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Wyckoffdistribution

FTM Trading RangeI'd speculate on this structure being distributive. Which is a contentious call, given the fervour of the FTM community and HODLers. I really hope it doesn't play out, honestly... but .. it seems very off to me. Check out the volume, no volume at all during the lower structure, but heaps on the tests to the top of the range, a lot of passing the supply over from pros who have made 4000% already and are offloading to people who think it's going to the moon. Hey.. I hope I'm wrong.. I'm just a noob anyway so don't listen to me.
FTX:FTMUSD
by Rolleys
2
Combining wyckoff's theory with ONCHAIN data"This is a hypothesis that needs more testing to be more precise." Wyckoff's theory t is one of the most influential theories of market expression, and the most important components of which are lateral movement areas and trends. This theory turns the graph into something like Dots and lines (stations and paths). But it is not as easy to use as written in books. After getting acquainted with Wyckoff's theory, I read several books on the subject, hoping that they could help me identify this area of ​​lateral movement, the area of accumulation, or distribution. But there was a fundamental drawback. It is challenging to diagnose this issue. In fact, the rules discussed in these books are highly interpretive and subjective, and two different individual traders may come to exactly opposite conclusions based on their interpretation. But as I became more familiar with the onchain analysis, an idea came to my mind that might be useful for more objectively recognizing charts based on Wyckoff's theory. Composite Man: Wyckoff proposed a theory to help understand price movements in stocks. this is the “Composite Man” theory. (The same concept of whales or strong hands.) he said: “…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2) In fact, composite Man is a hypothetical man who has so much money and stocks that when he wants he can gradually increase the price by buying stocks and creating demand, and when the price goes high enough he selles his stock and lower the price. The composite man is the main player in the market. Wyckoff says that if you want to make a good profit from the market, figure out what a composite man game is. In fact, having a way of showing us where the Composite Man is in the market, can help us understand future trends Who are the strong hands in the cryptocurrency market? (I use the strong hand word here instead of the composite man) There are those who buy or sell more per capita than other market participants (retailers). To understand this in the bitcoin market, I have used 3 charts and concepts: 1- Sending Addresses: The number of coins addresses making inflow transactions to the exchange. Indicates the number of sellers' wallets (number of sellers) 2- buyers Addresses: The number of coins addresses making outflow transactions from the exchange. Indicates the number of buyers' wallets (number of buyers) 3- Pay attention to this issue: the volume of transactions shows both the volume of sales and the buy (Volume of buy and sale is equal in the market) Considering the above 3 issues, it can be concluded: - If the number of Receiving Addresses is higher than the Sending Addresses (the number of people who bought compared to the number of those who sold), it indicates that more people bought and fewer people sold (given that the volume of sales and buys are the same) So the sellers were stronger hands. In such a situation, the composite man is on the sales side. - If the number of Sending Addresses is higher than the Receiving Addresses (number of people who have sold more than the number of people who have bought), it indicates that more people have been sellers and fewer people have been buyers (given that the volume of sales and buys are the same) so the buyers were stronger hands. In such a situation, the Composite man is on the buying side. To do this, the oscillator at the bottom of the chart divides the Number of Receiving Addresses by the Number of Sending Addresses. Numbers above 1.2 indicate that the Composite man is on the side of the sellers and should expect a price reduction in the future. Values below 1 (or 1.2) indicate that the Composite man is on the buyers side. And we should expect price increases in the future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by cryptoonchain
BTC Wyckoff distribution v2This is a follow up from my last chart this includes the involvement of a LPSY LPSY — last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. Bitcoin has been ranging for a year now. this is typical of wyckoff distribution. Regardless of schematics working perfectly to a diagram. These are the signs of distribution I look for. The key areas to be aware of are: Volume , does it rise on supply, is there a response to attempts to push the price back up? Is there a clear buying climax to begin your trading range. Look for candles with long wick (to indicate counter-pressure) or blow off top candles that create an obvious difference from the previous uptrend. Is there an automatic reaction to that? Does price return back down on high supply? Have their been any springs (movements below the BC or TRADING RANGE) — how were these responded to? This should be conducted on a minimum of a 12h chart. UTAD — upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR . It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element ICE — This is another concept that isn’t covered in all distribution schematics but I feel it’s worth covering. Accumulation has a Creek and when price crosses this creek it’s considering to be Jumping Across the Creek (JAC). The creek is a rough line drawn across the highs of the range that we expect to see broken on high volume to add credibility. Within distribution we have a similar concept called ICE. Imagine this as a frozen lake, each footstep you take on the ice it becomes a little weaker. A rough line is drawn across the lows of the range instead for distribution, each time the price has touched it, it weakens and sooner or later the ICE will break and price (and you on the lake) will fall through. Disclaimer
by Cymoongale
IS $92K WHAT IS POTENTIAL NEXT FOR BITCOINHi all. I am sorry I haven't been able to post any analysis of sort lately. But if you are a maintainig a BULLISH BIAS on the Mother of Crypto I am looking @ some specific price point to get involve. My BIAS to go long is looking @ an ORDERBLOCK on 1hr that leads to a massive explosion and break of couple of 4hour Break of Structure according to the Schematics. Having seen this order block in price range of 37934 and 38352, that becomes an area of interest for me to look for lower timeframe rejection and then BUY reaction. I also found a potential SHARK Harmonic pattern landed on the 0.886 deeper rejection of the consolidation mode that we are currently in. Overall last week upward thrust a bullish bias if it continues then the next few weeks can potentially seen that liquidity been formed @ 45K area broken. When you have had so much retail execution trying to sell then we have so many stops level above 45K and what do you think will happen to them liquidity grabbers will go for them and that in itself is a good schematics to picture BULLISH BITCOIN in the next coming days or week. My Risk for this BUY PROJECTION is 28130 which means I will seize advantage of buying and holding BITCOIN lower prices till 28130 should incase we flush down to this region. Which means if I have £1000 of BTC to buy I will potentially buy some @ around 37934 to 38352 maybe a quarter of my capital and if it takes off from here to the Moon I will spent the rest on some other Altcoins.BUT if prices flushes down some more I will update a specific price point to buy more. Trade with a plan and trade wisely remember once your capital is gone then you may struggle to find more capital to get involve in the game. If this helps then don't hesitate to like the post and get in touch.
