EURUSD Could Consolidate Near the Recent DipThe economic calendar for next week looks relatively uneventful, which is likely to result in diminished trading activity. Under such conditions, the price action is likely to consolidate in a new Accumulation range, as postulated by the Wyckoff Cycle theory.
Such a range is likely to span between the major support level at 1.12700, underpinned by the recent Hammer candlestick, and the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.13532. The waning bullish momentum, as underscored by the declining histogram of the MACD indicator, corroborates these expectations.
Wyckoffmethod
BTC Top Comparison(April 21 vs Nov 21)The question on my mind - is this some sort of double top formation that could lead to a decline in price? I am going try to answer the best I can with justification for why this is not, in my opinion, a double top and we are shaping up for push higher; at least to previous highs again and maybe a bit more(from there we analyze the price again).
Justifications
Structural:
Looking at the two channels gives a picture of an upward trend in both cases. What is interesting is the is rounding we saw in the run up to the April top and a 3 push failure pattern that you see in distributional structures; signifying the exhaustion of demand.
Placing a volume profile of both structures, it shows an increase in activity at the very highs of the April top with a high POC in the trend channel. We look at the current position we see that is the opposite. We have a lower POC and what we see is a HVN(contracts have been traded a this higher level) yet the swapping of hands so to speak, is reduced across the upper part of the trend channel favoring some acceptance by both buyers and sellers as this higher level.
Time:
A promising aspect of the November price action is the ability to hold price at the higher levels. This is what we want to see when we favor a re-accumulation and subsequent continuation of higher prices.
By simple visual observation we can see how in April price supply easily caused an imbalance at the higher prices and price drop significantly; no demand could support the price. The current price action indicated some acceptance of the price at this level.
Volume:
Looking at the current dips from the tops we see volume on the supply side in April 21 was higher whereas this time we have a lower volume indicating some confidence that this is not a downward movement supported for continuation. The aggressiveness that was there before, looks to be less dramatic.
In the short term, I think we need to test the 62000 range as that lines up with a HVN and the monthly VWAP. If we can get above this level and hold I think we could get a continuation at least to the 70K range. From there we would analyze again and check the price action.
As noted on the chart, we could have another drop to the 0.5 retrace which looks to be a logical and would still support a continuation to the highs from the oversold condition.
Do you play the Lottery? Maybe you should....LTRY Falling WedgeWith a Pop over the Falling Wedge Resistance on a 4hr this is looking extra Saucy with the Hammer Shaped Indecision Just hovering above the blood soaked candles below up.. Like beacon to all those who want or need money its just hovering like Superman as a sign of HOPE........or some crazed power hungry alien with lazer beams that come out of its eyes, ready to annihilate all mankind if his lover dies.......either way should be a good ride.
There is about $3 DOllars of head room to reacht he top of this wedge. There is athe cahnce this comes down first thing to close the gap. But that just means cheaper shares for everyone.
*high Fives*
So you know what they say, you cant win if you dont play.
by iCantw84it
11.15.2021
NAS100 Short Position.Short The Market NAS100. Spring test, Market Will Probably Make 1-3 Tests of available Supply. So Stay within your position
ENS Wyckoff Accumulation Prediction UPDATE: Shifted to the RightUpdate: Shifted the prediction pattern over to the right to fit over the current dip in price. Done in order to gauge the accuracy of the movements.
Breakout Play on GBPJPYThe price action is currently attempting a breakout above the Re-Accumulation range, in what could result in a new Markup. Traders can look for an opportunity to go long
just above the range's upper boundary (at 153.600). They can place a stop-loss just below the 300-day MA (in purple), currently at 153.360.
The first target is the 38.2 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 154.658, which is about to converge with the 200-day MA (in orange) and the 100-day MA (in blue). If it manages to penetrate above this threshold, the price action would then likely head towards the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci at 156.021. This is where bulls can collect their profits.
ZNGA hitting its head against Daily Cloud $3.50 move potentialZNGA breaking free of the cloud on the 4hr...finding resistance on the daily. This is the path it can take to try and break free of the Dailys Cloud. Used Algo Key code to find same move where it was trying to break free of cloud and was under. Potential 3.50 Swing on a cheap stock.
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by iCantw84it
11.11.21
ARCB Gapped up 3 times to get out of Falling WEdge $5 MoveFalling Wedge Break with Ceiling to the upside of $5 before it hits its first level of resistance. Gapped up 3 times as it moved out of the wedge.
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by iCantw84it
11.11.21
ENPH Ceiling Break with Repeat of last previous Move $22 MoveCeiling Break to the upside of with a drop as the trigger which I would have pulled early to the top of the candle at $247 Last move went for $22 I would watch this close as its not as Bullish as the last move.
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by iCantw84it
11.11.21
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation SchematicRemember that these are schematic patterns, meaning price action could have a similar trajectory, but it is important to learn about the characteristics of each phase and how to determine the differences in each one. Volume is a huge component of Wyckoff so see below for my favorite free resources to help learn more about Wyckoff:
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Schematic (Wyckoff Anatomy of a Trading) #BTCUSD
Phase A: Shows Buying Climax stopping previous up move and more pronounced preliminary support and selling climax facilitating accumulation into stronger hands.
Phase B: Inconclusive evidence but does show us evidence of rally on good spread and volume.
Phase C: Shows final low on diminished volume compared to ST and holds support area above climax low. Move off of low shows pattern on expanding spread and volume.
Phase D & F: Continues pattern of Demand in Control.
$DOGE to face some Spring action before we can get uber bullish.NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
In the grand scheme of things, Dogecoin is exhibiting accumulation signals, evident by the heavy buying spree whenever price hits SC levels ($0.1527). I read this as whale-buying activity, where they'll have plenty of buy triggers at that level.
As bullish as that may sound, we have not yet been given a sign of a Spring event, aka a revisit of SC levels and touching or breaking that. Heck, we have yet to even see any creek consolidation price action too.
In fact, there is a good chance that we get to see a little pump as the rising tide from bitcoin's ATHs creates euphoric buying signals, but as the market cap of Dogecoin is now too large, the volume may not be enough for it to see a revisiting of its ATH anytime soon.
Perhaps a retest of $0.35 is more likely than not. Perhaps..
More consolidation will be needed to coil price action up (like a spring!) for its next bull cycle run (2024-2025?).
So if a dump towards SC levels is indeed a pre-requisite in the Wyckoff method, then $0.1527 will be a good spot to set some triggers.
But why buy when the price is dumping?
Because the smartest investor on earth advised 'Sell when others are greedy, and buy when others are fearful.'
Happy Trading!
GBPUSD | Market outlookThe British pound is showing multidirectional trading dynamics against the US dollar, trying to gain a foothold below the psychological level of 1.3500. The new week on the foreign exchange market starts relatively calm, as the macroeconomic calendar is empty, and Friday's publications from the UK were largely offset by a generally positive report on the US labor market. The British house price index from Halifax in October showed an increase of 0.9% MoM after rising by 1.7% MoM last month, although analysts had expected strengthening only by 0.4% MoM. In annual terms, the index accelerated from the previous +7.4% 3 M/Y/Y to +8.1% 3 M/Y/Y, which turned out to be noticeably better than the market forecasts of +5.9% 3 M/Y/Y. American statistics, in turn, showed the increase in the number of new jobs (531K instead of 425K expected), created outside agriculture in October. We should recall that a month earlier, the growth amounted to 312K.