Wyckoff ReAccumulation Schematic AnalysisPrevious chart got messed up on TV, so reposting with more detailed information..
This daily BTCUSDT chart illustrates a classic Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic, showcasing various phases and key levels critical to understanding the potential market movements.
Phases and Key Levels:
Preliminary Supply (PSY): This is the initial point where substantial selling begins, but the downtrend is still intact. Marked near 67,579 USDT.
Buying Climax (BC): This indicates the point where aggressive buying meets resistance, leading to the initial sell-off. Positioned at approximately 73,777 USDT.
Automatic Rally (AR): Following the selling climax, an automatic rally occurs due to the cessation of aggressive selling and some buying interest.
Secondary Test (ST): The price retests the BC level, confirming the resistance and further defining the trading range.
Phase B - Up-Thrust (UT): This phase is characterized by false breakouts above the resistance level, aimed at trapping buyers before the price reverses.
Creek : A metaphorical line representing minor resistance levels that the price needs to jump across to indicate strength.
Spring : This phase is where the price dips below the support level to shake out weak hands before reversing upwards. The spring is tested to confirm the bottom.
Test : After the spring, the price tests the support level to ensure that the bottom is established.
Last Point of Support (LPS): Following the test, the price action shows higher lows, indicating strong support and the beginning of the markup phase.
Jump Across The Creek: A significant movement where the price crosses above the minor resistance levels (creek), signaling the start of a new uptrend.
Sign of Strength (SOS): Demonstrates strong upward momentum with increased demand, validating the bullish trend.
Current Status:
BTCUSDT is showing a strong bullish movement after completing the spring and test phases. The price has recently jumped across the creek and is currently at the Last Point of Support (LPS). The expectation is for a Sign of Strength (SOS) as BTC continues its upward trajectory towards the upper resistance levels around 73,777 USDT.
Measured Move Strategy:
Using a measured move strategy on a higher time frame, we identify breakout targets based on the height of the accumulation range projected upwards.
Potential Breakout Targets:
Short-term target at 71,997.02 USDT (100% Fibonacci level).
Medium-term target at 90,000 USDT, considering the height of the accumulation range added to the breakout level.
Higher time frame target at 180,000 USDT, aligning with the measured move strategy and long-term bullish projections.
Summary:
This chart provides a comprehensive view of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, highlighting key phases and potential bullish outcomes for BTCUSDT. Traders should watch for sustained strength above the LPS and look for SOS confirmation to validate further upside. The higher time frame breakout targets using a measured move strategy suggest significant bullish potential, with a long-term target of 180,000 USDT.
Wyckoffreaccumulation
BTC in a reaccumulation phase BTC is probably in a reaccumulation phase, which is confirmed by the volume for me. There was more trading at the local bottoms, which is why we assume accumulation. I also marked these accumulations with red ranges.
There are two options, one is the blue faster way, the other is the slower but more likely option (purple).
Wyckoff Reaccumulation PatterThe current patter which started development since the end of January, is almost complete. If it is true, BTC will pump probably to ATH within days.
On the chart you can see a blue path, there is still possibility of a shake-off strategy aimed to scare people.
Of course, DYOR ! A probability of invalidation of this idea is marked on chart by a stop loss placement.
This is not financial advice, you do your own research and you take all your own responsibility for any loses.
SOL 4HR REACCUMULATION Solana has almost left it's 4hr reaccumulation trading range.
The expectation now, if it is to continue bullish will be a break of structure to the upside,
a short continuation above the BC(buying climax) and AR(automatic rally) before a slow pullback to mitigate the AR area.
If solana achieves these steps we will expect an explosive move from the AR region on the lower timeframes and a large move on the 4hr to at least $144.
We must bear in mind that all of these steps need to occur and that there is no guarantee that the "composite man" will not initiate a sharp move back down into the trading range to shake out more retail.
We also must consider the monthly, weekly and daily possible targets and the supply regions on these timeframes. There are so many factors to consider because so many unmitigated areas and liquidity zones remain below the trading range.
We must be mindful that traps are how the big players take us out so wait for these traps to occur before we enter in line WITH these big players. To be too early or too late is going to be a loss. Watch the institutional candles and enter after the mitigation of these.
Don't chase the pump or you will be the liquidity to fuel their move higher. For now their intention is up once they break this structure upwards. As always, wait for their moves first, keep risk low and remember this is their business and they do not want you to participate. Taking all retail out to fuel their moves is how they play. Always backtest Wyckoff thoroughly before trading it.
