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Wyckoffaccumulation

Wyckoff Accumulation Schematics 2Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. Up to this point, supply has been dominant. The approaching diminution of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). These events are often very obvious on bar charts, where widening spread and heavy volume depict the transfer of huge numbers of shares from the public to large professional interests. Once these intense selling pressures have been relieved, an automatic rally (AR), consisting of both institutional demand for shares as well as short-covering, typically ensues. A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. The lows of the SC and the ST and the high of the AR set the boundaries of the TR. Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Sometimes the downtrend may end less dramatically, without climactic price and volume action. In general, however, it is preferable to see the PS, SC, AR and ST, as these provide not only a more distinct charting landscape but a clear indication that large operators have definitively initiated accumulation. In a re-accumulation TR (which occurs during a longer-term uptrend), the points representing PS, SC and ST are not evident in Phase A. Rather, in such cases, Phase A resembles that more typically seen in distribution (see below). Phases B-E generally have a shorter duration and smaller amplitude than, but are ultimately similar to, those in the primary accumulation base. Phase B: In Wyckoffian analysis, Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend (see Wyckoff Law #2 – “Cause and Effect”). In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. The process of institutional accumulation may take a long time (sometimes a year or more) and involves purchasing shares at lower prices and checking advances in price with short sales. There are usually multiple STs during Phase B, as well as upthrust-type actions at the upper end of the TR. Overall, the large interests are net buyers of shares as the TR evolves, with the goal of acquiring as much of the remaining floating supply as possible. Institutional buying and selling imparts the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. As the professionals absorb the supply, however, the volume on downswings within the TR tends to diminish. When it appears that supply is likely to have been exhausted, the stock is ready for Phase C. Phase C: It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply, allowing the “smart money” operators to ascertain whether the stock is ready to be marked up. As noted above, a spring is a price move below the support level of the TR (established in Phases A and B) that quickly reverses and moves back into the TR. It is an example of a bear trap because the drop below support appears to signal resumption of the downtrend. In reality, though, this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). In Wyckoff's method, a successful test of supply represented by a spring (or a shakeout) provides a high-probability trading opportunity. A low-volume spring (or a low-volume test of a shakeout) indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. The appearance of a SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. As noted in Accumulation Schematic #2, however, the testing of supply can occur higher up in the TR without a spring or shakeout; when this occurs, the identification of Phase C can be challenging. Phase D: If we are correct in our analysis, what should follow is the consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, as well as reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top of the TR. LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: In Phase E, the stock leaves the TR, demand is in full control and the markup is obvious to everyone. Setbacks, such as shakeouts and more typical reactions, are usually short-lived. New, higher-level TRs comprising both profit-taking and acquisition of additional shares (“re-accumulation”) by large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. These TRs are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
HEducation
by BasharatAliMaher
Wyckoff Accumulation Schematics 1PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC. Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring. Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume. SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Education
by BasharatAliMaher
CADCHF Update I It will explode to the upside but be patientWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **CADCHF Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
9
Accumulation Phase D, right shoulder incomingBitcoin is following a textbook Wyckoff accumulation 3 pattern, which would bring us one more wave down before the start of the next bull market, increasing the mounting evidence we might that the next months will see a decline in price action and opening more opportunities for long-term accumulation. This wave would form the right shoulder in a classic inverse H&S pattern, a pattern that BTC used in the past to reverse long-term market trends. With a timeline set to complete the shoulder at the end of Q1, the path would be open for investors to move in with fresh money at the beginning of Q2 and send the price up. The price target for this idea is 19k.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by idealic55
2
BTC - Final Boring Torturing Phase Before BreakoutAs we can see BTC is behaving very simmilary of what XRP did after the SEC lawsuit in 2020. Wyckoff accumulation pattern is almost done, we just have to go through last boring phase, which could drag quite some time. We could be doing a simple ABC correction. Its a phase where a lot of retail will sell, specially those that bought back in at this recent 24k high. Imagine if prices were to stay hoovering here till Sep., when most of retail tought we are already breaking out. For those who understand Wyckoff accumulation pattern, we are currently in SOS (Sign Of Strength) phase and are haeding to LPS (Last Point of Support) in an ABC style which could be as low as 18.3k so don't get scared if that happens. As far as ABC correction goes, we could be already be done with an A wave and are heading up a bit for a B, but i'm not shore about that as A wave could still be in the making. I am not expecting any violent breakdown as there are just to little long positions open as opposed to short ones. DISCLEMER: I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well.