Long
by LukmanBalogun
IWM - Looks like small caps might be in for a bit more hurtThe daily chart from the Covid crash to the peak of the Covid recovery paints a picture of the Russell 2000 that is eerily similar to a textbook sketch of Wyckoff's distribution theory. For the bulk of 2021 IWM respected a very clear support line that has been crashed through in 2022. Recent price action shows that old support being tested as a new resistance and buyers attempting to push prices through that level were flatly rejected. Furthermore, volume began spiking on drops in price below the 200 day moving average and any movement above it recently was met with anemic volume. This is not the excitement that we've been accustomed to in the small caps of 2020. The game has changed. With 1/3 of the Russell (at least) being non-revenue producing speculative companies that were exponentially over-valued during the 2020 bull run, it's hard to imagine that the grounding of the Russell isn't real and that it isn't coming. In today's market, giants like TSLA, AAPL, and MSFT are being dragged down to fundamental value. The small caps aren't immune, unfortunately. What's even worse is that a correction to AAPL's charts isn't as ghastly as some small caps that are trading at tens or hundreds of millions above their quarterly earnings. The Russell is an important index to watch if one is interested in small cap boomers. It serves as not only a tradable ETF but as a thermometer for the sentiment toward speculation. Right now, it appears that bullish sentiment and risk taking is waning and bearish sentiment is growing. This could lead to a gut wrenching performance for small caps going forward into 2022 and larger drops in former penny stocks that retail investors drove to epic heights in 2020 and early 2021. Many of these companies are still heavily overvalued after 50%+ drops in share prices. I'd expect volatility in the coming months as tax returns are pumped into these old favorites with the rallying cries of "buy the dip" and "moon next PR" on the breath of most novice investors and traders, especially those who are holding bags likely exponentially higher than current share prices. Once that surge of small money ends I would think that an abysmal summer is approaching for many of these strongholds. Most of the companies have made lofty promises and many of them have targeted this summer for validation of their business models and strategies. But in the face of generationally high inflation, wars, rate hikes, and supply chain disruptions along with a pandemic that is cyclically impacting humanity, will it matter? If Mr. Russell is any indication of what is to come, that answer is likely no. Spiking prices will likely be met with hard sell-offs and shorts that start to feel the squeeze will get a layer of protection from the trapped bulls just looking to get their money back out of the markets. It's not the best of news, but it shouldn't be considering that we aren't in the best of economic situations currently. Of course this is the markets and the markets have a mind of their own. It's wise not to get too caught up in bias and predictions to the point where you are unable to react appropriately and according to your plans. Good luck out there and God bless!!
AMEX:IWM
by TradingTacticsPro
Potential Schematic Almost Complete!Gold - Potential Distribution Schematic almost complete, I'm waiting for NYSE open for price to maybe have one more upthrust into the LTF imbalance (Zone marked on chart) before quickly dropping below the BC and then breaking to the downside, this could be a very nice trade, let's keep an eye on it and see! Let me know your thoughts! * Disclaimer ** These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProFxAI
Wyckoff Distribution + InflationThe IWM has completed It's classic Wyckoff Distribution and we are now at Phase E. The target is 170-169 where we have found support. This is a warning for the entire Stock Market to abandon ship while you still can. The IVM is the Titanic and has hit the ICEBERG. We don't have enough boats to save everyone. People will be left on the ship stuck at all time highs holding the bags. "The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists." Ernest Hemingway This post is not Financial Advise.
