Skeptic | Weekly Recap: Big Wins, Misses & Lessons!Hey guys! 👋I’m Skeptic , and today I’m gonna do a full recap of the past week’s positions and watchlist.
We’re gonna see what worked, what didn’t, and what lessons we learned along the way. Let’s get into it!
🚀 Position Review: What We’ll Cover
What was the trigger?
What was the result (profit/loss)?
Why did it work or fail?
I’ll be linking all the relevant ideas so you can check out the full analysis for each setup.
Also, if I don’t mention a position, it’s because the trigger I gave hasn’t activated yet.
Let’s dive in!
💥 Position #1: XAUUSD (12 March)
📈 4-Hour Time Frame
Recently, we saw a breakout of the range box, but the price quickly pulled back inside, indicating that sellers failed to maintain bearish momentum. This suggests that the long-term uptrend is still holding strong.
🔮 Next Move?
If we see a break above the 4-hour resistance at 2927.25, it could be a solid signal for continuing the uptrend.
The final bullish trigger will be after a breakout above 2954.74, confirming strong upside momentum.
📉 Short Setup:
The main short trigger is a break below 2878.84.
Once that level breaks, there’s no significant support until 2841.74, so the move could be sharp and quick.
Given the importance of this support, expect some volatility and adjust your stops accordingly.
✅ Outcome:
The long trigger at 2919 was activated, and we managed to hit an R/R of 5.
Reasons for Success:
Trading in the direction of the major trend:
Always increases R/R and win rate.
Strong breakout candle:
A solid 4-hour candle showed both buyer strength and seller presence, signaling a great breakout opportunity.
Good momentum:
Previous corrections were minimal (less than 35% on the Fib retracement), and bullish candles were strong.
💥 Position #2: XAGUSD (12 March)
We recently witnessed a range box breakout, but the price swiftly pulled back inside, showing that sellers failed to keep the momentum. The daily major uptrend still looks strong.
✅ Outcome:
This position also delivered an R/R of 3.
Reasons for Success:
Long trade aligned with the trend:
Always a safer bet.
Sharp reaction to resistance:
Breaking strong resistance often results in a sharp move.
No major resistance ahead:
This allowed the move to extend further, giving us a higher R/R.
💥 Position #3: SPX (14 March)
🔍 Market Overview:
The weekly trend is still up, but the daily time frame has entered a corrective downtrend due to trade tariff issues between the U.S. and other countries. This led to the Fed holding off on interest rate cuts, impacting risk assets like stocks and BTC.
On the 4-hour time frame, we entered a range box and recently saw a fake breakout to the downside. The price quickly bounced back into the range, showing buyer strength and seller weakness. This gives a slight long bias.
✅ Outcome:
Our trigger at 5564.67 activated with a solid indecision candle on the 1-hour time frame. If you took the trade with a safe stop loss, you should be sitting on an R/R of 2 by now.
Reasons for Success:
Fake breakout recovery:
Sellers couldn’t hold the price down, and buyers pushed it back into the range, absorbing liquidity.
Lower-than-expected inflation:
Improved sentiment and led to a bullish push.
Indecision candle confirmation:
Signaled buyer presence and seller exhaustion.
💡 Key Takeaway:
This week, we managed to secure an R/R of 10, which is fantastic.
I’m not gonna brag about how much profit we made, because that number can vary based on each trader’s risk management and position size.
A professional trader measures success through win rate, losing streaks, and R/R, not just the percentage of profit made.
🚨 Pro Tip:
If anyone claims they make “X% profit consistently,” be cautious—it’s probably a scam.
Real traders focus on maintaining consistent risk management and realistic expectations.
💬 Final Thoughts:
If you took any of these trades or have similar setups, share your experience in the comments!
And if you’ve got any questions or insights, drop them below—I’m here to help and discuss.
Let’s grow together, not alone! 💪🔥
Wishing you an awesome weekend!
