Get started

Wyckoffdistribution

XAU USD Order flow is BULLISHHey Guys, Gold is done with a very long term accumulation as we have finally broken structure upward, and on this current pull back we see once again we have accumulated by manipulating lows and breaking minor structure upward, that means pull back is done, expect up moves from here on. My zone of interest is the daily candle that took the final lows before the minor break of structure. Keep in mind this is a zone of interest and not an entry price, as price plays into the zone i want to see the lower timeframes accumulating as well, then when the lower timeframes are in line with the higher timeframes (when lower time frame orderflow is also bullish) then we enter for longs and take it to the moon.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hammoud8721
Wyckoff Accumulation, Last chance to get in before the big move!So I know many people are saying that this Wyckoff accumulation pattern has been invalidated due to the lower highs and lows we have been getting but I still believe this is part of the wyckoff accumulation and we are really close to the markup stage. Here is my argument to why its still valid. So first off wyckoff patterns are never 100% accurate and we can prove that by looking at previous charts and history. They all play out the same way in the end but the process might vary from chart to chart and coin to coin. These past lower lows we have been getting look really familiar with the distribution phase we had when BTC reached 65k. So I went back and looked at the distribution phase of BTC and inverted the scale so that it looked like a wyckoff accumulation instead of a distribution. As you can see: BTC did the same exact thing it is doing right now by forming lower highs and lower lows trying to shake the last retail investors before finally rallying up to 40k. In the image I posted BTC went for about 25 days from the (spring) stage to the launch up (inverted ofcourse). On this chart right now Its only been 20 days from the spring to where we are right now. If we add 5 more days that would put us at the 17th of July which is where Im personally expecting this big move to happen. Now if BTC breaks out of the falling wedge and retests that resistance as support that's a strong sign of bullish momentum. Also as soon as BTC breaks my green box around 36k it should according to the wyckoff accumulation pattern go straight up to 41-42k and form the pennant. Now this was quite a long post and I would really appreciate a follow or a like. If there is anything that isn't clear, feel free to ask me in the comments! As always, good luck traders!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SpaceBlobb
6
DXY Wyckoff DistributionNice and clear Wyckoff Distribution on Dolar Index. I will explain below what all the letters on this chart mean so that you can understand it better. PSY—preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching. BC—buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price. AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant. LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: the TR in Distribution Schematic #1 contains a UTAD, while the TR in Distribution Schematic #2 does not.
TVC:DXYShort
by Lzr_Fx
EURGBP UNPOPULAR OPINIONDISTRIBUTION INSIDE AN ACCUMULATION I cannot tell you guys in full totality that this schematic is right for sure, it is just an anticipation of the many possibilities offered by the market. Overall bias is shorts till they sweep the liquidity below. Interms of intraday perspective I think price will continue down and reverse at 0.8500 zone in preparation of a lpsy. Enter shorts if and only if price shows signs of a distribution to go lower at the first lpsy.
Short
by hakeemb
Wyckoff's Accumulation phaseThis is Wyckoff's Accumulation phase that is tricky to understand, Wyckoff's methods are real smart money concept. Actually Wyckoff's understand how SM place their orders. So after a long time by studying markets sir Wyckoff distributed his knowledge between public. And reality is Support and Resistance work but not so nicely SM know how retail traders trade the market. So they break the retail levels induces public and collect their orders and reduce public From trades. Concepts are little bit complicated to apply in real time chart, but it actually works. If anyone wants to learn those concepts then they can search on Google 'Wyckoff's method'.
Education
by HelloSujoyGain
BTC Bottom is In BTC very clearly followed a support line that broke leading to the flash crash we recently saw. This came after a textbook Wyckoff Distribution phase that lasted about a month or so (please google "Wyckoff distribution" to see related images). The Wyckoff Distribution has been completed and we now move on to the next phase; accumulation. For the last 6-7 weeks btc has been in an accumulation zone right above a critical and extreme support zone (see chart for labels). With the start of Q3 we can expect to see BTC make a recovery back above $50,000 and potentially set new all time highs in Q4 (more to come on that though). Market sentiment should reverse back to bullish in the next week or two. If the price of BTC breaks below critical support we can expect to see $20,000 BTC once again however there is only a 20-30% chance that this occurs. Happy trading and see you on the next update!
