted to show the similarities with the ending diagonal. A wave C or wave 5 call it as you like, is supposed to come. Maybe this will mark the final shakeout and the end of correction.
PG Hello friends! now let 's analyze the PG company my Wyckoff Line indicator, which you can access and which clearly defines the liquidity zone of professionals , as well as with which you can determine the liquidity zones and, accordingly, understand where the accumulation is .
Where is the distribution absolutely clearly and determined the repulsion from the liquidity zone at the very bottom
You can also see that I recently made a deal on the chart , this mark is marked with the mark b 1 ,
which also absolutely clearly indicated the purchase before the decline
On the right we see the relative strength index , which shows that at the moment the company is still in a negative moment relative to the market and it is not yet ripe for purchase at the moment and we must definitely wait until the price reaches the liquidity zone , after which we will already look at the relative strength index and certainly by sector
Thank you all
Click like subscribe necessarily if the review came in! Then I will post more ideas .
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Potential Accumulation FormingGold - Potential accumulation forming, i want to see another SOS/candle close above before a pullback into the TR then i'll look to take this long!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
ETHER FRACTAL/CYCLE STUDYReviewing Ether's cycle, it contracts and expands but follows the same peaks and valleys. The notable characteristic here is the spring action it takes in the purple box. This spring can be understood in wyckoffian terms as the shakeout which is followed by a sign of strength and a mark-up.