by AVA37
2
TSLA Re-Accumulation/DistributionTSLA price swings are signs of accumulation/distribution. Weakness in small time frame / Strength on Daily - this is either correction or liquidity grab into next move up $190 support - Weakness under $188, $182 is LPS *1hr support 21 EMA Resistance 8ema *5ma Daily Support Weekly anchored VWAP: $188 *1hr indicators are showing triple negative divergence Powell could be the catalyst to push markets & Tesla into correction territory *Options - $200 weekly Call Wall Wallstreet max pain will be between $188-$190 (this changes daily) Weekly expected move: $207 high $197 low Intraday: 2/7 (Bearish) Trading between $198-$190 then $188-182 I was expecting an upthrust to $200-201 for a liquidity grab before correction... still possible, but 1 hr. bullishness is weakening current bias is bearish for the short-term. *above 201.8 I can see this going to weekly highs *Pay attention to Volume of Selling and Buying - Buying Volume is still larger* Low Volume Sell-off is a sign of re-accumulation
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
3
ES Wyckoff Accumulation - bullish case for equitiesBullush case for Equities: After a clear distribution top followed by a markdown and underside retest of the previous range equities are looking like they are building a classic Wyckoff accumulation range. This would fit very well with the macro picture of a short term resurgence of inflation, increasing rates and a relisation that the pause only comes AFTER the painful selloff. This sets up for a choppy sideways year for risk and a good probability of Lows in the latter half of the year followed by recovery thereafter. Trader's market.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by aoleary1971
ETH Bigger Picture (Supplement)I posted a bullish idea for ETH early Jan. before it broke out that has hit exactly so far - here is a larger of view of what to expect when previous idea (linked) hits its upper target (which will be initial target for this idea): Breakout Level was 1561 - Initial Target by mid-Feb. 2023 = 1800-2000 - Then pullback to test support at 1560-1670 by end of March 2023 - If those hit, Target = 2350-2770 by early July 2023 (Point target = 2542 ) ~Expect big day tomorrow 1/23/23 to the 1700s.
GEMINI:ETHUSDLong
by JerryManders
7
Short-term Bullish Breakout attemptTSLA broke out of the falling channel with back test today-and could be attempting a 16% measured move up to fill the gap around $137. *There will be resistance between 124-128. If..IF Markets maintain bullishness we could see Tsla Move Towards $161-168 area, which coincides with: ~ Previous Support + 200WMA + 0.618 Golden Fibonacci Retracement, before moving back down to complete accumulation bottoming pattern. Data to keep in mind: THURSDAY: **CPI data expectations where just changed this morning - expectations of -0.1 instead of 0.0 JAN 23rd. *Earnings expectations are bearish Protection Ideas: if bullish pattern plays out - sell Early Feb $140 Calls to protect position Pattern Failure: Close Below $108 (you could set a stop loss at $117 - Tsla may want to fill gap at $114 first or test 110 area *** I do not believe the Markets are primed for THE Bull run yet (soon.. not yet) ... New Lowes are coming in Feb. Just an opinion.. Good luck & let me know what you think or if you have any good trade set-ups you want to share or discuss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Black_Sheep1
1
Wyckoff Schematic - Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff DiagramThis is a Smart Money Concepts Diagram With Labeled Wyckoff Accumulation And Distribution Schematics. These are the main smart money trade setups that you will find in your charts, this is how smart money (big banks, funds, composite man, etc.) manipulate markets to engineer liquidity. Wyckoff methods teach a bigger picture view of the markets and why they are moving, many times you will see smart money setups inside of bigger picture Wyckoff schematics that form certain parts of the schematic itself. I hope you find this to be a useful reference diagram for Smart Money trade setups 😁 You can use this as a printable PDF or save it for your digital notes If you have any questions please comment below and I can make updates to the F.A.Q.
U
by renegadeforex
WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION - PHASE BLooks like a beautiful painting!! I'll NFT this review when I'm over the moon! Well... we've reached the predicted bottom of "BTC - WHEN MOON?" Publish. The bottom is around 17k to 15k. But we cannot say that BTC is ready for the moon yet. He needs to confirm accumulation to reach more Historic Tops and the quality of this accumulation will tell us how far it will go. It would be beautiful if BTC drops below 15K for a Bear Trap!! If this happens, the accumulation gains much more quality.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by OUTSIDERTRADER