Long
by Crypto_Simp
2
Is The Wyckoff Valid for Bitcoin?What is the Wyckoff Method? The Wyckoff accumulation is a century old form of technical analysis created by Richard D. Wyckoff. It is based on the principles of supply and demand. According to Wykoff there are two main phases in a market cycle: The accumulation phase and the distribution phase. f this was our Wyckoff spring moment then July could be very exciting! — Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) June 22, 2021 The accumulation phase usually follows a big price drop (Phase A) In the accumulation phase the price bottoms out as investors are starting to accumulate share or in this case Bitcoin. The demand and supply are close to even until slowly investors feel more comfortable to buy more and the price rises (Phase D and E in Graph). The distribution phase can be imagined as the mirrored version of this graph. After a heavy price increase, demand and supply are even and the price stops increasing, over time leading to a larger crash in price. Wyckoffs method states markets never repeat exact circumstances. So, instead of looking for the market to repeat itself, Wyckoff’s method requires analysts to look at broader sets of patterns. All price patterns vary slightly from previous incarnations either by size or volume to therefore making analysts adopt to different sets of outcomes instead of the same one. The second rule to the Wyckoff method tells investors and analysts to respect market relativity. Meaning, in order to understand today’s market trend, one must also evaluate the past. Finally, In the Wyckoff method, Wyckoff introduced three trends. These include up, down, and flat. He also introduced three time frames in his strategy: short term, intermediate, and long term. Is the Wyckoff Method valid? According to many experts in the industry, we could soon entering an uptrend in Bitcoin price. “In terms of the Wyckoff method, this $28.8K lower low is very similar to the $65K higher high. Both cause a maximum emotional effect on market participants.” Final thoughts Time will soon tell if the Bitcoin bounce off of 28k support this week is the spring to send Bitcoin back to reach it’s previous all time high. Many in crypto are hoping for a bullish reversal of the market come July.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by sachi_diary
12
BTCUSDT 4h, Wyckoff accumulationm, bearish days may be ending?!?This is update of previous idea, so please take a look at related ideas for more information and follow us to be informed of idea updates. 🙋 Please let me know what you think. 🚀 If you would like to be kept updated, please follow us. 🚀 If you like the analysis then do drop a LIKE and a COMMENT. Also do SHARE it with your friends. 🚩 Note - These are my personal notes and in no way a financial advice. Do your own research and Trade wisely
Long
by golden_day
2
BITCOIN - Wyckoff Redistribution UpdateHello everyone, rouzwelt here Well I have demonstrated Wyckoff Backup Action Events in my last idea as you can see in the screenshot below (full article link at botttom of page), and as of right now we have seen clear rejection from our resistant line at 32300 (PS) , and price action is showing that it's weak and can dump more. and the projection I have shown in the Screenshot is playing out somehow. I want to note something in the next Screenshot below, and that is as you can see, price action have clearly broke down local trend lines (yellow lines) it could have formed. that's not good but I just wanted to note this so that we can see btc couldn't form a local trend line to find support at. but let's see if the current one can hold or not. Anyway, Let me say something, whenever price is going up you want to see volume coming in and increase at rallies up and decrease at reactions and vice versa in the opposite direction. Now let's get back to the main chart. I believe that btc is weak right now, we don't see volume coming in at rallies high, actually its the opposite, we see volume at rallies down and decrease at reactions up. And that's what we are seeing right now at the btc 1H chart which I believe is pointing lower levels at this point. But let me say smoething, that can reverse for a short period of time and we can head high locally to the blue trend line drawn in the main chart, well if we see this happening then I'd like to see the price squeeze around the blue trend line and a break out after that, only in that case I would open a long position for a short-term uprise. But lower levels are the more probable scenario (the red arrow price projection), and if so, we will get the last LPSY in back up action phase of wyckoff method and then I would be opening my swing short position. Let's end by saying that the blue trend line in the main chart is the most important level for me to break if BTC wants to head high and test 36.5/38/40/42k resistants and potentially showing some strengths after almost 3-4 months.I don't want to sound bearish and actually I hate bear market as much as you do but we need to see some sign of strengths before saying we can see higher levels at least at this stage.
by rouzwelt
4
BITCOIN - Wyckoff Redistribution Backup ActionHello everyone, rouzwelt here As I demonstrated in my last idea which you can see its screenshot below (Full Article Link Bellow) that we need more info and more candles to get printed so we can begin to say wether BTC is in accumulation or redistribution phase. And right now after BTC failed to break Last Point Of Supply and rejected, we are seeing a lower low getting printed, although that's not the best news, but that shows us that we need to be prepared and position ourselves accordingly. And right now we can clearly see that BTC have entered its backup action phase, where a smaller version of wyckoff method is playing out. I have noted the events in wyckoff method in the chart and projected the price action which is probably going to play out going forward. Price now may rise to middle of the wyckoff channel then gets rejected that forms the LPSY in Backup Action before dumping again to print a local lower low (below SOW - bold red line) or a golbal lower low (below SC - dotted red line) and forming the last LPSY which is where I personally am going to position myself right there. Although I should note that there is still a chance for this idea to get invalidated if we start rally higher and print a higher high, break above the 35/36k resistant and head to our main resistant area of 42k, and when that happens I'm going to start thinking that this whole price action of last few weeks may have been an accumulation, but we sure need to see BTC break above 42k resistant and print a higher high, that's the key. But for now the chances are low as BTC is close to the bottom of the channel and we don't see buyers showing any sign of strengths. I should note that the higher the volatility at this stage the more chance BTC is in redistribution rather than accumulation. How much price can dump if this idea plays out? I don't know and I don't care at this moment, all care about is that I can open my position with minimum risk possible, and on that note I'm going to end here. Have fun and trade safe.
by rouzwelt
3