XAGUSD – Reversal Signs After the Run Toward $40Lately, I’ve been a strong advocate for a Silver rally toward $40, and indeed, we got a solid move, with price reaching as high as $39.50, not touching 40 though...
Just like with Gold, the last 3 days of last week turned bearish, and now it looks like we may be entering the early stage of a correction.
📉 Current Setup:
- The rejection from $39.50, right below the psychological $40 level, is significant
- I’ll be monitoring for a possible short entry if we get a rebound into the $38.80–$39.00 zone
- A new high above $39.50 would invalidate this setup
📌 On the downside, if price breaks below the confluence support at $37.70–$38.00, that would confirm the reversal and could lead to an acceleration toward $35.50 support
Conclusion:
The bullish narrative on Silver is pausing here. Until a new high is made, I’m looking to sell the bounce and follow the momentum if the breakdown under support is confirmed.
Let’s see how this plays out this week. 🧭
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAG USD (Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER Is About to Collapse? Watch This Critical Supply Zone!Price recently tapped a high near 39.20 before sharply rejecting from the 38.80–39.20 supply zone, confirming strong selling pressure. The current structure shows:
- Supply zone tested and rejected
- Likely return to the previous demand zone (36.50–36.00)
- RSI is turning down, confirming loss of momentum
A pullback toward 38.30–38.50, followed by a bearish continuation toward the 36.50 area, which acts as a key structural and institutional support.
🗓️ Seasonality
Historically, July is bullish for silver:
Last 5Y average: +0.89%
Last 2Y average: +2.18%
However, August–September are bearish months:
August: mildly positive, but weak
September: consistently negative across all time frames (-0.86% to -1.10%)
This increases the probability of a downward move starting in early August, in line with current price action rejection.
🪙 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 22
Non-Commercials (speculators):
Longs: +656
Shorts: -516
Commercials (hedging):
Longs: +1,337
Shorts: +916
➡️ Commercials are increasing both long and short exposure, while non-commercials remain net long — a sign of moderate optimism.
However, long positioning is slowing down compared to previous weeks. A potential exhaustion in bullish momentum is forming.
📉 Sentiment
52% short vs 48% long
Volume: more lots on the short side (492 vs 454)
Sentiment remains neutral to slightly contrarian bullish, but not extreme. This may allow for a fake breakout before a deeper move down.
🧩 Operational Summary
Main bias: Bearish short to mid-term (starting August), supported by:
- Technical rejection at supply
- Negative seasonal tendencies ahead
- RSI showing momentum loss
- COT showing stabilization, not accumulation
#XAGUSD: A Strong Bullish Move, Possible Target at $45?Silver is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall price remains bullish. Analysing the data, we can see a potential price reversal in our area of interest. Following the recent higher high, price is poised to create another record high. We should closely monitor volume and price behaviour. A strong volume signal would indicate a potential bullish move in the future.
Good luck and trade safely.
Like and comment for more!
Team Setupsfx_
Falling towards pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.25
1st Resistance: 39.07
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Bullish bounce for the Silver?The price is falling towards the support level whch i anoverlap support that is slighly below the 61.8%Fibonacci retraecment and could bounce from this level to our takeprofit.
Entry: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36.28
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 39.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver & New Safe Havens💰📉 When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver, and the New Safe Havens 🧠🔄
Let me tell you a story that says more than any chart ever could.
📜 Meet Uncle Jimmy (from Canada) . He’s not really my uncle, but out of respect, that’s what I call him.
A true OG — early stockbroker, big mustache , 20+ apartments, a life built on commissions, charts, and one sacred truth: '' Gold never lies. ''
He's bought gold at every dip, every crisis, every whisper of war or inflation.
But now?
“I’m thinking of selling gold to buy silver.” ( WHAT?! 😳👀💥)
That’s it. That’s the moment.
📉 A gold maxi flipping into silver. A generational pivot.
And that’s the real divergence the chart doesn’t always show.
⚖️ Macro Sentiment Rotation:
📊 Gold
Sitting on crucial support. Breakout potential to $3,465+ remains — but divergences (OBV, CMF) are stacking. A breakdown? Targets stretch down to $3,000 or even $2,716.
🪙 Silver
Just hit $38.14 — now eyeing the legendary $49.83 ATH from 1980. Legacy capital rotating in. Silver’s moment? (My chart says 'wait a bit'...divergences!)
