Weekly Forex Forecast: GOLD & SILVER Are Bullish! BUY Them!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th.
Gold and Silver are both bullish, with Gold being the stronger of the two. I am not interested in selling either until I see a bearish BOS, as the swing structure is bullish, and the trend is up. Wait until the fractal structure is aligned with the overall market structure, which would make for higher probability buys to follow the trend.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER at Key Resistance Zone - Sellers Ready to Step In?OANDA:XAGUSD is testing a key resistance zone, an area that has previously triggered strong selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
If rejection occurs at this zone, such as through wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or an increase in selling volume, sellers could regain control and drive the price lower toward the 31.650 target. This aligns with a short-term pullback scenario within the broader market structure.
However, a sustained breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 32.196
Stop Loss - 32.628
Take Profit - 31.428
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 32.086 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 32.264
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver H4 | Potential bullish breakoutSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 32.36 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 31.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the ascending trendline.
Take profit is identified between 32.90 and 33.03 which is a resistance zone that is bounded by the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver Market Update: Consolidation at Key ResistanceAs I mentioned before, I was bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , expecting the price to reach the 32.30 resistance zone. The price has indeed reached this level and is now consolidating.
With NFP data approaching, we can expect increased volatility, which could determine silver’s next move.
A clear breakout and close above 32.30-32.40 zone would open the door for a rally towards 33.50.
On the other hand, if silver closes below 32, it would indicate that resistance has held, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward 31.00.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 31.73
1st Support: 31.20
1st Resistance: 32.55
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Could Silver's Price Soar to New Heights?In the realm of precious metals, silver has long captivated investors with its volatility and dual role as both an industrial staple and a safe-haven asset. Recent analyses suggest that the price of silver might skyrocket to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $100 per ounce. This speculation isn't just idle talk; it's fueled by a complex interplay of market forces, geopolitical tensions, and industrial demand that could reshape the silver market landscape.
The historical performance of silver provides a backdrop for these predictions. After a notable surge in 2020 and a peak in May 2024, silver's price has been influenced by investor sentiment and fundamental market shifts. Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver has been an outspoken advocate for silver's potential, citing historical cycles and current supply-demand dynamics as indicators of future price increases. His foresight, discussed across various platforms, underscores the metal's potential to break through traditional price ceilings.
Geopolitical risks add another layer of complexity to silver's valuation. The potential for an embargo due to escalating tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt global supply chains, particularly in industries heavily reliant on silver like technology and manufacturing. Such disruptions might not only increase the price due to supply constraints but also elevate silver's status as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. Moreover, the ongoing demand from sectors like renewable energy, electronics, and health applications continues to press against the available supply, setting the stage for a significant price rally if these trends intensify.
However, while the scenario of silver reaching $100 per ounce is enticing, it hinges on numerous variables aligning perfectly. Investors must consider not only the positive drivers but also factors like market manipulation, economic policies, and historical resistance levels that have previously capped silver's price growth. Thus, while the future of silver holds immense promise, it also demands a strategic approach from those looking to capitalize on its potential. This situation challenges investors to think critically about market dynamics, urging a blend of optimism with strategic caution.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk.
Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked.
Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut.
Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year.
This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.”
The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.”
They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields.
This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”
Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Manufacturing Data Fuels Silver's RiseSilver rose above $31.5 per ounce, near its highest since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data stimulated demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs eased protectionist concerns. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, reinforcing silver’s industrial demand outlook.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth market deficit in 2025, with strong industrial and retail investment demand outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Key resistance levels are 32.50, 33.00, and 33.50. Support stands at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Silver, bullish or bearish? Greetings, traders! Welcome to this Silver (XAGUSD) market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
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Trade safely
XAGUSD BULISH AFTER A SLIGHT FALLXAGUSD is in a total bullish movement, but it is currently experiencing a slight pullback. After this, we can aim for the target price marked on the chart.
As always, pay close attention to the danger zone and stop loss zone. If the close crosses these levels, the analysis will either be in danger or invalidated!
Note: My ideas are not intended for any type of scalping or scalpers!
You can find the full list of my ideas here: www.tradingview.com
Here are some of my ideas:
Silver XAGUSD defies them all. Breakout 1Hr
You can see the 1Hr candles from earlier this morning NY time where the squeeze was on.
I think that this Tariff' business of Donny's will include some volatile days but from my understanding & in only the past 24 hours that whole thing will actually be supportive of the Gold price and Cryptocurrency's amidst some fear sellers from time to time.
SILVER Retesting Support - Continuation Toward 31.80?OANDA:XAGUSD recently broke above a key resistance zone, which has now turned into a support area. The price is currently retesting this level, creating a potential opportunity for buyers to step in and continue the bullish momentum.
If the support holds and we see bullish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bounce, the price is likely to move higher toward the $31.80 level. This setup reflects a classic break-and-retest scenario, signaling potential trend continuation.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have additional insights on this setup!
Silver H1 | Falling to overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.29 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.06 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 31.97 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Is Silver ready to soar again? the week of 03 FebWeekly chart - bullish
Daily chart - Price above the 200 dma and 50 ema. Was consolidating, now bullish but should head higher after a small pullback.
H4 chart - note a support zone that price seems to be pulling back to, 20 ema also nearby to provide dynamic support.
I will be looking for some bullish chart pattern or candle stick at/near the support area to take a long.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
XAGUSD Analysis: Bullish Trend Faces Resistance – What’s Next?👀 👉 In this video, we analyze XAGUSD (silver) in detail. While it has been in a bullish trend on the higher timeframe, it is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour timeframe, we can see a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break of the current high, followed by a retest and fail, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
Bullish Momentum Catching Up in SilverThe Price has been on a quite choppy rise. It gives rise to several possible interpretations for the structure, but after several weeks of waiting it seems like it was creating a strong accumulation of orders, setting a base if you may, before taking off strongly to the upside. In the Wave Principle context we might be seeing a series of waves 1 & 2, no finally moving into the latter stages of a minor wave three.
The commodities market tends to display its strongest phase of the cycle in its last leg, leading me to believe that we are about to experience an aggressive rally during the minor wave five of higher degree wave three.
The rally hit a minor pause on Thursday and moved sideways for the rest of the week, however the break up should come swiftly after this coming week starts.
I do need to see the price respect the Friday low at around 31.12 for the view to hold. We might see some slight variations on the theme but a continued move below said level throw a wrench on the setup as a whole.
Happy Trading :)