AMEX:IWMShort
by nerdrx
NZD/JPY 4H Wyckoff 23:1 Risk to Reward RatioWyckoff Trading Method is amazing to understand the market and the big players who move the market. The idea is to understand when the market consolidates and wether it is in a distribution/re-distribution phase or accumulation/re-accumulation phase. Wyckoff gives you a big Risk to Reward Ration if entered right. In the NZD/JPY attached picture, the price consolidated and before it there was a change of character, there I have identified the PS (Point of Supply). Then the SC (Selling Climax) and AR (Automatic Rally) were identified alongside ST (Second Test) to mark the end of Phase A. Trading Ranges are identified by SC & AR. Phase B had an Ultimate Thrust followed by an ST for Phase B. Phase C is where the big players trick you into thinking the price will go down while in fact the want to push it up. That is called the Spring which is then followed by a Test. The Test usually happens to gather the hedge funds companies to join along. Phase D is where we see Signs of Strength and could be followed by a Last Point of Supply for any companies to join along. You could enter a trade in Phase C or Phase D only and you could even go on lower timeframes for better entries. You have to have patiences when trading Wyckoff because you could have Re-accumulation instead of Accumulation. In our online courses, we'll teach you how you can identify the difference :) Please share and support and let me know what you think in the comments section. Thanks !
by yousifkf
$F which one of these gaps are we filling first, boys?Bull gap BELOW current SP - 6.3 pips 15.92 ; 16.55 Bear gap ABOVE current SP - 12.4 pips 18.63 ; 19.87 Personally, I am bearish short term, expecting to kiss that lower gap and possibly fill it before a potential bounce back to the upside. Possible Wyckoff Distribution setup was forming on 1D prior to earnings. Personally took a puts gamble on earnings. I have been following $F for some time now and the strength of the stock was obviously slowing. (Not to mention Cramer was pumping it lol) Hasn't had much legs since pumping and retracing quickly back to consolidation/support zone which was then lost on a big gap down after most recent earnings. Which way do you think she's heading? As always, manage your risk and GOOD LUCK! Not advice just insight*
NYSE:F
by Senor_C
2
Bitcoin Daily Chart - Wyckoff Distribution and Downtrend BreakAs the majority of traders have began showcasing various bearish signals, it is important that at this moment we zoom out of the chart and we observe the longterm pattern that has been created. On the daily chart we can observe a potential Wyckoff Distribution being completed which should continue with a downtrend. As of today, bulls are attempting to break off from the downtrend and enter two possible scenarios: - a shoot to ~47,000 breaching the strong resistance at ~45,000 which has already been tested several times. - sideways trading to consolidate the downtrend break, and build new support before finally attempting to pump in the ~50,000 price range. We are still considered to be in no mans land until a confirmation appears. The most likely scenario is sideways training and here is why: 1. FED actions to taken in consideration 2. Russia - Ukraine situation. Ukraine deciding not to follow their NATO membership ambitions is a positive step towards temporarily resolving the tense circumstances at the border. 3. The crypto ecosystem is technologically booming. A 12-24 months bearish crypto market does not represent the logical uptrend of the overall crypto world, unless external factors are significantly negative.
by UnknownUnicorn35305092
2
Bitcoin: Potential Wyckoff Distribution completedAlthough still continuing with an uptrend on the 4h chart, we now can see a clear Wyckoff Distrbution being completed for bitcoin which can be a signal for a significant upcoming drop. If this Wyckoff Distribution is confirmed with a drop within the next 24 hours, we can expect bitcoin price to go down and test support at ~39,000 mark. However, at this moment we are in no mans land for various reasons but specially because: 1. Wyckoff Distribution forming or complete, waiting for reaction 2. Potential golden cross between the 20 and 50 EMA forming in the upcoming hours. 3. Superbowl event is expected to have an effect as crypto commercials will take place which is a historical moment 4. Russia vs Ukraine geopolitical situation is one of the major factors to watch as any news regarding this can cancel all other signals. It is recommended for traders to refrain from any trades and observe a market trend shift.
by UnknownUnicorn35305092
BTC USD Nearing Resistance in the Daily TimeframeHere I show stepping stone re-distribution trading ranges for BTC USD in the daily timeframe. From Oct 20, 2021 to Dec 3, 2021, the BTC price was observed in a horizontal re-distribution trading range. The upper and lower boundaries of this trading range are given by the horizontal black dotted lines. The gray shaded areas show support and resistance zones. Significant bars, which help define important areas of support and resistance, are given by the blue shading. The BTC price dropped down to a second, lower horizontal re-distribution trading range. The BTC price was observed in that trading range from Dec 4, 2021 through Jan 21, 2022. Although the BTC price recently has been trending up, it is not likely that the price will significantly exceed the upper bounds of the linear regression channel. The upper and lower bounds of the linear regression channel are given by the solid green and red lines, respectively. The solid black line is the midpoint of the linear regression channel. In this case, I expect the upper bound of the linear regression channel to act as strong resistance and the lower bound of the linear regression channel to act as strong support. Shown in the bottom panel is the Phoenix Ascending indicator, comprised of the green exponential moving average (EMA), red stochastic relative strength index (sRSI), blue least squared moving average (LSMA), and the grey energy (GE). The ideal short entry occurs when the red sRSI is on the downswing and is about to be contacted by a green EMA on the downswing. Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), automatic reaction (ARe), buying climax (BC), failed upthrust (FUT), last point of supply (LPSY), phase A (Ph A), phase B (Ph B), phase C (Ph C), phase D (Ph D), phase E (Ph E), secondary test (ST), selling climax (SC), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOW), upthrust action (UTA). This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eightchains
15