💻 NASDAQ/Tech
Some now call it the “new safe haven” — not because of bonds, but because of trust in corporate resilience vs. geopolitical chaos. When Nasdaq rises, silver often outperforms gold — risk appetite returns, and so does industrial metal demand.
₿ Bitcoin
And then there’s Bitcoin…
The safe haven that legacy minds still don’t trust.
I told Uncle Jimmy to buy it at:
→ $4,000
→ $18,000
→ $45,000
→ Even $70,000.... I stopped doing that at some point, he just wouldn't get it, or wouldn't make a move into the 'crypto unknown'. Respect!
So...He never did. Maybe Bitcoin just became what gold once was — but for the next generation. Not for Big Jimmy.
🧠 What to Watch:
Sentiment is shifting
Safe havens are evolving
Charts show structure — but stories show psychology
Whether you're long metals, crypto, or tech — the key is knowing when beliefs break and rotations begin.
Watch price. Listen to sentiment. And never underestimate Uncle Jimmy.
What would you tell Jimmy today if he was your uncle? Let me know below!
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Silver Breakout, Tech Resistance & TRY Rotation 📊🔥 Silver Breakout, Tech Resistance & TRY Rotation – Structure Meets Reality 🌍📉
Hey traders, FXPROFESSOR here 👨🏫
Today’s charts show how technical structure and real-world capital behavior can tell one powerful story. We’re watching Silver surge, Tech stall, and the Turkish Lira react to local capital flows — all aligning with clean market levels.
Let’s break it down:
🔍 Silver (XAG/USD)
Price exploded into $39.30, reaching the top of a well-defined ascending channel.
Now stalling — pullbacks toward $35.38 or even $32.17 would be natural.
🧠 Structurally strong, fundamentally backed by industrial demand, inflation hedging, and tight supply dynamics. Just not a good timing to 'ape it' today.
📉 US Tech 100 (USTEC)
Testing resistance around 23,434.
RSI and OBV show signs of exhaustion, suggesting potential pause or pullback.
In a stretched macro environment, tech is vulnerable to rotation — especially if yields shift or inflation expectations change.
💱 EUR/TRY – Turkish Lira Rotation
We just saw a sharp rejection at 47.78, a key round-number resistance.
On the ground, there’s a notable shift — My Turkish brother says 'FX profits being converted into real estate and hard assets, especially by locals and returning expats'. And I trust a good Turk as much as i trust my Greek family! (yes, we can be friends when there is respect and no hatred! common interests work best in this troubled world)
The chart reflects this move: potential drop toward 46.00 → 45.45 → 43.79 if momentum fades.
🧩 What These Charts Teach Us
This is a perfect storm where technical resistance, macro rotation, and local capital behavior all align:
🔹 Silver rising = hard assets in favor
🔹 Tech pausing = overextension risk
🔹 TRY dropping = profit-taking & capital redeployment
Trade what you see — but understand why it’s happening.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Silver bullish flag developingThe Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3814 – initial resistance
3865 – psychological and structural level
3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3645 – minor support
3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAGUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 38.75, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 38.06, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 39.43, a swing-high resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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XAG/USD on high time frame
"Hello, for investors in XAG/USD, the $37 zone appears to be a low-risk area for buying. Both technical and fundamental analyses suggest that the price is likely to move higher towards $48."
If you require further insights or have additional information to discuss, feel free to share!
SILVER Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 38.174
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 38.708
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
"XAG/USD: Pirate’s Treasure Trade! Bullish & Loaded"🚨 SILVER HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAG/USD Bullish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style) 💰🎯
🌟 Attention Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Activated! 🔥
📌 Mission Brief:
Based on our elite Thief Trading analysis (technical + fundamental heist intel), we’re plotting a bullish robbery on XAG/USD ("The Silver Market"). Our goal? Loot profits near the high-risk resistance zone before the "Police Barricade" (bear traps & reversals) kicks in!
🚨 Trade Setup (Day/Swing Heist Plan):
Entry (📈): "The vault is open! Swipe bullish loot at any price!"
Pro Tip: Use buy limits near 15M/30M swing lows for safer pullback entries.
Advanced Thief Move: Layer multiple DCA limit orders for maximum stealth.
Stop Loss (🛑): 36.900 (Nearest 1H candle body swing low). Adjust based on your risk tolerance & lot size!
Target (🎯): 39.500 (or escape early if the market turns risky!).