ETH - Recurring Wyckoff "Jumping The Creek"CRYPTOCAP:ETH
This patten has unfolded consistently, multiple times, across ETH and many other ERC-20 pairs.
It's a simple Wyckoff accumulation/reaccumulation schematic, sweeping liquidity then double bottoming, followed by a flag at the DB neckline (w/volume) then breaking higher.
The best part of watching this unfold is from a macro bottom into the expansion phase clearly illustrates the lessening amount of resistance PA has to grind through and the angle of acceleration once it breaks.
This is where people get left behind, this phase illustrates the exponential nature of what this space is.
It's beautiful IMO 🥹
MATIC - Beautiful Wyckoff Reaccumulation Flag w/SpringCRYPTOCAP:MATIC
This Matic flag w/spring has played out many times before within this pair with the same volume profile after sweeping the highs and the lows.
What we love to see is reclaiming support, with declining volume from the highs then coiling into an ABC flag after sweeping the most recent highs prior to the spring is spectacular...
Number Go Up IMO
MATIC - Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic#MATIC
This looked like a simple flag initially, which is a great bullish continuation pattern, but since has evolved into a #Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic. The latter is actually a healthier option, and one which usually warrants less pullbacks vs the simple flag, that very often comes with sharp retraces.
The Volume is perfect, the OBV is perfect, the pattern is perfect, the timing during Trad Fi market close and end of year standard low volume is perfect...
Have you placed your bets?
MATIC - Probably Nothing...#MATIC
As noted before, the rocket fuel has now been loaded at the LPS (Last Point of Supply).
Now it's time, Number go up...
Gold Long term Wyckoff Re-Accumulation.Gold is currently inside a daily/4h bear channel correction to lower 1800 weekly/monthly demand levels.
Overall trend for gold is still bullish on the weekly/monthly, so a buy in the 1800s is a very good opportunity, which would mean forming a Wyckoff Phase C LPS for a potential rally to 2000 by December or next year.
Failing 1800s or holding 2000 level would mean gold is looking to correct much deeper for the range on the monthly, and potentially an area of 1550 would be a likely target to fill all orders from 1660.
Wyckoff Reaccumulation: Bitcoin's Market Phases 📊🚀🔄 Unveiling the Stages: Reaccumulation encompasses distinct phases – from a markdown phase marked by price corrections, to a trading range phase characterized by consolidation. Each phase reveals the intricate maneuvers of institutional players.
🚀 The Climactic Transition: The culmination of this pattern lies in the breakout phase – a moment where Bitcoin's price experiences a surge. This juncture signifies the conclusion of the reaccumulation process, often ushering in a substantial upward trend.
📈 Insights for Strategic Navigation: Profoundly understanding Wyckoff Reaccumulation offers strategic advantages. It enables the anticipation of potential trends and the identification of opportune entry and exit points.
💡 For Discerning Traders: Wyckoff Reaccumulation transcends conventional pattern analysis; it is a comprehensive methodology that grants traders an enhanced comprehension of market cycles. It's akin to deciphering the intricate narrative of Bitcoin's evolution.
In summary, the essence of Wyckoff Reaccumulation within the context of Bitcoin's trajectory is this: beneath the seemingly complex realm of price fluctuations lie decipherable patterns that serve as navigational beacons for informed trading decisions. Proficiency in this methodology empowers you to navigate the crypto landscape with heightened foresight.
Wyckoff Accumulation & DistributionThe Wyckoff Method, pioneered by Richard Wyckoff, a prominent figure in the early 1900s stock market, remains a powerful technical analysis-based trading approach. This article delves into the intricacies of the Wyckoff Accumulation and Distribution phases, fundamental to this method.
Who was Richard Wyckoff?
Richard Wyckoff, a highly successful American stock market investor of his time, stands as a pioneer in technical analysis. He transitioned from accumulating personal wealth to addressing what he perceived as market injustices, devising the Wyckoff Method to empower traders against market manipulation. Through various platforms like his own Magazine of Wall Street and Stock Market Technique, Wyckoff disseminated his insights.
