silver to 35$ Rate Cut Expectations Hello Traders as I can see Silver Breaks Above $30.19 as Fed Rate Cuts Loom, Eyes $31.76 and $32.52 as Bullish Targets for the Week Ahead. Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Propel Silver Higher; Traders Await Fed's Upcoming Interest Rate Decision. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Soar: Markets See 57% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Cut, 43% Chance of a Bigger 50-Basis-Point Cut
is moving toward to 35$ range as we can see bull market continues on the base of FFR cut Expectations also technically chart is showing us that the descending Triangle breakout is a clear view to continue Rally till 35$. Silver prices surged last week, breaking above the $30.19 per ounce mark and confirming a bullish trend on the weekly charts. The rally brought key levels of $32.52and $35 into focus. Optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar and strong gold inflows, fueled silver’s upward move.
Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Drive Silver Higher. One of the key drivers of silver’s rise was the U.S. dollar’s continued decline, which hit its lowest level of the year against the yen. A weaker dollar typically boosts silver by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Additionally, global gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw continued inflows, with the SPDR Gold Trust reaching its highest levels since January. This increased demand for gold also lifted silver prices, as the two metals often move in tandem. Friends its just a trade idea make proper research before entering any trade Support the idea it will help many other traders Stay tuned for more updates ....
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35
Precious metal prices are fluctuating near multi-year highs due to safe-haven demand driven by:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections,
→ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East,
→ Expectations of central banks lowering interest rates.
As seen on the XAG/USD chart, silver prices:
→ Are near their highest levels in 12 years,
→ Are approaching the $35 mark,
→ Have risen by over 43% since the start of the year.
Technical analysis of the XAG/USD chart indicates that silver is following an upward trend (shown in a blue channel), with the current price near its median line. This suggests a potential balance between supply and demand, which could stabilise price fluctuations.
Key observations:
→ A red resistance line on the chart reflects a corrective phase within the blue channel.
→ Breaking through this resistance in September triggered a strong bullish impulse (marked by a blue arrow).
→ This impulse was so robust that it pushed the price above the psychological $30 level, turning it into support.
A similar pattern might emerge in the future. After another strong bullish move (marked by a second blue arrow), the $32.5 level could also become a support area.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver (XAG/USD) Red Alert Technical Update📉 Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Update
Resistance at 34.40 met! 🛑
Expecting a drop towards 33.00 first, followed by 30.00 as the next target if bearish momentum continues. 📉💡 Keep an eye on these key levels!
#Silver #XAGUSD #Forex #Commodities #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
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XAUUSD Potential breakout to a new ATHXAUUSD has broken and closed above the downward channel, signaling a strong bullish trend. As the price approaches the all-time high (ATH) level, there is potential for a pullback as traders may take profits or reassess positions. However, with the current bullish momentum, the market is likely to continue moving higher, even if a slight pullback occurs. If the price does pull back, looking for rejection signs near key support levels could confirm further upside. The target is the resistance zone at 2698
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Historic Resistances
As a bull run continues on Silver,
here are the next historic resistances to focus on.
Resistance 1: 34.0 - 34.4 area
Resistance 2: 34.7 - 35.4 area
Resistance 3: 37.0 - 37.5 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Massive Cup & Handle on Silver could take price to $722 by 2046Could also reach that full breakout target much sooner to but the trajectory of the measured mvoe line were it to validate the breakout above the rimline around the arbitrary spot I placed it at has the end of the measured move line in the year 2046. With the right scenario playing out on the global stage a price like that is possible much sooner even, and there’s also always the chance that we go past that timeframe without hitting the full target just yet either but that happens less often than when it hits the target beforehand. *not financial advice*
XAGUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 34.23 - 34.65, which aligns with 161.8% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibo extension
Our take profit will be at 32.95 a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 35.60, above 100% Fibo projection
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SILVER Swing Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing in
A strong uptrend and
Silver is locally overbought
So after it hits a horizontal
Resistance of 35.46$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias.
Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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Silver Lining: Breakout Signals Imminent Price SurgeThe price previously formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, and after breaking out, it entered a phase of consolidation.
This led to the emergence of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart, and with a recent breakout, silver is now trending upward.
Key level to watch
First target - $32.2
Second target - $33.0
It is recommended to set a strict stop-loss just below the $30.9 level to mitigate significant losses.
Silver’s Explosive Move: Why Buying Dips Below $33 Could Pay OffAfter a minor correction at the start of last week and two days of tight range consolidation, OANDA:XAGUSD surged on Friday, gaining approximately 2000 pips.
More importantly, though, it broke above the key resistance zone at 32.35-32.50, in what appears to be an attempt to catch up with Gold’s performance.
As mentioned in my previous analyses, my target for Silver remains around the 35 resistance level.
Now, with this decisive breakout to the upside, it looks like 35 could be the next target in the coming week.
Given this setup, a strong strategy would be to buy on dips, ideally below the 33 level.
This approach could offer an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio, depending on the stop loss placement.
XAUUSD Bullish setup this week**Monthly Chart**
XAGUSD last monthly candle closed bullish after testing the liquidity of Jan 2013 liquidity pool.
The monthly engulfing candle indicates a high probability for Sliver to continue its trend higher at least to take liquidity above the 33.00 (round number) level. It also suggests that the near target high is around 36.00 and then 37.50 (Oct 2012 and Feb 2012 swing highs) Levels
This month's candle, which is still active, tested the imbalanced price action (or FVG) at around 30.00. It moved aggressively and took the high of the previous month.
**Weekly Chart**
Last weekly candle of Silver closed slightly bullish after sweeping liquidity from previous weeks lows. This gives a strong trend momentum for the price to head higher at least to hunt the liquidity above the 33.00 level. The weekly candle closed as a key reversal high.
**Daily Chart**
Last week Silver started a new swing high after it took the liquidity below 30.55 level and head higher.
This week we will be looking for a bullish structure and opportunity to at least target 33.00. This is around 200 pips moves expected on this pair.
XAGUSD Analysis: Unveiling Silver's Next Move Through Elliott WaThis XAGUSD analysis utilizes Elliott Wave theory to uncover potential silver price movements. By identifying key wave patterns, this analysis offers insights into upcoming trends and market shifts, providing traders with a clearer outlook on silver's future direction.