⚡ Scalper’s Quick Loot Guide:
Only scalp LONG!
Rich thieves? Go all-in! Broke thieves? Join swing traders & execute the plan slowly.
Use trailing SL to lock profits & escape safely!
💎 Why Silver? (Fundamental Heist Intel)
✅ Bullish momentum in play!
✅ Macro trends, COT data, & intermarket signals favor upside!
✅ News-driven volatility? Expect big moves!
⚠️ WARNING: Market Cops (News Events) Ahead!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news!
Trailing stops = Your best escape tool!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery squad! More lucrative heists coming soon! 🚀💰
🎯 Final Note: This is NOT financial advice—just a thief’s masterplan! Adjust based on your risk & strategy!
🔥 Ready to Raid? Let’s STEAL Some Profits! 🏴☠️💸
👇 Drop a comment & boost the plan! 👇
#XAGUSD #SilverHeist #ThiefTrading #ProfitPirates #TradingViewAlerts
(🔔 Stay tuned for the next heist!) 🚀🤫
(XAGUSD) Volume Absorption to Bullish Continuation To Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown:
The 4H chart of Silver (XAGUSD) reveals a well-structured price action sequence, beginning with a compression breakout, a strong bullish impulse, and a current retracement phase into a key reversal zone.
🔺 Symmetrical Triangle & Volume Absorption (Early July):
The market was forming higher lows and lower highs, indicative of consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle.
During this phase, a volume absorption event occurred—indicating smart money was accumulating before a breakout.
This was followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming upside strength and clearing previous highs.
📈 2x Channel Supply Zone — Now Demand:
After breaking above the triangle, the price surged into a key supply zone, created from a prior channel top.
This zone was tested, absorbed, and flipped into a new demand zone, as buyers overwhelmed sellers.
This supply-demand interchange confirmed a structural change in market sentiment.
🚀 2. Momentum Confirmation — High Breakout:
The "High Breaked" level, marked clearly on the chart, acted as a bullish breakout trigger.
This breakout not only breached the prior resistance but established a new bullish leg—providing strong confirmation of trend continuation.
🔁 3. QFL Zone & Controlled Pullback:
After the surge, the price began to correct from the QFL (Quick Flip Level).
This level usually represents an area where short-term distribution or profit-taking occurs.
The pullback from this zone was controlled but sharp, which is natural after such a strong move up.
🟩 4. Next Reversal Zone — The Critical Demand Block:
Price is now entering a high-probability reversal zone, marked around $37.5–$36.8.
This area is critical due to:
Confluence with previous structure and minor support.
Potential bullish absorption area.
Last base before the impulse up.
If bullish price action (like bullish engulfing, pin bar, or volume spike) is seen here, it could signal the start of the next leg up.
🧨 5. Key Warning: "If it crosses, this will be Supply Double"
If this zone fails to hold, the demand will flip into double supply, likely accelerating bearish momentum.
In such case, Silver may revisit Major Support near the $36.0–$35.5 zone.
🧭 Potential Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Path (Primary Expectation):
Price reacts from the reversal zone with bullish momentum.
Breaks back into the Central Zone (~$38.5).
Forms a higher low → continuation toward $39.5–$41.0.
Breakout above the recent swing high confirms the continuation pattern.
Trade Idea:
Long entries near $37.2–$37.5 with SL below $36.8.
Target zones: $38.8 (short-term), $39.8–$41.0 (swing).
❌ Bearish Continuation (Alternative Plan):
Reversal zone fails to hold.
Price breaks and closes below $36.8.
Previous support becomes resistance — bearish retest.
Continuation toward $36.0–$35.5 zone.
Trade Idea:
Short on break and retest of $36.8.
SL above the reversal zone.
TP near $35.5 or based on volume exhaustion.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight:
This setup shows a clear institutional playbook:
Accumulation → Breakout → Profit-taking → Retest → Continuation.
If smart money is active, expect defense of the reversal zone followed by a strong bounce.
SILVER SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅SILVER has been falling recently
And Silver seems locally oversold
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal support of 37.80$
Price growth is to be expected
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SILVER pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Silver bullish sideways consolidation The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3814 – initial resistance
3865 – psychological and structural level
3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3645 – minor support
3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVER Analysis - Can buyers push toward 4,100$?TRADENATION:XAGUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and now came back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 4,100 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.