The Wyckoff Method:
Wyckoff proposed that markets undergo distinct phases: Accumulation and Distribution. These phases guide traders on when to accumulate or distribute their positions, forming the core of the method.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Phase:
This phase materializes as a sideways, range-bound period subsequent to a prolonged downtrend. During this stage, significant players seek to establish positions without causing dramatic price drops. The accumulation phase comprises six integral components, each serving a vital role:
Preliminary Support (PS): As signs of the downtrend ending emerge, high volume and wider spreads surface. Buyers initiate interest, suggesting the end of selling dominance.
Selling Climax (SC): Characterized by intense selling pressure and panic selling, this phase represents a sharp price decline. Often, price closes well above the lowest point.
Automatic Rally (AR): Late sellers experience a reversal, driven by short sellers covering positions. This phase sets the upper range limit for subsequent consolidation.
Secondary Test (ST): Controlled retesting of lows with minimal volume increase indicates potential reversal.
Spring: A deceptive move resembling a downtrend resumption, designed to deceive and shakeout participants.
Last Point of Support, Back Up, and Sign of Strength (LPS, BU, SOS): Clear shifts in price action mark the transition into the range's start. A rapid, one-sided move signifies buyer control, often following the spring.
Wyckoff Distribution Cycle:
Following Accumulation, the Wyckoff Distribution phase unfolds. This cycle consists of five phases:
Preliminary Supply (PSY): Dominant traders initiate selling after a notable price rise, leading to increased trading volume.
Buying Climax (BC): Retail traders enter positions, driving further price increase. Dominant traders capitalize on premium prices to sell.
Automatic Reaction (AR): The end of the BC phase brings a price drop due to decreased buying. High supply causes a decline to the AR level.
Secondary Test (ST): Price retests the BC range, assessing supply and demand balance.
Sign of Weakness, Last Point of Supply, Upthrust After Distribution (SOW, LPSY, UTAD): SOW signals price weakness, LPSY tests support, and UTAD might occur near cycle's end, pushing the upper boundary.
Wyckoff Reaccumulation and Redistribution Cycles:
Reaccumulation occurs during uptrends, as dominant traders accumulate shares during price pauses. Redistribution, during downtrends, begins with sharp price rallies as short sellers capitalize.
Dominant traders strategically enter positions during these rallies.
Wyckoff's Foundational Concepts:
Law of Supply and Demand:
Prices rise when demand is high and supply is low. Prices fall when supply is high and demand is low. Balanced supply and demand lead to stable prices.
Law of Cause and Effect:
Price changes are driven by specific underlying factors. Price rises result from accumulation phases, while drops arise from distribution phases.
Law of Effort vs. Result:
Trading volume should match price movement. Deviations signal potential shifts in market sentiment or upcoming opportunities.
The Wyckoff Method is relevant to all markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, where supply and demand play a crucial role in influencing price movements.
Nas100 OutlookNas is looking like it is re-accumulating atm but it could turn on a dime and all of a sudden become a distribution schematic so pivot areas are indicated in the annotations on the chart. Just watch out for what price action does in the next coming weeks along the key areas and levels as it will be pretty telling if we are going to start a meltdown soon or if we are going to have a last push to the top most quarter key level.
A H&S pattern looking formed atm. Could melt, could not, we will see.
CHZUSDT !! ARE WE GOING FOR A STRONG UPTREND ?!Ok Traders !
hope you enjoying your life !
first of all what do we want to see in phase c ?
-strong rejection:
point of fear : traders start to panic in downtrend and close their positions and open a
new short positions to take gains .
participation of buyers : for fundamental reason market makers and other whales see an
opportunities to buy in the deep .
-average volume :
if we have a reasonable volume in phase A & B at lows and highs volume does not matter
that much in our analysis
CHZ/USDT : we do not have requirement yet but we are getting close to one of the most important key level ! beside of fundamental analysis that key level is between chaos and live in the dream . im gonna keep in touch with you guys and give you updates
📊 Wyckoff SchematicsThe Wyckoff Method involves a five-step approach to stock selection and trade entry, which can be summarized as follows:
Determine the present position and probable future trend of the market. Is the market consolidating or trending? Does your analysis of market structure, supply and demand indicate the direction that is likely in the near future? This assessment should help you decide whether to be in the market at all and, if so, whether to take long or short positions. Use both bar charts and Point and Figure charts of the major market indices for Step 1.
Select stocks in harmony with the trend. In an uptrend, select stocks that are stronger than the market. For instance, look for stocks that demonstrate greater percentage increases than the market during rallies and smaller decreases during reactions. In a downtrend, do the reverse – choose stocks that are weaker than the market. If you are not sure about a specific issue, drop it and move on to the next one. Use bar charts of individual stocks to compare with those of the most relevant market index for Step 2.
Select stocks with a “cause” that equals or exceeds your minimum objective. A critical component of Wyckoff's trade selection and management was his unique method of identifying price targets using Point and Figure (P&F) projections for both long and short trades. In Wyckoff's fundamental law of “Cause and Effect,” the horizontal P&F count within a trading range represents the cause, while the subsequent price movement represents the effect. Therefore, if you are planning to take long positions, choose stocks that are under accumulation or re-accumulation and have built a sufficient cause to satisfy your objective. Step 3 relies on the use of Point and Figure charts of individual stocks.
Determine the stocks' readiness to move. Apply the nine tests for buying or for selling (described below). For instance, in a trading range after a prolonged rally, does the evidence from the nine selling tests suggest that significant supply is entering the market and that a short position may be warranted? Or in an apparent accumulation trading range, do the nine buying tests indicate that supply has been successfully absorbed, as evidenced further by a low-volume spring and an even lower-volume test of that spring? Use bar charts and Point and Figure charts of individual stocks for Step 4.
Time your commitment with a turn in the stock market index. Three-quarters or more of individual issues move in harmony with the general market, so you improve the odds of a successful trade by having the power of the overall market behind it. Specific Wyckoff principles help you anticipate potential market turns, including a change of character of price action (such as the largest down-bar on the highest volume after a long uptrend), as well as manifestations of Wyckoff's three laws (see below). Put your stop-loss in place and then trail it, as appropriate, until you close out the position. Use bar and Point and Figure charts for Step 5.
🔹PS — preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
🔹SC — selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
🔹AR — automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
🔹ST — secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
🔹Test — Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
🔹SOS — sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
🔹LPS — last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
🔹BU — “back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
🔹PSY — preliminary supply , where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching.
🔹BC — buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price.
🔹AR — automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR.
🔹ST — secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR.
🔹SOW — sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant.
🔹LPSY — last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest.
🔹UTAD — upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: the TR in Distribution Schematic #1 contains a UTAD, while the TR in Distribution Schematic #2 does not.
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BTC (Y23.P1.E1).Wyckoff SOS AreaHi Traders,
We have this continuation pattern that consolidated under the monthly level and now aligned to the wyckoff re-accumulation schematics as we enter phase D which is volatility and difficult as the pullback could break the previous resistance and yet be ok.
This week has critical events for the DXY, SP500 and others, so BTC is not in the clear yet.
All the best,
S.SAri
Litecoin Completes Wyckoff Phase E ReaccumulationHappy hump day in the first week of this new year. It’s been a minute since I’ve last posted some TA, and it seems the itch has returned after putting trading aside for a bit to focus on other pieces and parts of life. I’m sure The Byrds touched on crypto degen season in their hit Turn! Turn! Turn! somewhere.
With the Litecoin halving expected sometime in Q3 or Q4 of 2023, backing up the Brinks truck and filling up the bags with Litecoin has become the recent mantra and memecoin. What better way to get back on the horse again?
With that, Let’s get to the TA. (My methodology is Point & Figure/Wyckoff.)
Looking at the 1D chart (0.20 box size with a 3 box reversal), the formation appears to have completed a Phase E Wyckoff Reaccumulation. If we look at the projected target price using the horizontal method, the projected price for the completion of Phase E would be (23 columns x 0.20 box size x 3 box reversal) + $65.20 = $79.00. The formation’s Buying Climax topped out at $77.80 at the time this article was published, so it appears all the cause built up to mark the price up has been used, and Litecoin should establish a new trade range and direction at this stage. The larger question is which direction is Litecoin likely to break? The weekly chart might help provide some insight.
Looking at the 1W chart (0.20 box size with a 5 box reversal), the formation appears to be at the tail end of a Phase B Wyckoff Accumulation. Typically, at the tail end of this stage, the formation tends to retest support (in this case the $46.40 price at the top of support) followed by a test of resistance (in this case the $60.40 price at the bottom of resistance) before entering into Phase C with the shakeout (forming the creek and spring) prior to markup. As this chart is a higher timeframe, consider this may take some time for the full breakdown to complete before the subsequent retest of resistance.
Always remember this is not trading advice.
Outside of that, Happy Trading.